The Truth Behind the 2004 Elections
PART 2. Mechanics of Fraud : PCIB areas
THE VOTING PROCESS Precinct
GARCI OPERATIONS
City / Municipality
BY PRECINCT
PCIB OPERATIONS
Wholesale changes in the COCs to reverse results such that FPJ's votes were given to GMA
Discrepancies in different election result documents Province are obvious
Pre-manufactured BY MUNICIPALITY ERs were Legend: switched with genuine as ERsERs – Election Returns insurance votes SOV – Statement of Votes for GMA COC – Certificate of Canvass Dagdag bawas is
Congress
2
1
FIRST Mechanic of Fraud
PAD THE NUMBER OF REGISTERED VOTERS AND CREATE GHOST PRECINCTS TO HIDE WHOLESALE ADDITION OF VOTES RESULTING IN STATISTICALLY IMPROBABLE VOTERS TURNOUT.
NATIONWIDE INCREASE IN REGISTERED VOTERS 38.8M
43.5M + 6.9M
CLEAN-UP OF VOTERS LIST
FPJ DECLARES CANDIDACY NOV 27, 2003
+ 4.2M + 4.2M
+ 2.4M + 2.1M
1992 1995 1998 1999 2000 2001 - 0.1M - 0.045M - 2.9M
2004 July 2002
Mar 2004
FORECAST
ACTUAL Comelec Project 4 of Precincts
WHAT THE LAW SAYS : Comelec Resolution 06-0060 dated 13 Feb 04 resolved to use 2002 registered voters data (forecast of 38.8M for 2004 elections) as basis to start printing the official ballots.
WHAT THE LAW SAYS RA 8189 “General Registration Act” Sec 24. National Central File “There shall be a national central file … under the custody of the Commission … consisting of all approved voter registration records in each city or municipality.”
Where is this National Central File to show the numbers of registered voters in the provinces and in fact, justify the 43.5 million registered voters nationwide?
WHAT THE LAW SAYS
t o n
RA 8189 General Registration Act Sec 31 Sealing of Precinct Book of Voters
S A ! e W n s o i d h t
“The Board shall notify within 15 days before the start of the campaign period of all registered political parties and members of the Board of Election Inspectors to inspect and verify the completeness of the voters’ registration records for each precinct compiled in the book of voters.”
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004 + 888,702
+ 520,288 + 941,722 5,405,059
5,832,126
+ 172,492 + 78,484 + 66,802 2,150,793 695,466
NCR
CAR
+ 46,908
4,016,703 2,384,676
1,420,296
REGION 1 REGION 2 REGION 3 REGION 4 REGION 5
LUZON
9
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 426,040
3,166,173
+ 513,506
2,784,440
+ 230,161 1,848,394
REGION 6
REGION 7
VISAYAS
REGION 8 10
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
- 506,295 + 50,489
+ 656,601
+ 582,730
+ 93,670
2,640,710 1,568,662
- 33,790 1,410,508
1,284,809
1,069,472
REGION 9 REGION 10 REGION 11
REGION 12
CARAGA
MINDANAO
1,129,231
ARMM 11
The PCIB Area consists of Pampanga, Cebu, Iloilo and Bohol. These provinces illustrate the extent of padding of the voters' lists.
Pampanga
Iloilo Cebu Bohol 12
Why the PCIB provinces? • These provinces showed that Mrs. Arroyo had a strong showing in popularity ratings. • The logic is to maximize her winning margin in areas where she will win in a clean and honest elections. 13
Pulse Asia in November 2003 shows: • GMA received 39% support in the Visayas, and 15%, her lowest, in Metro Manila. • Before the entry of FPJ in the presidential race, GMA registered highest support from the poorest E class with 29%. From ABC class, she got the lowest, 20%. 14
SWS Survey from September 2003 to March 2004 shows: • GMA received +44% satisfactory rating in the Visayas, and 11%, her lowest, in Metro Manila.
