Multi Family Multi-Family Glenn Sather
Topics • Statistics • Observations • Forecast & Recommendations
2008 Statistics • Sales Volume and Values 40,000,000 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0
35 MM
16 MM 11 MM
2006
2007
2008
Multi‐Family Sales Volume
2008 Statistics 150%+ - Supply of “For Sale” Stock
2008 Statistics New Construction Permits 100,000,000
91 MM
80 000 000 80,000,000 60,000,000
51 MM
New Construction N C t ti Permits
40,000,000 20,000,000
12 MM
0 2006
2007
2008
2008 Statistics • Capital Markets & Apartments • 2-4 2 4 Units • 5 Units + • Vacancy Data • Rents R t
Observations • The Condo Card • Shadow Stock • Apartments p & the “Financial Storm”
Forecast & Recommendations • Opportunities in 2009 • Supply Problem • Rents • Tenant Retention