GLOBAL ACCOUNTING AND CONTROL: A MANAGERIAL EMPHASIS Sidney J. Gray, University of New South Wales ❂ Stephen B. Salter, University of Cincinnati ❂ Lee H. Radebaugh, Brigham Young University ❂
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Slides Prepared by: Jennifer Anne Salter Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
CHAPTER TWO
FOREIGN CURRENCIES AND EXCHANGE RISK MANAGEMENT
Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
INTRODUCTION ❂
This chapter explains: • • • •
terminology of foreign exchange; major foreign exchange products; major types of foreign exchange risks; alternative approaches to foreign exchange risk management.
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISKS AND SOLUTIONS - Import for Cash Problem ❂
Let’s explain with an example.
Your firm, Alamo Computers of San Antonio, Texas, USA, wishes to buy some computer motherboards. ❂ Here are three suppliers with prices in their local currency. ❂
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FX RISKS & SOLUTIONS CONT’D - An Import for Cash Problem Firm Suntech Changi Boards McBoards
Location California, USA Singapore
Currency Amt US$ $107 Sin. $
$170
Edinburgh, UK
British £
£64
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FX RISKS & SOLUTIONS CONT’D - An Import for Cash Problem ❂
What do we do now? • Calculate the price in a common currency (US$ would be logical since you are US based).
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How do we do that? • Get the price in local currency (LCP) for each location from the table. • Divide the LCP by the LC/US$ exchange rate to get the US$ Price. See Table 2.1/2.2 or http://www.bmo.com/economic/. Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Lets look at 2.1 First ❂
it’s a word file
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FX RISKS & SOLUTIONS CONT’D - An Import for Cash Problem Company
Country
Local Currency Price
Suntech USA $105 Changi Singapore Sin$170 Boards McBoards U.K. £64
# of US$ Foreign Price Currency Units per US$ 1 $105 1.6783 $101.29 0.6054
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$105.71
Lets change the number to Today's rates from BMO Compa Cou ny ntry
Local Currency price (A)
Number of Units Per $Foreign Currency (B)
Suntec USA $105 1.0000 h Changi Sing SGD 170.00 $0.55 Boards apo re Mcboar Briti £64.00 $1.41 ds sh Pou Gray, Salter & Radebaugh nds Chapter 2
US $ Price A/B $105.00 $92.65
$90.39
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISKS AND SOLUTIONS - Import for Credit What if you want to buy on credit? ❂ Is Singapore still the cheapest supplier? ❂ Will the exchange rate stay the same? ❂ Can you protect yourself from fluctuations in the exchange rate? ❂
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISKS AND SOLUTIONS - Import for Credit Problem DATE
Jan-99 Feb-99 Mar-99 Apr-99 May-99 Jun-99 Jul-99 Aug-99 Sep-99
GBP/ US$
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$0.61 $0.61 $0.62 ❂ $0.62 $0.62 $0.63 ❂ $0.63 $0.62 $0.62
McBoards offers 6 mos. interest free credit. For the others you must borrow at 1% per month. However, the British Pound is a floating currency.
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The British Pound Floats 1.7
US$/GBP
1.65
1.6
Number of $ per GBP
1.55
1.5 J an- Feb- Mar- Apr- May- J un- J ul- A Sep99 99 99 99 99 99 99 ug- 99 99
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISKS AND SOLUTIONS - Import for Credit Problem ❂
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You can neutralize the risk of the British £ changing in value by using a derivative. FX Derivatives can include forward contracts, futures, swaps and options. Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Derivatives - Forward Contracts A Forward Contract is a contract between a foreign currency trader and a client for the future sale or purchase of foreign currency at a forward rate. ❂ The Forward Rate is a contractual rate between the FX trader/client for the amount of currency A needed to acquire one unit of currency B at a fixed future & Radebaugh date. (Tbl 2.1)Gray, SalterChapter 2 ❂
Derivatives - Forward Contracts Extract from Table 2.1 British Pound Per Dollar ❂ Spot ❂ One Month Forward ❂ Three Months Forward ❂ Six Months Forward ❂
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.6054 .6054 .6051 .6053
Derivatives - Forward Contracts Table 2.3 shows the impact of applying the information on forward and interest rates to the purchase of boards. ❂ The Singapore $ rate assumes that you have to pay cash spot for the purchase from Singapore. ❂
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Derivatives - Forward Contracts Co.
LCP LC (A) Units Per $ (B) Suntech $105 1.00 Changi 170 1.68 Boards McBoards 64 0.61
US $ Cost of Interest for Price 100 units 6 months A/B
Total Cost
105.00 $10,500 101.29 $10,129
$630 $607.7
$11,130 $10,736
105.73 $10,573
$0
$10,573
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Derivatives - Forward Contracts ❂
From the pervious table we can conclude: • McBoard’s initial US$ price is higher than other suppliers; • A deferred payment option with a forward contract makes the British product a great deal more attractive. Lets redo this for today’s rate in $/FC
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Now let’s talk about other methods of containing FX risks. Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
At Today's Rates Co.
