When did we start trusting strangers? UM EMEA September 2008
September 2008 29 countries 17,000 internet users
Influence Revolution When did we start trusting strangers
PRE MEDIA AGE
MASS MEDIA AGE
SOCIAL MEDIA AGE
Consumers dictate
Professional media dictate
Church, state, monarchy dictate the agenda
Volume of Recommendation
The ways to share influence have exploded When did we start trusting strangers
PRE MEDIA AGE
MASS MEDIA AGE
Talk face to face Phone call Talk face to face
Talk to shop worker
Talk to shop worker
Consult a professional Readers letters Phone in; TV / Radio
SOCIAL MEDIA AGE
Talk face to face
Personal blog
Comments on blogs
Phone call
Social network page
Comments on websites
Talk to shop worker
Widgets
Viral emails
Consult a professional
Video sharing site
Auction websites
Readers Letters
Photo sharing site
Wish lists
Phone in; TV / Radio
Chat rooms
Ratings on retail sites
SMS
Message boards
Reviews on retail sites
Email
Social Bookmarking
Price comparison sites
Instant Messenger
Chat room
Social shopping sites
Consumer influence channels
We now influence to the world without thinking
When did we start trusting strangers
This is why your brand is already part of their conversation When did we start trusting strangers
We measured the impact When did we start trusting strangers
Online self completion surveys Scripted and hosted on Intuition, Universal McCann’s proprietary research system, powered by Confirmit Representative to the 16-54 active internet universe (use every day / every other day) Key audience to understand adoption Make up the vast majority of social media users Panellists recruited by global panel partners Completed in Q1 2008
Creating unique global insight When did we start trusting strangers
29 markets
17,000 respondents
Australia Austria Brazil Canada China Czech Republic France Denmark Germany Greece Hong Kong Hungary India Italy Japan Mexico Netherlands Pakistan Philippines Poland Romania Russia Singapore South Korea Switzerland Spain Taiwan Turkey UK USA
Result: a new landscape of influence When did we start trusting strangers
Rise of social media Digital friends Proliferation of influence channels
Continual rise of social media: Content creation is mainstream New influence landscape: the rise of social media 90% 80% Read blogs / weblogs 70% Start my own blog/ weblog 60% % Ever Done
Leave a comment on a blog site 50%
Upload my photos to a photo sharing site
40%
Upload a video clip to a video sharing site
30%
Watch video clips online
20%
Create a profile on a social network
10% 0% Wave 1 Sep 06
Wave 2 June 07
Wave 3 March 08
Social Media adoption over time (waves 1 – 3) Global Average. Source: Universal McCann Social Media Tracker Power to the People
Driving the growth of the web New influence landscape: the rise of social media Volume of content published online each year
876,000% Increase!
1 EXABYTES
1999
Source: Internet Innovation Alliance
8760 EXABYTES
2008
Publishing billions of thoughts New influence landscape: the rise of social media
YOUTUBE
FLICKR
6.6M PHOTOS UPLOADED EVERY DAY
WIKIPEDIA
TRIP ADVISOR
14 HOURS OF VIDEO UPLOADED EVERY MINUTE
11.2M ARTICLES
15M REVIEWS
Much of this content is opinion New influence landscape: the rise of social media Upload photos
“What do you do with your social network profile?” Social Network Users, Global Average.
Favourite / currently listened to m usic Write a blog
Install applications
Upload videos
Prom ote a band 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
% added to your social netw ork page
Recom m ended w ebsites
“When writing a blog, which of the following do you post?” Blog writers only, Global Average.
