BKFOREX ADVISOR EVENT RISK TRADING CALENDAR 05/03/2009 - 05/08/2009 Strong Confidence - 1
*May 4: May Day Holiday in U.K.
Medium Confidence - 2 No Strong View - 0
*May 4-6: Golden Week Holiday in Japan
TIER 1 DATA: TRADEABLE, MARKET MOVING Day Date Time (EST) Country
Conf
Event
Period
Bull/Bear? Potential ST Trade
Survey
Previous
0.20% -0.30%
-0.20% -5.30%
Bullish EUR
Long EUR/USD
3.00%
3.00%
No Trade
No Trade
Bearish EUR
Short EUR/USD
Our Views
Monday Monday Monday
5/4/09 5/4/09
2:00 AM 2:00 AM
GE GE
1
Retail Sales (MoM) Retail Sales (YoY)
MAR MAR
Should be stronger given rise in retail PMI
Tuesday Tuesday
5/5/09
12:30 AM
AU
Tuesday
5/5/09
5:00 AM
EC
Tuesday
5/5/09
5:00 AM
EC
Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday
5/5/09 5/5/09 5/5/09
10:00 AM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM
US AU AU
No Trade RBA CASH TARGET
2
Euro-Zone PPI (YoY)
MAR
-2.90%
-1.80%
Euro-Zone PPI (MoM)
MAR
-0.50%
-0.50%
1
ISM Non-Manf. Composite Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) Trade Balance
APR MAR MAR
42 0.50% 1700M
40.8 -2.00% 2109M
APR
46.3
45.5
APR MAR MAR APR APR
-0.10% -2.60% --645K
$422M -0.60% -4.00% 180.70% -742K
Building Permits MoM
MAR
2.50%
-15.90%
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index Unemployment Rate Employment Change (QoQ) Participation Rate (QoQ) Employment Change (YoY) Employment Change Unemployment Rate Full Time Employment Change Part Time Employment Change Participation Rate
APR 1Q 1Q 1Q 1Q APR APR APR APR APR
40.5 5.30% -1.00% 68.80% 1.10% -25.0K 5.90% --65.40%
43.2 4.70% 0.90% 69.20% 0.90% -34.7K 5.70% -38.9 4.2 65.50%
0.50% 1.00%
0.50% 1.25%
8.0B 7.0B -0.90% -1.30% 0.80%
8.7B 5.6B -4.20% -0.70% 1.00%
Will Update
Bullish USD Will Update
Long USD/JPY Will Update
We do not trade rate decisions German and French PPI fell at faster rates but forecasts low Manufacturing ISM improved materially Will update after service PMI (sales
Wednesday Wednesday
5/6/09
4:30 AM
UK
Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday
5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09
4:30 AM 5:00 AM 5:00 AM 7:30 AM 8:15 AM
UK EC EC US US
Wednesday
5/6/09
8:30 AM
CA
Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday
5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09
10:00 AM 6:45 PM 6:45 PM 6:45 PM 6:45 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM
CA NZ NZ NZ NZ AU AU AU AU AU
Thursday Thursday
5/7/09 5/7/09
7:00 AM 7:45 AM
UK EC
Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday
5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09
2:00 AM 2:00 AM 2:00 AM 2:00 AM 4:30 AM
GE GE GE GE UK
1
PMI Services
Official Reserves (Changes) Euro-Zone Retail Sales (MoM) Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) Challenger Job Cuts YoY No Trade ADP Employment Change Will Update
2 1 Will Update
Bullish GBP Will Update No Trade Bearish CAD Bearish NZD
Will Update
Retail sales, consumer confidence and mfg PMI improved Will update after Will Update German retail sales Could be market No Trade moving, but tough to Wholesale sales and Long USD/CAD leading indicators dropped Sharp decline in Manpower index and Short NZD/USD employment component of PMI Will update after service PMI but Will Update employment of manufacturing PMI decreased Long GBP/USD
Thursday BOE ANNOUNCES RATES No Trade ECB Announces Interest Rates
No Trade
No Trade
We do not trade rate decisions
Bullish EUR
Long EUR/USD
New and export orders fell at a slower pace
Friday 2
Will Update
Trade Balance Current Account (EURO) Imports SA (MoM) Exports SA (MoM) PPI Input NSA (MoM)
MAR MAR MAR MAR APR
Will Update
Will Update
Shop prices rise but output and input prices of mfg PMI fell materially - will update
Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday Friday
5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09
4:30 AM 4:30 AM 4:30 AM 4:30 AM 4:30 AM 6:00 AM 6:00 AM 7:00 AM 7:00 AM 8:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM
UK UK UK UK UK GE GE CA CA CA US US US US US US
PPI Input NSA (YoY) Will PPI Output n.s.a. (MoM) Update PPI Output n.s.a. (YoY) PPI Output Core NSA (MoM) PPI Output Core NSA (YoY) Will Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) Update Industrial Production MoM (sa) Unemployment Rate Will Net Change in Employment Update Housing Starts Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Unemployment Rate Change in Manufact. Payrolls No Trade Average Hourly Earnings MoM Average Hourly Earnings YoY Average Weekly Hours
