Presentation to
IB Analytics Regarding Healthcare January 2007
Integreon
Table of Contents Section 1
Bear Stearns Health Care Group Overview
2
Pharmaceutical Sector Overview
3
Specialty Pharmaceutical Sector Overview
4
Medical Technology Sector Overview
5
Healthcare Services Overview
CONFIDENTIAL
9936149, v1
Section 1
Bear Stearns Health Care Group Overview
Integreon
Leading Health Care M&A Franchise Global Health Care M&A Transactions
($ in billions)
$250
$200
$200 150
150 100 100
50 50
0
0 Goldman Sachs
Bear Stearns
Merrill Lynch
Morgan Stanley
Rothschild
Lazard
BNP Paribas SA
JP Morgan
Banc of America
UBS
Source: Securities Data Company. Deals completed between January 2003 and December 2005.
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Entrusted with Some of the Most Important Health Care M&A Deals Top Global Health Care M&A Transactions(1) Transaction Rank
Advised on $17 billion Sale of PCH to Johnson & Johnson
Advised on $27 billion Acquisition of Guidant
€14.6 billion Unsolicited Takeover Offer for Schering AG
December 2006
April 2006
Withdrawn
IDD
Advised on $63 billion Sale to Sanofi-Synthelabó
IDD
Warner Lambert
Pfizer
SmithKline Beecham
Glaxo Wellcome
3
Aventis
Sanofi-Synthelabo
√
4
Pharmacia
Pfizer
√
5
Guidant
Boston Scientific
√
6
Monsanto
Pharmacia & Upjohn
√
7
Pfizer Consumer Health
Johnson & Johnson
√
8
√
Immunex
Amgen
ALZA
Johnson & Johnson
10
Amersham
General Electric
11
DuPont Pharmaceuticals
Bristol-Myers Squibb
April 2003
July 2002
12
IVAX
Teva
13
Knoll AG
Abbott Laboratories
14
Biogen
IDEC Pharmaceuticals
15
Chiron
Novartis AG
16
Hexal AG
Novartis AG
Advised on $90 billion Merger with Pfizer
July 2000
June 2000
√
1
9
Advised on $26 billion Merger-of-Equals with Monsanto Company
Bear Stearns Advised
2
Advised on $11 billion Acquisition of Immunex
IDD
May 2001
Acquiror
Advised on $60 billion Acquisition of Pharmacia Corp.
October 2004
Advised on $3.8 billion Acquisition of BioChem Pharma
Target
17
Mallinckrodt
Tyco International Ltd.
18
Renal Care Group
Fresenius Medical Care AG
19
BioChem Pharma
Shire
20
Jones Pharmaceutical
King Pharmaceuticals
21
SICOR
Teva
√ √ √
IDD
(1)
= Investment Dealers’ Digest deal of year. Source: Securities Data Company. Includes US and European Pharma and MedTech transactions since 2000.
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Building Client Relationships That Result in Successful Repeat Transactions
$338M Secondary Offering $868M Secondary Offering $163M Secondary Offering $195M Secondary Offering $258M Secondary Offering
Mandated Lead Arranger for
€11.5B Credit Facility to fund €9.7B Acquisition of Serono €14.6B Unsolicited Takeover Offer for Schering AG $1.7B sale of VWR International to Clayton, Dubilier & Rice $370M Private Placement of Public Equity (Merck KGaA’s stake in Par Pharmaceutical) JV of European Orthopedics with Biomet Filed $250M Initial Public Offering for Dey Lab subsidiary $150M acquisition of CN Biosciences, Inc.
