Report Card In the run up to the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, an independent and non-party group of citizens, concerned about the serious risks being faced by our democracy and constitution, launched a campaign to ensure every Indian is registered, votes and makes an informed choice. As part of making an informed choice, we decided to assess the ruling party BJP’s 2014 election manifesto and compare the commitments they made with actual delivery. We have kept our assessment factual, based on the government’s own reports or credible public reporting. We are able to back up every single assessment with authentic sources, based on data available.
https://novoterleftbehind.in/
No party takes electoral manifestoes seriously, all of them over promise and under deliver. But the performance of the BJP has been disappointing and their claims highly exaggerated, mostly based on selective use of partial data.
Here is the summary of our findings. BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered
BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered
CORRUPTION
UNORGANIZED SECTOR WORKERS
EMPLOYMENT & ENTREPRENEURSHIP
RURAL AREAS
NOTE-BANDI
SCS, STS AND OBCS
PRICE RISE
WOMEN
S I M P L I F I E D TA X R E G I M E
MINORITIES
INFRASTRUCTURE
H E A LT H
MAKE IN INDIA
INSTITUTIONAL REFORMS
I N D U S T RY
C U LT U R E & H E R I TA G E
A G R I C U LT U R E
JAMMU & KASHMIR
BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered as Promised
No change
Did Not Deliver
SETTING UP AN
GROWING NUMBER OF
E F F E C T I V E L O K PA L
ALLEGED SCAMS:
Lokpal not appointed.
3.4 Lakh Cr Rajasthan refinery scam
AVA I L A B I L I T Y O F I N F O R M AT I O N TO EMPOWER PEOPLE
50,000 Cr Adani Group Power Scam
Pending RTI requests: 2014-15 2017-18
8.5 lakhs
14.5 lakhs
40% cases rejected by the Central Information Commission in 2018
20,000 Cr Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation Ltd (GSPC) scam
14,500 Cr HUDCO scam
Only 3 of the 11
11,300 Cr
sanctioned Commissioners appointed
Nirav Modi scam
1700+ writ petitions
9,000 Cr
by central government blocking information to people
BALCO disinvestment scam
Corruption
9,000 Cr CURBING ELECTION EXPENDITURE
Vijay Mallya scam
USD 5 billion
7,000 Cr
highest ever spent in Lok Sabha elections in India in 2014
Lalit Modi scam
2,000 Cr
4X
Tur Dal scam
increase in anonymous funding of political parties in 2017-18
fisheries scam
95% of anonymous funding through electoral bonds to BJP
BJP Manifesto Promised
400 Cr 80 Cr Jay Shah scam
Rafale Scam
Delivered as Promised
No change
Did Not Deliver
Employment & Entrepreneurship S T R AT E G I C A L LY D E V E L O P I N G L A B O U R - I N T E N S I V E S E C T O R S
Export Growth Rate
Readymade Garments
Textiles (excluding Readymade Garments)
Gems & Jewellery
Leather & Leather Products
April 2014
30%
30%
2%
40%
April 2018
-20%
5%
-15%
0%
B J P W I L L A C C O R D H I G H P R I O R I T Y T O J O B C R E AT I O N & O P P O R T U N I T I E S F O R E N T R E P R E N E U R S H I P NSSO: Unemployment at a 45-year high at 2017-18
6.5% 6.1
6.1%
6% 5.5%
Immediately after demonetisation in Nov 2016, India’s labour participation rate fell to 45%; 2% of the working age population, i.e. about 13 million, moved out of labour markets.
