Ejercicio De Pronosticos 2
This document was uploaded by user and they confirmed that they have the permission to share it. If you are author or own the copyright of this book, please report to us by using this DMCA report form. Report DMCA
Overview
Download & View Ejercicio De Pronosticos 2 as PDF for free.
More details
- Words: 494
- Pages: 9
SEM
Yt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 13 15 17 16 9
SEM
Yt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 13 15 17 16 9
SEM
Yt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 13 15 17 16 9
PRON3
12.00 15.00 16.00 14.00
PROMEDIO MOVIL et [et]
5.00 1.00 -7.00
[et]2
5.00 1.00 7.00 13.00
25.00 1.00 49.00 75.00
DAM 4.33
EMC 25.00
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL (a=0.2) et [et] [et]2 0.2 8.00 9.00 10.20 11.56 12.45 11.76
5.00 6.00 6.80 4.44 -3.45
5.00 6.00 6.80 4.44 3.45 25.69
25.00 36.00 46.24 19.71 11.89 138.84
DAM 5.14
EMC 27.77
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL (a=0.4) et [et] [et]2 0.4 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 14.80 12.48
5.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 -5.80
5.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 5.80 22.80
25.00 25.00 25.00 4.00 33.64 112.64
DAM 4.56
EMC 22.53
L [et]/Yt
et/Yt
0.29 0.06 0.78 1.13
0.29 0.06 -0.78 -0.42
PEMA 0.38
PME -0.14
[et]/Yt
et/Yt
0.38 0.40 0.40 0.28 0.38 1.85
0.38 0.40 0.40 0.28 -0.38 1.08
PEMA 0.37
PME 0.22
[et]/Yt
et/Yt
0.38 0.33 0.29 0.13 0.64 1.78
0.38 0.33 0.29 0.13 -0.64 0.49
CIAL (a=0.2)
CIAL (a=0.4)
PEMA 0.36
PME 0.10
Periodo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Demanda 107 93 106 98 100 96
ULTIMO VALOR
107.00 93.00 106.00 98.00 100.00 96.00
MET PROM
[et] SIMPLE 14.00 13.00 8.00 2.00 4.00
DAM
8.20
Periodo
Demanda
Pronostico
[et]
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
132 141 137 159 146 162 166 175 194 181
127 130 133 135 139 144 149 155 161 169
5.00 11.00 4.00 24.00 7.00 18.00 17.00 20.00 33.00 12.00
DAM
15.10
107.00 100.00 102.00 101.00 100.80 100.00
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL
MET PROMEDIOS [et]
MOVIL (n=3)
14.00 6.00 4.00 1.00 4.80
[et]
102 99 101.33 98
SIMPLE (a=0.2) 107.00 104.20 104.56 103.25 102.60 101.28
4.00 1.00 5.33
5.96
[et] 14 1.8 6.56 3.248 6.5984
3.44
6.44
Periodo
Demanda
XY
X2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.5
132.00 141.00 137.00 159.00 146.00 162.00 166.00 175.00 194.00 181.00 159.30
132.00 282.00 411.00 636.00 730.00 972.00 1162.00 1400.00 1746.00 1810.00
17424.00 19881.00 18769.00 25281.00 21316.00 26244.00 27556.00 30625.00 37636.00 32761.00
9281
257493
Y-PRON 159.29 159.29 159.29 159.30 159.30 159.30 159.30 159.31 159.31 159.31
DAM B1
0.0020
B0
159.29
[et] 27.29 18.29 22.29 0.30 13.30 2.70 6.70 15.69 34.69 21.69
16.29
Periodo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Demanda 107 93 106 98 100 96 100.00 96.00 100.00 96.00
ULTIMO VALOR
107.00 93.00 106.00 98.00 100.00 96.00 100.00 96.00 100.00
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL
MET PROMEDIOS D 107 93 106 98 100 96 100.80 100.00 100.11 100.10
SIMPLE
D
107.00 100.00 102.00 101.00 100.80 100.00 100.11 100.10 100.10
107 93 106 98 100 96 101.33 98.00 99.11 98.44
MOVIL (n=3)
D
102.00 99.00 101.33 98.00 99.11 98.44 99.48
107 93 106 98 100 96 102.60 101.28 101.54 101.49
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE (a=0.2) 107.00 104.20 104.56 103.25 102.60 101.28 101.54 101.49 101.50