Opinions on products and
Stories from other blogs
Widgets (e.g applications that 0%
10%
20% 30% 40% % posted to your blog
50%
60%
Social media: creating digital connections New influence landscape: digital friends Agree with the statement “Blogging is important to socialise with friends”
Philippines Mexico India brazil China France Spain UK US
India 0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
brazil
% Agree
China South Korea Italy Germany Spain France
Agree with the statement “I use social networks to meet new people”
US UK 0
10
20
30
40 % Agree
50
60
70
80
Digitising our friend networks New influence landscape: digital friends
“Approximately how many people do you stay in contact with in your personal life through the follow means?”,
Across the world New influence landscape: digital friends Face to face Em ail
US
Social Netw ork (e.g Facebook.com )
China
UK
Instant Messenger (e.g Window s Live Messenger) Phone Text Message (SMS) My personal blog
0
20
40
0
A v e r a ge n u mber o f c on n ec t i o n s ma i n ta i n ed
20
0
40
20
Post/Letter
40
A v e r a ge n umbe r o f c on ne c ti o ns ma i n t a i ne d
A v e r a ge numbe r o f c o nne c ti o ns ma i nt ai ne d
“Approximately how many people do you stay in contact with in your personal life through the follow means?”,
Brazil
India
0
20
40
A v e r a ge n u mbe r of c o n ne c ti o ns ma i nt a i n e d
Japan
0
20
40
A v e r a ge nu mbe r o f c on n e c t i o n s ma i n ta i ne d
Key Internet markets
0
20
40
A v e r a ge n umbe r of c o nn e c t i on s ma i n t a i n e d
Our fundamental interactions are becoming virtual
New influence landscape: digital friends My personal blog]
Social Network (e.g Facebook.com)] Instant Messenger (e.g Windows Live Messenger)] Post/Letter
Children
Partner
Email
Text Message (SMS) Phone
0
10
20
30
40
50
0
60
10 20 30 % Stay in contact
% Stay in contact
40
Face to face
“How do you keep in contact with the following people”
Current work colleagues
Friends
0
10
20
30
40
% Stay in contact
50
60
70
0
20
40
60
% Stay in contact
80
100
We now share massive volume of opinion in a digital format New influence landscape: influence channels “Thinking about how you can share an opinion on a product, brand or service via the Internet. On average how often do you do the following? Global Monthly Average
Tell som eone about a product/service by m essenger Tell som eone about a product/service by em ail Com m ent on a product/service review on a blog/ w eblog Write a review of a seller on an auction site Recom m end a product/ service on blog/ w eblog Write review of product/service on ecom m erce/retail site Com m ent on product/ service review on ecom m erce/retail site Post opinion on social netw ork personal profile Write a review of a product/service on yr blog/w eblog Create product w ish/ favs list on ecom m erce/retail site Post a video clip featuring a product/service 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Monthly Reach
35
40
45
50
We are motivated to share by experience New influence landscape: influence channels
“The following are a list of reasons and motivations for you to talk about a product, brand or service. Please can you consider how important they are in motivating you to talk to others? Where 5 = very motivating and 1 = Not at all motivating.” GlobalAverage
Good personal experience Som eone you trust having a good personal experience The brand is high quality A friend's recom m endation Bad personal experience A free sam ple you receive Your friends like the product or service Som eone you trust having a bad personal experience The product or service is discounted The brand is popular An advertisem ent you find interesting & inspiring A prom otion you see in a store A recom m endation in the m edia (TVnew spapersm ags Radio) A recom m endation you receive in a store The brand is fashionable The brand is unknow n am ongst social group Seen used by a celebrity/w ell know n figure 0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
Average Score 1 - 5
3
3.5
4
4.5
We look for other consumers to form our opinions
New influence landscape: influence channels
“Thinking about the process of looking for opinions on a product, brand or services online. On average how often do you do the following when looking for information on products, brands and services?” Global Average
Search for a specific product/ service on a search engine Read an em ail from a friend/colleague Search for product recom m endations on a search engine Visit official com pany/brand w ebsite Instant Messenger conversation w ith a friend/colleague Bookm ark products & services interested in Visit an Internet auction site Read review s by consum ers on retail sites e.g Am azon.com Read com m ents on a personal profile on a sn e.g Facebook.com Read official review s on retail/ price com parison w ebsites Read review s w ritten on new s w ebsites e.g bbc.co.uk Read a personal blog/w eblog by som eone you know Read review s by consum ers on retail sites e.g Am azon.com and Visit online Chat room s/m essage boards Read a blog/w eblog by som eone you do not know Read peoples w ish/ favs lists on retail w ebsites Read a blog/w eblogs- m anaged by a brand/ private com pany 0
10
20
30
40
50
% Monthly Reach
60
70
80
90
Now we trust strangers….. New influence landscape: influence channels
“Thinking about where you find information for products, brands and services that you buy. Please can you rate them in terms of how trust worthy the information provided typically is? Where 10 = Very trustworthy and 1 = Not at all trustworthy” Global Average Celebrity recommendation Personal recommendations fromfriends/ family/ Emails fromcompanies 7 Personal recommendations from professionals Cinema Advertising Emails from a friend/ colleague