15
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 136,695
944,092
2004 ESTIMATE
1,080,751
2004 ACTUAL
PAMPANGA 16
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 481,096
1,780,708 1,299,612
2004 ESTIMATE
2004 ACTUAL
CEBU PROVINCE 17
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 87,165 377,637
2004 ESTIMATE
464,802
2004 ACTUAL
CEBU CITY 18
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 135,682
787,580
2004 ESTIMATE
923,262
2004 ACTUAL
ILOILO PROVINCE 19
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 48,533
191,620
2004 ESTIMATE
240,153
2004 ACTUAL
ILOILO CITY 20
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
+ 62,560
556,579
2004 ESTIMATE
619,139
2004 ACTUAL
BOHOL 21
2004 REGISTERED VOTERS : Forecast 2002 – Actual 2004
5,108,815 4,157,579
2004 ESTIMATE
+ 951,695
2004 ACTUAL
PCIB AREA 22
WHY INCREASE THE NUMBER OF REGISTERED VOTERS? BECAUSE PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE.
PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE
85% 944,092
74% 1,080,751
799,265
799,265
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
2004 ESTIMATE
2004 ACTUAL
PAMPANGA
24
PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE
93%
1,780,708
1,299,612 1,208,810
68% 1,208,810
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
2004 ESTIMATE
2004 ACTUAL
CEBU PROVINCE
25
PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE
87% 377,637
327,672
70% 464,802
327,672
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
2004 ESTIMATE
2004 ACTUAL
CEBU CITY
26
PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE
89% 787,580
76% 923,262
700,582
700,582
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
2004 ESTIMATE
2004 ACTUAL
ILOILO PROVINCE
27
PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE
91% 191,620
73% 240,153
174,326
174,326
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
2003 ESTIMATE
2004 ACTUAL
ILOILO CITY
28
PADDED VOTERS' LIST LOWERS VOTERS' TURNOUT RATE
80%
89% 556,579
619,139
495,717
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
495,717
REGISTERED TOTAL VOTERS VOTES CAST
2004 ACTUAL
2004 ESTIMATE
BOHOL
29
• Aside from being padded,
voters lists were also juggled. Padding results in addition of favorable votes. Juggling leads to the disenfranchisement of legitimate voters and results in subtraction of unfavorable votes.
• Disenfranchisement is rampant in opposition areas.
30
MASSIVE DISENFRANCHISEMENT VOTERS NAMES WERE NOT FOUND IN THE PRECINCT LIST • SWS EXIT POLLS 10 May 2004 : "900,000 were not able to vote because their names were not in the Voter's Lists" • COMELEC estimated the disenfranchisement at 900,000
MASSIVE DISENFRANCHISEMENT VOTERS NAMES WERE NOT FOUND IN THE PRECINCT LIST • NAMFREL 23 April 2004 : "Disenfranchisement may have run as high as two (2) million votes rather than 900,000 that exit polls suggested." • OPPOSITION AND CIVIC GROUPS: "… some three (3) million qualified voters were not able to vote last May 10 2004 because of what they claimed was a defective voter's list."
2
SECOND Mechanic of Fraud OVERPRINT EXTRA BALLOTS AND SETS OF ELECTION RETURNS TO BE USED FOR ADDITIONAL VOTES
WHAT THE LAW SAYS : Comelec Resolution 06-0060 dated 13 Feb 04 resolved to approve the quantity of forms for 250,000 clustered precincts plus 10% contingency.
COMELEC PRINTED 59,000 ELECTION RETURNS MORE THAN THE ACTUAL 216,000 CLUSTERED PRECINCTS. Up to now, COMELEC has not accounted for these extra ERs.
3
THIRD Mechanic of Fraud MANUFACTURE RESULTS TO ENSURE VICTORY OF FAVORED CANDIDATE USING EXTRA BALLOTS AND FORMS.
There were obvious and undisputable material defects in the PCIB election returns that indicated tampering, alterations and falsification. This was also found in many other areas in the country. 37
d e t a
Sec. 212 – Omnibus Election Code In the ERs, the tally of votes for each candidate is closed by the signing of names, and affixing of right thumb marks by all three Board of Election Inspectors.
l o i V
DEFECT NO. 1 Improper closing of vote tallies • NAKED. No signatures and thumbmarks of Board of Election Inspectors (BEI) • SEMI-NAKED. Incomplete BEI signatures and thumbmarks. 39
Improper closing
40
DEFECT NO. 2 Non-thumbmark finger prints • Small finger prints • Non-finger prints • Fingerprints with artistic designs
41
Small fingerprints / non-fingerprints
42
Fingerprints with artistic designs.
Sample scans Non-thumbmark
43
Fingerprints with artistic designs.
