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B l o o m b e r g M a r ke t s J a p a n July 2007 Vo l u m e 1 6 N u m b e r 7
CO NTE NTS Features COVER STORY 2
'07香港 ─ 輝きを取り戻した東洋の真珠 返還後10年間の紆余曲折と将来の展望 記者：ウイリアム・メラー
16
人工知能は究極のマネーマシンか？ 投資判断がコンピューター任せになる日 記者：ジェイソン・ケリー
Tr a d e S e c r e t s 26
MMFで勝つ「間合い」の極意 米政策金利動向の先読みが鍵 ─ ドレイファスのパトリシア・ラーキン 記者：マリアン・ブッソ
Personal Business 30
OPEN BAR
投資対象としてのワイン 優良銘柄に特化したワイン・ファンドのポートフォリオ 記者：エリン・マッコイ
Editor in Chief Bloomberg News
マット・ウインクラー MATT WINKLER
Informat ion for Readers For circulation inquiries, address changes and requests for copies, call 212-617-7880 or fax 917-369-8400. For subscription inquiries, send an e-mail to [email protected].
COVER PHOTOGRAPH BY PAUL HILTON / BLOOMBERG NEWS
For assistance in running Bloomberg functions, press twice. Fou nder
マイケル・ブルームバーグ MICHAEL BLOOMBERG
For reprint information, contact: PARS International Corp. Phone: 212-221-9595 E-mail: [email protected] Web site: www.magreprints.com
Publisher
A BPA International Business Publication
トレヴァー・フェローズ TREVOR FELLOWS
Editor, Bloomberg Markets ロナルド・ヘンコフ RONALD HENKOFF
ブルームバーグ・マーケッツ日本版
Editor
荒木 則之 STEVE ARAKI
Ar t Director ケン・パーマー KEN PALMER
Editor ial Technology マーク・コシーシン MARK KOCISCIN
Editor ial Inq u ir ies/Let ters to the Editor Steve Araki LETTERS or [email protected] 415-743-3518 Fax 646-268-5526 Adver t ising Inq u ir ies 広告掲載のお問い合わせ ブルームバーグ・マガジン広報担当 塩田ジル：(03)3201-3688 [email protected] 中林史果：(03)3201-3437 [email protected]
©2007 Bloomberg L.P. Bloomberg reserves the exclusive right to reproduce or authorize reproduction of articles. Advertisers and ad agencies assume liability for all ad content. A BPA International Business Publication Printed at Brown Printing Co., East Greenville, Pennsylvania 無断複製・転載を禁じます 本誌内容の著作権およびここに含まれる情報はBLOOMBERG L.P. またはその 情報提供者に帰属しますが、その正確さについての保証は致しません。本誌に含 まれるいかなる情報や意見も、証券や商品の購入または売却を勧誘するものでは ありません。
Communicated in the EEA by Bloomberg Tradebook Europe Limited which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority and which provides services in certain EEA Member States pursuant to the EU ISD. This communication is only directed at persons in the EEA who have professional experience in the investments which may be traded over the systems or who are high net worth organisations. The systems are not available to private customers. The systems are only available in countries and markets where the necessary legal clearances have been obtained. BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG AFFILIATE.COM, BLOOMBERG BONDTRADER, BLOOMBERG CLIENTBOOK, BLOOMBERG.COM, BLOOMBERG EXCHANGE TRADER, BLOOMBERG GOLD LIST, BLOOMBERG LEGAL, BLOOMBERG MARKETS, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG POWERMATCH, BLOOMBERG PRESS, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG RADIO, BLOOMBERG SMALL BUSINESS, BLOOMBERG TELEVISION, BLOOMBERG TRADEBOOK, BLOOMBERG UNIVERSITY, BLOOMBERG WEALTH MANAGER, BTV, COMPANY CONNECTION, THE BLOOMBERG FORUM and THE BLOOMBERG TRAVELER are trademarks and service marks of Bloomberg LP. All rights reserved. For information on the Bloomberg Professional service, contact the sales office in your region: New York 212-318-2000, San Francisco 415-912-2960, Frankfurt 49-69-920410, Hong Kong 852-2977-6000, London 44-20-7330-7500, São Paulo 5511-3048-4500, Singapore 65-6212-1000, Sydney 61-2-9777-8686, Tokyo 81-3-3201-8900. BLOOMBERG MARKETS magazine (ISSN 1531-5061, USPS 008-897) is published monthly by Bloomberg LP, P.O. Box 1583, New York, NY 10150-1583, and distributed free to subscribers of the Bloomberg Professional service. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Circulation, BLOOMBERG MARKETS Magazine, P.O. Box 1583, New York, NY 10150-1583. Periodicals postage paid in New York and at additional mailing offices.