6
Instant M essenger conversation with a friend/ colleague
5
Consumers reviews on retail sites e.g amazon.com
4
Reviews on retail/ price comparison webs e.g priceline.com
3
Sponsorship of events or sporting events Recommendation on radio programmes Radio advertising
Sponsored listings on a search engine
2 Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know
User reviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com)
M agazine article
Newspaper article
Reviews written on news websites e.g guardian.co.uk Search engine (e.g live.com) Company/brand Website
1 0
Newspaper advertising
M agazine advertising
Television Adverts
Online Chat rooms/ message boards Outdoor advertising (e.g Posters ads on public transport) Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know Peoples wish/fav lists on retail websites e.g amazon.com
Shelf information and product displays in store Recommendation in a television programme Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com Comments/viewpoints on social network sites e.g facebook.com Readers letters page in a newspaper
Education increases trust in strangers New influence landscape: influence channels Trust by age, Global average
Trust by gender, Global average Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know 6 5
Consumers revie ws on retail sites e.g amazon.com
Peoples wish/fav lists on retail we bsites e.g amazon.com
4 3 2 1 0
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know
Comments/v ie wpoints on social network sites e .g facebook.com
User revie ws on an online auction site (e.g e bay.com)
Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e .g engadget.com
Male
Trust by final education level, Global average Blogs/Weblogs-blog written by people you do not know 6 5
Consumers reviews on retail sites e.g amazon.com
Peoples wish/fav lists on retail websites e.g amazon.com
4 3 2 1 0
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog written by people you know
Comments/viewpoints on social network sites e.g facebook.com
User reviews on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com)
Post Graduate Secondary
Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com
University Primary School
College
Female
But culture the biggest factor New influence landscape: influence channels Trust by country, Global average Blogs/Weblogs-blog w ritten by people you do not know
7 6 5
Consum ers review s on retail sites e.g am azon.com
Peoples w ish/fav lists on retail w ebsites e.g am azon.com
4 3 2 1 0
Blogs/Weblogs- personal blog w ritten by people you know
Com m ents/view points on social netw ork sites e.g facebook.com
User review s on an online auction site (e.g ebay.com )
brazil
China
Blogs/Weblogs- professional blog e.g engadget.com
Japan
South Korea
UK
US
The new influence landscape - summary New influence landscape: Summary THE RISE OF SOCIAL MEDIA • Has turned hundreds of millions of us into content creators and placed billions of opinions online • The world’s collective thinking is now online and published, a first in history • A total revolution in the way consumers share influence and opinion DIGITAL FRIENDS • Digital channels have moved more of our social interactions into the virtual space and into text and the written word • The web has expanded our networks to include people we don’t know and people we used to know and in a pre web age we would have lost contact with • Digital channels encourage more frequent interaction and make it easier to share influence e.g through sending links, videos or pictures. PROLIFERATION OF INFLUENCE CHANNELS • The continual rise of social media and the growth of mechanisms for user input have created an incredible wealth of outlets to share opinions and thoughts • There is a new form of casual influence – It is now incredibly easy to share opinion, from voting buttons, to wish lists to comments. • We now trust a strangers recommendation as much as or closest friend • We trust recommendations in social media channels more than paid-for communications
Impact When did we start trusting strangers
• • •
Influence economy – products and services The democratisation of influence The new super influencers
All categories are impacted Impact: Influence economy “Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services. Can you please indicate whether you have reviewed them online, either a positive, average or negative opinion” Global Average Film s Music Hom e Technology e.g TV's/PC Portable technology e.g MP3 Mobile phone service Books Com puter Softw are Travel- i.e flights/trains Holidays/ Destinations Gam es Consoles/Gam ing Cars/ Autom obiles Fashion (clothing/shoes) Hom e appliances e.g Fridges/freezers Financial products Groceries (food) Personal Healthcare Cosm etics Groceries Non alcoholic beverages Alcoholic drinks Utilities e.g gas Property/ Real Estate 0
10
20
30 40 % Ever review ed online
50
60
70
But big variation by country Impact: Influence economy Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services. Can you please indicate whether you have reviewed them online, either a positive, average or negative opinion” Films Category. France South Korea Hong Kong brazil
Hungary
100
Romania
90
Japan
80 70
Philippines
Netherlands
60
India
UK
50 40
Pakistan
Denmark
30 20
China
Canada
10 0
Taiwan
Greece
Malaysia
Turkey
Germany
Russia
Austria
Czech Mexico
Switzerland Poland
US Italy
Australia Spain
Totals
Searching for information varies from contribution
Impact: Influence economy
