10X45 BARGAIN HUNTER
Presented by the Research Team of
“Confronted with the challenge to distill the secret of sound investment into three words, we venture the motto: Margin of Safety.” —Ben Graham
Presented by the
September 19, 2009
Top Three Screen Results, by Category
Manual of Ideas Research Team
Company
Ticker
Price
Market Value
Enterprise Value
Dear Fellow Idea Seekers,
"Magic Formula," based on Trailing Financials 1 KHD Humboldt Wedag KHD $12.15
$368mn
$18mn
Trailing EBIT / EV 101%
We are pleased to bring you this latest issue of 10x45 Bargain Hunter, our bi-weekly stock screening report. This report is based on market prices as of September 18th.
2
ePlus
PLUS
$15.23
$125mn
$97mn
25%
3
GT Solar
SOLR
$5.86
$840mn
$679mn
22%
"Magic Formula," based on This Year's EPS Estimates 1 EarthLink ELNK $8.69
$923mn
$548mn
EPS Yield FY0 12%
Sincerely, Your Manual of Ideas Team
2
Pre-Paid Legal
PPD
$50.53
$554mn
$563mn
13%
3
Endo Pharma
ENDP
$22.49
$2,635mn
$2,550mn
12%
"Magic Formula," based on Next Year's EPS Estimates 1 PRG-Schultz PRGX $5.35
$124mn
$112mn
EPS Yield FY1 13%
2
GigaMedia
GIGM
$5.38
$293mn
$211mn
12%
3
MIPS Technologies
MIPS
$3.72
$168mn
$136mn
12%
$486mn
n/m
Insider Buys $5,255mn $2,513mn
Special Offer Get 10x45 Bargain Hunter FREE with your subscription to the acclaimed monthly newsletter, Downside Protection Report.
Contrarian: Shunned by the market, but not by insiders 1 GHL Acquisition GHQ $10.01
Contrarian: Biggest Losers (deleveraged & profitable) 1 Cardionet BEAT $7.52
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About This Publication
2
Ideation Acquisition
3
CoBiz Financial
IDI
$7.83
$98mn
n/m
COBZ
$4.50
$163mn
n/m
$1,085mn
$179mn
$134mn
∆ Price YTD -69%
2
Rostelecom
ROS
$29.20
$3,547mn
$3,058mn
-47%
3
Celera
CRA
$6.18
$506mn
$186mn
-44%
$235mn
$100mn
∆ Shares Q-Q -11%
MKTAY
$33.18
$4,571mn
$3,856mn
-7%
BMA
$22.94
$1,396mn
n/m
-7%
Profitable Dividend Payors with Decent Balance Sheets 1 Am. Capital Agency AGNC $28.46
$427mn
$368mn
Div. Yield 21%
Value with Catalyst: Cheap Repurchasers of Stock 1 QLT QLTI $4.30 2
Makita
3
Banco Macro
2
TICC Capital
TICC
$5.12
$137mn
n/m
12%
10x45 Bargain Hunter is a bi-weekly screening service for investors looking to uncover hidden value in the stock market. Bargain Hunter is brought to you by the acclaimed Manual of Ideas research team.
3
Pioneer Southwest
PSE
$20.01
$601mn
$537mn
10%
Deep Value: Lots of Revenue, Low Enterprise Value 1 Ingram Micro IM $17.17
$2,799mn
$1,818mn
EV/Revenue .06x
2
Tech Data
TECD
$42.34
$2,129mn
$1,439mn
.07x
3
Winn-Dixie Stores
WINN
$14.49
$793mn
$645mn
.09x
Inspired by the Zeiss 10x45 Victory Rangefinding Binocular ("essential equipment for long range hunting and a reliable shot"), the 10x45 Bargain Hunter is designed as an essential tool for every value investor’s arsenal. Whether you run your own screens or not, we hope you'll find 10x45 Bargain Hunter a valuable ally as you seek out undervalued companies trading in U.S. markets.
