Poll: 2010 Gubernatorial Election

BOSTON GLOBE POLL #22 MA 2010 GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

Prepared by: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D.

The Survey Center University of New Hampshire July, 2009

Contents Technical Report.......................................................................... 1 Questionnaire ............................................................................... 2 Data Tables ................................................................................ 16

The Boston Globe Poll #22 MA 2012 Gubernatorial Election

Conducted by the UNH Survey Center July 2009

Technical Report

Field Period: July 15 to July 21, 2009 Hours: 10 a.m. to 9 p.m. Median Completion Time: 14 minutes Sample Size: 545 randomly selected Massachusetts adults (RDD) Sampling Error: +/- 4.2% Response Rate (AAPOR #4): 20% The data have been weighted by the number of adults in a household and the number of telephone numbers at which a household can be reached in order to equalize the chances of an individual MA adult being selected. The data have also been weighted by the sex and race of the respondent and the region of the state based on the American Community Survey conducted by the US Census.

1

The Boston Globe Poll #22 Conducted by the UNH Survey Center FINAL July, 15 2009 FINAL INTRO: “Good afternoon / evening. My name is _____________________ and I'm from the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. We are conducting a short, confidential study about politics and policy in Massachusetts, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation.” 1 99

CONTINUE REFUSED

BIR1 “In order to determine who to interview, could you tell me, of the adults who currently live in your household -including yourself -- who had the most recent birthday? I don't mean who is the youngest, but rather, who had the most recent birthday?” 1 2 3 4

INFORMANT SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ________________ DON'T KNOW ALL BIRTHDAYS, ONLY SOME DON'T KNOW ANY BIRTHDAYS OTHER THAN OWN

99

REFUSED -- ENTER NON-RESPONSE INFORMATION


SKIP TO SEX
SKIP TO INT2
CONTINUE WITH BIR2
SKIP TO SEX

BIR2 “Of the ones that you do know, who had the most recent birthday?” 1 2

INFORMANT SOMEONE ELSE (SPECIFY): ___________________

99

REFUSED


SKIP TO SEX
SKIP TO INT2

INT2 ASK TO SPEAK TO THAT PERSON “Good afternoon / evening, this is _____________________ calling from the University of New Hampshire. This month, we are conducting a confidential study about politics and policy in Massachusetts, and we'd really appreciate your help and cooperation. You have been identified as the adult in your household who had the most recent birthday. Is this correct?” 1 2

YES SKIP TO SEX APPOINTMENT

99

REFUSAL TERMINATE

2

SEX “Thank you very much for helping us with this important study. We really appreciate your help. Before we begin I want to assure you that all of your answers are strictly confidential. Your telephone number was randomly selected from all families in Massachusetts and your responses will be combined with answers from other people from across the state.” “Participation is voluntary. If you decide to participate, you may decline to answer any question or end the interview at any time. This call may be monitored for quality assurance.” IF ASKED: “This survey will take about ten minutes to complete.” RECORD SEX OF RESPONDENT

*

1 2 99

MALE FEMALE NA / REFUSED

MIPMA “First of all ... there are many problems facing the State of Massachusetts today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Massachusetts today?” (PROBE: “Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?”) RECORD VERBATIM PROBE FOR SPECIFIC RESPONSE

TRACKMA “Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?”

*

1 2

RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG TRACK

98 99

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) NA / REFUSED

GOVAPP “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?” (IF APPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you approve only SOMEWHAT?” (IF DISAPPROVE): “Would you say that you STRONGLY disapprove of the way he is handling his job as governor, or that you disapprove only SOMEWHAT?” (IF NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK): “Would you say that you lean a little more toward APPROVING or DISAPPROVING of the way he is handling his job as governor?”

*

1 2 3

STRONGLY APPROVE
SKIPTO GOVAPPA APPROVE SOMEWHAT
SKIPTO GOVAPPA LEAN TOWARD APPROVING
SKIPTO GOVAPPA

4

NEITHER, NOT SURE, DK

5 6 7

LEAN TOWARD DISAPPROVING
SKIPTO GOVAPPD DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT
SKIPTO GOVAPPD STRONGLY DISAPPROVE
SKIPTO GOVAPPD

99

NA / REFUSED 3

FAV “Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you don’t know enough about him or her to say. First, how about ... ROTATE FAV1 TO FAV10 FAV1 “Governor Deval Patrick.” 1 FAVORABLE 2 NEITHER FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE - VOLUNTEERED 3 UNFAVORABLE

*

98 99

DK / NEVER HEARD OF / KNOW TOO LITTLE TO SAY NA / REFUSED

FAV2

“Lieutenant Governor Tim Murray.”

FAV3

“Attorney General Martha Coakley.”

FAV4

“Speaker of the House Robert DeLeo.”

FAV5

“State Senate President Therese Murray.”

FAV6

“State Treasurer Tim Cahill.”

FAV7

“Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO Charlie Baker.”

FAV8

“Former Massachusetts Turnpike Authority member Christy Mihos (MY - hos).”

FAV9

“Senator Ted Kennedy.”

FAV10 “Senator John Kerry.”

4

REGVOTE “Are you registered to vote as a Democrat, Independent, Republican or something else?”

*

1 2 3 4

REGISTERED DEMOCRAT
VOTEINT REGISTERED INDEPENDENT / UNAFFILIATED
CONTINUE WITH DKGOVPR REGISTERED REPUBLICAN
SKIPTO PRIMINT REGISTERED – OTHER
SKIPTO DKGOVPR

98 99

NOT REGISTERED / DK (DO NOT PROBE)
SKIPTO DKGOVPR NA / REFUSED

DKGOVPR “If the primary election for candidates for Massachusetts Governor were held today, would you be more likely to vote in the Republican primary … the Democratic primary … or would you skip that election?”

*

1 2

VOTE IN REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
SKIPTO PRIMINT VOTE IN DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
SKIPTO VOTEINT

3 4

DK / NOT SURE-PROBE: "As of today, which primary are you most likely to vote in?"
SKIPTO VOTEINT WILL NOT VOTE IN 2006 PRIMARY
SKIPTO VOTEINT

99

NA / REFUSED

PRIMINT “As you know, the Republican primary election for the nominee for Governor of Massachusetts and other offices is being held next September. How interested would you say you are in the 2010 Republican primary ... extremely interested ... very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?”

*

1 2 3 4

EXTREMELY INTERESTED VERY INTERESTED SOMEWHAT INTERESTED NOT VERY INTERESTED

98 99

DK (DO NOT PROBE) NA

PRLIKE “Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)

*

1 2 3 4 5

I will probably NOT vote in the September 2010 Republican primary election,
VOTEINT I MAY vote in the 2010 Republican primary election, Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2010 Republican primary election, I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2010 Republican primary election, or I just don't know at this time.”
VOTEINT

99

NA/REFUSED
VOTEINT

5

GOPGOV “If the Republican primary for Massachusetts Governor were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for ... Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO Charlie Baker … Former Massachusetts Turnpike Authority member Christy Mihos, or someone else?" (ROTATE CANDIDATES)

*

1 2 3

CHARLIE BAKER
SKIPTO STRENGTH CHRISTY MIHOS
SKIPTO STRENGTH OTHER CANDIDATE – SPECIFY
SKIP TO STRENGTH

97 98 99

WILL NOT VOTE
SKIPTO VOTEINT DK / NOT SURE
SKIPTO LEAN NA / REFUSED
SKIPTO VOTEINT

LEAN “Which candidate would you say you are leaning toward at this time … Charlie Baker or Christy Mihos, or someone else?" (ROTATE CANDIDATES)

*

1 2 3

CHARLIE BAKER CHRISTY MIHOS OTHER CANDIDATE – SPECIFY
STRENGTH

98 99

DK / NOT SURE
SKIP TO VOTEINT NA / REFUSED
SKIP TO VOTEINT

STRENGTH “Are you DEFINITELY going to vote for ____________, probably going to vote for ____________ or is there a good chance you could change your mind?”

*

1 2 3

DEFINITELY VOTE FOR PROBABLY VOTE FOR MIGHT CHANGE MIND

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

6

VOTEINT “And as you know, the general election for Governor of Massachusetts and other offices is being held in November 2010. How interested would you say you are in the 2010 general election ... extremely interested ... very interested ... somewhat interested ... or not very interested?”

*

1 2 3 4

EXTREMELY INTERESTED VERY INTERESTED SOMEWHAT INTERESTED NOT VERY INTERESTED

98 99

DK (DO NOT PROBE) NA

VOTELIKE “Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5)

*

1 2 3 4 5

I will probably NOT vote in the November 2010 general election,
I MAY vote in the November 2010 general election, Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the 2010 general election, I will DEFINITELY vote in the 2010 general election, or I just don't know at this time.”


