ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA PORWAL
Recession is the Economy shrinking for two consecutive quarters (i.e. more than 6 months) with a decrease in G.D.P. G.D.P. is the value of all the reported goods & services produced by the people operating in the country. GDP consists:
Industries Agriculture Services rendered Foreign trade ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
ECONOMIC FACTS
SOCIETAL FACTS
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
PARTICULAR
Sept. 08
Sept. 09
Growth of GDP @ factor cost @ constant 19992000 prices
7.7 %
7.9 %
Overall growth in Index of Industrial Production
6%
9.1 %
IIP growth during Q1 & Q2
3.4 %
6.5 %
Forex reserves (excluding Gold, SDR & Reserve tranche position in IMF)
USD 244 Billion
USD 267.02 Billion
• 200 tones of Gold has been purchased by INDIA from World Bank. • Cumulative rainfall (1st June – 30th Sept. 09) for the country as a whole was 23% below the Long-Period Average (LPA). ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
POPULATION DEMOGRAPHY Approx. 7% of Indian population is engaged in industrial sector. 3.8% are industrial labors, who survive on mere Rs. 20 – 30 per day per head. Approx. 65% of Indian population survive @ Rs. 20 per day per head. Only 3.2% population are affected by this ‘Slow-down.’
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
JOBS CREATED (1.71 Lac jobs created in PSUs)
Administration = 2188. Agro & Allied sector = 988. Banking = 51,692. Education = 7,972. Engineering = 10,559. Finance & Accounts = 1,699. Health = 7,424. Non-Technical = 4,954. Office Support = 7,839. Specialist = 4,029. Science & Technology = 2,627. Security = 35,632. Service Engineering = 31,530. Others = 1,687. ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
MANPOWER REQUIREMENTS
I.C.T. Sector = 50,000. Insurance = 18,000. Banking = 12,000. Other Services = 4,000. Medical = 53,000. BPO/KPO/LPO = 20,000.
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
Mr. Nandan Nilekani (C.E.O, INFOSYS):
“even-though the I.T. sector would see the impact of the economic slowdown in terms of growth-rate, the I.T. industry will continue to grow & recruit manpower.”
‘Manpower Outlook Survey’ ranked India 2nd out of 33 countries In terms of manpower recruitment for the year. They remarked – “although the global slowdown will impact the hiring plans of Indian employers for next 3 months, it has the 2nd strongest hiring capacity globally; with Net Employment Outlook of 19%.”
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
LAY-OFFS
TCS = 500. Patni Computers = 400. IBM = 700 (Freshers). Wipro = 3,000 (Considering).
Reason: ‘Non-performance.’ They have done so for many recruits even ‘preSeptember 2008’, when the economy was ‘overheating.’
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
PERFORMANCE OF TOP COMPANIES
Profit of top 1,990 cos. risen by 38.7% until Q2 of 2009. Acco. to F.E. Research Bureau, these cos. made a profit of Rs. 71,000 Cr. as compared to Rs. 51,000 Cr. in last year. (approx.) Banks, Technology, Automobiles, Cement industries shown good results. Cos. registered with SENSEX shown approx. 7.6% growth in Y-O-Y profits. RBI backs this story of growth.
THANKS TO COST-CUTTING, RESTRUCTURING & LAY-OFFS. ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
Did any INDIAN Banks/Realty ?
lost
money
Did YOU stopped Shopping, Watching Movies, Celebrating Festivals, Eating-out with Friends & Family ?
Prices of Edible-goods shot-up, but did YOU stopped eating or COST-CUTTING in it ?
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
in
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
• It is in the mind of WE, the PEOPLE. • It is in the mouth of CORPORATE houses. • Recession is in ‘STRATEGIES’, not in ‘REALITY’. ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA
ANUPAM GAUTAM & MONIKA PORWAL