Human Settlements Planning
Human Settlements Planning
Urban
Population Economy Institution Social Structure
Urbanisation
% urban to Total Population Classification of New Towns R-U Migration Natural Increase Process of Change
Urbanism
Way of Life Values Norms
Development-Process/Growth/Human Development ??? Urbanisation = Development=Change Change
Physical/Environmental Built form • Sprawl/Suburbanisation • Environmental Degradation •
Demography
Population Structure Population Concentration Migration
Economy
Division of Labour Specialisation Structure Change: Primary-Secondary-Tertiary
Society
Heterogeneous Caste-Class Values/Norms
Polity
Ideology Nature/Structure/Movements
Institution
Traditional-Modern-Secular Rational – bureaucracy
CHANGE=CONFLICT=PLANNING
Table 2: Global GDP and growth in Urban Populaiton W orld GDP (Constant 1995 $ trillion) Share of agriculture in world GDP Share of industry in world of GDP Share of services in world of GDP W orld populaiton(mm) Percent of urban population Source : world Bank datab ase
1960 7.9 ___3020 33.3
1970 13.5 ___3675 36.3
1980 19.5 6.5 38 55.5 4428 39.3
2000 34.3 3.9 20.8 66.3 6053 46.7
Figure 4: Emergence of Large Cities Emergence of Mega Cities in 1950, Only one city with a population of over 10 Million In 2015, 21 cities expected to reach 10 Million population 1960 1970 1996 2015 More develoed region 44 82 115 129 Less develpoed region 49 83 221 398 Total number of Urban agglomeration
93
165
336
527
Note: Urban agglomaration with > than 1mn population Spource: Un 2002. www.isi.unikalsruhe.de/vrl/RegEng/2000/glob al_trends/urb anisation/index.htm
Table 1: urban Population Growth acaross the Globe Region
Africa Asia latin America and Caribbean Oceania Europe North America Global total Increase Source : United nations,2002
1900 in mls percent of total
-250
-15
in mls 32 244 70 8 287 110 751 501
1950 percent of total 14.7 17.4 41.9 61.9 52.4 63.9 29.8 14.8
in mls 295 1376 391 23 539 243 2862 2111
2000 percent of total 37.2 37.5 75.4 74.1 73.4 77.4 47.2 17.4
2030 in perce mls nt of total 787 52.9 2679 54.1 608 84 32 77.3 540 80.5 335 84.5 4981 60.2 2119 13
Table 4: Emergence of Mega Cities Populaiton of cities with 10 million or more inhabitants 1950 New York
12.3
1975 Tokyo New York shanghai Mexico Sao paulo
19.8 15.9 11.4 10.7 10.3
2000 Tokyo Sao Paulo Mexico city New Yok Mumbai
25.2 18.3 18.3 16.8 16.5
Los Angeles kolkata Dhake Delhi Shanghai Buenos Aires
13.3 13.3 13.2 13 12.8 12.1
Jakarta Osaka
11.4 11
Beijing
10.8
Rio de Janerio Karachi
10.8 10.4
Metro Manila
10.1
2015 Tokyo Dhaka Mumbai Delhi Mexico city New York Jakarta Kolkata Karachi Lagos Los Angeles Shanghai Buenos Aires Metro Manila Beijing Rio de Janerio Cairo Istanibul Osaka Tinajin
27.2 22.8 22.6 21.2 20.9 20.4 17.9 17.3 16.7 16.2 16 14.5 13.6 13.2 12.6 11.7 11.5 11.4 11 10.3
T able 12: U rban Pov e rty in Asia in 1990s Country
Y ear (P ercent P opulation below P overty Line)
China 1992(33.7) India 1990(38) 1992(23.3) B angladesh 1990(56) ---- -----
1996(<2) 1998(<2) 1994(30.5) 2002(12) 1996(14.3) ---- -----
indones ia
1996(9.7)
---- ----- 1994(26)
1998(17.8)
P hilippines ---- ----- ---- -------- ----1997(22.5) S ourc e: Hum an Developm ent Report 1996, W orld Developlm ent Report 2201 and Deaton and Drez e, 2002
Nature of the Third World Urbanisation
Demography • • • •
Overall population growth high % urban population low but absolute number high Urban population growth high West,migration important in development countries migration and high fertility
Urban Imbalance
Region Size Class/Hierarchy
Physical Characteristics
Large Dense No/weak planning/Organic Long history Poor infrastructure
Urban Economy
Urban Poverty High: 50-60% Slum Population in Large cities. Increasing disparity rich poor Secondary sector weak Structural shift: P-S-T weak, Hyper-urbanisationinvolution-Informal Sector High unemployment Dual economy : Formal-Informal
Morphology: Morphology: Organic-Planned Western capitalism co-exists with Traditional structure.
Colonial Impact
Dependent Urbanisation: cities as enclaves
Social Ecology
Segregation based on caste,ethnicity,religion,language Class/occupation based segregation emerging
Social Organisation
Strong traditional/kinship and informal networks Class structure emerging: often class/caste merge
Governance:
Weak local institution-finance/political power.
Globalisation
Few urban areas globally linked Peripheral globalisation-Negative
What should be an Appropriate Planning Pedagogy and Practice????