The new realities of online life ecomXpo presentation Lee Rainie – Director PIP 2.18.05
Home media capacity - 1975 Product TV stations
Route to home phone broadcast TV broadcast radio
Local news
mail
Advertising
newspaper delivery
Display
Local storage
TV radio stereo
Cassette/ 8-track Vinyl album
phone
Radio Stations non-electronic
Tom Wolzein, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co
Home media capacity – now Product TV stations Info “Daily me” content Cable Nets Web sites Local news Content from individuals Peer-to-peer Advertising Radio stations Satellite radio
Route to home cable phone/DSL wireless broadcast TV broadcast radio satellite mail express delivery iPod / storage subcarriers / WIFI newspaper delivery
Display TV radio PC stereo monitor headphones pager cell phone phone PDA/Palm game console non-electronic
Local storage VCR DVD Web-based storage server/ TiVo (PVR) PC CD/CD-ROM MP3 player / iPod pagers cable box game console Storage sticks/disks
Adopted from Tom Wolzein, Sanford C. Bernstein & Co
People’s media-use habits are changing The proportion of each group who say these channels are main sources of political news for them*
Non-internet users
Television
Newspapers
All internet users
85%
75%
Those with broadband at home
70%
Fox News Cable Channel
15%
21%
21%
CNN
18%
20%
22%
Local
24%
15%
12%
NBC
14%
13%
12%
ABC
14%
12%
9%
CBS
14%
8%
6%
MSNBC
4%
8%
8%
CNBC
2%
3%
2%
40%
38%
36%
NA
28%
38%
Radio
15%
17%
17%
Magazines
3%
3%
3%
Internet
Source: Pew Internet & American Life Project November 2004 Survey. N=2200. Margin of error is ±2%. *Numbers do not add to 100% because of multiple answers
Being online is the norm – but it is not universal Internet adoption 9/11 attacks
70%
61%
50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
Fe b04 D ec -0 4
Au g03
03 M ay -
Se p02 N ov -0 2
Fe b01 Ja n02
ec -0 0 D
Ju n00
M ar -
00
0% 19 95
American adults
60%
Ju n0 Se 0 p0 D 0 ec -0 M 0 ar -0 Ju 1 n0 Se 1 p0 D 1 ec -0 M 1 ar -0 Ju 2 n0 Se 2 p0 D 2 ec -0 M 2 ar -0 Ju 3 n0 Se 3 p0 D 3 ec -0 M 3 ar -0 Ju 4 n0 Se 4 p0 D 4 ec -0 4
Millions of Americans
Broadband adoption 60
55 million
50
40
30
20
10
0
Typical day – 70 million are online and here is what they are doing Email Search engine New s Weather Brow se f or f un Hobby Work-related research Product research IM Banking Research f or school/training Travel inf o Games Financial inf o Health inf o Create content Buy products New job Read blogs New housing Auction 0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
New Reality 1: Interactivity matters profoundly z
You are in constant “conversation” with your customers
• They can be your greatest resource because they know more than you do! z
People like to create content and they expect to be able to interact online
• 44% have created content and posted it online • 57% of broadband users have done so
New Reality 2: People have new ways to talk about you z
The velocity of information matters – this is the era of “smart mobs” “Through the internet, people are discovering and inventing new ways to share relevant knowledge with blinding speed. As a direct result, markets are getting smarter – and getting smarter faster than most companies.” – Cluetrain Manifesto, Rick Levine, Christopher Locke, Doc Searls, and David Weinberger
z
The permanence of information matters – search engines and linked databases make much more material accessible much more quickly
New Reality 3: This is the era of the “daily me” z
z
z z z
More than half of internet users belong to listservs and other email groups organized around a topic, organization, or group More than a third of internet users customize information at Web sites 25% get e-newsletters 5% get RSS feeds Podcasts are catching on
New Reality 4: The boundary between you and the rest of the world is breaking down z
z
z z
Outsiders of all kinds can probe more deeply into your business and your affairs. They can disseminate what they learn more widely and more quickly than ever. Insiders are part of the conversation. Information no longer leaks, it gushes via instant messages, emails, phone calls, short messages What gushes forth can take on a life of its own, even if it’s not true. You can get a lot smarter a lot quicker if you exploit the feedback possibilities in this new era.