99

NA/REFUSED


GOV1 “I know that it is early, but have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for Massachusetts governor in 2010 … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide?” 1 2 3

DEFINITELY DECIDED WHO WILL VOTE FOR LEANING TOWARD SOMEONE STILL TRYING TO DECIDE

99

NA / REFUSED

GOV2 “If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … Deval Patrick, the Democrat … and Tim Cahill, the Independent, who would you vote for ... Charlie Baker … Deval Patrick … or Tim Cahill?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1 2 3 4 5

BAKER PATRICK CAHILL OTHER WILL NOT VOTE

98 99

DK / UNSURE NA/REFUSED

7

GOV3 “If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Christy Mihos, the Republican … Deval Patrick, the Democrat … and Tim Cahill, the Independent, who would you vote for ... Christy Mihos … Deval Patrick … or Tim Cahill?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1 2 3 4 5

MIHOS PATRICK CAHILL OTHER WILL NOT VOTE

98 99

DK / UNSURE NA/REFUSED

GOV4 “Now suppose Tim Cahill does not run for Governor as an Independent. If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … and Deval Patrick, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Charlie Baker or Deval Patrick?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1 2 3 4

BAKER PATRICK OTHER WILL NOT VOTE

98 99

DK / UNSURE NA/REFUSED

GOV5 “And if the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Christy Mihos, the Republican … and Deval Patrick, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Christy Mihos or Deval Patrick?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

*

1 2 3 4

MIHOS PATRICK OTHER WILL NOT VOTE

98 99

DK / UNSURE NA/REFUSED

GOV6 “Regardless of who the candidate is, how likely is it that you would vote for an independent candidate for Governor, that is, someone who is not a Republican or a Democrat … very likely … somewhat likely … not very likely … or not likely at all?”

*

1 2 3 4 5

VERY LIKELY SOMEWHAT LIKELY NOT VERY LIKELY NOT LIKELY AT ALL DEPENDS ON THE CANDIDATE (VOLUNTEERED)

98 99

DK / UNSURE NA/REFUSED

8

ISSUES “I’d like to ask you about several issues that are of importance in Massachusetts. For each one, please tell me which of the current candidates for governor, Republican Charlie Baker, Republican Christy Mihos, Democrat Deval Patrick, or Independent Tim Cahill, you think is best able to handle that issue.” ROTATE ISS1 TO ISS3

ISS1 “Which candidate do you think can best handle the Massachusetts economy and budget crisis?” IF NEEDED: “Republican Charlie Bake … Republican Christy Mihos … Democrat Deval Patrick … or Independent Tim Cahill?”

*

1 2 3 4 5 6 6

BAKER CAHILL MIHOS PATRICK OTHER ALL THE SAME – PROBE: “Which one do you think would do the best job?” NONE - VOLUNTEERED

98 99

DK / UNSURE NA/REFUSED

ISS2 “Which candidate do you trust most on taxes?” ISS3 “Which candidate do you think can best reform Massachusetts health care system?”

ECON1 “Let’s turn for a minute to the current budget problems in Massachusetts. Based on what you have heard or read, how serious is the budget crisis faced by the state of Massachusetts … very serious … somewhat serious … not very serious … or not serious at all?”

*

1 2 3 4

VERY SERIOUS SOMEWHAT SERIUOS NOT VERY SERIOUS NOT SERIOUS AT ALL

98 99

DK / NOT SURE – PROBE: “Based on what you have heard or read.” NA / REFUSED

ECON2 “Who do you TRUST MORE to handle the state’s budget and fiscal problems … [ROTATE RESPONSES] Governor Patrick or the state Legislature?”

*

1 2 3 4

GOVERNOR PATRICK STATE LEGISLATURE BOTH EQUALLY NEITHER

98 99

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) NA / REFUSED 9

ECON3 “Overall, which of the following should be done to improve the state’s budget and fiscal problems … should the governor and the legislature do more to cut government programs, services, and spending, or should taxes and other revenues be raised?” ROTATE RESPONES

*

1 2

CUT PROGRAMS, SERVICES, SPENDING RAISE TAXES AND OTHER REVENUES

98 99

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) NA / REFUSED

ECON4 “As you may have heard, recently, the State Legislature passed, and Governor Patrick signed, a law that raised sales and other taxes in Massachusetts about 1 billion dollars to avert deeper cuts in services. Do you approve or disapprove of the recent tax increases?” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

3.

1 2 3 4 5

STRONGLY APPROVE APPROVE SOMEWHAT NEUTRAL DISAPPROVE SOMEWHAT STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

98 *

DK (PROBE: REPEAT QUESTION) 99 NA / REFUSED

CASINO1 “I’d like to turn to the subject of gambling in Massachusetts. Governor Patrick has recently proposed legal casino gambling, including slot machines, at three locations in Massachusetts. Supporters argue that this will bring in hundreds of millions of dollars in revenues to the State of Massachusetts while opponents argue that casinos will increase social problems from compulsive gambling. What about you … do you favor or oppose legalizing casino gambling in Massachusetts?” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?” 1 2 3 4 5

STRONGLY FAVOR FAVOR SOMEWHAT NEUTRAL OPPOSE SOMEWHAT STRONGLY OPPOSE

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

10

CASINO2 “If casino gambling were made legal in Massachusetts, which type of gambling facility would you prefer [ROTATE RESPONSES] … two or three resort style casinos in different parts of the state or slot parlors at horse and dog tracks?” 1 2 3 4

RESORT CASINOS SLOT PARLORS AT TRACKS NO PREFERENCE - VOLUNTEERED DON’T WANT ANY GAMBLING - VOLUNTEERED

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

ZOO1 “Let’s change the subject again. Recently, Governor Patrick proposed a 4 million dollar cut to the budget of the Stone and Franklin Park zoos. How much would you say you have heard or read about this issue … a great deal … some … or nothing at all?” 1 2 3

HEARD A GREAT DEAL HEARD SOME NOTHING AT ALL

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

ZOO2 “Governor Patrick has said that the zoos, like the rest of the government, need to make cuts because of the state’s budget problems. Zoo administrators have said that the proposed cuts would result in many animals having to be destroyed. Based on this information, and whatever else you have seen or heard about this issue, do you support or oppose the proposed cut to the zoos budget?” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?” 1 2 3 4 5

STRONGLY FAVOR FAVOR SOMEWHAT NEUTRAL OPPOSE SOMEWHAT STRONGLY OPPOSE

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

11

ZOO3 “Have you been to either the Franklin Park or the Stone Zoo in the last 2 years?” IF YES: “How would you rate the quality of the zoo facilities? Would you say they are excellent … good … fair … poor or very poor?” 1 2 3 4 5

EXCELLENT GOOD FAIR POOR VERY POOR

6

HAVE NOT BEEN IN LAST 2 YEARS

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

ETHICS1 “Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?” 1 2 3 4 5

STRONGLY AGREE AGREE SOMEWHAT NEUTRAL DISAGREE SOMEWHAT STRONGLY DISAGREE

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

ETHICS2 “Democrats have controlled both the State Legislature and the Governor’s office for the past three years. Do you think it is better for the state to have a Governor who comes from the same political party that controls the State Legislature, or do you think it is better to have a Governor from one political party and the State Legislature controlled by another?” ROTATE RESPONSES 1 2 3

PREFER ONE PARTY CONTROL PREFER DIFFERENT PARTIES NO DIFFERENCE - VOLUNTEERED

98 99

DK / NOT SURE NA / REFUSED

12

TOWN “Now, a few final questions . . .” “What town do you live?” ENTER NUMBER OF TOWN FROM SHEET.

*

997

OTHER SPECIFY _____________________________

998 999

DK - DO NOT PROBE NA / REFUSED

D1 “What is the highest grade in school, or level of education that you've completed and got credit for ...” [READ RESPONSES]

*

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

“Eighth grade or less, Some high school, High school graduate, (INCLUDES G.E.D.) Technical school, Some college, College graduate, Or postgraduate work?”

98 99

DK (DO NOT PROBE) NA / REFUSED

D2 “GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you usually think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent or what?” (IF REPUBLICAN): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Republican or a NOT VERY STRONG Republican?” (IF DEMOCRAT): “Would you call yourself a STRONG Democrat or a NOT VERY STRONG Democrat?” (IF INDEPENDENT, NO PREFERENCE, OR OTHER): “Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican or to the Democratic party?”

*

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

STRONG DEMOCRAT NOT VERY STRONG DEMOCRAT INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO DEMOCRATS INDEPENDENT--CLOSER TO NEITHER INDEPENDENT, BUT CLOSER TO REPUBLICANS NOT VERY STRONG REPUBLICAN STRONG REPUBLICAN OTHER PARTY

99

DK / NA / REFUSED

D3 “What is your current age?” RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OLD -- E.G., 45 96

*

NINETY-SIX YEARS OF AGE OR OLDER

97 REFUSED 98 DK 99 NA

13

D4 “How many years have you lived in the State of Massachusetts?” IF “ALL MY LIFE” ASK – “About how many years is that?” RECORD EXACT NUMBER OF YEARS OF RESIDENCE 1

*

96 97 98 99

ONE YEAR OR LESS 96 YEARS OF MORE REFUSED DK NA

D5 “Are you of Hispanic or Spanish origin?"

*

1 2

YES NO

98 99

DON'T KNOW REFUSED

D6 “Which of the following best describes your race? Is it ...White ... African-American ... Asian ... Native-American ... or some other race?”

*

1 2 3 4 5 6

WHITE (CAUCASIAN) BLACK (AFRICAN-AMERICAN) HISPANIC ASIAN NATIVE AMERICAN OTHER - SPECIFY: ________________________________

98 99

DON'T KNOW NO ANSWER/REFUSED

D7 “Including yourself, how many adults CURRENTLY live in your household?”

