Calendar 050309

  • April 2020
  • PDF

This document was uploaded by user and they confirmed that they have the permission to share it. If you are author or own the copyright of this book, please report to us by using this DMCA report form. Report DMCA


Overview

Download & View Calendar 050309 as PDF for free.

More details

  • Words: 1,497
  • Pages: 3
BKFOREX ADVISOR EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 05/03/2009 - 05/08/2009 Strong Confidence - 1

*May 4: May Day Holiday in U.K.

Medium Confidence - 2 No Strong View - 0

*May 4-6: Golden Week Holiday in Japan

TIER 1 DATA: TRADEABLE, MARKET MOVING Day Date Time (EST) Country

Conf

Event

Period

Bull/Bear? Potential ST Trade

Survey

Previous

0.20% -0.30%

-0.20% -5.30%

Bullish EUR

Long EUR/USD

3.00%

3.00%

No Trade

No Trade

Bearish EUR

Short EUR/USD

Our Views

Monday Monday Monday

5/4/09 5/4/09

2:00 AM 2:00 AM

GE GE

1

Retail Sales (MoM) Retail Sales (YoY)

MAR MAR

Should be stronger given rise in retail PMI

Tuesday Tuesday

5/5/09

12:30 AM

AU

Tuesday

5/5/09

5:00 AM

EC

Tuesday

5/5/09

5:00 AM

EC

Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday

5/5/09 5/5/09 5/5/09

10:00 AM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM

US AU AU

No Trade RBA CASH TARGET

2

Euro-Zone PPI (YoY)

MAR

-2.90%

-1.80%

Euro-Zone PPI (MoM)

MAR

-0.50%

-0.50%

1

ISM Non-Manf. Composite Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) Trade Balance

APR MAR MAR

42 0.50% 1700M

40.8 -2.00% 2109M

APR

46.3

45.5

APR MAR MAR APR APR

-0.10% -2.60% --645K

$422M -0.60% -4.00% 180.70% -742K

Building Permits MoM

MAR

2.50%

-15.90%

Ivey Purchasing Managers Index Unemployment Rate Employment Change (QoQ) Participation Rate (QoQ) Employment Change (YoY) Employment Change Unemployment Rate Full Time Employment Change Part Time Employment Change Participation Rate

APR 1Q 1Q 1Q 1Q APR APR APR APR APR

40.5 5.30% -1.00% 68.80% 1.10% -25.0K 5.90% --65.40%

43.2 4.70% 0.90% 69.20% 0.90% -34.7K 5.70% -38.9 4.2 65.50%

0.50% 1.00%

0.50% 1.25%

8.0B 7.0B -0.90% -1.30% 0.80%

8.7B 5.6B -4.20% -0.70% 1.00%

Will Update

Bullish USD Will Update

Long USD/JPY Will Update

We do not trade rate decisions German and French PPI fell at faster rates but forecasts low Manufacturing ISM improved materially Will update after service PMI (sales

Wednesday Wednesday

5/6/09

4:30 AM

UK

Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday

5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09

4:30 AM 5:00 AM 5:00 AM 7:30 AM 8:15 AM

UK EC EC US US

Wednesday

5/6/09

8:30 AM

CA

Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday

5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09

10:00 AM 6:45 PM 6:45 PM 6:45 PM 6:45 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM

CA NZ NZ NZ NZ AU AU AU AU AU

Thursday Thursday

5/7/09 5/7/09

7:00 AM 7:45 AM

UK EC

Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday

5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09

2:00 AM 2:00 AM 2:00 AM 2:00 AM 4:30 AM

GE GE GE GE UK

1

PMI Services

Official Reserves (Changes) Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) Challenger Job Cuts YoY No Trade ADP Employment Change Will Update

2 1 Will Update

Bullish GBP Will Update No Trade Bearish CAD Bearish NZD

Will Update

Retail sales, consumer confidence and mfg PMI improved Will update after Will Update German retail sales Could be market No Trade moving, but tough to Wholesale sales and Long USD/CAD leading indicators dropped Sharp decline in Manpower index and Short NZD/USD employment component of PMI Will update after service PMI but Will Update employment of manufacturing PMI decreased Long GBP/USD

Thursday BOE ANNOUNCES RATES No Trade ECB Announces Interest Rates

No Trade

No Trade

We do not trade rate decisions

Bullish EUR

Long EUR/USD

New and export orders fell at a slower pace

Friday 2

Will Update

Trade Balance Current Account (EURO) Imports SA (MoM) Exports SA (MoM) PPI Input NSA (MoM)

MAR MAR MAR MAR APR

Will Update

Will Update

Shop prices rise but output and input prices of mfg PMI fell materially - will update

Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday

5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09

4:30 AM 4:30 AM 4:30 AM 4:30 AM 4:30 AM 6:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM

UK UK UK UK UK GE GE CA CA CA US US US US US US

PPI Input NSA (YoY) Will PPI Output n.s.a. (MoM) Update PPI Output n.s.a. (YoY) PPI Output Core NSA (MoM) PPI Output Core NSA (YoY) Will Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) Update Industrial Production MoM (sa) Unemployment Rate Will Net Change in Employment Update Housing Starts Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Unemployment Rate Change in Manufact. Payrolls No Trade Average Hourly Earnings MoM Average Hourly Earnings YoY Average Weekly Hours

