Solar Energy:- Market Development Shirish Garud
6 Jun 2008
IIT Delhi, Training course
Outline •Review •R & D
•A brief analysis of markets •Solar PV •Solar thermal
•Suggestions 6 Jun 2008
IIT Delhi Training course
Renewable Energy Electricity Status India All India Installed Capacity (As on 31st Nuclear March 2007) RES 3% 6%
Installed capacity as on 31st March 2007 (MW)
Status of various RE Technologies (as on 31st March 2007) Biomass pow er / cogeneration 11%
Hydro 26% Coal 54% Diesel 1%
Source: CEA, GoI
Wind 70%
Source: Small hydro MNRE, GoI Biomass pow er / cogeneration Waste-to-Energy Wind
7000 INstalled capacity (MW)
6000
Solar
5000 4000 3000 2000 1000
20 06
20 05
03 20 04
20
20 02
20 01
99 20 00
98
19
19
19 97
19 96
6 Jun 2008 Source: TERI Compilation
19 95
19 94
19 93
19 92
19 91
0 19 90
Solar 0%
Small hydro 19%
Gas 10% Trend in RE Capacity over years
8000
Waste-toEnergy 0%
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Year
Global
Share in RE
Renewable Power Capacities, Developing World, EU, and Top Six Countries, 2006
Only 5% of world share
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Policy
Reforms
in India
1970s R&D programs initiated
1980s
Focus on developing RE technologies and products
Fiscal & financial incentives introduced (subsidy, tax incentives, etc)
Demonstratio n projects
1990s
Increased role of Public Sector Undertakings
More emphasis on fiscal incentives
2000 Onwards EA 2003, NEP 2005, NTP 2006
Quota/Obligat ion system introduced
Increased Private Sector Participation
Infrastructure development
Preferential tariffs for RE
Integrated Energy Policy 2006
Generation based incentive for Solar PV/ Thermal
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Product development cycle Research and Development
Demonstration
Commercialization
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R & D: Points to ponder about •
First mover advantage lost? •
IBP developed first vacuum tube collectors in 1986
•
Under the then MNES sponsored project
•
Solar box cooker
•
Lantern
2. R & D outside MNRE program Selective coating developed by NAL 3. Suggestions 1. Identify niche areas 2. Need to have programmatic approach 3. Long term r & D goals 6 Jun 2008
IIT Delhi Training course
R & D funding in Europe for SPV
6 Jun 2008
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Solar photovoltaics
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Growth in Solar PV
2500
100 78.39
80
2000
60
1500
40
1000 500
3.84
0
20 0
Cost per watt (2007US$)
3000
19 76 19 79 19 82 19 85 19 88 19 91 19 94 19 97 20 00 20 03 20 06
Annual Production (MW)
Global scenario
Cost per watt (2007 US$)
Annual production (MW)
Source : Compiled by Earth Policy Institute along with Worldwatch Institute
6 Jun 2008
IIT Delhi Training course
10
Solar PV technologies Technologi es
Extent of Commerciali zation
Market Share
Stabilized Efficiency
Cost of module
Long term stability (modules warranty)
Remarks
C-Si (mono & multi)
Fully commercialize d
Approx. 90% for last few years
13-18% at commercial Scale
160-180 Rs/ W
20-25 years
Better Power per unit area
Thin Film (a Si)
Not as commercialize d as C-Si
Approx. 10% for last few years
6-9%
130 –150 Rs /W
10 years
Relatively less power per unit area
New Emerging (Organic)
At R&D or Pilot study stage
4-6%
Not Available
Yet to be established
Using relatively cost effective material.
