Contrarian: Biggest Losers (deleveraged & profitable) Non-financial companies with no net debt, positive analyst estimates for next year's EPS, and large YTD price drop ▼
Company / Ticker
Price
MV
EV
($)
($mn)
($mn)
Price Change Since
Price to
Next
December 31,
Tangible
FY
%
# of
P/E
Own.
Buys
2002
2007
2008
Book
Insiders
1 Cardionet / BEAT
8.83
210
160
n/m
n/m
-64%
2.0x
13x
4%
11
2 ViroPharma / VPHM
5.53
428
317
279%
-30%
-58%
7.4x
138x
1%
33
3 Energy Conversion / ENER
12.14
555
554
24%
-64%
-52%
.8x
17x
1%
-
4 Emergent BioSolution / EBS
13.00
393
389
n/m
157%
-50%
1.9x
13x
45%
-
5 Rostelecom / ROS
28.14
3,418
2,919
296%
-60%
-49%
1.9x
17x
52%
-
6 Medicines Company / MDCO
7.58
400
235
-53%
-60%
-49%
1.6x
9x
1%
1
7 Caraco Pharma / CPD
3.06
115
90
n/m
-82%
-48%
.8x
7x
72%
2
8 Immucor / BLUD
13.88
978
864
247%
-59%
-48%
4.8x
12x
1%
-
9 CryoLife / CRY
5.15
146
128
-25%
-35%
-47%
1.5x
13x
7%
-
10 VAALCO Energy / EGY
4.03
235
152
174%
-13%
-46%
1.5x
9x
3%
-
11 LeapFrog / LF
1.93
123
38
-92%
-71%
-45%
.9x
19x
44%
-
12 Questcor Pharma / QCOR
5.19
334
273
435%
-10%
-44%
5.1x
9x
7%
-
13 JAKKS Pacific / JAKK
11.66
326
278
-13%
-51%
-43%
1.2x
6x
4%
-
14 Imation / IMN
7.74
293
190
-78%
-63%
-43%
.5x
20x
1%
-
15 Bankrate / RATE
22.84
429
382
493%
-53%
-40%
6.0x
15x
23%
1
16 Gorman-Rupp / GRC
18.80
314
289
56%
-40%
-40%
1.9x
17x
14%
1
17 Tutor Perini / TPC
14.18
688
439
n/m
-66%
-39%
1.6x
6x
47%
-
18 Marchex / MCHX
3.65
131
105
n/m
-66%
-37%
1.4x
24x
45%
1
19 LHC Group / LHCG
22.59
417
416
n/m
-10%
-37%
11.9x
9x
18%
-
20 Aceto / ACET
6.30
156
116
33%
-21%
-37%
1.2x
11x
1%
-
21 * ICx Technologies / ICXT
5.01
173
140
n/m
-48%
-37%
2.0x
36x
5%
-
22 Celera / CRA
7.13
583
1,849
-25%
-55%
-36%
n/m
51x
1%
3
23 Lexmark / LXK
17.43
1,361
1,210
-71%
-50%
-35%
1.6x
9x
1%
-
24 Lincoln Electric / LECO
33.38
1,419
1,228
44%
-53%
-34%
1.6x
16x
2%
-
25 Viad / VVI
16.22
334
230
n/m
-49%
-34%
1.5x
17x
3%
-
26 * The9 Limited / NCTY
8.78
236
(89)
n/m
-59%
-34%
.6x
125x
54%
-
27 Integrys Energy / TEG
28.70
2,193
2,122
-26%
-44%
-33%
1.0x
10x
1%
3
28 EZCORP / EZPW
10.26
499
483
816%
-9%
-33%
1.8x
6x
22%
1
29 Comtech Telecomm. / CMTL
30.92
871
615
544%
-43%
-33%
2.1x
15x
2%
7
30 Cubist Pharma / CBST
16.40
945
784
99%
-20%
-32%
2.7x
10x
0%
1
31 FLIR Systems / FLIR
20.84
3,131
2,892
242%
-33%
-32%
4.5x
13x
2%
2
32 OraSure Technologies / OSUR
2.50
115
45
-54%
-72%
-32%
1.1x
-
3%
-
33 * Permian Basin / PBT
9.49
442
441
51%
-41%
-31%
>100x
9x
60%
-
34 * Granite Construction / GVA
30.59
1,183
1,011
97%
-15%
-30%
1.6x
12x
2%
-
35 * American Railcar / ARII
7.41
158
140
n/m
-62%
-30%
.5x
93x
55%
-
36 VASCO Data Security / VDSI
7.29
273
216
652%
-74%
-29%
3.4x
16x
25%
1
37 * EZchip Semiconductor / EZCH
11.19
261
211
119%
-39%
-29%
5.0x
14x
3%
-
38 Martek Biosciences / MATK
21.70
721
604
-13%
-27%
-28%
1.4x
15x
2%
-
39 Contango Oil & Gas / MCF
40.40
640
602
1143%
-21%
-28%
1.9x
11x
20%
-
40 * H&R Block / HRB
16.36
5,467
4,953
-19%
-12%
-28%
32.2x
9x
3%
1
41 * China Info Security / CPBY
2.60
127
120
n/m
-69%
-28%
1.7x
4x
45%
-
42 * Simpson Manufacturin / SSD
20.10
985
827
22%
-24%
-28%
1.5x
28x
44%
-
43 KONAMI / KNM
18.75
2,503
2,376
-19%
-42%
-27%
2.0x
16x
28%
44 Telefonos de Mexico / TMX
15.19
14,004
13,728
61%
-30%
-27%
4.9x
8x
38%
-
45 * Pharma Product / PPDI
21.07
2,484
1,927
44%
-48%
-27%
2.5x
14x
10%
-
Criteria: ► Positive net cash ► Positive next FY EPS estimate ► Market value > $100 million MV = market value. EV = enterprise value. Number of insider transactions relates to most recent six-month period. * New additions are highlighted. © 10x45 Bargain Hunter ™
July 13, 2009
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Page 3 of 11
10x45 Bargain Hunter
Brought To You By
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Dear Fellow ll Idea d Seekers, k We are pleased to bring you this week's 10x45 Bargain Hunter , based on stock prices as of July 10, 2009. –Your Manual of Ideas Team