*

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

ONE - JUST RESPONDENT TWO THREE FOUR FIVE SIX SEVEN OR MORE

98 99

DK NA / REFUSED

14

D8 “How much TOTAL income did you and your family receive in 2008, not just from wages or salaries but from ALL sources -- that is, before taxes and other deductions were made? Was it ….” (READ CATEGORIES) ANNUAL

* * *

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Less than $15,000, $15,000 - $29,999, $30,000 - $44,999, $45,000 - $59,999, $60,000 - $74,999, $75,000 - $99,999, or $100,000 and over?”

97 98 99

REFUSED DK NA

MONTHLY EQUIVALENT LESS THAN $1,250 $1,250 - $2,499 $2,500 - $3,749 $3,750 - $4,999 $5,000 - $6,249 $6,250 - $8,333 $8,334 AND OVER

D9 “Not counting business lines, extension phones, or cellular phones -- on how many different telephone NUMBERS can your household be reached?”

*

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

ONE TWO THREE FOUR FIVE SIX SEVEN OR MORE

98 99

DK NA / REFUSED

D10 “Finally, would you be willing to be interviewed by a reporter to discuss your reactions to some of the topics we've been talking about?” 1 2

YES “Could I have just your first name in case a reporter wants to call you?” ____________ NO / DK (DO NOT PROBE)

99

NA / REFUSED

“Thank you for your time and participation. Your input has been very valuable. Goodbye.”

15

Tabular Results

16

"First of all ... there are many problems facing the State of Massachusetts today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the State of Massachusetts today?" (PROBE: "Could you be more SPECIFIC or give me an example?") Health Care Educ. 9% 4%

Jobs/ Economy 30%

State Roads & Budget Bridges 15% 1%

Other 26%

Don't Know 2%

1% 1%

33% 20%

1% 3%

260 285

12% 29%

1% 19%

19% 1%

2% 29%

188 2%

21%

9%

0%

35%

2%

73

Taxes 14%

Crime 0%

12% 15%

1% 0%

5% 13%

1% 6%

30% 30%

16% 13%

Registered Democrat 13% Registered Independent/Unaffiliated 265 Registered Republican 23%

0% 11%

13% 1%

7% 6%

35% 2%

0%

10%

0%

STATEWIDE - July 2009 Male Female

(N=) 545

Democrat Independent Republican

11% 10% 21%

0% 1% 0%

13% 7% 5%

7% 2% 0%

35% 33% 20%

16% 16% 12%

1% 0% 0%

16% 29% 40%

2% 3% 1%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

17% 13% 13% 14%

0% 0% 1% 0%

10% 5% 11% 9%

4% 7% 4% 1%

11% 33% 31% 31%

32% 16% 15% 9%

2% 0% 0% 1%

18% 25% 25% 30%

5% 0% 0% 4%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

14% 0% 24%

0% 0% 0%

9% 13% 15%

4% 6% 0%

29% 49% 23%

15% 6% 12%

1% 0% 3%

27% 26% 18%

2% 0% 5%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

18% 14% 16% 8%

0% 1% 0% 0%

10% 6% 9% 10%

4% 2% 5% 3%

27% 25% 27% 40%

6% 15% 17% 16%

0% 1% 0% 1%

32% 32% 25% 20%

3% 4% 1% 0%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

9% 20% 11% 14% 10%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

14% 8% 7% 8% 9%

2% 3% 9% 4% 3%

36% 34% 30% 20% 32%

4% 13% 15% 14% 18%

0% 0% 2% 1% 0%

32% 21% 25% 37% 28%

3% 3% 1% 1% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

17% 5% 14%

0% 0% 0%

5% 12% 9%

15% 6% 3%

15% 38% 30%

21% 18% 14%

3% 1% 0%

25% 18% 27%

0% 2% 2%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

8% 13% 14% 16% 18%

1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

9% 10% 11% 9% 7%

5% 2% 1% 9% 2%

33% 28% 24% 33% 32%

20% 13% 16% 6% 17%

0% 1% 1% 1% 0%

22% 31% 26% 27% 22%

1% 1% 6% 1% 1%

111 177 95 70 91

17

"Do you think things in Massachusetts are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track?"

Right Direction 31%

Wrong Track 61%

Don't Know 8%

(N=) 545

Male Female

32% 30%

60% 62%

8% 9%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

42% 27% 16%

48% 66% 76%

11% 7% 8%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

49% 17% 11%

40% 75% 85%

11% 9% 4%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

50% 27% 28% 32%

48% 66% 66% 54%

2% 7% 6% 14%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

30% 33% 41%

61% 56% 55%

9% 11% 4%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

23% 30% 24% 45%

69% 60% 66% 49%

7% 9% 10% 6%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

34% 26% 38% 24% 34%

43% 67% 50% 72% 63%

22% 7% 12% 4% 2%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

45% 36% 29%

55% 55% 62%

0% 9% 9%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

35% 28% 32% 38% 24%

53% 62% 61% 55% 72%

12% 9% 7% 7% 4%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

18

"GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Deval Patrick is handling his job as governor?"

Approve 35%

Neutral 9%

Disapprove 56%

(N=) 541

Male Female

34% 35%

9% 9%

57% 56%

260 282

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

54% 28% 14%

7% 10% 5%

39% 61% 81%

186 264 73

Democrat Independent Republican

58% 16% 11%

8% 16% 6%

34% 68% 83%

258 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

43% 32% 32% 39%

7% 9% 8% 10%

50% 59% 61% 51%

45 115 207 166

White African American Other

34% 44% 42%

10% 0% 8%

56% 56% 50%

473 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

23% 35% 27% 54%

12% 10% 11% 3%

66% 54% 62% 43%

93 125 185 130

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

32% 33% 43% 28% 38%

23% 10% 7% 4% 5%

45% 57% 50% 68% 57%

46 68 55 67 143

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

50% 47% 33%

10% 16% 8%

40% 37% 59%

28 51 458

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

42% 31% 34% 45% 27%

11% 7% 4% 13% 13%

48% 63% 62% 42% 59%

108 177 95 69 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

19

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Governor Deval Patrick."

Favorable 36%

Neutral 9%

Unfavorable 52%

DK 3%

(N=) 545

Male Female

36% 35%

10% 8%

52% 53%

3% 3%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

51% 31% 14%

9% 9% 8%

37% 56% 78%

3% 4% 0%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

58% 17% 12%

7% 13% 7%

30% 63% 81%

4% 6% 0%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

50% 34% 31% 38%

11% 5% 9% 11%

34% 58% 59% 46%

5% 3% 1% 5%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

35% 44% 36%

9% 0% 15%

53% 52% 45%

3% 4% 4%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

24% 37% 29% 52%

11% 9% 10% 5%

59% 52% 60% 40%

6% 3% 1% 3%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

46% 31% 48% 27% 38%

14% 11% 2% 5% 7%

36% 53% 50% 66% 52%

4% 5% 1% 2% 3%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

43% 53% 33%

6% 10% 9%

47% 35% 55%

4% 2% 3%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

40% 32% 32% 53% 28%

14% 9% 5% 6% 8%

44% 56% 60% 37% 59%

1% 3% 3% 5% 4%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

20

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Lt. Governor Tim Murray."

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 33%

Neutral 8%

Unfavorable 11%

DK 48%

(N=) 542

Male Female

30% 36%

7% 8%

15% 8%

48% 48%

257 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

41% 32% 22%

9% 6% 12%

6% 12% 21%

45% 51% 44%

187 263 73

Democrat Independent Republican

40% 30% 25%

8% 7% 9%

4% 12% 21%

47% 52% 45%

259 103 171

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

36% 28% 38% 30%

10% 7% 14% 1%

19% 17% 9% 8%

34% 48% 39% 61%

45 115 208 165

White African American Other

32% 47% 40%

7% 20% 18%

11% 6% 7%

49% 27% 36%

473 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

28% 27% 39% 35%

7% 6% 9% 10%

15% 10% 13% 6%

51% 57% 39% 49%

93 125 184 130

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

24% 29% 29% 43% 37%

8% 8% 2% 7% 7%

3% 12% 11% 10% 14%

64% 51% 58% 40% 42%

46 68 55 67 144

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

24% 36% 33%

5% 8% 8%

25% 8% 11%

46% 49% 48%

29 51 458

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

33% 31% 45% 33% 26%

8% 5% 10% 9% 10%

11% 14% 11% 2% 12%

48% 50% 34% 56% 52%

110 175 95 70 91

21

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Attorney General Martha Coakley."

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 56%

Neutral 7%

Unfavorable 15%

DK 21%

(N=) 545

Male Female

51% 61%

7% 8%

17% 13%

24% 18%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

67% 56% 41%

5% 6% 21%

10% 16% 24%

19% 23% 14%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

70% 45% 43%

4% 7% 13%

5% 19% 27%

21% 28% 16%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

49% 55% 57% 58%

4% 7% 11% 5%

9% 16% 16% 14%

38% 22% 16% 22%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

58% 49% 40%

8% 12% 3%

14% 24% 23%

21% 16% 33%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

53% 44% 58% 68%

7% 6% 10% 7%

13% 18% 18% 9%

27% 32% 15% 17%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

42% 61% 52% 55% 61%

7% 3% 9% 6% 10%

14% 13% 12% 18% 14%

36% 23% 27% 21% 16%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

36% 62% 57%

9% 12% 7%

10% 4% 17%

46% 22% 19%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

60% 63% 53% 43% 54%

10% 6% 7% 11% 6%

13% 18% 14% 11% 17%

17% 13% 27% 36% 23%

111 177 95 70 91

22

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Speaker of the House Robert DeLeo."

