062409 Ny Gov + Bp

Maurice Carroll, Director Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Rubenstein Associates, Inc., Public Relations Pat Smith (212) 843-8026 FOR RELEASE: JUNE 24, 2009

NEW YORK GOVERNOR’S DISAPPROVAL BOTTOMS OUT AT 2 - 1, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; CUOMO HOLDS 3 – 1 LEAD IN DEM PRIMARY RACE FOR GOV. New York Gov. David Paterson’s approval rating, in free fall for a year, may have bottomed out with voters disapproving 61 – 28 percent of the job he’s doing, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is the exact same disapproval rating in a May 13 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. In this latest poll, disapproval of Gov. Paterson ranges from 76 – 16 percent among Republicans to 64 – 24 percent among independent voters to 52 – 36 percent among Democrats. Black voters approve 52 – 35 percent while white voters disapprove 66 – 23 percent. Hispanic voters disapprove 54 – 33 percent. In the 2010 Democratic primary for Governor, Attorney General Andrew Cuomo tops Paterson 57 – 20 percent, with 20 percent undecided. Turning to the general election, former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani leads Paterson 52 – 34 percent, including 90 – 3 percent among Republicans and 57 – 25 percent among independent voters. Paterson leads 60 – 28 percent among Democrats. Cuomo tops Giuliani 51 – 39 percent, as independent voters switch to 45 – 40 percent for the Democrat. Republicans stay with Giuliani 78 – 12 percent. Democrats back Cuomo 79 – 16 percent, 19 percentage points greater than their support for Paterson. “Gov. David Paterson’s job approval holds negative among every demographic group except his fellow black New Yorkers. The only good news is that, like the economy, Paterson may have hit bottom, with nowhere to go but up,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. -more 

Quinnipiac University Poll/June 24, 2009 – page 2 New York State voters say 64 – 22 percent that Paterson does not deserve to be elected to a full four-year term, virtually unchanged from April and May Quinnipiac University polls. Voters approve 73 – 12 percent of the job Cuomo is doing. Even Republicans approve 58 – 24 percent. By a 63 – 15 percent margin, voters have a favorable opinion of Cuomo. Paterson gets a negative 54 – 28 percent favorability while Giuliani gets a positive 55 – 36 percent score. U.S. Senate Race The 2010 Democratic primary for U.S. Senator remains in play as 27 percent back U.S. Rep. Carolyn Maloney and 23 percent back U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, with 4 percent for Jonathan Tasini and 44 percent undecided. Sen. Gillibrand leads U.S. Rep. Peter King, a possible Republican challenger 44 – 28 percent, with 26 percent undecided. Maloney leads King 42 – 26 percent, with 30 percent undecided. After five months in office, Gillibrand gets a 37 – 15 percent job approval rating from New York State voters, with 48 percent undecided. Voters know little about the possible Senate candidates: 63 percent don’t know enough about Gillibrand to form an opinion; 67 percent don’t know enough about Maloney and 66 percent don’t know enough about King. “The New York cliché, that a liberal wins a Democratic primary, looks like it holds true in this poll. Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney, a city liberal, edges Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, an upstate moderate, but almost half are undecided. They each beat Congressman Peter King, a Long Island Republican, by about the same,” Carroll said. From June 16 – 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 2,477 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points. The survey includes 1,048 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and nationwide as a public service and for research. For more data or RSS feed – http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.

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1. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRAT Tot Men Wom Paterson Cuomo SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

20% 57 1 1 20

25% 57 2 2 14

17% 57 1 1 23

TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson and Andrew Cuomo, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRAT........... Jun 24 May 13 Apr 06 Feb 17 2009 2009 2009 2009 Paterson Cuomo SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

20 57 1 1 20

17 62 1 1 18

18 61 1 3 17

23 55 1 1 20

2. (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand, Carolyn Maloney and Jonathan Tasini, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRAT Tot Men Wom Gillibrand Maloney Tasini SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

23% 27 4 1 1 44

25% 26 5 1 1 41

22% 28 3 1 2 46

TREND: (If registered Democrat) If the 2010 Democratic primary for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand, Carolyn Maloney, and Jonathan Tasini, for whom would you vote? REGISTERED DEMOCRAT... Jun 24 Apr 06 Feb 17 2009 2009 2009 Gillibrand Maloney Tasini McCarthy SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

23 27 4 na 1 1 44

29 na na 33 1 3 33

24 na na 34 1 2 39

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3. If the 2010 election for Governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Paterson Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Paterson Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