$120M sale of vaccines
business to ID Biomedical Corp. $72M sale of US OTC products portfolio to Purdue Pharma L.P. Merger of CADx subsidiary with Qualia Computing, Inc. $400M Convertible Debt Offering $4B Acquisition of BioChem Pharma $265M Spot Secondary for Yamanouchi $1B Merger with Roberts Pharmaceutical $121M ADR Offering Acquisition of Richwood Pharmaceuticals
Acquisition of Optivar from
Viatris Advised on $70M Sale of Wampole Laboratories Acquisition of JV stake from Asta Medica $225M Senior Credit Facilities $408M acquisition of CarterWallace Pharmaceutical division
$16.6B sale of Consumer
Healthcare business to Johnson & Johnson Pfizer’s $126M acquisition of CSL Animal Health Pfizer’s $60B acquisition of Pharmacia $700M IPO of Monsanto Pharmacia’s $26.2B Merger with Monsanto $2B Offering of Volvo’s Secondary Shares of Pharmacia & Upjohn
Watson Pharmaceuticals Acquisition of Solgar Vitamin
& Herb Sale of Quinton Instrument $35B Terminated Merger with Monsanto $55B Merger discussions with SmithKline Beecham $2B Senior Notes $200M Animal Health Swap with Roche $380M Sale of Storz Instrument to Bausch & Lomb
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$63B Sale to Sanofi-
$980M Acquisition of Schein
Synthelabo $133M ADR offering for Rhône-Poulenc $400M Sale of OTC business to Ciba-Geigy for RhônePoulenc Advised Rhône-Poulenc on $3B Animal Health Joint Venture with Merck
Pharmaceuticals $300M Acquisition of TheraTech $99M Acquisition of Royce Labs Acquisition of Rugby Pharmaceutical $67M Follow-on $50M IPO
$90B Merger with Pfizer Formation of $4B 3-way JV with Glaxo and
Wellcome Advised on $1B Repurchase of
Glaxo Wellcome Joint Venture $150M Senior Notes $500M Medium Term Notes Sale of Warner-Chilcott to
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Nalé Labs (Elan plc)
$2 billion sale to Cardinal
Health $511 million bond tender $131 million Follow-on $175 million Sr. Sub Notes $275 million Sr. Secured Credit Facility Acquisition of Instromedix Advanced Medical merger with IVAC
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Endo Pharmaceuticals Case Study Offering Summary
Stock Price Performance 3,000
$30.00 10/5/05: Priced at $26.04
$755 million Secondary Offering 29.0 million shares
28.00
2,000 1,500
9/22/05: Filed at $28.27
26.00
Price
Volume (000s)
2,500
24.00 1,000 500
Joint Bookrunner October 2005
0
22.00
20.00
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 9/0 0/0 1/0 2/0 3/0 6/0 7/0 8/0 9/0 0/0 3/0 4/0 5/0 9/1 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/3 10/ 10/ 10/
Background
Highlights
Endo Pharmaceuticals (ENDP) is a market leader in the research,
development, sale and marketing of branded and prescription drugs for pain treatment All shares were offered by Endo Pharma LLC, partially owned by Kelso and current/former management and directors, in their fourth public offering of shares since July 2003
• The selling shareholder reduced its stake from 48% to 19% • Proceeds to management will be used to fund the exercise price and related taxes on options set to expire in Jan ’06 Largest Health Care follow-on offering since November 2001
(King Pharmaceuticals) Represents the fourth Bear Stearns bookrun equity offering for the Company–total proceeds raised of $1.37B
CONFIDENTIAL
After building an order book north of 2x oversubscribed with no
price sensitivity, the deal was upsized by 3 million shares
• • • •
6-day roadshow with 44 1-on-1 meetings and 30 indications 81 domestic institutional orders placed Approximately 80% of shares placed with new holders 68% hit ratio
On the day of pricing, the stock traded up slightly vs. a decline of
1.5% and 2.8% for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Biotech Index, respectively The shares were offered at a 0.0% discount to the closing stock price The offering represents Bear Stearns largest bookrun follow-on offering in over 5 years
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Case Study: Sale of betapharm to Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Transaction Summary Target: Seller: Acquiror: Purchase Price: Form of Consideration: Announcement Date: Expected Closing Date:
betapharm Arzneimittel GmbH. (“betapharm”)
3i Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories Ltd. €480 million 100% Cash February 16, 2006 Early March 2006
Deal Synopsis betapharm, based in Augsburg, Germany, and founded in 1993, is the fourth-largest generic pharmaceutical company
in Germany with a market share of approximately 3.5%. 3i, a UK based leading private equity firm, acquired control of betapharm in May 2004. Pursuant to substantial in-bound inquiries received by betapharm, 3i retained bankers to review strategic alternatives. Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories (NYSE: RDY) is an emerging global pharmaceutical company with proven research
capabilities. It produces finished dosage forms, APIs and biotechnology products and markets them globally, with focus on India, US, Europe and Russia. The deal is the largest cross border acquisition ever by an Indian pharmaceutical company and is evidence of the
growing trend of global consolidation in the pharmaceutical industry. The combination of Dr. Reddy’s and betapharm offers an excellent opportunity to build on the unique strengths of each company to emerge as a leading generics player in Europe in the long-term. Bear Stearns served as financial advisor to 3i in connection with this transaction.
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Section 2
Pharmaceutical Sector Overview
Integreon
The 20 Leading Drug Companies With Sales in 1981 and 2004 ($ in billions) Name
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Hoechst Ciba-Geigy Merck & Co. Roche Pfizer Wyeth Sandoz Eli Lilly Bayer SmithKline Beckman Boehringer Ingelheim Takeda Upjohn Johnson & Johnson Bristol-Myers Schering-Plough Sankyo Rhone-Poulenc Shionogi Glaxo
1981A Sales
$2.6 2.1 2.1 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
Name
Pfizer Johnson & Johnson Glaxo Bayer Sanofi-Aventis Novartis Roche Merck AstraZeneca Abbott Bristol-Myers Squibb Wyeth Eli Lilly Amgen Boehringer Ingelheim Takeda Schering-Plough Schering AG Novo Nordisk Sankyo
2005A Sales
$51.3 50.5 39.3 33.5 33.4 30.8 29.7 22.0 23.9 22.3 19.2 18.8 14.6 12.4 11.1 10.6 9.5 6.5 5.5 5.0
Source: Wood Mackenzie, and Company Filings.