6 Jun 2008
Crystalline silicon technology is recommended IIT Delhi Training course
SPV development
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Technology development
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Indian Solar PV market
Subsidized
Non-Subsidized
PV products Solar cells
Solar modules
Individual owners Corporate/ Government
System integrators, exports
Community ownership
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Solar PV Products in Indian market
• Large variety of products designed to
meet various needs. Few examples are given below (Typical capacities are indicated in the bracket)
– – – –
Solar home systems (37 to 74 Wp) Solar pumps (1 to 2 kWp) Solar street lights (36 to 74 Wp) Solar power plants individual households ( 1-5 kWp) – Solar lanterns (2 to 15 Wp) – Solar power plants for villages (1 kWp to 110 6 Jun 2008 IIT Delhi Training course
Category wise use Others of PV Module in India Telecom
12%
7% Power Plant Pump
Exports
3%
66%
3% Street Light 2% Home Light 5% Lantern 2%
335 MW aggregate capacity; 14,00,000 SPV Systems Source : Ministry of New and renewable Energy, GoI, 2007 (as on 31 Mar 2007) 6 Jun 2008
IIT Delhi Training course
16
Market drivers and barriers
• Drivers
– Demand for electricity to meet essential requirements like lighting, entertainment, water pumping, communication etc – Subsidy schemes – Low interest loans – Micro-credit schemes
• Barriers – – – – –
High costs Lack of marketing efforts Lack of supply and service network Lack of Customized products Subsidy schemes
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Market characteristics
• Individual users – –
Mostly from rural and semi urban areas Need for electricity is main driver of this market – Major products include- solar home systems, solar lanterns, solar water pumps – Markets for non-subsidized products is increasing in last five years 6 Jun 2008
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Market characteristics
• Corporate / governments –
internet kiosks in rural areas • E-choupal – internet based information service developed for farmers
– Solar systems for niche applications
• Community owned systems – Solar systems such as power plants, pumps to meet the energy demand of remote communities • Mostly subsidy driven market • In recent years low interest loans assisted / replaced 6 Jun 2008
the subsidy mechanism IIT Delhi Training course
Some observations
• Share of home lighting systems in
increasing in recent years • Solar lanterns are also becoming popular due their low costs and portability • Multi-use products such as home lighting systems with connection for fan or transistor/ TV are preferred 6 Jun 2008
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UNEP solar loan program achievement (up to March 2005) Bank Karnataka Canara Syndicate Grameens
200304
200405
Grand total
1,918
1,690
3,608
2,213
2,397
4,610
616
2,380
2,996
217 3 216
217 3 216
6,903
11,650
Kerala Canara Syndicate Grameens Grand Total
•
4,747
Source: Source: ‘UNEP Indian Solar Home Programme Overviewand Performance Report, UNEP, March 2005accesed through http://www.uneptie.org/energy/act/fin/india/docs/IndSolLoanReview.pdf
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Photos- SVAM Electronics Ltd, Pune
Thrust areas for Future
• • • •
MW scale SPV systems Green power generation system Buildings utilizing solar PV systems Make domestic SPV market competitive through market development • Solar ingots manufacturing • Thin film materials / technology development 6 Jun 2008
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Niche markets • Applications – Railways
• Signaling systems,
– Telecom
• SPV Power supply for – rural transmitters, – repeater stations, – cellular network
– Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) in schools – Internet kiosks
• Echoupal
– Small applications such as battery chargers, torches, mobile chargers
• India has close to 100million cell phone users
– Advertising hoardings
• Annual market of 100 MW easily possible 6 Jun 2008
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Summery • Solar PV has tremendous market potential provided – –
Customized products are designed Cost barrier is tackled successfully especially for small grid connetced PV power plant – Suitable financing schemes are offered
• Large market potential for smaller affordable systems
– Niche’ markets
• Bringing down capital costs is key to tap the •
market In spite of high costs solar PV markets are increasing and sustainable growth is expected
6 Jun 2008
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Solar thermal systems
6 Jun 2008
