Airlines Industry In India-group 8

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AIRLINE INDUSTRY IN INDIA

Presentation By Group VIII

AGENDA 

Objective



Current Scenario



Factors Driving Growth



Factors Obstructing Growth



The Scope Ahead



Key Learnings

OBJECTIVE Analysis of The Airline Industry: 

Growth Factors



Impediments

CURRENT SCENARIO 

Growing vigorously at a rate of 25-30% and is expected to continue



International Players making a beeline to enter this emerging market



Carriers operating in India has grown from two state-owned players in 1991 to more than ten today



Numbers of Flights operating: 2500 per day

Growth in Domestic Passenger Traffic Year ended 31 March

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Domestic Sector Passenger (millions) 10.4 11.2 11.5 12.0 12.7 13.7 12.8 13.9 15.7 19.9 25.5

Year-on-Year Growth

7.7% 2.7% 4.3% 5.8% 7.9% -6.6% 8.6% 12.9% 26.8% 27.9%

Source: Airport Authority of India

Some Major Players…

Factors Driving Growth 

Wider Availability of Low Fares



Higher Disposable Income and Growth in Consumer Spending



Lifestyle Changes



Growth from Tier II Cities



Tourism



Government Policies

Wider Availability Of Low Fares 

Large entry of Low Cost Carriers



Costs have become comparable to A.C. Train fares Indian Rupees (INR)

Sector

Rail Fare (Return) 2 AC - Sleeper Journey time

Delhi-Mumbai

4100

17 hours

Delhi-Bangalore

5700

35 hours

Mumbai - Bangalore

3000

23 hours

Source: Air Deccan Advertisement

Air Deccan fare (Return) 3 months

Re 1

2 months 1 month 3 days Journey time 4256

5452

64481hr. 45 min.

6656

8248

96482hr. 30 min.

3656

4952

54481hr. 35 min.

High Disposable Income 

Growth in Income Level:

At 01-02 prices 50

43.6

190

mn

194 27.0 22.1

20 10

170 169

160

163

150

0

140 1998-99

2001-02

Urban middle class households (LHS)



180 Rs '000

40 30

200

2009-10

Avg middle class household income (RHS)

Increase in Leisure Travelers for the past few years; 5 years back 85% were business travelers

Lifestyle Changes 

Younger Population (70% below 35 years)



Growth in Software/Manufacturing Industry



Air Travel no longer a luxury

Growth From Tier II Cities 

 



Government plans to modernize 35 non-metro airports IT/Manufacturing companies plan to set up base According to CRISIL - Traffic at non-metro airport to exceed metro airports by 2010:  Non Metro Airports = 74 million passengers  Metro Airports = 19 million passengers This calls for investment of around Rs. 6000 crores

Tourism As a Growth Sector   

 

High rate of growth in Tourism Industry 2004-05 had a 25% growth rate and is growing De-seasoning of various destinations (e.g. Goa, Kerala) 320 million domestic tourists International tourism increasing but domestic is going to be the biggest impact

Government Policies 

Liberalization of the Aviation Industry (Open Sky Policy):  Ended monopolies of state carriers  Increased number of players in the market:  Pre 1991 – Two  Currently – More than Ten



Increased FDI limit in Air Transport Services  

74% in Airports 49% in Airline Carriers

Government Policies (contd…)  

Restructuring and development of Airports Privatization of Airports

Airport

Status

Operator

Hyderabad

Under Construction - to be commissoned in 2008

GMR-Malaysia Airports

Bangalore

Under Construction - to be commissoned in 2008

Siemens, L&T, Unique Zurich

Delhi

Concession awarded - modernisation and upgradation

GMR-Fraport

1,750

Mumbai

GVK-Bidwest

1,750

Kolkata

Concession awarded - modernisation and upgradation To be privatised

Chennai

To be privatised Total

4,100

Source: Airport Authority of India

Investment (USD million) 300 300

Impediments To Growth 

Lack of Infrastructure



High Input Costs



Lack of Human Resources

Lack Of Infrastructure      

Not enough operational Airports – only 89 out of 450 are operational Not enough night parking Shortage of runways Poor facilities for passengers – restrooms, restaurants, parking, etc Baggage system needs urgent upgrade Need for more Maintenance Repair and Overhaul (MRO) Centers

High Input Costs 

Fuel Costs:   

70% higher than International standards. Fuel bill - 40% of Operating Cost Annual industry bill - USD 1.7 billion.



Aviation Turbine Fuel (ATF) prices in India is around Rs. 37,800 per kilo litre against Rs. 21,800 in the Average International Markets



20% of the Operational Budget is spent on training pilots



Landing and Parking Charges: 78% higher than the International Average

Inadequate Human Resources 

Shortage of Skilled Manpower:   



Pilots Cabin Crews Ground Staff

Shortage of Air Traffic Controllers:  

Currently 1000 ATCs handling 89 Airports Requirement of 2500 ATCs

SCOPE AHEAD… 

25.5 million Domestic Travelers by next 12 months



Airline Industry to be worth Rs. 35000 crores by 2010



Growth to exceed that of China, France and Australia

KEY LEARNINGS 

Macro-Environmental Factors affecting the industry:  



Growth Factors Obstructing Factors

If all hindrances can be addressed then, SKY IS NOT THE LIMIT…

THANK YOU…

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