2.5kg of product*
460kg of CO2e *landfill
460kg CO2e
2.5kg
Gavin Starks CEO, AMEE http://www.amee.com
Climate change, globalization and war. Mapping international policy and markets. Data. All the data. Emerging ecosystems and change
“the median surface warming in 2091 to 2100 is 5.1°C compared to 2.4°C in the 2003 study” source:
MIT
“the cull during this century is going to be huge, up to 90%. The number of people remaining at the end of the century will probably be a billion or less.”
source: Lovelock
“If we burn all the coal, we might kick in a runaway greenhouse effect, if we burn all the tar shale and tar sands we definitely will ... leading to the Venus Syndrome. Caps aren’t going to work – we need a Carbon tax”
source: Hansen, Nasa
“capitalism is not up to the challenge ... it improperly and systemically undervalues the future ... it has become a kind of multi-generational Ponzi scheme ... we need a Carbon tax”
source: McKinsey
Peak oil Peak finance Peak water Peak uranium Peak copper
Peak
=> Peak consumption
Are we moving to a post-scarcity society? How might we deliver triple-bottom-line?
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS REFRAMING VALUE RATIONING WAR
http://www.forumforthefuture.org/
EFFICIENCY + TECHNOLOGY Rapid innovation in energy efficiency technologies has created a consumerist, low-carbon world. Society balances delicately with ever-increasing reliance on new technology to mitigate continuing climate change.
http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/climate-futures
SERVICE TRANSFORMATION High carbon prices mean businesses sell services rather than products. Car ownership is prohibitive but public transport is highly efficient. A 'share with your neighbour' ethos exists and global carbon emissions decline for the first year in history
REDEFINE PROGRESS People rethink what a fulfilling life means. Meaningful jobs are valued and stronger links with local communities are cultivated. People are attracted to simplicity and focus much more on quality of life than economic prosperity.
ENVIRONMENTAL WAR ECONOMY Governments leave it too late and are forced to rationalise whole sectors and take control of citizens' lives. Environmental refugees must find countries willing to accommodate them. GHGs begin to decline, but at great cost to civil liberty.
PROTECTIONIST WORLD The world is divided into protectionist blocs. Countries wage war over scarce resources such as water. Communities are divided and terrorists take advantage of the flux, targeting collapsed states.
THINGS TO DO MORE OF
TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION SERVICES NOT PRODUCTS THINGS TO EXPLORE REFRAMING VALUE RATIONING WAR THINGS TO REALLY AVOID
ENERGY IDENTITY
Data. All the data. policy legislation frameworks exchanges trade business
EU POLICY STACK Kyoto Protocol EU ETS Climate Change Bill Carbon Reduction Commitment Energy Efficiency Renewable Obligations
= 30min monitoring = mandatory purchases (>6GWh or >£500k/yr)
ENERGY IDENTITY The digital embodiment of your physical consumption
Data. All the data. citizens + things private sector public sector cities countries Earth
Data. All the data. purchases materials buildings travel + transport fuel + water + waste Energy Identity
Policy Business Science Technology
Delivering change
A measured response to resource scarcity Measure behaviour Map behavioural change Enable trade Work symbiotically with existing ecosystems
"collaboration networks are to businesses what social networks are to consumers"
@Padmasree, CTO, Cisco
Emerging ecosystems “unifying monitoring, measuring, and managing rural environments, rural to urban interconnects, and urban environments” +
=
“95% of people are interested in receiving detailed information on their energy use” "If Edison would wake up today and look at the grid he'd say 'that's where I left it" “Data on your personal energy use belongs to you ... in a standard, non-proprietary format” Tim Berners-Lee at TED, “unlock all your raw data” Tim O'Reilly on “instrumenting the world”
Standards-Public DECC (UK Government) Environmental Agencies
Standards-Commercial/Registries CO2code Special Projects
Media The Guardian (Data Store)
Communities 2Degrees The Climate Group
Agencies Torchbox Jelerang Avvio Clearleft EuroRSCG
Carbon/Energy Consultancies EQ2 NaturalLogic CarbonVision Greenmonk.net
Software/SaaS & Systems Integrators Carbonetworks Carbonmetrics Carbon Hub SUN (OpenEco) MakeMeSustainable LivingLifeGreen Special Projects
Smart Meters Carbonmetrics ISE
Trading Misys (OpenCarbonWorld) EarthCP Sandbag
Buildings Special Projects
Travel & Transportation CarbonVoyage Dopplr
Supply Chain dcarbon8 Julies Bicycle
Gavin Starks CEO, AMEE [email protected] http://www.amee.com