On the Hunt for Value? Get the 10x45 Bargain Hunter now FREE with your subscription to Downside Protection Report
This Week's Top p Bargain Hunter Screen Results
Price
Market Value
Contrarian: Shunned by the market, but not by insiders 1 Unico American / UNAM $7.70 $43mn
Enterprise p Value
n/m
Insider Buys $15mn
2 Inland Real Estate / IRC
$6.38
$529mn
$1,327mn
$6mn
3 * Cogdell Spencer / CSA
$3.87
$75mn
$518mn
$4mn
Contrarian: Biggest Losers (deleveraged & profitable) 1 Cardionet / BEAT $8.83 $210mn
$160mn
Price YTD -64%
2 ViroPharma / VPHM
$5.53
$428mn
$317mn
-58%
3 Energy Conversion / ENER
$12.14
$555mn
$554mn
-52% Shares Q-Q
Value with Catalyst: Cheap Repurchasers of Stock 1 Societe Generale / SCGLY
$10.51
$29,291mn
n/m
-22%
2 QLT / QLTI
$2.05
$112mn
-$18mn
-18%
3 Banco B Macro M / BMA
$16.09 $16 09
$979mn $979
n/m /
-15% 15%
$763mn
Div. Yield 17%
www.manualofideas.com Profitable Dividend Payors with Decent Balance Sheets 1 Anworth Mortgage / ANH $7.26 $738mn 2 TICC Capital / TICC
$4.40
$117mn
n/m
14%
3 Pioneer Southwest / PSE
$17.42
$523mn
$446mn
11%
$787mn
EV/Revenue .05x
Deep Value: Lots of Revenue, Low Enterprise Value 1 World Fuel Services / INT $37.37 $1,101mn
Standalone price of 10x45 Bargain Hunter: $99/year
* New addition to top 45 screen results. 10x45 BARGAIN HUNTER is published weekly by BeyondProxy LLC, P.O. Box 1375, New York, NY 10150. Website: www.manualofideas.com. Email:
[email protected]. Please email or call if you have any subscription questions. Managing Editor: John Mihaljevic. Subscription $99 per year. © Copyright 2008 by BeyondProxy LLC. All rights reserved. Photocopying, reproduction, quotation, or redistribution of any kind is strictly prohibited without written permission from the publisher. This newsletter bases screening results on techniques and sources believed to be reliable in the past and cannot guarantee future accuracy and results. The stocks listed in this newsletter should not be construed as investment recommendations. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees and/or principals (collectively “Related Persons”) may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments listed or discussed in this newsletter. newsletter John Mihaljevic, Mihaljevic Chairman of BeyondProxy, is also a principal of Mihaljevic Capital Management LLC (“MCM”), which serves as the general partner of a private investment partnership. MCM may purchase or sell securities and financial instruments discussed in this newsletter on behalf of the investment partnership or other accounts it manages. Use of this newsletter and its content is governed by the Terms of Use described in detail at www.manualofideas.com/terms.html. Pictured in the top left corner is the Zeiss 10x45 Victory Binocular with built-in laser rangefinder.
2 Tech Data / TECD
$30.79
$1,547mn
$1,290mn
.06x
3 Ingram Micro / IM
$17.11
$2,770mn
$2,091mn
.06x
$468mn
$534mn
EV/GP .14x
Deep Value: Neglected Gross Profiteers 1 Kindred Healthcare / KND $12.00 2 Humana / HUM
$30.36
$5,150mn
$992mn
.18x
3 Ameriprise Financial / AMP
$22.14
$4,851mn
$977mn
.20x
Activist Targets: Potential Sales, Liquidations or Recaps 1 QLT / QLTI $2.05 $112mn
-$18mn
NCAV / MV 183%
2 Trident Microsystems / TRID
$1.69
$106mn
-$96mn
152%
3 Silicon Graphics / SGI
$4.47
$134mn
-$40mn
150%
"Magic Formula," Formula " based on Trailing Financials 1 KHD Humboldt Wedag / KHD $8.28 $253mn
-$106mn
LTM EBIT / EV infinite
2 i2 Technologies / ITWO
$12.46
$274mn
$223mn
50%
3 ePlus / PLUS
$14.75
$120mn
$98mn
29%
$1,873mn
EPS Yield FY0 13%
"Magic Formula," based on This Year's EPS Estimates 1 Foster Wheeler / FWLT $19.32 $2,442mn 2 Endo Pharma / ENDP
$17.09 $
$2,002mn $ ,
$2,042mn $ ,
16%
3 EarthLink / ELNK
$7.69
$815mn
$526mn
13%
$2,042mn
EPS Yield FY1 17%
"Magic Formula," based on Next Year's EPS Estimates 1 Endo Pharma / ENDP $17.09 $2,002mn 2 GT Solar / SOLR
$4.77
$684mn
$576mn
13%
3 China Sky One / CSKI
$12.55
$208mn
$159mn
20%