5% 4.5% 4%
3.75 3.54
3.53
3.62
3.46
3.41
3.49
3.52
3.51
3.5%
Jobs lost Dec ‘17 to Dec ‘18
11 million
3% 2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
India Unemployment Rate
WE WILL SET UP WORLD CLASS INVESTMENT AND INDUSTRIAL REGIONS AS GLOBAL H U B S O F M A N U FA C T U R I N G Fresh investments declined across all major sectors except construction
New Projects (Rs trillion)
Construction & Real Estate
4.0
Services (other than financial) Electricity Mining 2.0
Manufacturing
New investments (public and private combined) in India plunge to 14-year low in December quarter of 2018 Dec 2016
BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered as Promised
Mar 2017
Jun 2017
Sept 2017
No change
Dec 2017
Mar 2018
Jun 2018
Sep 2018
Dec 2018
Did Not Deliver
LOSS OF INFORMAL JOBS
More than 99%
Price Rise
Currency deposited in the bank
SPECIAL COURTS TO STOP
Note-bandi
35 Lakhs
HOARDING & BLACK MARKETING
Jobs lost
None formed.
1.5 Cr Reduction in labour force
SETTING UP A PRICE S TA B I L I Z AT I O N F U N D
1.5%
Formed with a meagre corpus of
Loss in GDP points
INR 500 Cr.
2.25 Lakh Cr Loss in GDP
FOOD PRICES
13,000 Cr
Food Consumer Price Index inflation rate
RBI expenditure on demonetization
April 2014
9.2%
high cost of living
November 2018
-2.61%
deflation farmers hit
Simplified Tax Regime C U T T I N G T H E R E D TA P E , S I M P L I F Y I N G T H E PROCEDURES & REMOVING THE BOTTLENECKS
`1 Lakh Cr
A N G E L TA X Startups in India are facing tax issues
shortfall in revenue collection
More than 70%
More than 50%
Demanded in tax returns in some cases
decline in compliance among regular taxpayers in 2017-18
Upto 30% of the funds raised
Nearly 900 changes in rules and procedures causing massive confusion and loss to businesses
BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered as Promised
No change
Did Not Deliver
D I A M O N D Q U A D R I L AT E R A L P R O J E C T
Not even 1 full corridor sanctioned
Infrastructure
Out of 6 corridors identified for Diamond Quadrilateral connecting Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata and Chennai
BULLET TRAIN
M A N U FA C T U R I N G S E C T O R GROWTH FOR EMPLOYMENT &
Work is yet to start Loans from Japan Loan Installment Land Acquisition
Make in India
`1 Lakh Cr
Not Received
Not Started 4000
Only Direct Jobs Promised
A S S E T C R E AT I O N Share of manufacturing in the GDP 2014 2017
Monthly manufacturing (Index of Industrial Production) IIP growth (y-o-y) May 2014
LOW COST HOUSING FOR
15.07 15.0
4.6 2.8
E V E RY FA M I LY
May 2018
Number of houses built under Pradhan Mantri Awas Yojana (Urban and Rural)
Share of manufacturing in total FDI
NDA-2 UPA-2
1.03 Cr houses 1.21 Cr houses
No. of homeless people in India
18 Cr
UPA-2 NDA-2
44% 28%
Percent of Indian share in global manufacturing exports 2014 2018
2% 2%
Industry CONDUCIVE, ENABLING ENVIRONMENT FOR
MSME SECTOR (MICRO AND SMALL
'DOING BUSINESS'
MEDIUM SCALE ENTERPRISES)
Ease of Doing Business index India’s rank
Credit to MSME sector:
142
2014 2018
March 2015
77
December 2016 (post Demonetization)
B A R R I N G T H E M U LT I - B R A N D R E TA I L S E C T O R
May 2018 (year-on-year rates)
11.2% -2%
8.4%
100% FDI in multi-brand retail by foreign retailers like Wal-Mart and Carrefour – proposed with conditionalities
BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered as Promised
No change
Did Not Deliver
MINIMUM OF 50% PROFITS OVER THE COST OF PRODUCTION FOR T H E FA R M E R S Swaminathan Commission’s recommendations not implemented Effective increase in Minimum Support Price
only 10 to 20% P R A D H A N M A N T R I FA S A L BIMA YOJANA
`1000 or less
