Global and Regional Security Architecture Professor Carl Thayer Presentation to Lemhannas Presentation to Lemhannas 2 November 2009
Outline of Presentation Outline of Presentation • Global security architecture • Regional security architecture Regional security architecture • Proposals to upgrade p pg Regional Security Architecture
Global Security Architecture Global Security Architecture • United Nations • Breton Woods institutions • Group of 20 (G‐20) Group of 20 (G 20)
United Nations
Secretary General Secretary General S Security Council it C il General Assembly
UNDP
WFP
UNHCR
UN UN Family UNFPA
UNESCO
ESCAP
United Nations: Net Assessment United Nations: Net Assessment • • • • •
Collective Defence Non Traditional Security Issues Non‐Traditional Security Issues Security Council Permanent Five C ll f R f Calls for Reform
Breton Woods Institutions Breton Woods Institutions International International Monetary Fund
World Bank World Bank
Rise of the Group of 20 Rise of the Group of 20
G‐8 G‐7 G‐6
G‐ G 20
Regional Security Architecture Regional Security Architecture • • • •
U.S. centred alliances ASEAN led cooperative security ASEAN‐led cooperative security Other multilateral institutions Ad hoc arrangements
U.S.‐led Alliances Japan South Korea
ANZUS
USA Taiwan
Thailand
Philippines pp
U S Alliances Northeast Asia U.S. Alliances Northeast Asia • First overseas visit by Secretary Hilliary Clinton
• U.S.‐Japan alliance – cornerstone of U.S. strategy – Defense Policy Review Initiative (transformation and realignment)
• U.S.‐Korea alliance – U.S. Forces Korea transformation – Assumption of war‐time operational control 2012 p p
U.S.‐led U.S. led Alliance System Alliance System • Australia (ANZUS) – Iraq, Afghanistan, intelligence sharing, technology, interoperability
• Non‐NATO Major Allies – Philippines: Operation Enduring Freedom – Thailand
• Singapore: major security partner
ASEAN‐led Cooperative Security ASEAN led Cooperative Security ASEAN
ARF
APT
• ASEAN ASEAN Security S it Community
• ASEAN in driver’s seat
• ASEAN Plus, China, Japan, S hK South Korea
Other Multilateral Institutions Other Multilateral Institutions • Five Power Defence Arrangements ( (FPDA) ) • Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) • East Asian Summit (EAS)
Five Power Defence Arrangements •1971 Obligates Australia, New Zealand and •1971 Obligates Australia New Zealand and United Kingdom to consult Malaysia and Singapore in the event of an armed attack Singapore in the event of an armed attack •From Integrated Air Defence to Integrated Area Defence •annual air and sea exercises •addresses non traditional security threats •addresses non‐traditional security threats
Asia Pacific Cooperation Forum Asia Pacific Cooperation Forum •Trade liberalisation •Non‐state members •‘Economies’ •Leadership meeting •ASEAN as a caucus •Chile, Mexico and Peru •STAR initiative
East Asia Summit (EAS) East Asia Summit (EAS) • • • • • •
ASEAN ASEAN Plus Three: China, Japan, South Korea Australia and New Zealand li d l d India Meets at head of state/government level Concerned with energy security and climate Concerned with energy security and climate change
Ad Hoc Arrangements Ad Hoc Arrangements • Six Party Talks y • Shangri‐La Dialogue • Proliferation Security Initiative P lif ti S it I iti ti
Six Party Talks: Korean Peninsula Six Party Talks: Korean Peninsula
Shangri‐La Shangri La Dialogue Dialogue
Proliferation Security Initiative Proliferation Security Initiative • U.S. U S ‐led led multinational effort (2003) multinational effort (2003) – More than 90 members
• Maritime Maritime interdiction of weapons of mass interdiction of weapons of mass destruction, WMD technology, and means of delivery • Statement of Interdiction Principles • Multilateral shipping pacts to allow boarding g y g y • Legality of PSI challenged by China and Iran
Proposals to Upgrade Regional Proposals to Upgrade Regional Security Architecture • Australia’s Asia Pacific community l ’ f • Japan’s East Asian Community p y • Asia‐Pacific Group of 8
Rudd’s tentative List of APc Members USA China
Japan
South Korea
India
Malaysia
Indonesia
Singapore
Australia
Japan’ss East Asian Community Japan East Asian Community Japan
USA?
China
South Korea
India
Australia
ASEAN
A i P ifi Asia Pacific community
APEC
ARF
APEC
EAS
Economies Hong Kong & Ti Taiwan
ASEAN + 3 ANZ India ANZ India
EU + South America
+ Russia?
APT at core ‐ India?
+ USA? + USA?
Umbrella Group Group G6/8/10? APEC APEC economic issues
EAS EAS security issues
Asian Core from Group of 20 p
• Australia, China India, Indonesia, Japan, South Korea = 6 Korea = 6
USA Japan p
China
Asian Asian Group of 8
India
Russia
South Korea
Australia Indonesi a
Global and Regional Security Architecture Professor Carl Thayer Presentation to Lemhannas Presentation to Lemhannas 2 November 2009