Favorable 18%

Neutral 11%

Unfavorable 22%

DK 49%

(N=) 544

Male Female

16% 21%

11% 11%

28% 17%

45% 52%

260 284

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

24% 17% 10%

12% 11% 9%

12% 26% 34%

52% 46% 47%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

25% 14% 11%

14% 10% 8%

14% 20% 35%

47% 57% 47%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

24% 16% 18% 19%

21% 10% 12% 8%

10% 23% 26% 18%

44% 51% 44% 54%

45 115 209 167

White African American Other

18% 21% 25%

10% 9% 15%

22% 35% 11%

50% 35% 49%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

14% 18% 21% 17%

14% 6% 9% 13%

16% 26% 23% 21%

56% 50% 47% 49%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

14% 11% 20% 24% 21%

18% 14% 5% 8% 11%

3% 12% 14% 34% 27%

65% 63% 61% 34% 41%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

25% 23% 17%

3% 23% 10%

24% 7% 24%

49% 47% 49%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

20% 18% 21% 16% 18%

11% 12% 11% 10% 9%

19% 24% 21% 16% 26%

51% 46% 47% 58% 47%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

23

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. State Senate President Therese Murray?"

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 20%

Neutral 7%

Unfavorable 19%

DK 54%

(N=) 545

Male Female

21% 20%

8% 7%

23% 15%

49% 58%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

29% 17% 10%

7% 8% 4%

10% 22% 31%

54% 53% 55%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

29% 13% 12%

9% 5% 6%

9% 20% 33%

54% 62% 49%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

36% 14% 19% 21%

7% 8% 8% 5%

6% 25% 18% 18%

51% 54% 55% 55%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

20% 17% 15%

7% 0% 8%

19% 14% 14%

53% 69% 62%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

11% 22% 22% 22%

6% 7% 6% 8%

16% 18% 22% 16%

67% 53% 50% 55%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

13% 15% 24% 28% 23%

8% 4% 1% 3% 8%

13% 11% 14% 20% 22%

66% 70% 61% 50% 47%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

19% 20% 20%

3% 7% 7%

19% 15% 19%

59% 58% 53%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

22% 24% 17% 13% 18%

10% 5% 8% 6% 7%

18% 21% 20% 9% 22%

50% 49% 54% 72% 53%

111 177 95 70 91

24

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. State Treasurer Tim Cahill?" Favorable 42%

Neutral 10%

Unfavorable 17%

DK 32%

(N=) 545

Male Female

41% 43%

8% 11%

18% 16%

33% 31%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

44% 39% 48%

8% 9% 17%

18% 17% 16%

30% 35% 19%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

37% 39% 52%

8% 6% 15%

19% 16% 14%

35% 38% 20%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

43% 40% 47% 36%

8% 6% 14% 7%

9% 23% 15% 17%

40% 31% 23% 41%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

43% 38% 38%

9% 12% 16%

16% 31% 11%

32% 20% 35%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

42% 41% 44% 40%

9% 5% 13% 11%

9% 15% 17% 23%

40% 40% 26% 26%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

40% 40% 40% 43% 50%

9% 8% 7% 7% 11%

2% 12% 20% 18% 18%

49% 40% 33% 31% 21%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

27% 39% 43%

8% 10% 10%

18% 14% 17%

47% 36% 30%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

42% 47% 35% 36% 43%

10% 8% 14% 9% 9%

18% 17% 18% 12% 18%

30% 28% 33% 43% 30%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

25

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO Charlie Baker?"

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 16%

Neutral 6%

Unfavorable 14%

DK 63%

(N=) 545

Male Female

20% 13%

5% 7%

13% 15%

62% 64%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

21% 13% 16%

7% 6% 6%

18% 12% 12%

54% 68% 66%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

18% 13% 17%

7% 5% 5%

16% 9% 14%

59% 73% 64%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

2% 12% 18% 19%

7% 3% 12% 1%

17% 15% 15% 11%

74% 70% 55% 69%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

16% 16% 9%

7% 3% 1%

14% 12% 14%

63% 69% 76%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

10% 17% 18% 18%

5% 2% 8% 10%

13% 11% 12% 21%

72% 70% 63% 52%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

9% 14% 17% 18% 20%

9% 1% 0% 3% 10%

11% 14% 16% 19% 12%

71% 72% 67% 61% 57%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

14% 15% 17%

8% 6% 6%

11% 15% 14%

67% 64% 63%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

23% 16% 18% 8% 14%

9% 7% 5% 7% 2%

8% 14% 15% 14% 19%

60% 62% 61% 72% 65%

111 177 95 70 91

26

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Former Massachusetts Turnpike Authority member Christy Mihos?"

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 26%

Neutral 7%

Unfavorable 38%

DK 29%

(N=) 545

Male Female

29% 23%

6% 8%

40% 37%

25% 32%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

24% 27% 25%

7% 5% 15%

41% 37% 38%

28% 31% 23%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

23% 25% 31%

6% 5% 10%

42% 35% 36%

29% 36% 23%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

12% 20% 32% 25%

11% 6% 8% 5%

49% 40% 39% 34%

29% 34% 21% 36%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

26% 34% 11%

6% 17% 7%

39% 33% 35%

29% 17% 47%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

26% 24% 30% 22%

6% 3% 8% 10%

28% 38% 41% 42%

40% 35% 21% 26%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

19% 31% 19% 34% 25%

6% 6% 5% 8% 9%

27% 28% 42% 38% 41%

49% 35% 34% 20% 25%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

12% 27% 26%

11% 7% 7%

48% 31% 39%

30% 35% 28%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

21% 30% 31% 13% 28%

12% 5% 5% 9% 6%

41% 41% 38% 40% 30%

27% 25% 26% 38% 36%

111 177 95 70 91

27

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Senator Ted Kennedy?"

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 60%

Neutral 5%

Unfavorable 34%

DK 1%

(N=) 545

Male Female

56% 64%

3% 7%

40% 28%

1% 1%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

84% 55% 18%

2% 5% 10%

13% 38% 72%

1% 1% 1%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

91% 47% 21%

3% 5% 7%

5% 44% 71%

1% 4% 1%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

74% 56% 62% 58%

9% 5% 3% 6%

15% 36% 35% 34%

3% 3% 0% 2%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

59% 75% 63%

5% 0% 3%

35% 25% 30%

1% 0% 4%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

57% 59% 50% 77%

5% 4% 6% 2%

35% 34% 43% 20%

2% 2% 1% 1%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

71% 68% 64% 54% 62%

5% 4% 6% 5% 2%

24% 25% 30% 40% 35%

0% 2% 0% 1% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

63% 74% 58%

6% 2% 5%

29% 22% 35%

1% 2% 1%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

68% 55% 65% 62% 55%

2% 6% 3% 4% 7%

27% 39% 31% 31% 37%

3% 0% 1% 3% 1%

111 177 95 70 91

28

"Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person -- or if you have never heard of him or her. Senator John Kerry?"

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Favorable 46%

Neutral 7%

Unfavorable 44%

DK 3%

(N=) 543

Male Female

42% 49%

5% 8%

49% 39%

3% 3%

259 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

69% 37% 19%

6% 7% 8%

24% 51% 73%

1% 5% 1%

187 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

74% 27% 16%

5% 12% 7%

20% 51% 76%

2% 10% 1%

261 102 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

68% 47% 46% 39%

3% 5% 7% 8%

25% 46% 43% 49%

3% 2% 3% 4%

45 113 210 167

White African American Other

47% 39% 43%

7% 0% 19%

44% 45% 34%

2% 16% 4%

475 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

43% 46% 37% 62%

6% 4% 8% 8%

44% 46% 53% 28%

7% 4% 2% 2%

93 124 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

54% 43% 47% 47% 47%

8% 11% 1% 2% 7%

29% 40% 52% 48% 45%

9% 6% 0% 2% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

49% 64% 44%

1% 4% 8%

45% 30% 45%

5% 2% 3%

29 51 460

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

51% 44% 47% 49% 40%

8% 8% 5% 6% 7%

33% 48% 47% 38% 52%

8% 1% 2% 7% 1%

111 177 95 69 91

29

“If the Republican primary for Massachusetts Governor were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for ... Harvard Pilgrim Health Care CEO Charlie Baker … Former Massachusetts Turnpike Authority member Christy Mihos, or someone else?" (ROTATE CANDIDATES) Baker 27%

