Petroleum Update For Distribution
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Off Peak Demand
Historic Annual Levels
08 Jul
08 Aug
08 Sep
08 Oct
08 Nov
08 Dec
09 Jan
09 Feb
09 Mar
09 Apr
09 May
09 Jun
09 Jul
09 Aug
09 Sep
2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% -8.0% -9.0% -10.0%
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
-11.0% -12.0% 1995
Year
Weekly Levels To Peak Week Data 2009 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.1 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.17 -0.18 -0.19 Ju n W ee k 4 Jul W ee k 4 Au g W ee k 4
M ay W ee k 4
Ap r W ee k 3
-0.2 M ar W ee k 2
-6.82% -8.94% -7.96% -3.05% -6.15% -9.87% -10.65% -11.36% -7.97% -10.05% -11.98% -7.77% -10.39% -9.39% -12.42% -13.84% -11.38% -15.00% -13.29% -12.27% -12.66% -15.70% -11.10% -9.57% -15.05% -12.99% -12.22% -10.29% -9.94% -11.37% -9.38% -11.53% -10.14% -8.55% -7.98% -6.83% -7.98%
08 Jun
Historic Growth Levels Off Peak Data
1994
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 1 2
08 May
Fe b W ee k 2
Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week
08 Apr
3.0%
1993
Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr Apr Apr Apr May May May May May Jun Jun Jun Jun Jul Jul Jul Jul Aug Aug Aug Aug Aug Sep Sep
08 Mar
Month
Percent
Weekly Levels YTD
08 Feb
Ja n W ee k 1
1993 2.99% 1994 1.87% 1995 0.35% 1996 2.22% 1997 2.71% 1998 0.98% 1999 2.44% 2000 2.17% 2001 -0.10% 2002 -0.09% 2003 2.04% 2004 1.91% 2005 1.60% 2006 0.61% 2007 0.54% 2008 -4.16% 2009 YTD -10.20% Verify Formula On Analysis 06 07 08 Sheet!
2009 YTD
0.03 0.02 0.01 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.1 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.17 -0.18 -0.19 -0.2 08 Jan
2008
2008/09 Oil Consumption Drop Off Peak Historic Levels
2.83% -5.30% -3.30% -0.96% -2.79% -2.47% -4.00% -4.57% -7.94% -11.00% -8.17% -6.21% -6.68% -9.21% -10.06% -11.76% -13.48% -11.58% -10.73% -9.21% -7.40%
Percent
08 Jan 08 Feb 08 Mar 08 Apr 08 May 08 Jun 08 Jul 08 Aug 08 Sep 08 Oct 08 Nov 08 Dec 09 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep
Off Peak Demand
-0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07
Percent
-0.08 -0.1 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.17
2.67% 1.79% 3.28% -0.10% 2.35% 2.86% 2.09% 0.49% 1.28% 2.59% 1.30% 2.08% 0.87% 1.43% 0.77% -2.12%
-0.18 -0.19 -0.2 08 Jan
08 Feb
08 Mar
08 Apr
08 May
08 Jun
08 Jul
08 Aug
08 Sep
08 Oct
08 Nov
08 Dec
09 Jan
09 Feb
09 Mar
09 Apr
09 May
09 Jun
09 Jul
09 Aug
09 Sep
Month
Historic Gasoline Growth Levels Off Peak Data
2009 YTD
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
Year
Weekly Gasoline Levels To Peak Week Data 2009 0.02 0 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.1 -0.12 -0.14 -0.16 -0.18 Sep Week 1
Aug Week 5
Aug Week 4
Aug Week 3
Aug Week 2
Jul Week 4
Aug Week 1
Jul Week 3
Jul Week 2
Jul Week 1
Jun Week 4
Jun Week 3
Jun Week 2
Jun Week 1
May Week 5
May Week 4
May Week 3
May Week 2
Apr Week 4
May Week 1
Apr Week 3
Apr Week 2
Apr Week 1
Mar Week 4
Mar Week 3
Mar Week 2
Feb Week 5
Mar Week 1
Feb Week 4
Feb Week 3
Feb Week 2
Jan Week 4
-0.2 Feb Week 1
-3.37% -3.93% -3.60% -3.24% -1.32% -0.61% -3.15% -1.22% 0.14% -2.03% -3.08% -1.62% -3.86% -4.73% -3.28% -0.29% -1.18% -4.53% -4.46% 0.42% 1.15% -5.00% -3.65% -2.47% -4.66% -6.14% -4.49% -5.63% -4.47% -5.08% -5.14% -6.49% -5.71% -5.41% -1.50% -1.17% -2.66%
4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% -8.0% -9.0% -10.0% -11.0% -12.0%
Jan Week 3
-3.21%
06 07 08 Sheet!