Yt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 13 15 17 16 9
SEM
Yt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 13 15 17 16 9
SEM
Yt
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
8 13 15 17 16 9
PRON3
12.00 15.00 16.00 14.00
PROMEDIO MOVIL et [et]
5.00 1.00 -7.00
[et]2
5.00 1.00 7.00 13.00
25.00 1.00 49.00 75.00
DAM 4.33
EMC 25.00
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL (a=0.2) et [et] [et]2 0.2 8.00 9.00 10.20 11.56 12.45 11.76
5.00 6.00 6.80 4.44 -3.45
5.00 6.00 6.80 4.44 3.45 25.69
25.00 36.00 46.24 19.71 11.89 138.84
DAM 5.14
EMC 27.77
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL (a=0.4) et [et] [et]2 0.4 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 14.80 12.48
5.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 -5.80
5.00 5.00 5.00 2.00 5.80 22.80
25.00 25.00 25.00 4.00 33.64 112.64
DAM 4.56
EMC 22.53
L [et]/Yt
et/Yt
0.29 0.06 0.78 1.13
0.29 0.06 -0.78 -0.42
PEMA 0.38
PME -0.14
[et]/Yt
et/Yt
0.38 0.40 0.40 0.28 0.38 1.85
0.38 0.40 0.40 0.28 -0.38 1.08
PEMA 0.37
PME 0.22
[et]/Yt
et/Yt
0.38 0.33 0.29 0.13 0.64 1.78
0.38 0.33 0.29 0.13 -0.64 0.49
CIAL (a=0.2)
CIAL (a=0.4)
PEMA 0.36
PME 0.10
Periodo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Demanda 107 93 106 98 100 96
ULTIMO VALOR
107.00 93.00 106.00 98.00 100.00 96.00
MET PROM
[et] SIMPLE 14.00 13.00 8.00 2.00 4.00
DAM
8.20
Periodo
Demanda
Pronostico
[et]
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
132 141 137 159 146 162 166 175 194 181
127 130 133 135 139 144 149 155 161 169
5.00 11.00 4.00 24.00 7.00 18.00 17.00 20.00 33.00 12.00
DAM
15.10
107.00 100.00 102.00 101.00 100.80 100.00
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL
MET PROMEDIOS [et]
MOVIL (n=3)
14.00 6.00 4.00 1.00 4.80
[et]
102 99 101.33 98
SIMPLE (a=0.2) 107.00 104.20 104.56 103.25 102.60 101.28
4.00 1.00 5.33
5.96
[et] 14 1.8 6.56 3.248 6.5984
3.44
6.44
Periodo
Demanda
XY
X2
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 5.5
132.00 141.00 137.00 159.00 146.00 162.00 166.00 175.00 194.00 181.00 159.30
132.00 282.00 411.00 636.00 730.00 972.00 1162.00 1400.00 1746.00 1810.00
17424.00 19881.00 18769.00 25281.00 21316.00 26244.00 27556.00 30625.00 37636.00 32761.00
9281
257493
Y-PRON 159.29 159.29 159.29 159.30 159.30 159.30 159.30 159.31 159.31 159.31
DAM B1
0.0020
B0
159.29
[et] 27.29 18.29 22.29 0.30 13.30 2.70 6.70 15.69 34.69 21.69
16.29
Periodo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Demanda 107 93 106 98 100 96 100.00 96.00 100.00 96.00
ULTIMO VALOR
107.00 93.00 106.00 98.00 100.00 96.00 100.00 96.00 100.00
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL
MET PROMEDIOS D 107 93 106 98 100 96 100.80 100.00 100.11 100.10
SIMPLE
D
107.00 100.00 102.00 101.00 100.80 100.00 100.11 100.10 100.10
107 93 106 98 100 96 101.33 98.00 99.11 98.44
MOVIL (n=3)
D
102.00 99.00 101.33 98.00 99.11 98.44 99.48
107 93 106 98 100 96 102.60 101.28 101.54 101.49
SUAVIZAMIENTO EXPONENCIAL SIMPLE (a=0.2) 107.00 104.20 104.56 103.25 102.60 101.28 101.54 101.49 101.50
Related Documents
Ejercicio De Pronosticos 2
August 2019 28
Pronosticos 2
June 2020 6
Ejercicio De Costes 2
June 2020 10
Introduccion Pronosticos
July 2020 8
Ejercicio De Sistemas 2
May 2020 23
Ejercicio 2 De Excel
May 2020 10More Documents from ""
Ejercicio De Pronosticos 2
August 2019 28
E Pronosticos _ Wilber
August 2019 16
Extraccion De Enzima Papaina
October 2019 22
Exploramos.docx
December 2019 23
Mucosa Oral Final.docx
May 2020 7