Mihos 20%

Other 20%

DK 33%

(N=) 147

Male Female

33% 21%

19% 20%

25% 15%

23% 44%

73 74

Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

34% 21%

17% 18%

16% 27%

33% 35%

76 65

Democrat Independent Republican

0% 22% 28%

20% 42% 16%

0% 2% 23%

80% 34% 33%

1 21 125

Definitely Vote For Probably vote for Might change mind

25% 62% 43%

35% 9% 28%

40% 29% 11%

0% 0% 18%

31 16 46

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

0% 29% 17% 45%

60% 25% 16% 13%

40% 10% 29% 8%

0% 35% 38% 35%

7 38 63 35

White African American Other

30% 0% 0%

17% 63% 22%

21% 0% 38%

32% 37% 40%

130 8 7

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

24% 34% 30% 13%

24% 26% 14% 23%

12% 19% 21% 29%

39% 21% 36% 35%

30 29 61 26

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

25% 36% 18% 26% 34%

18% 34% 2% 30% 14%

23% 0% 36% 9% 25%

34% 31% 43% 34% 27%

10 10 13 23 46

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

47% 0% 27%

35% 37% 18%

0% 39% 20%

18% 24% 35%

8 8 132

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

40% 26% 24% 35% 18%

19% 24% 14% 4% 24%

22% 24% 21% 14% 12%

19% 25% 41% 47% 46%

26 49 29 12 31

STATEWIDE - July 2009

30

“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … Deval Patrick, the Democrat … and Tim Cahill, the Independent, who would you vote for ... Charlie Baker … Deval Patrick … or Tim Cahill?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

Baker 20%

Patrick 30%

Cahill 30%

Other 4%

Don't Know 15%

(N=) 498

Male Female

24% 17%

33% 27%

26% 35%

3% 4%

15% 16%

240 258

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

8% 21% 49%

50% 23% 8%

23% 35% 30%

2% 4% 8%

17% 17% 5%

175 248 66

Democrat Independent Republican

6% 20% 42%

53% 10% 6%

23% 37% 39%

1% 8% 5%

17% 25% 7%

244 91 158

Definitely decided Vote Leaning towards someone Still trying to decide

30% 17% 21%

46% 43% 26%

18% 33% 31%

6% 1% 4%

0% 7% 18%

28 64 393

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

17% 26% 16% 23%

36% 26% 31% 31%

24% 29% 36% 26%

6% 3% 3% 5%

17% 16% 15% 16%

40 106 192 152

White African American Other

20% 39% 12%

29% 41% 38%

32% 13% 28%

4% 0% 9%

16% 6% 14%

440 22 23

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

24% 16% 25% 15%

24% 29% 27% 39%

40% 35% 31% 19%

2% 4% 4% 4%

10% 16% 13% 22%

74 117 171 127

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

9% 14% 21% 29% 28%

26% 24% 42% 29% 30%

36% 40% 26% 32% 30%

10% 1% 0% 2% 2%

19% 21% 11% 8% 10%

35 61 53 65 137

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

28% 23% 20%

39% 39% 29%

15% 19% 33%

6% 2% 4%

13% 17% 15%

26 47 422

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

20% 23% 21% 16% 18%

34% 26% 30% 42% 24%

26% 37% 28% 21% 32%

2% 4% 2% 3% 8%

17% 11% 19% 18% 18%

104 166 83 63 82

STATEWIDE - July 2009

31

“If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Christy Mihos, the Republican … Deval Patrick, the Democrat … and Tim Cahill, the Independent, who would you vote for ... Christy Mihos … Deval Patrick … or Tim Cahill?" ROTATE CANDIDATES

Mihos 18%

Patrick 31%

Cahill 31%

Other 4%

Don't Know 17%

(N=) 498

Male Female

20% 16%

34% 28%

29% 33%

2% 5%

15% 18%

240 258

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

8% 19% 38%

50% 23% 11%

24% 36% 31%

4% 4% 4%

15% 18% 16%

176 248 64

Democrat Independent Republican

6% 20% 36%

53% 11% 7%

22% 42% 38%

3% 6% 4%

15% 22% 15%

244 92 157

Definitely decided Vote Leaning towards someone Still trying to decide

30% 18% 18%

44% 43% 27%

22% 27% 32%

0% 2% 4%

4% 10% 19%

28 64 393

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

13% 22% 17% 19%

38% 24% 32% 32%

27% 34% 34% 25%

5% 6% 1% 5%

17% 14% 15% 19%

40 106 192 152

White African American Other

17% 36% 20%

30% 41% 36%

32% 0% 30%

2% 16% 8%

18% 6% 6%

439 22 24

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

30% 19% 18% 11%

20% 28% 28% 44%

31% 35% 36% 20%

3% 2% 2% 7%

16% 17% 16% 18%

75 117 170 127

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

7% 16% 15% 29% 22%

26% 24% 43% 30% 33%

36% 35% 29% 33% 29%

9% 2% 0% 1% 4%

21% 22% 13% 8% 12%

35 62 53 65 137

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

18% 18% 18%

37% 37% 30%

33% 17% 33%

3% 9% 3%

8% 19% 17%

26 48 421

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

16% 17% 20% 10% 27%

35% 29% 29% 42% 21%

24% 40% 31% 26% 26%

7% 2% 4% 2% 3%

19% 12% 16% 18% 23%

104 165 85 63 82

STATEWIDE - July 2009

32

“Now suppose Tim Cahill does not run for Governor as an Independent. If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … and Deval Patrick, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Charlie Baker or Deval Patrick?" ROTATE CANDIDATES Baker 41%

Patrick 35%

Other 4%

DK 20%

(N=) 482

Male Female

43% 39%

39% 32%

1% 6%

17% 23%

229 253

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

19% 45% 79%

58% 27% 8%

3% 5% 4%

21% 23% 9%

170 239 64

Democrat Independent Republican

13% 47% 81%

63% 13% 6%

3% 6% 3%

21% 34% 10%

237 88 153

Definitely decided Vote Leaning towards someone Still trying to decide

42% 40% 42%

47% 52% 31%

5% 1% 4%

6% 7% 23%

28 61 381

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

35% 50% 38% 39%

47% 35% 37% 33%

1% 4% 3% 4%

16% 12% 22% 24%

35 101 188 150

White African American Other

41% 52% 22%

35% 41% 46%

3% 0% 12%

20% 6% 20%

426 22 22

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

44% 44% 49% 25%

31% 33% 29% 49%

7% 2% 2% 6%

18% 21% 20% 20%

69 115 167 125

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

28% 35% 45% 50% 47%

36% 32% 47% 31% 39%

9% 4% 0% 2% 2%

27% 30% 7% 17% 12%

33 60 53 63 132

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

38% 35% 42%

52% 49% 33%

0% 2% 4%

10% 14% 21%

25 47 407

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

37% 48% 47% 25% 37%

41% 31% 34% 51% 25%

2% 6% 1% 2% 6%

20% 15% 18% 22% 31%

102 159 79 61 81

STATEWIDE - July 2009

33

“Now suppose Tim Cahill does not run for Governor as an Independent. If the 2010 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was being held TODAY and the candidates are Charlie Baker, the Republican … and Deval Patrick, the Democrat, who would you vote for ... Charlie Baker or Deval Patrick?" ROTATE CANDIDATES Mihos 41%

Patrick 40%

Other 4%

DK 15%

(N=) 477

Male Female

43% 39%

43% 38%

3% 5%

12% 18%

223 254

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

19% 46% 72%

66% 31% 11%

2% 3% 11%

13% 20% 5%

169 236 63

Democrat Independent Republican

16% 52% 74%

68% 17% 10%

3% 6% 5%

14% 25% 11%

235 88 149

Definitely decided Vote Leaning towards someone Still trying to decide

49% 37% 42%

46% 56% 36%

5% 2% 4%

0% 5% 18%

28 61 376

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

35% 49% 41% 36%

54% 35% 41% 40%

0% 5% 4% 4%

11% 11% 15% 20%

36 100 187 146

White African American Other

40% 52% 37%

40% 48% 39%

4% 0% 12%

16% 0% 12%

421 22 23

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

54% 44% 46% 23%

28% 38% 34% 58%

7% 3% 3% 5%

12% 16% 17% 15%

73 109 165 124

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

32% 35% 34% 59% 46%

42% 37% 55% 32% 43%

5% 7% 0% 1% 2%

22% 21% 10% 9% 9%

33 61 50 63 129

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

39% 39% 41%

47% 53% 39%

4% 2% 4%

10% 7% 16%

25 46 403

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

34% 45% 48% 25% 45%

47% 39% 36% 53% 29%

3% 7% 2% 2% 3%

16% 9% 14% 20% 23%

101 155 81 60 81

STATEWIDE - July 2009

34

“Regardless of who the candidate is, how likely is it that you would vote for an independent candidate for Governor, that is, someone who is not a Republican or a Democrat … very likely … somewhat likely … not very likely … or not likely at all?”

Very Likely 24%

Somewhat Likely 39%

Don't Know 1%

(N=) 504

Male Female

25% 23%

38% 40%

12% 11%

8% 11%

16% 12%

0% 2%

243 261

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

18% 28% 22%

34% 45% 32%

18% 6% 15%

16% 6% 9%

11% 14% 23%

3% 1% 0%

178 250 67

Democrat Independent Republican

16% 35% 29%

41% 32% 41%

15% 4% 10%

13% 4% 8%

12% 22% 12%

2% 2% 0%

246 93 160

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

25% 30% 26% 16%

29% 51% 43% 31%

20% 10% 10% 13%

15% 2% 8% 16%

7% 7% 13% 22%

4% 1% 1% 2%

40 106 197 153

White African American Other

23% 23% 15%

41% 33% 20%

11% 15% 20%

9% 17% 22%

14% 12% 17%

1% 0% 6%

442 22 25

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

17% 32% 24% 18%

34% 32% 39% 49%

9% 13% 11% 12%

26% 4% 8% 9%

14% 14% 17% 11%

0% 4% 0% 1%

75 118 174 127

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

18% 19% 24% 24% 30%

41% 43% 32% 42% 37%

4% 11% 22% 10% 12%

16% 13% 9% 10% 7%

20% 11% 13% 15% 11%

1% 2% 0% 0% 2%

35 63 53 65 140

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

33% 30% 23%

35% 43% 39%

13% 13% 11%

10% 10% 10%

10% 4% 15%

0% 0% 2%

26 48 427

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

25% 26% 21% 17% 26%

37% 38% 41% 49% 35%

16% 8% 15% 10% 10%

13% 10% 6% 5% 13%

8% 17% 12% 18% 16%

0% 1% 5% 1% 0%

104 166 88 63 82

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Not Very Not Likely Likely At All Depends 11% 10% 14%

35

“I’d like to ask you about several issues that are of importance in Massachusetts. For each one, please tell me which of the current candidates for governor, Republican Charlie Baker, Republican Christy Mihos, Democrat Deval Patrick, or Independent Tim Cahill, you think is best able to handle that issue.” “Which candidate do you think can best handle the Massachusetts economy and budget crisis?”