34% 52 3 4 7

3% 90 1 1 4

60% 28 2 4 6

25% 57 5 5 9

34% 55 3 3 5

34% 50 3 4 10

25% 62 3 3 7

77% 6 3 4 10

48% 41 1 3 6

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

32% 51 4 2 10

25% 60 3 3 8

27% 61 3 4 6

24% 62 3 3 8

49% 37 2 5 7

TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were David Paterson the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Paterson Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

34 52 3 4 7

32 54 3 3 8

32 53 2 4 9

43 43 2 2 10

4. If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Cuomo Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Cuomo Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

51% 39 1 1 8

12% 78 1 9

79% 16 1 4

45% 40 3 1 10

49% 43 2 1 5

52% 35 1 1 11

45% 45 1 1 8

83% 8 2 1 7

52% 35 4 8

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

55% 26 2 2 15

43% 43 1 1 11

43% 48 2 7

41% 46 1 1 10

65% 28 2 1 5

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TREND: If the 2010 election for governor were being held today and the candidates were Andrew Cuomo the Democrat and Rudy Giuliani the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Cuomo Giuliani SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

51 39 1 1 8

47 41 1 1 9

53 36 2 9

51 37 1 2 9

5. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Peter King the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Gillibrand King SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Gillibrand King SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

44% 28 1 2 26

13% 63 24

67% 8 1 2 23

38% 31 1 2 28

41% 34 1 3 21

46% 22 1 2 30

39% 32 1 2 26

68% 6 2 23

53% 20 2 25

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

48% 16 1 3 32

46% 24 1 2 26

29% 46 0 1 24

46% 26 1 2 26

49% 20 1 3 27

TREND: If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Kirsten Gillibrand the Democrat and Peter King the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Gillibrand King SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

44 28 1 2 26

40 28 1 3 28

42 26 2 2 28

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6. If the 2010 election for United States Senator were being held today and the candidates were Carolyn Maloney the Democrat and Peter King the Republican, for whom would you vote?

Maloney King SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Maloney King SMONE ELSE(VOL) WLDN'T VOTE(VOL) DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

42% 26 1 2 30

8% 64 1 28

67% 5 1 2 25

36% 28 1 2 34

38% 33 1 3 25

45% 19 1 2 34

35% 31 1 2 31

72% 7 1 19

56% 16 2 26

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

39% 18 1 3 38

32% 25 1 3 39

41% 39 1 18

31% 26 1 2 39

54% 18 1 2 25

7. Is your opinion of - Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

63% 15 20 2

47% 33 17 3

75% 4 19 2

63% 16 19 2

61% 21 16 1

65% 10 23 3

63% 17 17 2

68% 5 25 3

59% 11 27 3

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

66% 14 20 1

59% 18 21 2

64% 17 17 2

58% 19 21 2

68% 11 20 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

Jan 14 2009

Dec 23 2008

63 15 20 2

51 13 34 2

63 17 18 2

63 15 20 2

57 10 32 2

55 11 32 2

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8. Is your opinion of - David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

28% 54 14 4

13% 72 12 3

40% 43 13 4

22% 57 16 5

27% 58 10 5

28% 50 18 4

22% 62 12 4

57% 25 17 2

38% 39 17 6

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

23% 57 15 5

22% 61 13 4

24% 59 13 4

22% 61 13 4

37% 43 15 5

TREND: Is your opinion of David Paterson favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

Jan 26 2009

28 54 14 4

24 55 18 3

27 55 14 4

41 35 20 4

48 25 24 3

9. Is your opinion of - Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

55% 36 6 3

87% 7 6 1

33% 56 8 3

56% 34 5 4

55% 38 5 2

54% 35 8 3

62% 29 6 2

16% 72 7 5

48% 42 8 2

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

55% 34 10 1

63% 25 10 3

60% 34 4 2

64% 23 10 3

40% 52 4 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Rudy Giuliani favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him? (*High also 56% Feb 2009 and Feb 2007)

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

Dec 17 2007

FAVORABLE..... High Low May 13 Dec 17 2009* 2007

55 36 6 3

56 32 10 2

55 35 7 4

56 35 7 2

41 40 16 3

56 32 10 2

41 40 16 3

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10. Is your opinion of - Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

25% 10 63 2

18% 16 65 1

29% 8 62 1

27% 11 60 3

26% 13 60 2

25% 9 65 2

26% 11 62 1

22% 4 72 2

19% 10 71 -

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

34% 6 59 -

36% 10 53 1

13% 13 73 1

37% 10 52 1

19% 10 68 3

TREND: Is your opinion of Kirsten Gillibrand favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Jun 24 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