Deep Value: Neglected Gross Profiteers 1 WellCare Health WCG
$26.61
$1,123mn
$183mn
EV/GP .18x
2
Kindred Healthcare
KND
$16.84
$657mn
$736mn
.19x
3
Molina Healthcare
MOH
$21.10
$539mn
$97mn
.19x
Activist Targets: Potential Sales, Liquidations or Recaps 1 Insmed INSM $0.86 $111mn 2
Imation
3
Ascent Media
-$11mn
NCAV / MV 107%
IMN
$9.27
$353mn
$264mn
104%
ASCMA
$25.50
$359mn
$50mn
94%
10X45 BARGAIN HUNTER is published bi-weekly by BeyondProxy LLC, P.O. Box 1375, New York, NY 10150. Website: www.manualofideas.com. Email:
[email protected]. Please email or call if you have any subscription questions. Managing Editor: John Mihaljevic. Subscription $99 per year. © Copyright 2009 by BeyondProxy LLC. All rights reserved. Photocopying, reproduction, quotation, or redistribution of any kind is strictly prohibited without written permission from the publisher. This newsletter bases screening results on techniques and sources believed to be reliable in the past and cannot guarantee future accuracy and results. The stocks listed in this newsletter should not be construed as investment recommendations. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees and/or principals (collectively “Related Persons”) may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments listed or discussed in this newsletter. John Mihaljevic, Chairman of BeyondProxy, is also a principal of Mihaljevic Capital Management LLC (“MCM”), which serves as the general partner of a private investment partnership. MCM may purchase or sell securities and financial instruments discussed in this newsletter at any time on behalf of the investment partnership or other accounts it manages. Use of this newsletter and its content is governed by the Terms of Use described in detail at www.manualofideas.com/terms.html. Pictured in the top left corner is the Zeiss 10x45 Victory Binocular with built-in laser rangefinder.
"Magic Formula," based on Trailing Financials
Click on company name, ticker or stock price for more information!
Companies with high returns on capital employed, trading at high trailing EBIT-to-enterprise value yield
Move To Price
52-Week
MV
EV
EV/
▼ Trailing
▼ EBIT/
EBIT/
Capital
Tax
Tangible
%
Buys/
Price/
Insiders
Company
Ticker
($)
Low
High
($mn)
($mn)
Sales
EV
Employed
Rate
Book
Own.
Sells
1 2 3 4 5
KHD Humboldt Wedag ePlus GT Solar PRG-Schultz PDL BioPharma
KHD PLUS SOLR PRGX PDLI
12.15 15.23 5.86 5.35 8.42
-47% -48% -85% -54% -38%
93% 11% 177% 113% 11%
368 125 840 124 1,006
18 97 679 112 1,269
.0x .1x 1.2x .6x 3.9x
101% 25% 22% 22% 23%
infinite infinite infinite 6971% 768%
n/m 42% 38% 17% 22%
1.4x .8x >9.9x >9.9x n/m
22% 44% 78% 20% 1%
-/- / 25 - / 12 3/2/-
6 7 8 9 10
Cass Information EarthLink Centene Chicago Bridge Argan
CASS ELNK CNC CBI AGX
30.66 8.69 19.11 17.98 12.80
-24% -36% -22% -74% -35%
28% 1% 29% 44% 25%
283 923 867 1,755 174
204 548 712 1,799 125
4.7x .7x .2x .3x .6x
19% 27% 18% 17% 16%
infinite 417% infinite infinite infinite
27% n/m 38% 45% 39%
2.6x 2.2x 2.8x n/m 2.7x
7% 9% 2% 2% 29%
-/6 - / 12 -/-/2 / 42