TIER 2 DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country

Sunday Sunday Sunday Sunday Sunday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday

5/3/09 5/3/09 5/3/09 5/3/09 5/3/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09

8:30 PM 8:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 3:30 AM 3:50 AM 3:55 AM 4:00 AM 10:00 AM 10:00 AM 7:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 11:00 PM 1:45 AM 4:30 AM 5:00 PM 7:01 PM 3:50 AM 3:55 AM 4:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:30 AM 7:30 PM 6:00 AM 6:00 AM 3:15 AM 3:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 9:30 PM

AU AU AU AU AU SZ FR GE EC US US AU AU AU NZ SZ UK US UK FR GE EC EC UK AU GE GE SZ SZ US US US US AU

Event

APR APR APR APR APR MAR MAR APR APR APR APR APR APR APR APR APR

-3.50% 0.10% 0.70% 0.10% 2.20% -20.90% -1.30% 8.30% -50.0K 140.0K -610K 8.90% -157K 0.20% 3.30% 33.2

-0.40% 0.10% 2.00% 0.20% 3.30% -20.60% -2.90% 8.00% -61.3K 146.5K -663K 8.50% -161K 0.20% 3.40% 33.2

Period

Survey

Previous

TD Securities Inflation MoM% APR -TD Securities Inflation YoY% APR -House Price Index QoQ 1Q 0.00% House Price Index YoY 1Q -3.90% ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) APR -SVME-Purchasing Managers Index APR 34 PMI Manufacturing APR F 40 PMI Manufacturing APR F 35 PMI Manufacturing APR F 36.7 Pending Home Sales MoM MAR 0.00% Construction Spending MoM MAR -1.50% AiG Performance of Service Index APR -Building Approvals (MoM) MAR 2.80% Building Approvals (YoY) MAR -18.90% ANZ Commodity Price APR -SECO Consumer Climate APR -25 PMI Construction APR 31.9 ABC Consumer Confidence 3-May -Nationwide Consumer Confidence APR 43 PMI Services APR F 46.2 PMI Services APR F 43.5 PMI Services APR F 43.1 PMI Composite APR F 40.5 BRC April Shop Price Index 6-May AiG Perf of Construction Index APR -Factory Orders MoM (sa) MAR -1.00% Factory Orders YoY (nsa) MAR -35.80% CPI (MoM) APR 0.60% CPI (YoY) APR -0.60% Nonfarm Productivity 1Q P 0.90% Unit Labor Costs 1Q P 2.80% Initial Jobless Claims 2-May 635K Continuing Claims 25-Apr 6345K Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement

-0.10% 2.60% -0.80% -3.30% -8.50% 32.6 40 35 36.7 2.10% -0.90% 35.6 7.80% -25.50% 1.00% -23 30.9 -45 41 46.2 43.5 43.1 40.5 30.4 -3.50% -38.20% -0.30% -0.40% -0.40% 5.70% 631K 6271K

Will Update

Will Update

Shop prices rise but output and input prices of mfg PMI fell materially - will update after service PMI

Will Update

Will Update

Will update after factory orders

Will Update

Will Update

Will update after IVEY PMI

No Trade

No Trade

We do not trade nonfarm payrolls but likely to be better

Bias

Friday Friday Friday

5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09

1:45 AM 1:45 AM 10:00 AM

SZ SZ US

TIER 3 DATA: NOT TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country

Sunday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Tuesday Tuesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday

5/3/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09

6:45 PM 3:45 AM 4:00 AM 4:00 AM 4:30 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 1:00 PM 11:00 PM 11:00 PM 3:45 AM 7:00 AM 7:50 PM 2:30 AM 2:45 AM 3:00 PM 7:50 PM

NZ IT IT IT EC IT IT IT NZ NZ IT US JN AU FR UK US US JN

Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate (sa) Wholesale Inventories

Event

APR APR MAR

3.50% 3.40% -1.00%

3.40% 3.30% -1.50%

Period

Survey

Previous

Average Hourly Earnings QoQ 1Q 0.60% PMI Manufacturing APR 36.8 PPI (MoM) MAR -0.40% PPI (YoY) MAR -4.30% Sentix Investor Confidence MAY -28 New Car Registrations (YoY) APR -Budget Balance APR -Budget Balance (Year to date) APR -Private Wages Inc Overtime QoQ 1Q 0.60% Private Wages Exc Overtime QoQ 1Q 0.60% PMI Services APR 40.8 MBA Mortgage Applications 1-May -Monetary Base (YoY) APR -Foreign Reserves APR -Trade Balance (Euros) MAR -3.8B New Car Registrations (YoY) APR -ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY APR -Consumer Credit MAR -$4.5B BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes for April 6-7 Meeting

0.80% 34.6 -0.60% -3.30% -35.3 0.20% -14.5B -29.7B 0.70% 0.70% 39.1 -18.10% 6.90% 47.3B -4.1B -30.50% -2.10% -$7.5B

Related Documents

Calendar 050309
April 2020 3
050309
April 2020 4
050309
April 2020 11
Calendar
May 2020 5