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Baker 12%

Cahill Mihos Patrick 23% 10% 21%

Other 4%

All the Same 1%

None 5%

Don't Know 24%

(N=) 544

Male Female

15% 9%

23% 23%

13% 8%

25% 17%

2% 6%

1% 1%

3% 6%

18% 30%

260 284

Registered Democrat Registered Ind./Unaffiliated Registered Republican

6% 12% 26%

21% 26% 20%

8% 11% 12%

34% 15% 8%

3% 4% 8%

0% 2% 2%

5% 4% 5%

22% 27% 19%

188 264 73

Democrat Independent Republican

5% 7% 25%

20% 20% 29%

7% 14% 13%

37% 8% 4%

4% 7% 3%

1% 4% 1%

5% 8% 3%

22% 32% 22%

261 102 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

4% 11% 12% 14%

20% 25% 28% 16%

14% 11% 12% 7%

34% 20% 17% 24%

2% 5% 4% 4%

1% 1% 1% 2%

6% 2% 5% 6%

19% 25% 22% 27%

45 115 209 167

White African American Other

11% 22% 4%

23% 7% 19%

10% 23% 7%

20% 19% 31%

3% 14% 6%

1% 0% 12%

5% 0% 9%

26% 16% 12%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

11% 7% 15% 12%

30% 24% 25% 13%

15% 13% 8% 9%

19% 22% 16% 28%

2% 3% 4% 7%

0% 2% 1% 2%

5% 3% 6% 4%

18% 26% 26% 24%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

7% 7% 16% 16% 18%

24% 23% 15% 31% 27%

3% 8% 5% 17% 13%

21% 22% 34% 15% 18%

8% 1% 1% 7% 6%

4% 1% 3% 0% 0%

7% 8% 2% 1% 4%

26% 30% 24% 14% 14%

45 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

5% 4% 13%

13% 15% 25%

14% 15% 10%

32% 31% 19%

9% 7% 3%

0% 1% 1%

6% 1% 5%

21% 27% 24%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

14% 12% 10% 10% 11%

26% 25% 26% 15% 18%

7% 11% 13% 3% 16%

21% 17% 19% 36% 16%

6% 3% 3% 2% 6%

1% 3% 0% 0% 2%

4% 4% 8% 6% 2%

21% 24% 21% 27% 29%

111 177 95 69 91

36

“I’d like to ask you about several issues that are of importance in Massachusetts. For each one, please tell me which of the current candidates for governor, Republican Charlie Baker, Republican Christy Mihos, Democrat Deval Patrick, or Independent Tim Cahill, you think is best able to handle that issue.” “Which candidate do you trust most on taxes?”

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Baker 14%

Cahill Mihos Patrick 19% 11% 19%

Other 2%

All the Same 1%

None 11%

Don't Know 24%

(N=) 540

Male Female

18% 10%

17% 20%

15% 7%

20% 18%

1% 2%

1% 1%

10% 13%

18% 28%

258 283

Registered Democrat Registered Ind./Unaffiliated Registered Republican

10% 13% 28%

16% 23% 14%

7% 10% 19%

32% 14% 7%

1% 2% 5%

1% 1% 2%

11% 12% 10%

22% 26% 16%

184 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

7% 8% 27%

17% 23% 20%

5% 15% 17%

34% 5% 5%

1% 2% 2%

1% 2% 1%

12% 11% 9%

23% 33% 19%

256 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

16% 13% 13% 12%

19% 23% 21% 14%

6% 14% 13% 7%

22% 17% 18% 21%

2% 1% 2% 3%

0% 2% 1% 1%

9% 4% 13% 15%

27% 25% 20% 27%

45 115 206 166

White African American Other

13% 34% 10%

20% 0% 18%

10% 18% 19%

18% 34% 20%

2% 4% 0%

1% 0% 6%

12% 0% 6%

25% 10% 21%

473 24 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

15% 14% 15% 12%

26% 15% 24% 9%

16% 14% 8% 8%

13% 15% 13% 34%

1% 2% 1% 3%

0% 1% 2% 1%

8% 16% 12% 9%

21% 24% 25% 23%

91 125 186 129

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

14% 15% 15% 13% 21%

19% 24% 14% 25% 18%

4% 7% 3% 19% 14%

17% 16% 35% 17% 21%

6% 1% 0% 2% 2%

0% 0% 2% 0% 2%

9% 18% 12% 9% 6%

31% 19% 19% 16% 16%

45 68 55 67 144

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

16% 14% 13%

12% 17% 19%

10% 2% 12%

29% 30% 17%

5% 0% 2%

0% 0% 1%

11% 1% 12%

17% 36% 23%

29 51 457

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

16% 13% 14% 9% 15%

16% 24% 17% 18% 14%

9% 14% 9% 6% 14%

23% 16% 16% 30% 15%

0% 3% 1% 2% 3%

1% 2% 2% 0% 0%

10% 8% 15% 14% 12%

25% 21% 26% 22% 27%

107 176 95 70 91

37

“I’d like to ask you about several issues that are of importance in Massachusetts. For each one, please tell me which of the current candidates for governor, Republican Charlie Baker, Republican Christy Mihos, Democrat Deval Patrick, or Independent Tim Cahill, you think is best able to handle that issue.” “Which candidate do you think can best reform Massachusetts health care system?”

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Baker 19%

Cahill Mihos Patrick 11% 6% 22%

Other 3%

All the Same 2%

None 7%

Don't Know 30%

(N=) 544

Male Female

23% 15%

11% 12%

5% 7%

25% 19%

2% 5%

3% 1%

9% 6%

23% 36%

260 284

Registered Democrat Registered Ind./Unaffiliated Registered Republican

13% 19% 29%

12% 12% 9%

4% 6% 10%

36% 17% 5%

2% 3% 4%

1% 3% 5%

7% 8% 6%

25% 31% 33%

188 264 73

Democrat Independent Republican

11% 12% 34%

10% 14% 13%

4% 10% 7%

39% 6% 5%

4% 3% 2%

2% 5% 2%

6% 8% 8%

25% 43% 28%

261 102 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

13% 19% 22% 16%

13% 13% 13% 10%

9% 7% 5% 6%

24% 24% 18% 25%

3% 3% 3% 3%

0% 2% 3% 2%

9% 8% 6% 8%

28% 25% 31% 31%

45 115 209 167

White African American Other

19% 15% 7%

11% 21% 10%

5% 13% 10%

20% 47% 27%

3% 0% 0%

3% 0% 1%

7% 0% 9%

31% 4% 35%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

17% 16% 23% 17%

17% 15% 11% 6%

12% 6% 4% 4%

15% 23% 18% 30%

4% 3% 2% 4%

1% 2% 2% 4%

4% 9% 9% 4%

30% 26% 30% 32%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

15% 12% 15% 20% 27%

11% 13% 11% 18% 11%

4% 8% 7% 10% 4%

15% 23% 30% 22% 23%

6% 4% 1% 3% 2%

1% 3% 0% 1% 3%

7% 6% 3% 5% 10%

41% 30% 33% 20% 21%

45 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

13% 22% 19%

4% 13% 12%

11% 2% 6%

34% 26% 20%

3% 1% 3%

0% 1% 3%

7% 4% 8%

27% 32% 29%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

17% 23% 22% 13% 13%

15% 10% 10% 7% 14%

1% 7% 9% 2% 9%

27% 14% 20% 37% 19%

2% 4% 2% 2% 5%

3% 3% 2% 2% 2%

9% 9% 7% 4% 4%

28% 29% 27% 32% 33%

111 177 95 69 91

38

“Let’s turn for a minute to the current budget problems in Massachusetts. Based on what you have heard or read, how serious is the budget crisis faced by the state of Massachusetts … very serious … somewhat serious … not very serious … or not serious at all?”