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Solar energy collectors 40–60oC UNGLAZED COLLECTORS 60–90oC SOLAR POND
NON-FOCUSSING For low temperature applications
SOLAR COLLECTORS
60–80oC FLAT PLATE (FPC) 50–200oC EVACUATED (ETC) 100–500oC
For high and medium temperature applications
SINGLE AXIS TRACKING
100–150oC COMPOUND PARABOLIC CONCENTRATOR 100–250oC LINEAR FRESNEL TYPE 100–500oC PARABOLOIC TROUGH
FOCUSSING (CONCENTRATING)
300–1000oC 300–2000oC
PARABOLIC DISH REFLECTOR
TWO-AXIS TRACKING
500–2000oC HELIOSTAT FIELD COLLECTOR
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Solar thermal systems
Potential – 140million sq. meter of area Achievement- 2million sq. m area 6 Jun 2008
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Industrial hot water systems •Working since: 1997. •GHG emissions saved: 700 t CO2 per annum
One of the World’s largest industrial solar water heating system
Capacity: 1,20,000 lit /day Application: Boiler feed water pre-heating Installed at: M/s GFCL ltd, Kakinada 6 Jun 2008
Area: 60m × 80m (1309 collectors) IIT Delhi Training course
•Energy savings 22GJ per day •Payback period:5 years
Solar water heating for hotel industry
Hotel Fishermans’ cove, (Taj Group), Chennai
Capacity: 20000 lit /day 6 Jun 2008
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Solar pond
6000m2 Solar pond at Bhuj dairy, Bhuj, Gujarat Designed and installed by TERI
6 Jun 2008
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Solar steam systems
Solar steam cooking system in Leh A view of solar steam cooking system installed at Tirupathi, Andhra Pradesh The system has been designed to generate over 4000 kg. of steam/day at 180 0C and 10 kg/cm2 which is sufficient to cook two meals for around 15,000 persons.
6 Jun 2008
IITwww.gadhia-solar.com/ Delhi Training course Source:
India Innovates ARUN160: Fresnel Paraboloid concentrator with cavity receiver with 2axes tracking having 160 m2 aperture area installed under IIT-Bombay -Clique R & D Project sponsored by MNRE for milk pasteurization at Mahanand Dairy, Latur, Maharashtra, INDIA
Source- M/s Clique Technologies, Mumbai 6 Jun 2008
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Solar drying applications • Men-Tsee-Khang, (A • • •
pharmaceutical company) based in Dharamsala Application - Drying of herbs 100Kg/day Moisture need to be reduced to 4% Operation hours – 1000 to 1530 hrs during winter – 0930 to 1600 hrs during summer
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Barriers
• Site constraints – – –
Shadow free area for installation Factory layout System integration with existing system • Awareness and willingness to invest • System designers and manufacturers – Limited technical capacity – Lack of instrumentation and controls 6 Jun 2008
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Solar water heating systems
• Areas for improvements – Controls and integration with existsing systems – Constant temperature supply – Hard water problem
• System integration in multi storey buildings
– Efficient system integration – Reliability of hot water supply
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Future market development
• Need to provide push for large scale
systems • Performance simulation and savings • Cooling systems • Can India be manufacturing hub for solar power plants? • Can we exploit hydropower and silica deposits to have our own silicon ingots? 6 Jun 2008
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Some thoughts
• R & D activites – Solar energy centre • Autonomous centre with independent budget? • Long term R & D plan? • Consortia projects • Infrastructure • Large scale demonstration projects
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Other technologies
• Air heating systems/collectors • Solar cooling – Air conditioning – Refrigeration
• Drying systems
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Suggestions • Programmatic r & D , D and commercialization plans • Encourage industries for R & D • Urgent need to focus on technology and market • • • • • • •
development rather than subsidy programs Special funds and fast track mechanism for demonstration projects Joint R & D programs Solar vehicles competition for engineering students Sponsored projects on designing / sizing solar systems Promote India’s success on world wide scale Long term program and road map to meet national energy needs through RE including solar Training and capacity building of industries
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Thank you for your attention!
Contact details:
[email protected] Cell - 09811602069
6 Jun 2008
IIT Delhi Training course