11 12 13 14 15
Maxygen GigaMedia MIPS Technologies USA Mobility Primoris Services
MAXY GIGM MIPS USMO PRIM
6.68 5.38 3.72 12.20 7.08
-56% -51% -73% -35% -55%
42% 67% 10% 16% 14%
256 293 168 276 230
54 211 136 196 188
.5x 1.1x 1.9x .6x .3x
116% 15% 15% 32% 20%
162% infinite infinite 151% 195%
n/m 3% 41% n/m 29%
1.3x 2.5x 6.5x 1.8x 3.5x
21% 21% 1% 1% 66%
-/1 -/4 -/1 - / 12 9/-
16 17 18 19 20
Pre-Paid Legal Virgin Mobile USA H&R Block Gentiva Health * Accenture
PPD VM HRB GTIV ACN
50.53 5.11 17.58 26.54 35.84
-48% -88% -22% -51% -31%
4% 4% 59% 13% 20%
554 344 5,895 773 25,582
563 574 6,027 906 21,571
1.2x .4x 1.5x .7x .9x
18% 14% 14% 24% 14%
227% infinite infinite 156% infinite
38% 4% 39% 17% 29%
>9.9x n/m n/m n/m >9.9x
33% 4% 4% 10% 2%
-/-/3 1/- / 11 -/-
21 22 23 24 25
EMCOR Group Terra Nitrogen * Lihua International KBR Georgia Power
EME TNH LIWA KBR GPW
26.04 109.00 6.92 23.07 25.06
-57% -40% -34% -58% -28%
15% 34% 8% 7% 2%
1,716 2,037 165 3,701 232
1,391 1,958 154 2,624 8,564
.2x 2.5x 1.3x .2x 1.1x
23% 16% 18% 22% 18%
158% 283% 205% 158% 198%
39% n/m 15% 38% 35%
6.6x >9.9x 3.8x 2.6x .0x
2% 73% 90% 1% 2%
1/3 -/-/-/3 -/-
26 27 28 29 30
UGI Corp. Hawaiian Holdings Metropolitan Health * McGraw-Hill AmSurg
UGI HA MDF MHP AMSG
25.78 8.43 2.31 26.81 22.42
-28% -74% -57% -36% -45%
6% 23% 8% 60% 29%
2,795 435 105 8,440 687
4,863 418 76 9,171 919
.8x .3x .2x 1.5x 1.4x
15% 32% 30% 14% 24%
331% 134% 134% 555% 130%
30% 47% 39% 37% 23%
n/m n/m 2.5x n/m n/m
1% 5% 13% 2% 2%
1 / 12 3/1 - / 25 -/-/5
31 32 33 34 35
ICO Global Comms Energen i2 Technologies Foster Wheeler Lorillard
ICOG EGN ITWO FWLT LO
0.75 44.85 16.13 34.26 75.22
-84% -49% -66% -63% -30%
399% 16% 5% 40% 4%
156 3,216 362 4,332 12,423
163 3,848 295 3,693 11,615
n/m 2.6x 1.2x .6x 2.5x
137% 13% 13% 13% 13%
113% infinite infinite infinite 5072%
2% 37% 16% 12% 38%
n/m 1.6x >9.9x 8.6x >9.9x
45% 1% 26% 0% 1%
-/-/8 -/2 1/1 -/2
36 37 38 39 40
CF Industries Wright Express China Sky One Lockheed Martin * Endo Pharma
CF WXS CSKI LMT ENDP
90.19 30.67 14.04 80.08 22.49
-58% -73% -55% -28% -38%
40% 6% 36% 47% 16%
4,370 1,170 234 30,779 2,635
3,453 1,348 186 31,912 2,550
.9x 4.0x 1.6x .7x 1.9x
28% 21% 23% 15% 14%
118% 133% 114% 200% 247%
38% 36% 21% 31% 39%
2.7x >9.9x 2.4x n/m >9.9x
1% 1% 37% 0% 2%
-/- / 14 -/-/1/-
41 42 43 44 45
Questcor Pharma Mirant * Weight Watchers Net1 UEPS * Sabine Royalty Trust
QCOR MIR WTW UEPS SBR
6.71 16.53 25.88 22.15 40.85
-54% -45% -37% -63% -34%
46% 63% 60% 24% 53%
430 2,399 1,993 1,003 596
361 3,121 3,524 787 591
3.6x .7x 2.4x 3.2x 8.4x
16% 92% 12% 12% 12%
151% 93% infinite 8895% infinite
30% n/m 39% 33% n/m
6.0x .6x n/m 5.5x >9.9x
7% 0% 57% 16% 1%
-/4 -/-/1 - / 10 -/-
* New additions are highlighted. Screening criteria: ► Market value > $100 million ► ADRs and banks excluded New additions are highlighted. MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period.
© BeyondProxy LLC
10x45 Bargain Hunter™
www.manualofideas.com
September 19, 2009
Page 2
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