Very Serious 76%

Somewhat Serious 18%

Male Female

74% 79%

21% 16%

3% 2%

1% 0%

1% 3%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

75% 77% 83%

20% 17% 12%

2% 4% 0%

1% 0% 1%

1% 2% 3%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

72% 82% 80%

22% 13% 16%

3% 2% 1%

1% 0% 1%

2% 2% 2%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

59% 83% 81% 71%

27% 15% 13% 24%

4% 2% 3% 1%

4% 1% 1% 0%

6% 0% 1% 3%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

77% 71% 64%

20% 0% 20%

1% 26% 5%

1% 0% 6%

2% 3% 5%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

77% 75% 77% 76%

17% 20% 17% 19%

0% 2% 4% 3%

3% 0% 1% 0%

3% 3% 1% 1%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

68% 71% 68% 83% 83%

26% 22% 25% 11% 15%

4% 2% 5% 4% 1%

0% 3% 0% 2% 0%

2% 2% 2% 1% 1%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

63% 64% 79%

26% 29% 16%

3% 4% 2%

6% 0% 1%

1% 3% 2%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

68% 82% 78% 67% 81%

27% 14% 13% 28% 14%

5% 1% 2% 1% 4%

0% 2% 1% 0% 1%

0% 1% 6% 3% 0%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Not Very Not At All Don't Serious Serious Know 2% 1% 2%

(N=) 545

39

"Who do you TRUST MORE to handle the state's economic and fiscal problems ... Governor Patrick or the state Legislature?"

Gov. Patrick 23%

State Legislature 40%

Both Equally 5%

Neither 27%

Don't Know 4%

(N=) 545

Male Female

30% 17%

34% 46%

4% 7%

30% 24%

2% 7%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

32% 21% 10%

43% 36% 44%

6% 4% 9%

13% 34% 36%

5% 5% 2%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

35% 13% 11%

41% 42% 38%

7% 5% 3%

11% 37% 44%

6% 4% 3%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

15% 26% 23% 24%

61% 33% 39% 41%

7% 6% 5% 5%

15% 33% 28% 25%

3% 2% 5% 5%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

22% 40% 24%

41% 36% 47%

5% 12% 3%

28% 10% 24%

4% 3% 3%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

15% 19% 20% 37%

48% 43% 39% 35%

3% 9% 5% 6%

25% 25% 34% 18%

8% 4% 2% 5%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

20% 14% 28% 17% 31%

49% 55% 55% 41% 35%

8% 5% 1% 6% 6%

9% 20% 13% 34% 28%

13% 5% 4% 1% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

34% 27% 22%

37% 45% 40%

6% 7% 5%

24% 19% 28%

0% 2% 5%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

28% 22% 24% 27% 14%

42% 33% 41% 46% 45%

4% 6% 3% 8% 6%

21% 33% 30% 12% 30%

6% 5% 1% 6% 4%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

40

“Overall, which of the following should be done to improve the state’s budget and fiscal problems … should the governor and the legislature do more to cut government programs, services, and spending, or should taxes and other revenues be raised?”

Cut Programs 62%

Raise Taxes 23%

Don't Know 16%

(N=) 520

Male Female

66% 58%

20% 26%

15% 16%

250 270

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

46% 66% 87%

38% 17% 5%

17% 17% 8%

182 254 69

Democrat Independent Republican

43% 67% 86%

37% 15% 6%

20% 19% 8%

248 98 167

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

51% 66% 61% 62%

34% 22% 21% 23%

15% 12% 18% 15%

42 110 195 164

White African American Other

61% 71% 46%

23% 22% 37%

16% 7% 18%

455 25 25

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

60% 61% 68% 53%

22% 16% 21% 34%

18% 22% 11% 13%

87 122 176 127

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

45% 58% 56% 74% 65%

30% 27% 30% 22% 24%

25% 16% 14% 4% 11%

45 64 51 66 140

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

53% 52% 63%

34% 36% 21%

13% 12% 16%

29 49 439

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

53% 64% 63% 54% 71%

33% 19% 21% 30% 14%

14% 17% 16% 15% 15%

109 165 91 70 86

STATEWIDE - July 2009

41

“As you may have heard, recently, the State Legislature passed, and Governor Patrick signed, a law that raised sales and other taxes in Massachusetts about 1 billion dollars to avert deeper cuts in services. Do you approve or disapprove of the recent tax increases?” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

Strongly Approve

Approve Somewhat

Neutral

Disapprove Strongly Somewhat Disapprove

Don't Know

STATEWIDE - July 2009

14%

21%

3%

14%

(N=)

47%

2%

545

Male Female

14% 13%

20% 22%

2% 4%

12% 15%

51% 44%

2% 2%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

18% 13% 6%

30% 18% 6%

3% 3% 3%

10% 15% 16%

37% 48% 67%

1% 3% 2%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

24% 5% 3%

29% 18% 10%

3% 2% 2%

14% 11% 15%

27% 63% 67%

2% 1% 2%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

10% 13% 14% 15%

28% 19% 20% 22%

7% 2% 3% 2%

9% 12% 12% 17%

45% 51% 49% 41%

0% 2% 2% 2%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

14% 29% 1%

21% 23% 17%

3% 0% 0%

14% 7% 6%

46% 41% 76%

2% 0% 0%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

7% 11% 13% 23%

14% 21% 21% 25%

2% 3% 2% 3%

16% 12% 12% 15%

58% 52% 49% 32%

3% 0% 3% 1%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

4% 16% 11% 15% 17%

17% 19% 35% 12% 23%

3% 3% 0% 0% 4%

14% 11% 17% 7% 16%

59% 51% 37% 61% 38%

3% 1% 0% 6% 1%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

14% 10% 14%

18% 44% 18%

3% 2% 3%

22% 13% 13%

39% 24% 50%

4% 7% 1%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

19% 14% 8% 20% 7%

25% 20% 19% 23% 16%

3% 2% 5% 1% 3%

11% 12% 21% 11% 15%

38% 50% 48% 44% 56%

3% 3% 0% 1% 3%

111 177 95 70 91

42

“I’d like to turn to the subject of gambling in Massachusetts. Governor Patrick has recently proposed legal casino gambling, including slot machines, at three locations in Massachusetts. Supporters argue that this will bring in hundreds of millions of dollars in revenues to the State of Massachusetts while opponents argue that casinos will increase social problems from compulsive gambling. What about you … do you favor or oppose legalizing casino gambling in Massachusetts?” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

Strongly Favor

Favor Somewhat

Neutral

Oppose Strongly Somewhat Oppose

Don't Know

STATEWIDE - July 2009

36%

21%

6%

9%

(N=)

27%

1%

544

Male Female

43% 29%

18% 23%

6% 6%

9% 9%

24% 30%

0% 2%

260 284

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

40% 35% 30%

16% 24% 15%

4% 6% 8%

11% 7% 13%

27% 26% 32%

0% 2% 1%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

40% 40% 29%

19% 25% 20%

5% 9% 6%

9% 9% 9%

27% 15% 34%

1% 2% 1%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

43% 28% 41% 35%

32% 25% 21% 15%

10% 6% 6% 5%

1% 11% 8% 11%

14% 29% 24% 32%

0% 1% 0% 2%

45 114 210 167

White African American Other

35% 42% 43%

22% 3% 11%

6% 0% 19%

9% 21% 9%

28% 31% 12%

1% 3% 6%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

46% 38% 36% 28%

18% 17% 24% 21%

4% 9% 5% 7%

5% 12% 7% 13%

26% 25% 28% 29%

2% 0% 0% 3%

93 125 185 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

44% 40% 33% 41% 35%

14% 21% 30% 17% 24%

3% 5% 6% 5% 4%

5% 11% 8% 4% 14%

31% 23% 22% 33% 23%

3% 0% 1% 0% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

35% 26% 37%

28% 24% 20%

0% 6% 6%

4% 18% 9%

28% 26% 27%

6% 0% 1%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

40% 38% 33% 34% 32%

19% 20% 20% 22% 23%

8% 8% 3% 1% 6%

12% 6% 15% 5% 8%

20% 25% 29% 35% 30%

1% 2% 0% 3% 1%

111 176 95 70 91

43

“If casino gambling were made legal in Massachusetts, which type of gambling facility would you prefer … two or three resort style casinos in different parts of the state or slot parlors at horse and dog tracks?”

Resort Casinos 60%

Slots at Tracks 12%

Don't Know 2%

(N=) 545

Male Female

61% 58%

14% 11%

9% 10%

14% 19%

2% 2%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

57% 63% 53%

13% 11% 16%

9% 10% 10%

17% 16% 19%

3% 1% 2%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

63% 66% 52%

11% 9% 15%

8% 13% 10%

15% 12% 22%

3% 0% 2%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

85% 67% 62% 47%

3% 13% 11% 15%

7% 6% 10% 11%

5% 14% 15% 23%

0% 0% 2% 4%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

60% 55% 58%

13% 4% 6%

9% 0% 36%

16% 41% 0%

2% 0% 0%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

59% 58% 64% 58%

14% 14% 11% 10%

12% 9% 9% 9%

13% 18% 15% 20%

2% 1% 0% 4%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

46% 61% 58% 65% 69%

11% 14% 16% 18% 11%

12% 10% 10% 0% 8%

25% 15% 14% 13% 12%

6% 0% 3% 4% 1%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

76% 56% 59%

3% 14% 13%

2% 8% 10%

11% 20% 17%

8% 2% 1%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

55% 59% 62% 69% 57%

14% 12% 11% 11% 13%

14% 9% 8% 6% 10%

16% 18% 17% 12% 19%

1% 2% 2% 2% 2%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

No Don’t Want Preference Gambling 9% 17%

44

“Let’s change the subject again. Recently, Governor Patrick proposed a 4 million dollar cut to the budget of the Stone and Franklin Park zoos. How much would you say you have heard or read about this issue … a great deal … some … or nothing at all?” Heard a Great Deal 34%

