Retail Dani Kramer, CCIM
Local Unemployment Statistics Kootenai County vs. State of Idaho Unemployment Rate 8.0
Unem mploymeent Ratee
7.0 6.0 5.0 Kootenai County Unemployment
4.0 3.0
State of Idaho p y Unemployment
2.0 1.0 0.0
Year
Source: Idaho Commerce & Labor
Pre-2008 Market Conditions Class A Buildings
Class B Buildings
Class C Buildings
•Prime locations •Slightly older buildings •Functionally obsolescent •Newer buildings •Good locations •Older neighborhoods •$16 - $24 per SF NNN •$11 - $15 per SF NNN •$6 - $10 per SF NNN
•All rates quoted annually •NNN = Tenant’s ppro-rata share of common area maintenance,, property taxes, insurance, and other operating expenses
Local Retail – Landlord’s Struggle Landlords start with asking rental rates
Solid Tenant = Negotiation on terms and rent with Tenant
Current Retail Market – Riverstone Master Plan Retail eta Leasing eas g Rates ates $22 - $24 per SF NNN
Current Retail Market – Riverstone Aerial
Pl Planned d Site Sit for f Peak P k
Current Retail Market - Vacancies
Ironwood Square $12.00 per SF NNN $15 per SF NNN
Neider N i & 95 $15 per SF NNN Sportsman Plaza I & II $23 - $25 per SF NNN
Current Retail Market
Ironwood Square $12.00 per SF NNN
Neider N i & 95 $15 per SF NNN
Sportsman’ss Warehouse Sportsman
Current Retail Market – New Retail CdA NEC of Best & 4th Street •$18 $ -$ $24 per p SF NNN
Mountain ou ta View V ew Plaza a a •NWC of Hwy 95 & Neider •$9 - $15 per SF NNN
Current Retail Market – New Retail Hayden Rustlers Roost NWC of Hwy 95 & •NWC Hayden Ave 2.5 acres sold to a national medical user Discount Tire
Planned
2008 Vacancy Report – Kootenai Retail 5.83%
Net Ussable SF F
2,500,000
12.48%
Vacancy Rates
2,000,000
1,500,000 , , Vacant SF Net Usable SF
6.03%
1,000,000
10.66% 500,000
0 Post Falls Retail
Hayden Retail
Rathdrum Retail
Coeur d'Alene Retail
Source: Auble, Jolicoeur & Gentry/Coldwell Banker Commercial
2008 Vacancy Report – Kootenai Retail
Parkwood Business Properties • 2008 Retail Vacancy – 1.3%
2008 Vacancy Report – Kootenai Retail General Growth Properties Inc. (GGP)
Current Retail Market – Post Falls
Current Retail Market – Post Falls Coeur d’Alene, ID
I-90 Pleasantview Rd. Interchange (46,000+ CPD 2006) EXPO Retail/Commercial/Industrial/Multi-Family R t il/C i l/I d t i l/M lti F il
Sysco
Future Beck Rd. Interchange 2010 Estimated Completion
Planned Wal-Mart Superstore Pl Planned d Lowe’s L ’ Idaho-Washington Border
Stateline I-90 Interchange
Current Retail Market – Post Falls Mullan Avenue Highway 41 Highland Crossing
Planned
River City Center
Looking Forward to 2009 - Retail Market • Landlords and Tenants need to keep an open dialogue • Expect stable/increased vacancies • Downward D d pressure on rents t • Increased pressure on rent concessions
Looking Forward to 2009 - Retail Market “With Adversity Comes Opportunity” • Landlord Opportunities • Purchase distressed properties • Purchase retail projects at favorable cap rates • Acquire tenants looking to downsize or relocate to a better location • Tenant Opportunities pp • Lock-in a lower lease rate for several years at a better location • Renegotiate R ti t upcoming i option ti extensions t i