Will BJP cross 350 seats in 2019?
Rajagopalan K Suryanarayan, Political analyst
After studying previous three or four elections I find it may be possible for BJP to score 340+ provided …. 1. BJP should win 71+ seats in UP. 2. BJP should do exceptionally well in Northeast, West Bengal and Odisha and 75% of the seats in these three states which comes to 66 seats. 3. BJP has very strong alliance in Bihar, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu. In all these three states BJP is contesting 48 seats and the rest are left to partners. BJP should win 90% of these seats which comes to 44 seats. 4. In MP, C’ghar, Rajasthan Jarkhand, BJP should do well to get at least 80% of seats which comes to 64 seats. 5. BJP should win all seats in Gujarat, Haryana, Delhi, HP, Uttarakhand, Goa which is 54 seats. 6. In Punjab it is contesting 3, and J & K, BJP can expect 5 seats. 7. In Karnataka it is expected to do well. In Kerala it may open its account. In Tamil Nadu may de better. In AP and Telengana BJP has no hope. May win one seat. Hence if BJP wins 30 seats in the South it is a great fete for the party. 8. Last time union territories gave 6 seats. May be BJP will repeat the same. 9. Total 71+66+44+64+54+05+30+6 = 340. This is possible only on paper. Actually BJP at the most may cross 300 maximum on the higher side.