Predict The Election

% ODDS

POINTS

PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION 1. Winner McCain Obama

15% 85%

6.7 1.2

2. Voter turnout Greater than 65% 65% or lower

20% 80%

5.0 1.3

3. Obama's electoral votes (out of 538) 380 or more 379 or fewer

25% 75%

4.0 1.3

4. McCain's electoral votes (out of 538) 300 or more 299 or fewer

10% 90%

10.0 1.1

5. Bob Barr's popular vote 1 precent or more Less than 1 percent

25% 75%

4.0 1.3

SWING STATES 6. Florida McCain wins Obama wins

37% 73%

2.7 1.4

7. Georgia McCain wins Obama wins

75% 25%

1.3 4.0

8. Indiana McCain wins Obama wins

59% 41%

1.7 2.4

9. North Carolina McCain wins Obama wins

48% 52%

2.1 1.9

10. Ohio McCain wins Obama wins

20% 80%

5.0 1.3

11. Pennsylvania McCain wins Obama wins

14% 86%

7.1 1.2

12. Virginia McCain wins Obama wins

18% 82%

5.6 1.2

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES 13. Democrat-Republican breakdown (out of 435 seats) D: 260 or fewer; R: 175 or more D: 261-270; R: 165-174 D: 271 or more; R: 164 or fewer

38% 40% 22%

2.6 2.5 4.5

SENATE RACES 14. Georgia Martin, (D) Chambliss*, (R)

32% 68%

3.1 1.5

15. Kentucky Lunsford, (D) McConnell*, (R)

29% 71%

3.4 1.4

16. Minnesota Franken, (D) Coleman*, (R)

51% 49%

2.0 2.0

17. Mississippi (special election) Musgrove, (D) Wicker*, (R)

26% 74%

3.8 1.4

18. New Hampshire Shaheen, (D) Sununu*, (R)

83% 17%

1.2 5.9

19. North Carolna Hagan (D) Dole*, (R)

70% 30%

1.4 3.3

20. Oregon Merkley, (D) Smith*, (R)

73% 27%

1.4 3.7

* denotes incumbent