44
DEFECT NO. 3 Use of Unauthorized Fingerprint Takers •
Using violet or red colored ink
•
Using pen ink that leaves brown residue at the back of the ER
•
Using black paint that glitters when hit by light 45
WHAT THE LAW SAYS : Comelec Resolution 6667 Sec.15 states that each precinct shall receive "two (2) thumbmark / fingerprint takers" among other forms and supplies. (The color of these takers is grayish black.)
WHAT THE LAW SAYS : Comelec Resolution 06-0060 dated 13 Feb 04 resolved to approve the quantity of thumbmark takers of 500,000 pieces plus 10% contingency.
Comelec Resolution 04-0286 16 Mar 2004 Procurement of Indelible Ink and Fingerprint Takers
“Approving the procurement of indelible ink and fingerprint takers, two supplies required by law to be used every election.” “Two (2) pieces of fingerprint takers per precinct, 250mm x 75mm, durable plastic is clear form, good for 600 clear fingerprint impressions.”
Use of blue “wet” ink.
“Sample scans: Various ink samples”
49
This is the back of the previous ER, now with brownish “Sample scans: iron deposits.
Various ink samples”
50
Use of “black paint” type ink.
“Sample scans: Various ink samples”
51
Use of “black paint” type ink.
52
WHAT IS THE IMPACT OF THESE MATERIAL DEFECTS ON THE CANDIDATES’ VOTES?
53
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN PAMPANGA ERs EXAMINED : 1,521 ERs WITH DEFECTS: 1,516
TOTAL DEFECTS : 1,923
49.3% 33.2% 17.5%
948 639
336 IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
GMA PADDED VOTES
154,873
54
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN CEBU PROVINCE ERs EXAMINED : 3,641 ERs WITH DEFECTS: 3,518
12.1%
TOTAL DEFECTS : 4,639
42.3%
45.7%
1,962
2,118
NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
559 IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
GMA PADDED VOTES
379,944
55
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN CEBU CITY ERs EXAMINED : 1,733 ERs WITH DEFECTS: 1,653
TOTAL DEFECTS : 2,291
35.5% 22.9% 524 IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
814 NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
41.6% 953 UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
GMA PADDED VOTES
110,751
56
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN ILOILO PROVINCE ERs EXAMINED : 1,309 ERs WITH DEFECTS: 1,301
TOTAL DEFECTS : 2,025
54.4%
1,101
45.5% 860
3.2% 64
IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
GMA PADDED VOTES
120,993
57
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN ILOILO CITY TOTAL DEFECTS : 1,276
46.9%
38.7% 14.3%
599
494
183 IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
ERs EXAMINED ERs WITH DEFECTS ERs WITH NONE
: 907 : 875 : 32
UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
GMA PADDED VOTES
54,250
58
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN BOHOL ERs EXAMINED : 1,471 ERs WITH DEFECTS: 1,467
TOTAL DEFECTS : 2,230
47.4%
12.5%
1,058
40.1% 894
278 IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
GMA PADDED VOTES
115,495
59
MATERIAL DEFECTS IN PCIB AREA ERs EXAMINED : 10,582 ERs WITH DEFECTS: 10,330
13.5%
TOTAL DEFECTS : 14,384
44.3%
42.2%
6,377
6,063
NON-THUMBMARK FINGER PRINTING
UNAUTHORIZED FINGERPRINT INK
1,944 IMPROPER TALLY CLOSING
GMA PADDED VOTES
936,306
60
WHAT THE LAW SAYS : Comelec Resolution 6669 Sec. 26. Material defects in election returns… "If it should clearly appear that requisites in form or data had been omitted in the election returns…, the board of canvassers shall call the board of election inspectors concerned to effect the corrections."
In view of these massive violations, and the inability to institute any corrective measure, the question is: Are these just simple coincidences or, unintended neglect or deliberately planned?
t Comelec Resolution 6669 Sec. 27. o n "If the election returns… appear to be S tampered with, altered or falsified… or A or were! prepared by otherwise not authentic, the BEI concerned, under duress, force, e W intimidation, or prepared n by persons other than the BEI,is the boardoof canvassers shall h use the other copiesd of said election return." t WHAT THE LAW SAYS :
t o Comelec Resolution 6669 Sec. 27. n "If the other copies are likewise tampered with, altered or falsified,S not authentic… A or any! candidate the board of canvassers e shall bring the matter to the attention of the W n Commission." s o i d h t WHAT THE LAW SAYS :
CONSPIRACY OR COVER-UP? •
At the level of the BEIs, why the deafening silence of the teachers on the defective ERs?