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Summary of Major Industry Transactions 1994—Present ($ in billions) Year
2006 2006 2006 2006 2006 2005 2005 2003 2002 2001 2000 2000 2000 2000 1999 1998 1998 1998 1997 1996 1995 1995 1995 1995 1995 1994
Purchaser
UCB SA(1) Merck KGaA(1) Nycomed Bayer AG Barr Teva Novartis Pfizer Amgen Bristol-Myers Johnson & Johnson Abbott Glaxo Wellcome Pfizer Pharmacia Upjohn Rhone-Poulenc Rorer Sanofi Zeneca Hoffman-La Roche Sandoz Glaxo Hoechst-Roussel Pharmacia Rhone-Poulenc Rorer American Home Hoffman-La Roche
Target
Schwarz Pharma AG Serono SA ALTANA Pharma AG Schering AG Pliva Ivax Hexal AG Pharmacia Immunex DuPont Pharma Alza Knoll (BASF Pharma) SmithKline Beecham Warner-Lambert Monsanto Hoechst AG Synthelabo Astra Boehringer Mannheim Ciba-Geigy Burroughs Wellcome Marion Merrell Dow Upjohn Fisons American Cyanamid Syntex
Cost of Target
$4.2 11.9 5.7 19.5 2.6 8.5 5.9 60.0 17.6 7.8 10.8 6.9 76.0 89.2 26.9 21.2 11.1 34.6 11.0 60.0 (2) 20.0 7.1 13.0 (2) 2.7 9.2 5.3
Source: PhRMA/Reuters. (1) Transaction pending. (2) Value of merged entity.
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Relative Valuation—% of Stock Price Highs 52-Week 110%
110% 100.0% 100
99.1%
98.7%
Average = 95.0% 96.8%
95.8%
95.6%
95.6%
100
92.7% 90.0%
85.5%
90
90 80
80 SGP
BMY
MRK
WYE
GSK
PFE
NVS
SAN
LLY
AZN
$39
$52
$100
$70
$160
$199
$138
$126
$60
$90
MVE ($B)
3-Year 110% 100
99.0%
110% 96.8%
95.8%
95.7%
95.6%
92.9%
90
Average = 88.8% 86.9%
85.5%
80
100 90
70.1%
69.4%
80
70
70
60
60
50
50 SGP
WYE
GSK
SAN
NVS
MRK
BMY
AZN
PFE
LLY
Note: Data as of January 19, 2007.
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Relative Valuation—GAAP P/E 2007E P/E 30.0x
30.0x 23.4x
Harmonic Mean = 15.9x
22.0x 17.5x
20.0
17.0x
15.9x
15.0x
14.8x
13.9x
13.5x
12.4x
20.0
10.0
10.0
0.0
0.0
R&D % of Sales
SGP
BMY
MRK
NVS
LLY
GSK
WYE
AZN
SAN
PFE
20.1 %
16.4 %
19.3 %
14.1 %
19.9 %
15.5 %
15.0 %
15.6 %
14.6 %
16.0 %
2008E P/E 30.0x
30.0x 19.8x
20.0
Harmonic Mean = 14.5x 18.6x
16.7x
15.0x
14.4x
13.9x
13.3x
13.1x
20.0 12.5x
11.8x
10.0
10.0
0.0
0.0
R&D % of Sales
SGP
BMY
MRK
NVS
LLY
GSK
WYE
AZN
SAN
PFE
20.6%
16.3%
19.9%
14.0%
15.6%
19.7%
15.7%
16.3%
14.6%
16.3%
Note: Data as of January 19, 2007. EPS estimates per First Call and includes SFAS 123R stock option expense.
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Relative Valuation—Forward P/E (GAAP)(1) Last 5 Years: One-Year Forward P/E Multiples 25.0x
25.0x
20.0
20.0x
15.0
15.0x
10.0
10.0x 1/07
1/02
11/02
9/03
7/04
Peer Index
5/05
3/06
(2)
Source: FactSet Research Systems. Data as of January 19, 2006. (1) Based on 12 month forward consensus GAAP EPS estimates. (2) Peer index includes AstraZeneca, Bristol Myers, Eli Lilly, Glaxo, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, Sanofi-Aventis, Schering-Plough and Wyeth.
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Relative Valuation—PEG Ratios (based on GAAP P/E) 2007E PEG 4.0x
3.0
4.0x
2.92x
3.0 2.50x
Harmonic Mean = 1.89x 2.42x 2.20x 2.00x
1.99x
1.91x
2.0
2.0
1.84x 1.31x
1.17x
1.0
1.0
0.0
0.0
LTG
MRK
PFE
GSK
BMY
AZN
SAN
LLY
WYE
NVS
SGP
6.0%
5.0%
6.2%
10.0%
7.0%
6.8%
8.3%
8.0%
13.0%
20.0%
Average 9.0%
Note: Data as of January 19, 2007.
