La-04: Kitchens Group Poll For Paul Carmouche (nov 20, 2004)

1 Executive Summary Louisiana Congressional District 4 Methodology Four hundred likely voters in Louisiana Congressional District 4 were interviewed in a random sample taken November 18-19, 2008. Respondents were screened for voter registration and their likelihood of voting in the December 6 Congressional election. The sample was balanced according to all known demographic factors, and voters surveyed were 72% White and 22% African American. All interviews were conducted by telephone. The margin of error for this survey is ± 4.9% with a 95% confidence level. Conclusions Paul Carmouche remains well positioned to win the Congressional election to be held on December 6th, holding an 11 point lead over Republican John Fleming (48% to 37%) in an initial head-to-head match up of all general elections candidates. Voters are also extremely favorable towards Carmouche with a 4-to-1 margin (60% favorable to 15% unfavorable), while more voters are unfavorable to Fleming as more information about him has become known (47% favorable to 30% unfavorable). By a 52% to 29% margin voters feel that Paul Carmouche is tougher on crime than John Fleming, showing that Republican attacks on Carmouche’s 30-year record as a tough prosecutor are not penetrating. Voters also feel that Carmouche will do a better job than John Fleming on a number of important issues in the district, including creating jobs (45% to 36%), protecting the taxpayers’ money (46% to 31%), and protecting Social Security (49% to 28%). Question If the election for the U.S. House of Representatives were held today, would you vote for: Democrat Paul Carmouche Republican John Fleming Independent Chester “Catfish” Kelley Independent Gerard Bowen Undecided

Nov 18-19 48% 37% 1% 0% 13%

Nov 6-7 45% 35% 2% 1% 16%