Research on the Visibility of the Moon of Safar, 1430 Hijrah. Monday 26 January 2009. *Pakistan: 28 Muharram. * Saudi Arabia: (No announcement made about visibility). * According to Ummul-Qura: 29 Muharram.
The birth of the Safar 1430 crescent will take place on Monday 26 January 2009 at 07:55 UT/GMT. In Pakistan, the time will be 12:55 and in Saudi Arabia, it will be 10:55. In Eastern Australia, Philippines, Eastern China, Mongolia and in all the areas lying farther north or east to these countries, the birth of the crescent will take place after sunset or the moon will set before the sun. In the rest of the inhabited world the crescent will be present in the horizon after sunset, but its conditions will be extremely defective. In the westernmost areas of Pakistan (Jivani e.g.) the age of the crescent will merely be 5 hours 38 minutes at the time of sunset. In the western-most areas of Saudi Arabia (Makkah Mukarramah e.g.) the age of the crescent will only be 07 hours 12 minutes. In the Far West, (in San Diego, e.g.) at the time of sunset Lag will be 36 minutes but in spite of that the age of the crescent will be 17 hours 21 minutes; Altitude 6.1 degrees, Elongation 7.2 degrees and Phase 0.42% only. In South America the conditions of the crescent will be extremely defective also. In Punta Arenas, for example, Lag will merely be 7 minutes. Thus in view of the extremely defective conditions of the crescent, the Astronomy Department of Jamia’-tur-Rasheed, in consonance with more than eighteen ancient and modern criteria of sighting the moon, predicts that there is no possibility at all of sighting the crescent not only in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan and Saudi Arabia but in the entire inhabited world, with the naked eye or with the help of an ordinary telescope. Tuesday 27 January 2009. (*Pakistan: 29 Muharram. *Saudi Arabia: according to ruet ????? * According to Ummul-Qura: 1st Safar 1429 A.H.) According to all the available criteria there is no possibility of sighting the crescent with the naked eye in farthest south-eastern areas of Australia, in New Zealand and the southern-most tip of the South American continent. Although the crescent’s declination is southern on 27 January but as it is temperate and furthermore as the declination of the sun is even more towards the south than the moon, and as there is an excellent symmetry between the numerous factors affecting the visibility, (for example, the age of the crescent, Lag, Relative Azimuth and Elongation etc.) there is a clear possibility of sighting the crescent, according to one criteria or another, in all the inhabited world lying between 60 degrees North and South Latitude, except in the areas mentioned above.
According to all the ancient and modern criteria, including Bernard Yallop (Britain), Khalid Shaukat (U.S.A), Shaukat Odeh (Jordan) and Dr. Omar Afzal, the Chairman of CFCO [an American committee of Astronomy established since 1978, among whose members are Dr. Syed Kamal Abdali, Dr. Monzur Ahmed, Dr. Rauf Imam, Charles Evans (Abu Bakr) etc.],
there is a clear possibility of sighting the crescent in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan, Saudi Arabia, England and North America etc. on Tuesday 27 January 2009. Conditions of the crescent in Karachi on Tuesday 27 January 2009: According to Dr. Monzur Ahmad’s software, Mooncalculator6.0, the conditions of the crescent in Karachi on Tuesday 27 January 2009 at the time of sunset, i.e. at 18:13 (UT+5), will be as follows: Altitude = 11.9 degrees Relative Azimuth = -1.5 degrees Elongation = 12.7 degrees Age = 29 hours 18 minutes Lag. = I hour Phase =1.4 % In the light of the details mentioned above it is evident that according to all the criteria, there is an extremely clear possibility of sighting the crescent with the naked eye in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Iran, Afghanistan and Saudi Arabia on Tuesday 27 January 2009. Thus 1st Safar 1430 will fall on Wednesday 28 January 2009 in these countries, InshaAllah. Note: Every month, an up-dated report on the possibility of sighting the moon of the new Islamic month can be downloaded in three languages …… English, Urdu and Arabic, from the following website along with important maps and pictures: http://www.esnips.com/web/MoonnewsofJamiaturrasheed/ Muhammad Sultan Alam, Head of Research Committee Astronomy Department, Jamia‐tur‐Rasheed Ahsanabad, Karachi.
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