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The Process of Research—Stages and Timing Compound Success Rates by Stage 5,000–10,000 screened
Discovery (2–10 years) Pre-clinical Testing (Laboratory and animal testing)
250 enter pre-clinical testing
Phase I (20–80 healthy volunteers used to determine safety and dosage) Phase II (100–300 patient volunteers used to look for efficacy and side effects)
5 enter clinical testing
Phase III (1,000–5,000 volunteers used to monitor adverse reactions to long-term use) FDA Review/Approval Additional Post-marketing Testing 0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
1 approved by the FDA
Years
Source: PhRMA 2002.
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Big Pharma’s Adoption of the Blockbuster Model…
70%
70%
60
60
50
50
40
40
30
30
20
20 1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
New PCP-Driven Sales/Total New Sales
New PCP-Driven Sales/Total New Sales
% Contribution of Primary Care Physician-Driven Products to Top 10 Pharma Sales Growth
2000
Includes: AstraZeneca, Aventis, BMS, Eli Lilly, GSK, JNJ, Merck, Novartis, Pfizer, and Roche. Source: EvaluatePharma; Defined Health Analysis.
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…Created a Number of Products Available for Divestment Small Drugs—Serving markets deemed as too small
King and Altace®
Old Products—Modest sized products nearing the end of their patent lives
KOS and Azmacort®
Under-Developed Products—That had minimal clinical investment
Medpointe and Astelin®
Neglected Products—That had minimal sales and marketing resources applied to them
ESP and Cardene®
Damaged Goods—Products that were not launched well or failed initial clinical trial
The Medicines Company and Angiomax®
A $100 million cast off product for Big Pharma is a “Blockbuster” for Specialty Pharma.
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Section 3
Specialty Pharmaceutical Sector Overview
Integreon
Specialty Pharma: Industry Landscape Convergence is changing traditional market segments. Although much of specialty pharma consists of hybrid players, the sector can be segmented into three sub-
categories
Specialty Marketing
Improve market visibility and branding of smaller and mid-size proprietary products, and exploit revenue synergies Strength of sales and marketing infrastructure drives growth Reduced technology, market, and litigation risk May be dependant on one or two products or product platforms Key Players:
Allergan, Axcan, Cephalon, Endo, First Horizon, Forest, King, Kos, KV Pharma, Medicines Company, Medicis, Shire
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Drug Delivery
Create more effective delivery mechanisms for existing drugs and solutions for product life cycle management for branded companies High R&D spend and technology risk Develop strategic alliances and partnerships for access to pipeline candidates and therapeutic area platforms IP drives continued industry leadership Key Players:
Alkermes, Biovail, Connetics, Enzon, Nektar, Noven, Sepracor
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Generics
Market generic versions of branded drugs Record numbers of drugs coming off patent First to file—first to market gains all important 6-month market exclusivity Litigation costs continue to rise Highly regulated industry
Key Players:
Andrx, American Pharmaceutical Partners, Barr, Mylan, Par, Taro, Teva, Watson
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Specialty Pharmaceuticals Company Universe Drug Delivery Company Abrika Acusphere Advancis Aerogen Alexza Molecular Delivery Alkermes Inc. Altea Therapeutics Andrx Corp. Aradigm Corp. Bioject Medical Technol Cydex Cygnus DepoMed Dexcel Pharma Elite Emisphere Technologies Inc. Eurand Flamel Technologies SA Generex Biotechnology Impax Labs Labopharm Microdose Mistral Pharma Nastech Pharmaceutical Nektar Therapeutics (Inhale) New River Pharmaceutical Nobex NovaDel Penwest SkyePharma Plc Syntonix Valera Pharmaceuticals Dermatology Company Barrier Therapeutics Bradley Pharmaceuticals Chester Valley Pharmaceuticals Connetics Corp. Ferndale Isolagen Medicis Pharmaceuticals OMP SkinMedica Valeant
CONFIDENTIAL
Cancer Company American Pharmaceutical Partners Celgene Chiron Genitope Inovio Ligand MGI Pharma NeoPharm Pharmion Supergen Urology Company Auxilium MacroChem Nexmed Pentech Senetek Situs Vivus Watson Zonagen Women’s Health Company Barr Pharmaceuticals Columbia Laboratories Insmed Novavax Noven Pharmaceuticals Xanodyne Cardiology/Cardiopulmonary Company Biovail King Pharmaceuticals KOS Pharmaceuticals Medicines Company Myogen Nitromed Nuvelo Reliant United Therapeutics