•
At the local canvassing levels, why the indifference of the BOCs at the presence of defective ERs?
•
At the Comelec level, why the defensive stance when confronted with these material defects?
•
At the national canvassing level, why the stubborn refusal to hear any complaints on authenticity, due execution and completeness of the ERs?
HOW CREDIBLE ARE THE RESULTS? Let us look at:
• Vote distribution • Voters' preferences for local
favorite sons and daughters of these provinces.
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION
1,208,810 80%
10% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
4% LACSON
CEBU PROVINCE
3%
3%
ROCO VILLANUEVA 67
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 799,265 80%
11% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
2% LACSON
PAMPANGA
2%
4%
ROCO VILLANUEVA 68
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 700,582 73%
12% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
6%
5% LACSON
4%
ROCO VILLANUEVA
ILOILO PROVINCE
69
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 214,140 1. CARCAR
78%
2. MINGLANILIA 3. NAGA 4. SAN FERNANDO 5. SIBONGA 6. TALISAY CITY
11% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
4%
4%
3%
LACSON
ROCO
VILLANUEVA
1ST DISTRICT, CEBU PROVINCE
70
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 225,148
85%
1. ALCANTARA
1. DUMANHUG
2. ALCOY
2. GINATILAN
3. ALEGRIA
3. MALABUYOC
4. ARGAO
4. MUAL BUAL
5. BADIAN
5. OSLOB
6. BOLJOON
6. RONDA
7. DALAGUETE
7. SAMBOAN 8. SANTANDER
8% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
3%
3%
1%
LACSON
ROCO
VILLANUEVA
2ND DISTRICT, CEBU PROVINCE
71
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 240,600
84%
1. ALOGUISAN 2. ASTURIAS 3. BALAMBAN 4. BARILI 5. PINAMUNGAHAN 6. TUBURAN 7. TOLEDO CITY
8% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
3%
3%
2%
LACSON
ROCO
VILLANUEVA
3RD DISTRICT, CEBU PROVINCE
72
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 228,611
1. BANTAYAN
83%
2. BOGO 3. DAAN BANTAYAN 4. MADRIDIJOS 5. MEDELLIN 6. SAN REMEGIO 7. SANTA FE 8. TABOGON 9. TABUELAN
7% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
3% LACSON
4% ROCO
3%
VILLANUEVA
4TH DISTRICT, CEBU PROVINCE
73
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 250,711
81%
1. BORBON
6. PILAR
2. CARMEN
•
PORO
3. CATMON
•
SOGOD
4. COMPOSTELA
4. TUDELA
5. LILOAN
5. DANAO CITY
10% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
4% LACSON
3% ROCO
2%
VILLANUEVA
5TH DISTRICT, CEBU PROVINCE
74
IMPROBABLE VOTE DISTRIBUTION 346,233
71%
1. CONSOLACION 2. CORDOVA 3. MANDAUE CITY 4. LAPU-LAPU CITY
15% TOTAL VOTES
GMA
FPJ
5%
5%
4%
LACSON
ROCO
VILLANUEVA
6TH DISTRICT, CEBU PROVINCE
75
VOTERS' PREFERENCE OF CEBUANOS
73% 727,884
80% 965,630
994,726
1,208,810
VOTES TOTAL VOTES CAST GARNERED
1998 OSMENA
VOTES TOTAL GARNERED VOTES CAST
2004 MACAPAGAL
CEBU PROVINCE
76
VOTERS' PREFERENCE OF CEBUANOS
58% 175,468
67% 220,060
305,018
327,869
VOTES TOTAL VOTES CAST GARNERED
1998 OSMENA
VOTES TOTAL GARNERED VOTES CAST
2004 MACAPAGAL
CEBU CITY
77
VOTERS' PREFERENCE OF ILONGGOS
56%
73% 512,812
317,032 567,962
700,528
VOTES TOTAL VOTES CAST GARNERED
1998 SANTIAGO
VOTES TOTAL GARNERED VOTES CAST
2004 MACAPAGAL
ILOILO PROVINCE
78
VOTERS' PREFERENCE OF ILONGGOS
45%
61% 105,597
157,369
71,478
VOTES TOTAL VOTES CAST GARNERED
1998 SANTIAGO
174,326
VOTES TOTAL GARNERED VOTES CAST
2004 MACAPAGAL
ILOILO CITY
79
4
FOURTH Mechanic of Fraud TAMPER WITH ELECTION RESULT FORMS
CHANGING OF THE NUMBER OF REGISTERED VOTERS IN PAGE 7 OF CEBU PROVINCE SOV [Show scanned PSOV pages]
81
RE-STAMPING OF SERIAL NUMBERS OF Page 1 of the ELECTION RETURNS TO CONFORM TO PRE-PLANNED VOTE COUNTS Uncovered initially 131 ERs (from 17 provinces and 4 NCR cities), 29 from PCIB area, giving GMA 11,921 insurance votes (minimum).