TIER 2 DATA: POTENTIALLY MARKET MOVING, COULD BE TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country
Sunday Sunday Sunday Sunday Sunday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday Tuesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday
5/3/09 5/3/09 5/3/09 5/3/09 5/3/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09
8:30 PM 8:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 3:30 AM 3:50 AM 3:55 AM 4:00 AM 10:00 AM 10:00 AM 7:30 PM 9:30 PM 9:30 PM 11:00 PM 1:45 AM 4:30 AM 5:00 PM 7:01 PM 3:50 AM 3:55 AM 4:00 AM 4:00 AM 5:30 AM 7:30 PM 6:00 AM 6:00 AM 3:15 AM 3:15 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 8:30 AM 9:30 PM
AU AU AU AU AU SZ FR GE EC US US AU AU AU NZ SZ UK US UK FR GE EC EC UK AU GE GE SZ SZ US US US US AU
Event
APR APR APR APR APR MAR MAR APR APR APR APR APR APR APR APR APR
-3.50% 0.10% 0.70% 0.10% 2.20% -20.90% -1.30% 8.30% -50.0K 140.0K -610K 8.90% -157K 0.20% 3.30% 33.2
-0.40% 0.10% 2.00% 0.20% 3.30% -20.60% -2.90% 8.00% -61.3K 146.5K -663K 8.50% -161K 0.20% 3.40% 33.2
Period
Survey
Previous
TD Securities Inflation MoM% APR -TD Securities Inflation YoY% APR -House Price Index QoQ 1Q 0.00% House Price Index YoY 1Q -3.90% ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) APR -SVME-Purchasing Managers Index APR 34 PMI Manufacturing APR F 40 PMI Manufacturing APR F 35 PMI Manufacturing APR F 36.7 Pending Home Sales MoM MAR 0.00% Construction Spending MoM MAR -1.50% AiG Performance of Service Index APR -Building Approvals (MoM) MAR 2.80% Building Approvals (YoY) MAR -18.90% ANZ Commodity Price APR -SECO Consumer Climate APR -25 PMI Construction APR 31.9 ABC Consumer Confidence 3-May -Nationwide Consumer Confidence APR 43 PMI Services APR F 46.2 PMI Services APR F 43.5 PMI Services APR F 43.1 PMI Composite APR F 40.5 BRC April Shop Price Index 6-May AiG Perf of Construction Index APR -Factory Orders MoM (sa) MAR -1.00% Factory Orders YoY (nsa) MAR -35.80% CPI (MoM) APR 0.60% CPI (YoY) APR -0.60% Nonfarm Productivity 1Q P 0.90% Unit Labor Costs 1Q P 2.80% Initial Jobless Claims 2-May 635K Continuing Claims 25-Apr 6345K Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement
-0.10% 2.60% -0.80% -3.30% -8.50% 32.6 40 35 36.7 2.10% -0.90% 35.6 7.80% -25.50% 1.00% -23 30.9 -45 41 46.2 43.5 43.1 40.5 30.4 -3.50% -38.20% -0.30% -0.40% -0.40% 5.70% 631K 6271K
Will Update
Will Update
Shop prices rise but output and input prices of mfg PMI fell materially - will update after service PMI
Will Update
Will Update
Will update after factory orders
Will Update
Will Update
Will update after IVEY PMI
No Trade
No Trade
We do not trade nonfarm payrolls but likely to be better
Bias
Friday Friday Friday
5/8/09 5/8/09 5/8/09
1:45 AM 1:45 AM 10:00 AM
SZ SZ US
TIER 3 DATA: NOT TRADEABLE Day Date Time (EST) Country
Sunday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Monday Tuesday Tuesday Wednesday Wednesday Wednesday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday Thursday
5/3/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/4/09 5/5/09 5/5/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/6/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09 5/7/09
6:45 PM 3:45 AM 4:00 AM 4:00 AM 4:30 AM 12:00 PM 1:00 PM 1:00 PM 11:00 PM 11:00 PM 3:45 AM 7:00 AM 7:50 PM 2:30 AM 2:45 AM 3:00 PM 7:50 PM
NZ IT IT IT EC IT IT IT NZ NZ IT US JN AU FR UK US US JN
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate (sa) Wholesale Inventories
Event
APR APR MAR
3.50% 3.40% -1.00%
3.40% 3.30% -1.50%
Period
Survey
Previous
Average Hourly Earnings QoQ 1Q 0.60% PMI Manufacturing APR 36.8 PPI (MoM) MAR -0.40% PPI (YoY) MAR -4.30% Sentix Investor Confidence MAY -28 New Car Registrations (YoY) APR -Budget Balance APR -Budget Balance (Year to date) APR -Private Wages Inc Overtime QoQ 1Q 0.60% Private Wages Exc Overtime QoQ 1Q 0.60% PMI Services APR 40.8 MBA Mortgage Applications 1-May -Monetary Base (YoY) APR -Foreign Reserves APR -Trade Balance (Euros) MAR -3.8B New Car Registrations (YoY) APR -ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY APR -Consumer Credit MAR -$4.5B BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes for April 6-7 Meeting
0.80% 34.6 -0.60% -3.30% -35.3 0.20% -14.5B -29.7B 0.70% 0.70% 39.1 -18.10% 6.90% 47.3B -4.1B -30.50% -2.10% -$7.5B