LCP (A)
LC Units US $ Price Cost of Interest for Total Cost Per $ (B) A*B 100 units 6 months
Suntech
$105
1
105
$10,500
$630
$11,130
Changi Boards
SGD 170
0.545
92.65
$10,129
$607.70
$10,736
£64
1.4018
89.7152
$10,573
$0
$10,573
McBoards
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Derivatives - Futures, Swaps and Options A Future is a highly standardized foreign exchange contract written against the exchange clearing house for a fixed number of foreign currency units and for delivery on a fixed day. ❂ A Swap is a simultaneous spot and forward transaction. ❂
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Derivatives - Futures, Swaps and Options Continued An Option is the right to trade foreign currency at a given exchange rate on or before a given date in the future. ❂ There are two types of options: ❂
• American Options - exercised during a stipulated period. • European Options - exercised at a specified end date. Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Derivatives - Futures, Swaps and Options Continued ❂
Options have the following terms: • An up front fee for the right to buy or sell a fixed amount of foreign currency. • This is given in US cents per foreign currency unit. • This is in addition to the actual cost of the foreign currency. • Tables 2.4-2.6 in your text contain an example Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Lets look at some options ❂
http://www.cme.com/market/quote.html
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Major World Currency Markets ❂
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Markets cover almost 24 hours, starting with Auckland which is 14-16 hours ahead of Ohio, ie., if it’s 4pm in Cincinnati, it’s 11am the next day in Auckland. Tokyo: Cincinnati + 13 hours. About 15% of total volume Hong Kong & Singapore: Cincinnati + 11 and 12 hours respectively. Together roughly equal to Tokyo in volume. Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
• Continued: European Markets: London is the largest market. Cincinnati + 5 hours. About 25% of total world market volume ❂ Other markets include Frankfurt and Zurich ❂ North American Markets: New York is the second largest market. Other markets include Chicago, San Francisco and Toronto. ❂
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Continued: ❂
NOTE: Over 90% of all transactions include the US$ as one part, e.g., DM/$, etc.
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Selling at a Premium or Discount -
❂ Appli es ❂
to For war ds /Future s
PREM IUM - IF th e q uota ti on o f th e c urr enc y in the denomi na tor , e. g., £ i n a $/ £ i s gr ea ter f or del ive ry i n th e f utu re (fo rw ar d) tha n f or del ive ry n ow (s pot), th at c urr enc y i s a t A
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Premium or Discount ❂ PREMIU
M . IF THE SPOT FOR £ IS $1.5 PER £ AND THE FORWARD QUOTE IS $ 1.60 PER £. ❂ Note : In the example $ AT A DISCOUNT.
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OPTIONS: COMPUTING THE COST AND BENEFIT OF AN OPTION
This exercise first calculates the cost of an option and then its potential benefit. ❂ The example is for 30-day option to buy Japanese Yen using US Dollars. ❂ 30 days will take us to July. ❂
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Computing Option Cost ❂ The
rate we want to buy the Yen at is $.00775 per ¥. ❂ The premium charged to execute such a contract is 1.64 hundredths of a cent per ¥ covered (dollars .000164 per ¥). Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Computing AN Option ❂
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Contracts come in blocks of ¥6,250,000. The cost of a contract is as follows: Premium at .000164$/¥ *6,250,000 $1,025
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Brokerage Cost (admin. fee) 25
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Total Cost per Contract $1,050 Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
$
A TYPICAL OPTION SCENARIO
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Covering ¥ one hundred million (100mm).
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How many contracts do we need? 100 mm ÷ 6.25mm = 16
Cost of cover: 16 x $1,050 = $16,800 Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Option Scenario : Costs ❂
Potential benefit: If the value of the ¥ exceeds $0.00775 per ¥ plus the transaction cost, we can exercise the option and sell the ¥ for a profit.
Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Option Scenario : Costs Buy 100mm ¥ at $.00775/¥ $775,000 Option Cost 16 contracts
$16,800
Additional admin. fees on exercising
$400
Total
$792,200 Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Option Scenario : Benefits ❂
If we sell the ¥ at .0080 $/¥, we have a profit of $7,800.
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At .0090 $/¥, the profit is $107,800.
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FOREIGN EXCHANGE RISK &THE MULTINATIONAL ENTERPRISE ❂
The Multinational Enterprise is often referred to as an MNE.
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Classifying Risk and Exposure ❂
There are 3 types of foreign exchange exposure: • Transaction • Translation • Economic
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Classifying Risk and Exposure Transaction Exposure ❂
Transaction Exposure arises because we do not have a method of accounting for multiple currencies
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Examples of Transaction Exposure include purchasing or selling on credit, goods or services where the price is stated in a foreign currency. Gray, Salter & Radebaugh Chapter 2
Classifying Risk and Exposure Transaction Exposure ❂
How do we handle inherent risks? • Prepare a separate budget for international cash flows. • This will allow you to assess if the volume of unhedged cash flows is significant.
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Classifying Risk and Exposure Translation Exposure Translation Exposure is when assets and liabilities on a balance sheet in one currency, have to be re-expressed in another currency . ❂ Accounting for this has caused discord between financial regulators and the business community. ❂
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Classifying Risk and Exposure Economic Exposure ❂
Economic Exposure involves uncontracted and unplanned changes in future cash flows which are the result of changes in exchange rates.
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Classifying Risk and Exposure Economic Exposure Cont’d Any decisions based on economic exposure are primarily long term. ❂ These decisions include choosing market and production facility locations. ❂
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