“Thinking about the following types of products, brands or services. Can you please indicate whether you have researched them online, before purchasing” Global Average Holidays/ Destinations Hom e Technology e.g TV's/PC Travel-i.e flights/ trains Portable technology e.g MP3 players/ Mobile Phones Mobile phone service Com puter Softw are Film s Music Books Cars/Autom obiles Hom e appliances e.g Fridges/freezers Gam es Consoles/ Gam ing Fashion (clothing/ shoes) Financial products (e.g credit cards/ banking/insurance) Property/Real Estate Cosm etics Personal Healthcare (e.g m edicines contact lenses etc) Groceries (food) Utilities e.g gas electricity etc Groceries (non food e.g cleaning products) Alcoholic drinks Non alcoholic beverages 0
10
20
30 40 % Researched online
50
60
70
Online turning us into influencers Impact: democratisation of influence “Thinking about the following type of products, brands and services, which of the following statements apply? I often inform others on what to buy / I sometimes inform others on what to buy / I sometimes ask others what products to buy /I would always ask others about what products to buy ” Global Average
RECEIVORS ALWAYS ASK SOMETIMES ASK SOMETIMES INFORM OFTEN INFORM
INFLUENCERS
Groceries (food) Non alcoholic beverages Music Film s Books Mobile phone service Groceries (non food e.g cleaning products) Hom e Technology e.g TV’s/PC
Fashion (clothing/ shoes) Portable technology e.g MP3 players/ Mobile Phones[Alw ays ask Holidays/ Destinations Alcoholic drinks Hom e appliances e.g Fridges/ freezers Travel Personal Healthcare (e.g m edicines contact lenses etc)[Alw ays ask Com puter Softw are Utilities e.g gas electricity etc[Alw ays ask others] Gam es Consoles/ Gam ing Cosm etics Cars/ Autom obiles Financial products (e.g credit cards/ banking/ insurance)[Alw ays Property/Real Estate[Often inform others] -80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Now we all influence in a huge number of categories Impact: democratisation of influence 20+ 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
SOURCE INFLUENCE
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
Some rise above the mass: Super influencers Strongly influence in 15+ product categories Rise above the mass of influence Spreading influence regardless of topic
Impact: Super Influencers
25-34, educated, embrace life Impact: Super Influencers Lifestyle statements indexed against all respondents
Super Influencer demographics indexed against all respondents Index against all adults 50
70
90
110
130
Indexed against all adults 150
170
190
Male Female 16 - 24 25 - 34 35 - 44 45 - 54 Student Office Junior Office (Mid manager) Office (Senior manager) Non office Housewife Unemployed Other Primary School Some Secondary School Full Secondary School Education College University Post Graduate
THE NEW INFLUENCERS
Content creators Super Influencer social media usage indexed against all respondents Upload video clip to video sharing website (e.g youtube.com) Subscribe to an RSS feed Start my own blog/ weblog Download a Podcast (pre recorded radio/audio show) Leave a comment on a blog site Upload my photos to a photo sharing website (e.g flickr.com) Make a phone call using your computer Create a profile on a new social network (e.g facebook.com) Visit a photo sharing website (e.g flickr.com) Share a video clip with a friend (email/Instant messenger) Manage profile on existing social network (e.g facebook.com) Read blogs/weblogs Visit a friends social network page (e.g facebook.com) Listen to live radio/audio online Use Instant Messenger (e.g Windows Live Messenger) Watch video clips online (e.g youtube.com) 100
120
140
160
180
200
220
Open to commercial messaging Impact: Super Influencers Super Influencer motivations to recommend indexed against all respondents Bad personal experience[5] Seen used by a celebrity/w ell know n figure[5]
130
Good personal experience[5]
125
The brand is fashionable[5]
Som eone you trust having a bad personal experience[5]
120
115 110
The brand is unknow n am ongst social group[5]
Som eone you trust having a good personal experience[5]
105
100 95
90
A recom m endation on the Internet[5]
The brand is high quality[5]
85 80
A recom m endation in the m edia (TVnew spapersm ags Radio)[5]
A friend's recom m endation[5]
An advertisem ent you find interesting & inspiring[5]
The product or service is discounted[5]
A recom m endation you receive in a store[5]
Your friends like the product or service[5]
The brand is popular[5]
A free sam ple you receive[5]
A prom otion you see in a store[5]
New Influencers
A
U us S tr al ia
U Po K la n R om d an i F a Sw ra n c itz er e la nd Ta iw G a er n m an y So Cz e ut h ch K or ea Sp ai n Ja pa n It a ly C hi n Tu a rk e G y r e Ph e ili ce pp in Pa es ki st a M n ex ic o In di a br az il
N
en et ma he rk rla n H ds un g H on ar y g K on g A us tr C ia an ad R a us si a
D
% share of active internet users
Emerging markets lead the super influencers Impact: Super Influencers
Super Influencers by country, share of active users
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Super Influencers are changing the world through social media Impact: Super Influencers
Bloggers credited with getting obama the nomination. Obama embraced them by being massively involved in social media, from twitter to blogger to slide share
Politics
Corporate Transparency
Super influencers have targeted some big corporations giving them a dose of ultra transparency. Wal-Mart is one of the main targets; there is Wal-Mart watch website, Wal-Mart groups on Flickr, hundreds of local blogs fighting the development of Wal-Marts in their back yard and social networks aimed at organising boycotts.