Jan 26 2009

25 10 63 2

24 11 64 1

24 9 65 1

25 10 63 1

11. Is your opinion of - Carolyn Maloney favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

24% 8 67 1

9% 15 75 1

34% 2 63 1

23% 9 67 2

23% 11 65 2

25% 5 69 1

20% 9 70 1

38% 4 57 1

26% 6 68 -

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

13% 2 85 -

13% 4 82 1

26% 15 59 1

13% 5 81 1

36% 8 54 2

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12. Is your opinion of - Peter King favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

22% 11 66 1

44% 2 53 1

11% 15 73 2

24% 11 64 1

29% 13 57 1

16% 9 74 1

24% 9 66 1

11% 16 71 3

22% 13 65 -

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

15% 4 80 -

13% 5 81 1

40% 14 46 1

13% 5 81 1

22% 17 60 2

TREND: Is your opinion of Peter King favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable Unfavorable Hvn't hrd enough REFUSED

Jun 24 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

22 11 66 1

22 11 67 1

21 10 68 1

13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

28% 61 12

16% 76 9

36% 52 12

24% 64 12

29% 64 8

27% 58 15

23% 66 10

52% 35 14

33% 54 13

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

25% 64 12

24% 66 9

26% 62 13

24% 67 9

33% 53 14

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way David Paterson is handling his job as Governor? (*Low app also 28% Apr 2009 & May 2009 / ** High Dis also 61% May 2009)

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

APPROVE....... High Low Aug 06 Jun 24 2008 2009*

28 61 12

28 61 10

28 60 13

45 41 14

64 14 22

28 61 12

DIS... High Jun 24 2009** 28 61 12

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14. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

37% 15 48

26% 23 51

45% 10 46

39% 15 46

37% 19 44

37% 11 52

37% 15 49

37% 9 54

41% 16 44

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

37% 12 51

46% 14 40

23% 17 60

48% 14 38

35% 14 51

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Kirsten Gillibrand is handling her job as United States Senator?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

37 15 48

33 13 54

28 10 62

15. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

63% 23 14

43% 44 13

78% 9 12

62% 26 13

64% 30 6

63% 17 20

62% 27 12

79% 7 13

65% 13 22

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

59% 20 21

58% 27 14

57% 28 15

58% 28 14

73% 16 12

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator? (*High app also 69% Oct 2001)

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

Jan 14 2009

APPROVE....... High Low Dec 8 Apr 15 2004* 1999

63 23 14

61 25 14

64 24 12

57 24 19

69 16 15

51 22 28

DIS... High Jan 20 2006 58 28 14

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16. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

67% 26 7

31% 60 9

94% 4 2

63% 28 9

63% 31 7

71% 22 7

61% 31 8

96% 3 2

84% 13 3

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

68% 23 9

61% 32 8

58% 34 8

60% 33 7

82% 14 5

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 19 2009

67 26 7

71 21 7

72 17 10

19. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

73% 12 14

58% 24 18

82% 6 12

77% 11 12

74% 16 10

73% 10 18

74% 12 14

79% 8 13

65% 17 19

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

76% 7 17

72% 12 16

74% 14 12

71% 13 16

75% 11 13

TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Andrew Cuomo is handling his job as State Attorney General?

Approve Disapprove DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

Feb 17 2009

APPROVE....... High Low Feb 17 Feb 13 2009 2007

73 12 14

68 12 20

75 14 11

76 11 13

76 11 13

42 16 42

DIS... High Jul 31 2007 68 19 24

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21. Looking ahead to the 2010 election for Governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4 year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4 year term?

Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA

Yes/Deserves No/Does not DK/NA

Tot

Rep

Dem

Ind

Men

Wom

Wht

Blk

His

22% 64 13

11% 79 10

31% 56 13

19% 67 14

23% 67 9

22% 62 17

17% 70 13

47% 37 16

32% 57 11

UpState..... Urban Othr

UpState Total NYC

Sub

23% 64 14

19% 69 12

18% 67 14

18% 70 12

29% 56 14

TREND: Looking ahead to the 2010 election for governor, do you feel that David Paterson deserves to be elected to a full 4-year term, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be elected to a full 4-year term?

Yes/Deserves No/Does Not DK/NA

Jun 24 2009

May 13 2009

Apr 06 2009

22 64 13

21 64 15

22 63 16

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