Figure 1: Updated Comparison of Health Care Reform Legislation Provision
House
Mandate Provisions
$168
HELP Committee $88
$33 $135
$36 $52
$4 $23
X X
-$1,055
-$779/-$1,279*
-$829
X
-$605 -$425 -$25
-$723 X / -$500* -$56
-$461 -$345 -$23
X X X
-$226
-$24
-$72
X
n/a n/a+ -$10 -$29 -$185
X X X -$10 -$14
-$11 -$21 n/a -$14 -$26
X X X X X
Individual Mandate Penalties Employer Play-or-Pay Provision
Coverage Expansion Insurance Subsidies Medicaid Expansion Small Business Tax Credit
Other Spending Physician Payment Updates Medicare Prescription Drug Coverage Reinsurance for Seniors Measures to Slow Health Cost Growth Other Spending
Spending Offsets
Finance President’s Committee Reserve Fund $27 X
$569
X
$524
$645
Prescription Drug Cost Reductions Medicare Advantage Cuts Provider Payment Updates Medicare Premium Increase Medicare Payment Commission Measures to Slow Health Cost Growth
$83+ $170 $173 n/a n/a $37
X X X X X X
$28 $114 $185 $33 $22 $29
$105 $176 $110 $8 $2# $47
Measures to Reduce Federal Health Care Spending
$106
X
$113
$197
$560
X
$382
$296
$461 n/a n/a $56 $23 $20
X X X X X X
n/a n/a n/a $202 $17 $42
n/a $269 n/a $27 n/a n/a
Interaction and Other Effects
$15
$46
$49
-$33
Budgetary Impact Subtotal
$31
-$669/-$1,169*
$81
$908
Long-Term Care Insurance^
$73
$58
n/a
n/a
Total Budgetary Impact
$104
-$611/-$1,111*
$81
$908
Tax Increases Surtax on High Earners Limits to Itemized Deductions Excise Tax on High Cost Insurance Limits to Corporate Tax Benefits Limits to Health Care Tax Benefits Fees on Health Care Companies
Notes: Estimates in billions. Sources: CBO, JCT, OMB, and US Budget Watch calculations. X = Not addressed in the proposal, but expected in the final bill. *Assumes the addition of the Medicaid expansion as per CBO’s rough estimate; ^Generates upfront + savings due to “vesting period,” but ultimately spends down revenue on benefits; Costs of expanding # prescription drug coverage incorporated into savings estimate for reducing payments; Actual savings from establishing a commission to propose or enact payment changes are highly uncertain.