Specialty Marketing Ophthalmic Company Advanced Medical Optics Akorn Alcon Allergan Eyetech ISTA Pharmaceuticals Miravant
Analgesics/Pain Company Adolor AlgoRx Durect Endo Pharmaceuticals Epicept IDDS IOMED Inc. Manhattan Pharmaceuticals NeurogesX Pozen ProEthic Pharmaceuticals Purdue Frederick Vela Pharmaceuticals Vernalis Wex Pharmaceuticals
Gastrointestinal Company Axcan Cellegy Prometheus Salix Pharmaceuticals Santarus
Pediatrics Company Alliant Pharmaceuticals Pediamed Verus
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Respiratory/Allergy Company Adams Respiratory Therapeutics Corus Pharma Dey Labs Inspire MedPointe Sepracor Tanox Other Company Access Pharmaceuticals Aesgen Amylin Chesyl Pharma Ltd. Collagenex Pharmaceuticals Delsys D-Pharm DrugAbuse Sciences Enzon Inc. First Horizon Pharmaceuticals Gilead Sciences K V Pharmaceutical MakScientific Ovation Pharmaceuticals Peninsula Pharmaceuticals Questcor Savient SciClone CNS Company Aderis Pharmaceuticals Amarin CeNeS Cephalon Corcept Therapeutics Cypress Bioscience Dov Pharmaceuticals Elan Corp. Plc Forest Laboratories Guilford Pharmaceutical Lundbeck Neurosearch A/S Pharmos Corp. Shire Pharmaceuticals Titan
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US Generic Drug Market Dynamics Generics will continue to increase their share of the total pharmaceutical market. US Pharmaceutical Prescriptions
US Pharmaceutical Sales
60%
60% 52%
52%
100% 90
50% 50
100% 86%
86%
85%
90
84%
83%
50
47% 45% 45%
80
80
70
70
60
60
50
50
40
40
30
30
20
20
42% 39%
40
37%
40
37%
30
30
20
20
11%
11%
11%
11%
10%
10
10 10
0
0 2000
2001
Brand
2002
Generic
2003
2004
6%
8%
6%
9% 6%
8%
9% 7%
9% 7%
0
10 0
2000
Branded Generic
2001
Brand
2002
Generic
2003
2004
Branded Generic
Source: Wall Street research.
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Specialty Pharma Key Value Drivers Key success factors relate to sustainability/growth of both in-line and pipeline products.
Flagship Products
Therapeutic Leadership
Targeting sizeable/attractive niche markets
Focus on specialty areas with concentrated prescriber audience
Portfolio that is highly synergistic from a call point perspective
Clear “commercial proposition” (i.e., differentiated product profile)
Meaningful SOV within targeted therapeutic categories/ indications
Demonstrated potential for operating leverage
Exclusivity/ patent life remaining
Partner of choice for product opportunities
CONFIDENTIAL
Economies of Scale
Life Cycle Management
Product Pipeline
Market intelligence to identify commercially viable line extensions/ reformulations
Development of a deep, visible pipeline that could provide sustainable growth
Ability to implement picket fence IP strategies
Well balanced risk-reward profile
Management Team
Operational excellence Exemplary track record Strong network
Infrastructure/ network to develop concepts to market products in cost effective manner
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US Generics Landscape Common Business Models Formulation/ Manufacturing Expertise
Examples of Companies
Breadth of Product
Unique/Niche Product Offering
Drug Delivery Capabilities
Paragraph IV Expertise
Mylan Laboratories Inc. Mylan Laboratories Inc.
Comments
CONFIDENTIAL
Natural barrier to
Positions as one-
Barrier to entry
entry Enhanced margins
stop shop for wholesalers and other buyers Scale-based commodity strategy
Limited competition Potentially limited size
of target market Potential to establish
company as “partner of choice” in specific therapeutic area
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Enables to
compete in higher-margin “super generics”
Exclusivity
periods provide enormous source of profits Adds layer of unpredictability to sales/earnings profile
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US Generic Market Stratification Latest 12 Month Sales Format
$25–50M
$50–100M
$100–250M
$250–500M
Ferring & Co X Gen
Breckenridge Caraco Lannett Paddock
Impax
KV Pharma Qualitest Upsher Smith URL/Mutual
Akorn Therapeutics AmphaStar
Mayne
APP
Pharmaceutical Associates
Cypress Pharmaceuticals
Morton Grove
Spear Dermatology
Hi-Tech Pharmacal
Solid Dose
Injectibles
Liquids & Misc
$500+M
Actavis Apotex Barr Mylan Par Ranbaxy Taro Teva Watson
Note: In bold—publicly traded companies. Excludes generic division/subsidiaries within larger companies.