Weekly Levels YTD
Jan Week 1 Jan Week 2 Jan Week 3 Jan Week 4 Feb Week 1 Feb Week 2 Feb Week 3 Feb Week 4 Feb Week 5 Mar Week 1 Mar Week 2 Mar Week 3 Mar Week 4 Apr Week 1 Apr Week 2 Apr Week 3 Apr Week 4 May Week 1 May Week 2 May Week 3 May Week 4 May Week 5 Jun Week 1 Jun Week 2 Jun Week 3 Jun Week 4 Jul Week 1 Jul Week 2 Jul Week 3 Jul Week 4 Aug Week 1 Aug Week 2 Aug Week 3 Aug Week 4 Aug Week 5 Sep Week 1 Sep Week 2
-0.09
Jan Week 2
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD Verify Formula On Analysis
0
Jan Week 1
09 Sep Historic Annual Levels
2008/09 Gasoline Consumption Drop Off Peak Historic Levels
-0.10% -1.16% -1.32% -0.31% -1.37% -2.24% -3.16% -1.92% -4.13% -4.28% -3.55% -4.66% -3.63% -1.23% -2.66% -2.39% -3.26% -4.01% -4.92% -4.36% -1.91%
Percent
08 Jan 08 Feb 08 Mar 08 Apr 08 May 08 Jun 08 Jul 08 Aug 08 Sep 08 Oct 08 Nov 08 Dec 09 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug
Historic Annual Levels
08 Jul
08 Aug
08 Sep
08 Oct
08 Nov
08 Dec
09 Jan
09 Feb
09 Mar
09 Apr
09 May
09 Jun
09 Jul
09 Aug
09 Sep
2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% -8.0% -9.0% -10.0%
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
-11.0% -12.0% 1995
Year
Weekly Levels To Peak Week Data 2009 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.1 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.17 -0.18 -0.19 Ju n W ee k 4 Jul W ee k 4 Au g W ee k 4
M ay W ee k 4
Ap r W ee k 3
-0.2 M ar W ee k 2
-6.82% -8.94% -7.96% -3.05% -6.15% -9.87% -10.65% -11.36% -7.97% -10.05% -11.98% -7.77% -10.39% -9.39% -12.42% -13.84% -11.38% -15.00% -13.29% -12.27% -12.66% -15.70% -11.10% -9.57% -15.05% -12.99% -12.22% -10.29% -9.94% -11.37% -9.38% -11.53% -10.14% -8.55% -7.98% -6.83% -7.98%
08 Jun
Historic Growth Levels Off Peak Data
1994
1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 5 1 2
08 May
Fe b W ee k 2
Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week Week
08 Apr
3.0%
1993
Jan Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr Apr Apr Apr May May May May May Jun Jun Jun Jun Jul Jul Jul Jul Aug Aug Aug Aug Aug Sep Sep
08 Mar
Month
Percent
Weekly Levels YTD
08 Feb
Ja n W ee k 1
1993 2.99% 1994 1.87% 1995 0.35% 1996 2.22% 1997 2.71% 1998 0.98% 1999 2.44% 2000 2.17% 2001 -0.10% 2002 -0.09% 2003 2.04% 2004 1.91% 2005 1.60% 2006 0.61% 2007 0.54% 2008 -4.16% 2009 YTD -10.20% Verify Formula On Analysis 06 07 08 Sheet!