Issue Campaigning
Reviews
Wael Abbas used Youtube and blogs to hi-light human rights issues to the world.
You would be hard pushed to find a category where consumer reviews have had more of an impact than restaurant reviews. Blogs from food lovers or even waiters now compete with the professionals with making or breaking restaurants. In tandem review services such as London Eating or Yelp are now essential when choosing where to go.
Impact - summary Impact: Summary INFLUENCE ECONOMY – PRODUCTS AND SERVICES • Overall participation rates for contributing opinions, thoughts and content on products and brands is extremely high • This means all brands have to react to the influence economy – becoming more open, more transparent and more active in social and conversational media. • Different product categories have significantly different exposure to the power of the influencer landscape • Even low interest, expert categories such as finance, real estate and insurance have high participation rates. • Music, films and technology are the categories most talked about online • Holidays and travel are the most sought after for information • Asia and emerging internet markets are leading the way in contributing opinion to the influencer economy THE DEMOCRATISATION OF INFLUENCE • We are more likely to be influencers than receivers in the age of social media • Consumers the world over now claim influence in a huge number of categories • The key categories for broad influence are the same as the key categories for online recommendation with the exception of groceries and food THE NEW SUPER INFLUENCERS: CREATORS • Are the most the active in social media • They are much more likely to create and share rich content • As the channels they contribute to continue to rise in importance so does their impact in the universe of influence • This is the new creative class; the bloggers, the video up loaders, the photo sharers
WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR YOUR BRAND?
A new world of transparency Impact: Summary NEW WORLD OF TRANSPARENCY • There are no secrets in the new world of influence • Brands, products and services are under constant scrutiny and the truth cannot be managed in the way it was when a few gatekeepers controlled the distribution of information • The only path is honesty, openness and transparency. If you make a mistake in the new world of influence – you admit it and make good. • All categories of goods and services are now impacted BE PART OF THE CONVERSATION • The new world of influence needs a more conversational approach; advertising should encourage interaction, input and community • This means having a blog, being in social networks, creating content such as photos, videos etc – generally being part of the conversation. • Advertising has a big role in the future world of influence – it provides the revenue for most of the services that enable and cultivate consumer recommendation EVERYBODY MATTERS • Today everybody should be considered an influencer to some degree – we all influence and receive to some degree • Every target audience should be encouraged to share opinions and influence REACHING OUT TO THE CREATORS • The creators are the new super influencers, the ones that make the most of the tools of social media. Bloggers, video creators, podcasters etc should be considered as one the most powerful voices in the future
Responding to the new world of influence Impact: Summary
Microsoft: Allow a a massive number of their staff to blog freely to the external world.
Nike: Created a Youtube channel for Nike Soccer, sharing all their adverts and content.
J&J: Have a a staff blog. As they rightfully state: “Everyone else is talking about our company, so why can’t we?”
Lenovo: The voice of the summer Olympic games site pulled together many athlete bloggers.
Starbucks: My Starbucks Idea allows customers to tell Starbucks what to do.
Dell: The ideastorm allows consumers to suggest ideas to Dell and their community. Also have blogs, podcasts and Twitter feeds.
Southwest Air: “Nuts about South West” has blogs and content from across all the maior social media applications including Youtube, Facebook and Flickr
H&M: Created a page on Facebook to share new collections, content and create community. It has over 250K fans!
CT: CONTA
H T I M S TOAM SUMER N O C F DO
MEA E S E R FUTU com . w w m ith@u m s . m o t HE
When did we start trusting strangers? Um Global August 2008
September 2008 29 countries 17,000 internet users