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Overview of Specialty Pharma Sector Category
Specialty Marketing
Concept
Focused detailing and marketing of under– promoted products
Growth Drivers Large pharma’s increasing focus on
blockbusters Lengthening “tail” product portfolios
• Implications on overall growth rates Drug Delivery
Improved product formulations
• Less frequent dosing • Improved methods of administration (e.g. oral
Life-cycle extension mechanism, especially
for products losing patent protection May address certain “feasibility” issues
encountered in drug development
vs. injectible)
Increased barriers to entry
Generics
Bioequivalent versions of branded products
Cost containment Bolus of patent expirations Favorable political climate
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Indian Pharma Universe ($ in millions, except per share data) Company
Large Pharma MCAP
Ranbaxy Laboratories Dr. Reddy’s Cipla Limited Sun Pharmaceuticals Wockhardt
$3,490.7 3,076.7 4,435.3 4,453.9 905.0
Small Cap 2007E P/E
18.3 x 22.6 21.0 24.3 13.1
Mid-Cap Company
MCAP
2007E P/E
Lupin Ipca Labs Cadila Health Aurobindo Alembic Matrix Labs Glenmark Nicholas Piramal Jubilant Torrent Pharma Orchid Chemicals Biocon FDC
$1,031.4 362.6 990.6 879.6 210.1 754.5 1,681.9 1,257.3 887.2 396.7 309.1 961.3 168.5
16.2 x 11.8 15.8 18.0 7.7 12.8 18.6 18.7 16.7 13.6 7.4 18.3 10.4
Company
Divi’s Laboratories
MCAP
2007E P/E
$941.0
23.6 x
Dishman Pharmaceuticals
399.6
15.6
Shasun Chemicals
139.2
12.8
Hikal
139.3
9.3
Vimta Labs
93.5
38.7
Suven Life Sciences
98.5
56.6
Dabur Pharma
280.3
15.9
Elder Pharmaceuticals
167.8
10.0
Ind-Swift
30.4
30.1
194.2
170.7
Jupiter Bioscience
27.7
23.6
Kopran
27.9
27.8
Natco Pharma
97.8
67.8
Panacea Biotec
574.3
480.5
32.3
39.1
296.2
48.5
JB Chemicals & Pharmaceuticals
RPG Life Sciences Strides Arcolab Unichem Laboratories
309.9
261.3
Venus Remedies
216.2
187.5
22.1
15.6
Surya Pharmaceuticals
Note: Stock price as of January 19, 2007.
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22
Section 4
Medical Technology Sector Overview
Integreon
Overview of Med-Tech Subsectors The following represents a sampling of Mid-Tech sectors and companies. Companies
Ophthalmology
Dental
Products/Services
Alcon
Contact Lenses
Bausch & Lomb
Lens care
Eyetech
Pharmaceuticals
Dentsply
Filling materials
Sybron Dental Specialties
Bonding agents Braces, brackets & rubber bands
Medical/Surgical
American Medical Systems
Products to treat urinary incontinence
Conmed
Surgical installments for arthroscopic sports medicine
Kinetic Concepts
(Drills and Saws) Wound healing and tissue repair systems
Respiratory
Orthopedic
Cardiovascular
Conglomerates
CONFIDENTIAL
Respronics
Sleep therapy systems/Sleep diagnostic systems
Viasys
Ventilation systems
Vital signs
Neuro monitoring systems
Biomet
Knee & hip implants
Zimmor
Spinal implants
Stryker
Biologic materials to replace bone
Boston Scientific
Drug-eluting stents
Medtronic
Implantable defibrillators
Thoratec
Pacemakers
Baxter
Infusion pumps
Johnson & Johnson
Peripheral stents
Medtronic
Neurostimulation devices
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Integreon
Medical Technology Industry Dynamics Relative Price Performance—Past Five Years
Summary Observations
150%
150%
125
125
the broader market over the past five years
100
100
• The Med Tech Index has increased 7% versus 24% for the
75
75
50
50 12/06
1/02
10/02
8/03
6/04
4/05 (1)
Med Tech Index
2/06
Medical technology stocks have performed in line with
S&P 500, driven by the broader market’s outperformance in 2006 Over the last year, Med Tech’s performance has been
negatively impacted by:
S&P 500
• Increased pricing pressure and scrutiny
Forward P/E Ratios—Past Five Years 32.0x
32.0x
29.0
29.0
26.0
26.0
23.0
23.0
20.0
20.0
17.0
17.0
14.0 1/02
11/02
9/03
7/04
4/05
2/06
14.0 12/06
• Less favorable regulatory and reimbursement environments Looking ahead, Med Tech is increasingly being viewed
again as a potential “defensive play” in a volatile market
• Improving growth and risk profile • Prospect for continued Med Tech industry consolidation
(1)
Med tech Index
S&P 500
Source: ThomsonOne Banker. Note: Data as of December 31, 2006. (1) Includes ABT, BAX, BDX, BEC, BMET, BOL, BSX, EW, JNJ, MDT, STJ and SYK.
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24
Integreon
Comparative Sector Performance 2-Year % Change
Respiratory Dental Diagnostics
16%
41% (2)
(3)
13%
Mid-Cap Med/Surg (6)
12%
99%
11%
94%
12% 0%
(7)
94% 84%
(15%)
5%
Orthopedic (8)
93% 14%
17%
Large Cap (5)
91%
7%
19%
14%
92%
17%
29%
Diversified Industrials (4)
Ophthalmology
% of 52-Week High
(1)
S&P 500
Cardiovascular
1-Year % Change
74% 14%
(1%)
(9)
(17%)
(8%)
96% 72%
Source: ThomsonOne Bank. Note: Data as of December 31, 2006. (1) Includes ARRO, RESP, RMD, VAS, VITL and FPH. (2) Includes NOBE, STMN and XRAY. (3) Includes BEC, DADE, BIO, GPRO and CYTC. (4) Includes GE, DHR, SMIN, PHIA, SIE, MMM, TFX and TYC. (5) Includes ABT, BAX, JNJ and MDT. (6) Includes AMMD, BCR, CNMD, HB, ISRG, MNT, STE, ARTC, IVC and KCI. (7) Includes BSX, EW, STJ and THOR. (8) Includes BMET, SNN, SYK, SYST, ZMH and WMGI. (9) Includes ACL, EYE, BOL and COO.