actual compensation amounts received per farmer profits for insurance companies every year
100’s of Crores
FA R M E R S ’ S U I C I D E S Since 2016 – government has stopped publishing the National Crime Records Bureau reports Decline in number of suicides unlikely Intensifying agrarian distress with deflation in food prices and limited increase in Minimum Support Price
BJP Manifesto Promised
Unorganized Sector Workers
Agriculture
Delivered as Promised
ISSUE IDENTITY CARDS TO THE UNORGANIZED SECTOR LABOURERS
Less than 1% Labour Identification Numbers (LIN) for 45 crore unorganized workers
SETTING UP A DEDICATED WORKERS BANK
Not Set Up
JAN DHAN ACCOUNTS Number of inoperative/ zero-balance accounts 2014 2019
77% 30%
PENSION AND HEALTH INSURANCE SAFETY NETS Pradhan Mantri Shram Yogi Maandhan (PMSYM) scheme announced in 2019
0 benefits received yet
No change
Did Not Deliver
Rural Areas
A D E Q U AT E F U N D A L L O C AT I O N F O R S C H E M E S & F O R S C , S T, O B C s & OTHER WEAKER SECTIONS Allocation in 2019 Interim Budget Development Action Plan for Scheduled Castes Required of total budget outlay: Actually allocated:
16.6% 2.32%
Development Action Plan for Scheduled Tribes Required of total budget outlay: Actually allocated:
EVERY VILLAGE WILL BE CONNECTED T H R O U G H A L L - W E AT H E R R O A D S
P R I N C I P L E S O F S A M A J I K N YAY
June 2014 - 56%
(SOCIAL JUSTICE) & SAMAJIK S A M R A S ATA ( S O C I A L H A R M O N Y )
of the target habitations under PMGSY were connected
• Parliament Passed Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes (Prevention of Atrocities) Amendment Bill, 2018 restored some powers of the Act.
July 2018 - 88% of the target of PMGSY (II) have been connected
2017-18
12 km/ day 27 km/ day
Average road length constructed per day 2013-14 2017-18
69 km 134 km
'PRADHAN MANTRI GRAM SINCHAYEE Y O J A N A ' - ' H A R K H E T K O PA A N I '
10% completed watershed development projects under the scheme
74 out of 99 projects construction pending, of field canals and command area development
MGNREGA
`8,000 Cr
`20,000 Cr
unpaid wages as of January 2019
budget allocation shortage in 2019-20
BJP Manifesto Promised
SCs, STs and OBCs
• But only Rs. 147 crores allocated for protection of dalit women under the Act
National highways constructed per day 2013-14
8.6% 1.6%
Delivered as Promised
• About Rs. 750 crores has been allocated for Cow Protection • Brutal repression of Dalit groups protesting for their rights in April 2018 • Cynical victimization of activists and intellectuals who speak up for dalit, adivasi and minority rights
IMPLEMENTATION OF RESERVATION
90% decline
in direct recruitment of employees in central government from the SC-ST-OBC in 2014-15
ENSURE THAT THE TRIBAL LAND IS NOT ALIENATED
10 Lakh+ adivasi families face eviction
due to failure of state to defend the tribal families rights under the Forest Rights Act
VAN BANDHU KALYAN YOJANA (VBKY) Budget allocation 2015-16 2017-18
`200 Cr `1 Cr
The national centre for tribal research has not been set up either!
No change
Did Not Deliver
C O M M I T T E D T O 3 3 % R E S E R VAT I O N I N PA R L I A M E N TA RY A N D S TAT E A S S E M B L I E S THROUGH A CONSTITUTIONAL AMENDMENT Women's Reservation Bill [The Constitution (108th Amendment) Bill, 2008] -
Not passed
C R I M E S A G A I N S T W O M E N - S T R I C T I M P L E M E N TAT I O N O F L AW S R E L AT E D T O W O M E N , PA R T I C U L A R LY T H O S E R E L AT E D T O R A P E . 39 40
39 37
35
28
30
Number of cases per hour
26
21
23
22
24
20
10
0 2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
Crimes Against Women in India, 2007- 2016
Women
NCRB data is not available post-2016 for further trends.