2009 YTD
0.03 0.02 0.01 0 -0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07 -0.08 -0.09 -0.1 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.17 -0.18 -0.19 -0.2 08 Jan
2008
2008/09 Oil Consumption Drop Off Peak Historic Levels
2.83% -5.30% -3.30% -0.96% -2.79% -2.47% -4.00% -4.57% -7.94% -11.00% -8.17% -6.21% -6.68% -9.21% -10.06% -11.76% -13.48% -11.58% -10.73% -9.21% -7.40%
Percent
08 Jan 08 Feb 08 Mar 08 Apr 08 May 08 Jun 08 Jul 08 Aug 08 Sep 08 Oct 08 Nov 08 Dec 09 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep
Off Peak Demand
-0.01 -0.02 -0.03 -0.04 -0.05 -0.06 -0.07
Percent
-0.08 -0.1 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.14 -0.15 -0.16 -0.17
2.67% 1.79% 3.28% -0.10% 2.35% 2.86% 2.09% 0.49% 1.28% 2.59% 1.30% 2.08% 0.87% 1.43% 0.77% -2.12%
-0.18 -0.19 -0.2 08 Jan
08 Feb
08 Mar
08 Apr
08 May
08 Jun
08 Jul
08 Aug
08 Sep
08 Oct
08 Nov
08 Dec
09 Jan
09 Feb
09 Mar
09 Apr
09 May
09 Jun
09 Jul
09 Aug
09 Sep
Month
Historic Gasoline Growth Levels Off Peak Data
2009 YTD
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
1996
1995
1994
1993
Year
Weekly Gasoline Levels To Peak Week Data 2009 0.02 0 -0.02 -0.04 -0.06 -0.08 -0.1 -0.12 -0.14 -0.16 -0.18 Sep Week 1
Aug Week 5
Aug Week 4
Aug Week 3
Aug Week 2
Jul Week 4
Aug Week 1
Jul Week 3
Jul Week 2
Jul Week 1
Jun Week 4
Jun Week 3
Jun Week 2
Jun Week 1
May Week 5
May Week 4
May Week 3
May Week 2
Apr Week 4
May Week 1
Apr Week 3
Apr Week 2
Apr Week 1
Mar Week 4
Mar Week 3
Mar Week 2
Feb Week 5
Mar Week 1
Feb Week 4
Feb Week 3
Feb Week 2
Jan Week 4
-0.2 Feb Week 1
-3.37% -3.93% -3.60% -3.24% -1.32% -0.61% -3.15% -1.22% 0.14% -2.03% -3.08% -1.62% -3.86% -4.73% -3.28% -0.29% -1.18% -4.53% -4.46% 0.42% 1.15% -5.00% -3.65% -2.47% -4.66% -6.14% -4.49% -5.63% -4.47% -5.08% -5.14% -6.49% -5.71% -5.41% -1.50% -1.17% -2.66%
4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -5.0% -6.0% -7.0% -8.0% -9.0% -10.0% -11.0% -12.0%
Jan Week 3
-3.21%
06 07 08 Sheet!
Weekly Levels YTD
Jan Week 1 Jan Week 2 Jan Week 3 Jan Week 4 Feb Week 1 Feb Week 2 Feb Week 3 Feb Week 4 Feb Week 5 Mar Week 1 Mar Week 2 Mar Week 3 Mar Week 4 Apr Week 1 Apr Week 2 Apr Week 3 Apr Week 4 May Week 1 May Week 2 May Week 3 May Week 4 May Week 5 Jun Week 1 Jun Week 2 Jun Week 3 Jun Week 4 Jul Week 1 Jul Week 2 Jul Week 3 Jul Week 4 Aug Week 1 Aug Week 2 Aug Week 3 Aug Week 4 Aug Week 5 Sep Week 1 Sep Week 2
-0.09
Jan Week 2
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 YTD Verify Formula On Analysis
0
Jan Week 1
09 Sep Historic Annual Levels
2008/09 Gasoline Consumption Drop Off Peak Historic Levels
-0.10% -1.16% -1.32% -0.31% -1.37% -2.24% -3.16% -1.92% -4.13% -4.28% -3.55% -4.66% -3.63% -1.23% -2.66% -2.39% -3.26% -4.01% -4.92% -4.36% -1.91%
Percent
08 Jan 08 Feb 08 Mar 08 Apr 08 May 08 Jun 08 Jul 08 Aug 08 Sep 08 Oct 08 Nov 08 Dec 09 Jan 09 Feb 09 Mar 09 Apr 09 May 09 Jun 09 Jul 09 Aug
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