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Integreon
Medical Technology Historical IPO Activity 1990–2006 YTD(1)
($ in millions)
$3,000
$3,000 $2,732
2,500
2,500
$1,941
2,000
2,000 $1,582
1,500
1,500 $1,178 $997
1,000 $685
$727
$0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
4
9
24
7
10
13
32
7
2
0
10
7
6
0
18
$573 500
$498
$392
$441
$171
$147
$86
$0
0
# of Transactions:
500
KCI (540M)
Alcon ($2,302M)
$663
1,000
0 2005
2006
12
12
Source: SDC and Dealogic. (1) As of December 31, 2006.
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26
Integreon
Medical Technology M&A Environment Medical technology consolidation activity continues to be robust
• Driven by acquirer’s strong valuations, historically low financing costs and need to accelerate growth Activity is broad-based covering all main medical technology sub-sectors (e.g., cardiovascular, orthopedics,
medical/surgical & others) Valuations remain strong for companies with superior market positioning and robust growth prospects
1995–YTD 2006(1)
($ in billions) $60
$60 $54.2
50
$45.3
40
40 $28.2
30
12 20 10 0
50
$11.9
14
$9.8
$7.6 1 26
$3.5 25
29
26
7 21
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
5
$12.9
$10.8
6 20
3 32
2000
2001
Transaction Value < $500 Million
$10.0
$12.2
18
30
$14.6
20
8
10
1 28
5 29
31
2002
2003
2004
37
42
2005
2006
0
Transaction Value > $500 Million
Source: Medical Device Daily and company press releases. (1) Represents announced transactions where value was disclosed; data as of December 31, 2006.
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27
Section 5
Healthcare Services Overview
Integreon
Managed Care Overview—Sizing of US Health Insurance Market Of the approximately $1.9 trillion in Health Care spending in the US in 2004, 44% was Government funded. 2005 US Health Insurance Coverage(1)
2004 US Health Care Spending(2) 70%
70%
59.5% 60
60
50
50
40
40
30
30
20
15.9% 13.7%
Consumer Outof-Pocket 15.1% Medicaid 17.4%
Medicare 19.2%
20
Private Health Insurance 36.1%
13.0%
9.1%
10
Other Government Programs 7.8%
10 3.8% 0
0 EmploymentBased
DirectPurchase
Commercial
Medicare
Medicaid
Military
Uninsured
Other Private 4.4%
Government
Total: ~$1.9 trillion
Total: 293.9 million
(1) (2)
Source: US Census Bureau. Does not add to 100% as individuals may covered by more than one type of health insurance during the year. Source: Kaiser Family Foundation.
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Integreon
Relative Stock Price Performance Managed care companies with a concentration in government-funded programs have outperformed the large cap companies in the past five years. For the Last Five Years 900%
900% 11/07/06: Democrats take over House and Senate 07/06/05: UNH/PHS announced
600
600 11/02/03: Bush defeats Kerry 12/08/03: MMA signed to law
300
300 03/20/03: MMA announced
0
0 12/01
10/02
8/03
Medicare
(1) (2) (3)
6/04 (1)
4/05 (2)
Medicaid
1/06
12/06
(3)
Large-Cap
Consists of PHS, HUM, SIE, WCG and HS (PHS includes 4/24/01 to 12/20/05; HS from 2/06/2006 to present; WCG from 7/1/04). Consists of AGP, CNC and MOH (CNC from 1/31/02; MOH from 7/3/03). Consists of AET, CI, UNH and WLP.
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Integreon
Managed Medicare Penetration Managed Medicare has a very low penetration on an absolute and relative basis Penetration has already increased to 18% of eligibles as of 11/06 from 12% in 2005 In the next 6–7 years, 8.1 million additional Medicare beneficiaries are expected to enroll in Medicare
Advantage plans Share of Medicare Beneficiaries Enrolled in Medicare Advantage Plans 40%
Relative Managed Care Penetration 40%
Actual (1)
100%
Projected (2)
100% 86%
30
30
75
75 61%
18% 16%
20
20
50
50 30%
5% 25
10
10
25
18% 11%
0
0
0
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
0 2004
2006
(3)
Medicare Managed Care
2013(11)
Commercial Managed Care (5)
Medicaid Managed Care (6)
CMS, Medicare Managed Care Contract Plans Monthly Summary Report. President’s FY 2006 Budget, Office of Management and Budget (February 2005). CMS as of November 2006. Wall Street Research Estimates. Medicaid Managed Care Penetration Report (December 2004). Includes PCCM programs.