B E T I B A C H A O – B E T I PA D H A O Global Gender Gap Index Rank
Overall
Educational Attainment
Health & Survival
2014
114
126
141
2018
108
114
147
Only marginal improvement in overall ranking globally and actual decline in health and survival indicators.
BJP Manifesto Promised
Delivered as Promised
No change
Did Not Deliver
Minorities
'HEALTH ASSURANCE TO ALL INDIANS AND TO REDUCE THE OUT OF POCKET SPENDING ON HEALTH CARE' Minor increase in health budget share 2014 2019
PEACE AND SAFETY FOR MINORITIES
1.83% 1.99%
Ayushmaan Bharat
1984 anti-Sikh riots
Benefitting private insurance companies at the cost of public health system
high profile conviction of Sajjan Kumar
National Health Mission budget
2002 anti-Muslim riots
2014-15
high profile acquittals of Maya Kodnani, Babu Bajrangi, etc.
2019-20
61% of health budget 49% of health budget
2.4% of total government expenditure – health share stagnant between 2014 and 2019
C O W - R E L AT E D M O B LY N C H I N G
125 incidents 297 victims 46 deaths
I T- E N A B L E D H E A LT H C A R E D E L I V E RY
Muslims – almost all victims
NeHA (National e-Health Authority) and DISHA (Digital Information Security in Healthcare Act) remain work in progress
T R I P L E TA L A K
National Health Policy 2017 poses great privacy threats to citizens’ health data
For Muslim women
AIIMS-LIKE INSTITUTES IN EVERY STATE
Passed the Muslim Women (Protection of Rights on Marriage) bill with jail term for the husband for illegally divorcing his wife.
22 new All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) institutions announced since 2014 - Mangalagiri, Nagpur, Gorakhpur, Kalyani, Assam, Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Tamil Nadu, Bihar, Jammu and Kashmir, Gujarat, Jharkhand and other places.
For Hindu Women BJP opposed equal rights of entry to Sabarimala Temple.
0 of these have moved beyond planning stage
CITIZENSHIP (AMENDMENT) BILL
Muslims excluded in granting citizenship to refugees from other religions
Assam Accord spirit breached leading to massive protests across North-eastern states
BJP Manifesto Promised
Health
ENSURE A 'SWACHH BHARAT' BY GANDHIJI'S
Delivered as Promised
1 5 0 T H B I R T H A N N I V E R S A RY I N 2 0 1 9 28 states and UTs declared Open Defecation Free based on toilet construction Number of reports of continued open defecation in many regions Manual scavenging not addressed
1 person dying every 5 days cleaning sewages
No change
Did Not Deliver
Institutional Reforms
Culture & Heritage
DOUBLING THE NUMBER OF COURTS AND
R A M T E M P L E I N AY O D H YA .
J U D G E S I N T H E S U B O R D I N AT E J U D I C I A RY
5,223
Not built.
Vacancies in trial courts
A N AT I O N A L C AT T L E D E V E L O P M E N T
2,76,74,499
BOARD WILL BE SET UP
Cases pending in subordinate courts
"Rashtriya Kamdhenu Aayog" or "national cow board" set up in 2019
22,036 posts of higher and lower judicial officers in lower courts vacant
UNIFORM CIVIL CODE
EXTEND FAST TRACK COURTS TO ALL LAYERS
UCC not formed
O F T H E J U D I C I A RY
The Law Commission has said a Uniform Civil Code (UCC) is neither necessary nor desirable
Fast track courts in operation: March 2017
524
Jammu & Kashmir
Not extended
BJP Manifesto Promised
444
93%
people killed in militancy-related deaths in 2018 – highest since 2009
rise in number of security personnel killed in terrorist incidents between 2014 and 2018
Youth joining militancy
6 126
2013 2017
Militants killed 2008 2018
339 250
Delivered as Promised
176% rise in the number of terrorist incidents in Jammu and Kashmir
28 terrorist incidents every month between 2014 and 2018
No change
Did Not Deliver