MANUFACTURING ERs WHERE FPJ GOT ZERO VOTES Uncovered initially 247 ERs (from 25 provinces including NCR), 65 ERs from the PCIB area with FPJ getting ZERO votes and GMA getting 26,335 votes.
MANUFACTURING ERs WHERE GMA GOT ZERO VOTES Uncovered initially 85 ERs (from 15 provinces including NCR) with GMA getting ZERO votes and FPJ getting 7,663 votes. A deliberate cosmetic to provide a sense of credibility for the results.
5
FIFTH Mechanic of Fraud SELECTIVE RESULTS TO BE TRANSMITTED FOR CANVASSING TO MANIPULATE THE OUTCOME.
BOHOL
996
ILOILO
1,115
QUEZON PROV
1,877
BUKIDNON
825
TOTAL
EASTERN SAMAR
447
= 6,883 Precincts
SARANGANI
446
ANTIQUE
377
ABRA
216
OTHERS
158
at about 175 voters per precinct -
1,204,525 votes were not transmitted
SLOW TRANSMISSION OF COC'S: Far away locations were received first than the Metro Manila locations.
IMPACT OF THESE MECHANICS OF FRAUD • Voters Padded Lists or “GMA Vote Bank: Nationwide: 4.8 million voters PCIB area: 951,695 voters • Disenfranchised voters due to juggling of voters lists: from 900,000 to 3.0 million voters • Material Defects of ERs from the PCIB area: at least 936,306 GMA padded votes • Unreported precincts whose votes were not counted: Nationwide: about 1.2 million votes Iloilo and Bohol: about 369,425 votes 88
THESE ARE MINIMUM AND CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATES OF THE IMPACT OF THE FRAUD EXEMPLIFIED IN THE PCIB AREA. BUT ALL INDICATIONS POINT TO THE MASSIVENESS AND THE NATIONWIDE EXTENT OF THE PREMEDITATED PLAN TO THWART THE WILL OF THE ELECTORATE. THESE ALSO SHOW THE DIFFICULTY OF UNCOVERING AND DOCUMENTING THESE FRAUDULENT MECHANICS AND THE RESULTING IMPACT TO THE INTEGRITY OF THE 2004 NATIONAL ELECTIONS.
In summary, this study shows … 1. On the basis of tampered COCs, GMA won the 2004 elections. + 1,123,576
FPJ
11,782,232
GMA
12,905,808
90
In summary, this study shows … 2. When the 951,695 padded PCIB votes are subtracted from GMA, her lead is reduced to 171, 881 + 1,123,576 171,881
FPJ
11,782,232
GMA
11,954,113 12,905,808
91
In summary, this study shows … 3. When the 365,797 DAGDAG votes to GMA in 6 Mindanao provinces are subtracted, FPJ leads by 193,916 + 171,881 + 193,916
FPJ
11,782,232
GMA
11,954,113 11,588,316
92
In summary, this study shows … 4. . . . and the 295,944 BAWAS votes are returned to FPJ, his lead increases to 489,860 + 489,860 193,196
FPJ
11,782,232 12,078,176
GMA
11,588,316
93
The true winner is FERNANDO POE JR ! . . . and his lead does NOT even include VOTES SHAVED from NCR and Regions 1 to 5, 9 to 12. + 489,860
FPJ
12,078,176
GMA
11,588,316
94
END
95