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Integreon
Medicaid Managed Care Enrollment Trends(1) Medicaid managed care has enjoyed significant unit growth in the past two years as states have embraced managed care as a way to control expanding medical costs. Medicaid Managed Care Enrollment(1)
($ in millions)
35.0
State
70%
30.0
60
25.0
50
20.0
40 29%
10.0 13 5.0
15
17
18
19
21
23
25
27
29
30 20 10
10
0.0
0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
% Penetration
Enrollees
62%
15.0
Top 15 States by Enrollment(1)(2) California New York Ohio Michigan Pennsylvania Georgia Texas Arizona Puerto Rico Washington Florida New Jersey Maryland Missouri Indiana Top 15
Enrollees
% of Total
% Penetration
3,290,851 2,555,173 1,400,000(2) 1,290,240 1,261,704 1,057,297(2) 992,093 885,204 865,299 812,470 782,326 553,461 482,749 427,615 415,315 17,071,797
15.3% 11.9 6.5 6.0 5.9 4.9 4.6 4.1 4.0 3.8 3.6 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.9 79.4%
50.2% 54.4 81.8 89.9 74.3 76.7 35.9 77.6 99.9 84.4 34.8 69.0 67.4 40.7 51.2
Source: CMS and Kaiser Family Foundation. (1) Pro Forma for Georgia and Ohio expansions based on CMS website data. (2) Excludes PCCM arrangements and other state-managed programs as well as ancillary service-only programs.
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Integreon
Geographic Concentration of Medicaid Opportunities
WA
ND
MT
MN SD
ME
WI
ID
OR
VT
WY
MI NE
MA
NV IL UT
CO
KS
IN
PA
OH
MO
CA NM
Tier I:
DE
NC
MD DC
AR MS
TX
CT
VA
TN AZ
RI NJ
WV KY
OK
NH
NY
IA
AL
SC GA
LA
Large Population(1) High Penetration
FL
Tier II: Medium Population(2) High Penetration Tier III: Large Population(3) Low Penetration
(1) (2) (3)
Puerto Rico
Tier I defined as having >500,000 Medicaid enrollees and >500,000 managed care enrollees. Tier II defined as having >500,000 Medicaid enrollees and <500,000 managed care enrollees. Tier III defined as having between 200,000 and 500,000 Medicaid enrollees and between 200,000 and 500,000 managed care enrollees.
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Integreon
Valuation Trends Although the recent Democrat takeover of both the House and the Senate is seen as a negative for Medicare Advantage, these specialized companies are still trading at a premium largely due to lack-luster expected growth in the Commercial sector. Comparative Valuation—2008 P/E
Research Commentary
15.0x
15.0x
14.3x 11.4x
12.4x
11.9x
We view participation in government-funded healthcare
programs to be a strategic disadvantage...as yields decelerate and focus shifts to enrollment growth. 11/06/06
13.0x
10.9x
10.0
10.0
5.0
Government-focused companies have led the large caps
and have shown strong recoveries from 2005, with Amerigroup leading the pack, up 74.6%, followed by WellCare and Molina, which posted returns of 58.8% and 25.6%, respectively. 12/05/06
5.0 AET
WLP
CI
UNH
(1)
(2)
Medicare Medicaid
Large-Cap
(1) (2)
Consists of PHS, HUM, SIE and HS (PHS includes 4/24/01 to 12/20/05; HS from 2/06/2006 to present). Consists of AGP, CNC, MOH and WCG (CNC from 1/31/02; MOH from 7/3/03; WCG from 7/1/04).
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Integreon
Overview of the Medicare Market Population growth trends underlying Medicare Advantage will be favorable for the foreseeable future. Significant Number of Medicare Beneficiaries
Aging of US population
• People aged 65+ are expected to reach 20% of
75
75
population by 2030 (72 million)
• Comprise over 39% of total health care expenditures Medicare expenditures growth of over 9% per
year (excluding Part D)
(In millions)
50
42
R 12% CAG 47
53 50
25
25
0
0
• Part D expected to comprise 20% of Medicare
2005
2010
2014
spending by 2010
Medicare as a percentage of GDP is expected to
grow from 2.7% in 2004 to 4.2% by 2014
Rapidly Growing Medicare Expenditures $1,000 9% C
750 500
AGR $573
($ in billions) $817
750 500
$336
250
250
0
0 2005
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$1,000
2010
2015
34
Integreon
Healthcare Facilities Overview Long-Term Intensive Care High Acuity
Hospital
Assisted Living
High Acuity
Low Acuity
Most sophisticated
Skilled Nursing Medium-Low Acuity
Home Health
Home
Cheaper Alternative
Medicare/ Medicaid Certified
Most Expensive
Least Expensive CONTINUUM OF CARE
Source: Federal Hospital Insurance and Federal Supplementary Medical Insurance Trust Funds (2006).
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