Heard Some 46%

Nothing At All 19%

Don’t Know 1%

(N=) 545

Male Female

33% 35%

47% 45%

20% 19%

0% 1%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

32% 38% 24%

49% 43% 54%

18% 19% 22%

1% 0% 0%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

34% 40% 30%

43% 44% 51%

22% 15% 18%

1% 0% 0%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

16% 27% 39% 39%

40% 57% 45% 40%

44% 16% 17% 20%

0% 0% 0% 1%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

34% 27% 34%

47% 44% 30%

18% 29% 36%

0% 0% 0%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

22% 33% 39% 37%

51% 40% 47% 46%

26% 26% 14% 16%

0% 2% 0% 0%

93 125 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

34% 30% 32% 25% 37%

35% 56% 51% 46% 49%

31% 15% 17% 28% 14%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

19% 21% 37%

39% 58% 45%

42% 21% 18%

0% 0% 0%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

35% 45% 32% 11% 32%

53% 43% 50% 40% 44%

12% 12% 17% 49% 24%

0% 0% 2% 0% 0%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

45

“Governor Patrick has said that the zoos, like the rest of the government, need to make cuts because of the state’s budget problems. Zoo administrators have said that the proposed cuts would result in many animals having to be destroyed. Based on this information, and whatever else you have seen or heard about this issue, do you support or oppose the proposed cut to the zoos budget?” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

Strongly Support

Support Somewhat

Neutral

Oppose Strongly Somewhat Oppose

Don't Know

STATEWIDE - July 2009

10%

19%

5%

15%

(N=)

44%

7%

543

Male Female

13% 8%

25% 13%

3% 7%

14% 15%

37% 51%

8% 6%

260 283

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

10% 10% 13%

19% 18% 23%

4% 6% 4%

14% 16% 13%

48% 41% 41%

5% 9% 6%

187 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

10% 8% 11%

20% 14% 20%

5% 5% 5%

13% 14% 18%

44% 47% 42%

7% 13% 4%

259 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

6% 17% 10% 7%

13% 23% 19% 17%

5% 3% 6% 5%

12% 15% 13% 16%

60% 33% 45% 48%

5% 10% 6% 7%

45 115 209 166

White African American Other

10% 12% 8%

19% 31% 13%

4% 4% 18%

15% 10% 6%

43% 39% 55%

8% 4% 0%

476 25 27

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

7% 9% 10% 14%

7% 17% 24% 24%

3% 3% 4% 9%

9% 16% 15% 18%

67% 47% 41% 29%

7% 8% 7% 6%

93 125 185 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

3% 10% 11% 8% 15%

7% 19% 29% 17% 21%

5% 3% 8% 0% 6%

18% 8% 14% 18% 16%

57% 56% 35% 50% 34%

10% 4% 2% 7% 8%

46 68 55 67 145

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

18% 9% 10%

18% 26% 19%

8% 5% 5%

19% 14% 14%

38% 33% 46%

0% 12% 7%

29 50 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

9% 13% 8% 11% 7%

22% 17% 19% 22% 18%

3% 5% 8% 3% 5%

22% 11% 11% 17% 16%

39% 49% 45% 38% 46%

5% 6% 9% 8% 8%

111 176 94 70 91

46

“Have you been to either the Franklin Park or the Stone Zoo in the last 2 years?” IF YES: “How would you rate the quality of the zoo facilities? Would you say they are excellent … good … fair … poor or very poor?”

STATEWIDE - July 2009

Excellent Good 6% 11%

Fair 6%

Poor 2%

Very Not Been Don't Poor In 2 Yrs Know 0% 75% 1%

(N=) 545

Male Female

3% 9%

12% 9%

5% 6%

3% 1%

0% 0%

76% 74%

1% 0%

260 285

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

8% 5% 6%

13% 6% 21%

9% 4% 4%

2% 1% 4%

1% 0% 0%

67% 82% 65%

0% 1% 0%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

6% 6% 7%

10% 6% 13%

8% 6% 3%

2% 1% 2%

0% 0% 1%

74% 79% 74%

1% 1% 0%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

5% 7% 7% 4%

15% 18% 10% 5%

5% 9% 5% 4%

4% 3% 2% 0%

0% 1% 0% 0%

71% 62% 75% 86%

0% 0% 0% 1%

45 115 210 167

White African American Other

6% 0% 4%

10% 10% 18%

5% 26% 1%

2% 0% 4%

0% 0% 0%

76% 64% 68%

0% 0% 5%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

4% 5% 6% 8%

8% 8% 12% 12%

1% 5% 5% 11%

0% 1% 2% 3%

0% 1% 0% 0%

86% 78% 75% 65%

0% 1% 0% 1%

93 125 186 132

3% 8% 11% 6% 6%

9% 8% 9% 20% 13%

1% 5% 10% 2% 6%

1% 3% 3% 2% 2%

0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

83% 76% 66% 69% 73%

3% 0% 2% 0% 0%

46 68 55 67 146

2% 9% 6%

10% 16% 10%

5% 12% 5%

0% 4% 2%

0% 0% 0%

83% 60% 76%

0% 0% 1%

29 51 461

9% 5% 4% 0% 11%

15% 14% 9% 1% 8%

12% 6% 2% 4% 4%

2% 2% 0% 2% 1%

0% 0% 0% 0% 1%

62% 72% 85% 91% 73%

0% 0% 0% 1% 2%

111 177 95 70 91

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more 10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

47

“Let’s turn back to state politics. Do you agree or disagree with the following statement … Deval Patrick has brought reform to Beacon Hill.” “Is that strongly or just somewhat?”

Strongly Agree

Agree Somewhat

Neutral

Disagree Strongly Somewhat Disagree

Don't Know

STATEWIDE - July 2009

6%

19%

4%

21%

(N=)

41%

8%

544

Male Female

8% 5%

17% 21%

5% 4%

22% 21%

45% 37%

4% 11%

260 283

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

10% 5% 1%

26% 18% 6%

6% 3% 7%

21% 22% 23%

28% 46% 58%

10% 6% 6%

188 264 73

Democrat Independent Republican

11% 0% 3%

29% 17% 7%

5% 3% 5%

24% 22% 17%

23% 48% 65%

9% 10% 4%

260 102 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

4% 4% 9% 6%

23% 19% 18% 20%

5% 8% 1% 5%

35% 13% 23% 22%

24% 54% 40% 36%

8% 2% 8% 11%

45 114 209 167

White African American Other

7% 13% 0%

17% 42% 22%

5% 0% 3%

21% 10% 37%

42% 32% 35%

8% 3% 2%

475 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

5% 3% 5% 12%

10% 19% 16% 30%

5% 6% 2% 6%

25% 21% 22% 20%

45% 37% 52% 27%

11% 13% 4% 6%

93 124 186 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

6% 5% 4% 12% 5%

18% 17% 31% 9% 18%

5% 6% 2% 0% 6%

16% 28% 30% 20% 25%

36% 39% 30% 54% 42%

21% 5% 3% 5% 4%

45 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

10% 5% 6%

26% 30% 17%

3% 5% 4%

16% 21% 22%

35% 27% 43%

11% 12% 7%

29 51 460

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

10% 5% 5% 9% 3%

25% 14% 22% 21% 16%

6% 5% 2% 4% 4%

19% 24% 18% 25% 21%

36% 46% 44% 27% 45%

5% 5% 8% 14% 12%

111 177 95 69 91

48

“Democrats have controlled both the State Legislature and the Governor’s office for the past three years. Do you think it is better for the state to have a Governor who comes from the same political party that controls the State Legislature, or do you think it is better to have a Governor from one political party and the State Legislature controlled by another?” One Party 28%

Different Party 46%

No Difference 17%

Don’t Know 8%

(N=) 545

Male Female

23% 33%

52% 41%

18% 16%

7% 9%

260 284

Registered Democrat Registered Independent/Unaffiliated Registered Republican

44% 23% 11%

28% 54% 70%

17% 18% 14%

12% 6% 5%

188 265 73

Democrat Independent Republican

48% 10% 9%

23% 57% 77%

21% 21% 9%

8% 12% 4%

261 103 173

35 or under 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over

49% 20% 28% 29%

29% 56% 46% 44%

18% 17% 18% 17%

3% 8% 8% 10%

45 115 210 166

White African American Other

27% 45% 28%

47% 45% 39%

18% 0% 27%

8% 10% 6%

476 25 28

High school or less Some college College graduate Post-graduate

33% 27% 27% 27%

45% 50% 53% 38%

11% 14% 14% 28%

11% 8% 6% 8%

93 125 185 132

Less than $30K $30K to $60K $60K to $75K $75K to $100K $100K or more

32% 34% 43% 29% 22%

40% 36% 36% 63% 56%

13% 17% 16% 7% 17%

16% 13% 4% 1% 5%

46 68 55 67 146

10 years or less in MA 11 to 20 years More than 20 years

28% 42% 27%

42% 38% 48%

20% 13% 18%

10% 7% 8%

29 51 461

Inside 128 128 to 495 Central MA Western MA Southern MA/Cape/Islands

31% 24% 29% 35% 25%

49% 45% 39% 44% 55%

13% 22% 26% 9% 10%

7% 8% 5% 13% 10%

111 177 95 70 91

STATEWIDE - July 2009

49