1
CO NTE NTS Features COVER STORY 2
'07香港 ─ 輝きを取り戻した東洋の真珠 返還後10年間の紆余曲折と将来の展望 記者：ウイリアム・メラー
16
人工知能は究極のマネーマシンか？ 投資判断がコンピューター任せになる日 記者：ジェイソン・ケリー
Tr a d e S e c r e t s 26
MMFで勝つ「間合い」の極意 米政策金利動向の先読みが鍵 ─ ドレイファスのパトリシア・ラーキン 記者：マリアン・ブッソ
Personal Business 30
OPEN BAR
投資対象としてのワイン 優良銘柄に特化したワイン・ファンドのポートフォリオ 記者：エリン・マッコイ
Editor in Chief Bloomberg News
マット・ウインクラー MATT WINKLER
Informat ion for Readers For circulation inquiries, address changes and requests for copies, call 212-617-7880 or fax 917-369-8400. For subscription inquiries, send an e-mail to [email protected].
COVER PHOTOGRAPH BY PAUL HILTON / BLOOMBERG NEWS
For assistance in running Bloomberg functions, press
マイケル・ブルームバーグ MICHAEL BLOOMBERG
For reprint information, contact: PARS International Corp. Phone: 212-221-9595 E-mail: [email protected] Web site: www.magreprints.com
Publisher
A BPA International Business Publication
トレヴァー・フェローズ TREVOR FELLOWS
Editor, Bloomberg Markets ロナルド・ヘンコフ RONALD HENKOFF
ブルームバーグ・マーケッツ日本版
Editor
荒木 則之 STEVE ARAKI
Ar t Director ケン・パーマー KEN PALMER
Editor ial Technology マーク・コシーシン MARK KOCISCIN
Editor ial Inq u ir ies/Let ters to the Editor Steve Araki LETTERS
©2007 Bloomberg L.P. Bloomberg reserves the exclusive right to reproduce or authorize reproduction of articles. Advertisers and ad agencies assume liability for all ad content. A BPA International Business Publication Printed at Brown Printing Co., East Greenville, Pennsylvania 無断複製・転載を禁じます 本誌内容の著作権およびここに含まれる情報はBLOOMBERG L.P. またはその 情報提供者に帰属しますが、その正確さについての保証は致しません。本誌に含 まれるいかなる情報や意見も、証券や商品の購入または売却を勧誘するものでは ありません。
Communicated in the EEA by Bloomberg Tradebook Europe Limited which is authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Services Authority and which provides services in certain EEA Member States pursuant to the EU ISD. This communication is only directed at persons in the EEA who have professional experience in the investments which may be traded over the systems or who are high net worth organisations. The systems are not available to private customers. The systems are only available in countries and markets where the necessary legal clearances have been obtained. BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG AFFILIATE.COM, BLOOMBERG BONDTRADER, BLOOMBERG CLIENTBOOK, BLOOMBERG.COM, BLOOMBERG EXCHANGE TRADER, BLOOMBERG GOLD LIST, BLOOMBERG LEGAL, BLOOMBERG MARKETS, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG POWERMATCH, BLOOMBERG PRESS, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG RADIO, BLOOMBERG SMALL BUSINESS, BLOOMBERG TELEVISION, BLOOMBERG TRADEBOOK, BLOOMBERG UNIVERSITY, BLOOMBERG WEALTH MANAGER, BTV, COMPANY CONNECTION, THE BLOOMBERG FORUM and THE BLOOMBERG TRAVELER are trademarks and service marks of Bloomberg LP. All rights reserved. For information on the Bloomberg Professional service, contact the sales office in your region: New York 212-318-2000, San Francisco 415-912-2960, Frankfurt 49-69-920410, Hong Kong 852-2977-6000, London 44-20-7330-7500, São Paulo 5511-3048-4500, Singapore 65-6212-1000, Sydney 61-2-9777-8686, Tokyo 81-3-3201-8900. BLOOMBERG MARKETS magazine (ISSN 1531-5061, USPS 008-897) is published monthly by Bloomberg LP, P.O. Box 1583, New York, NY 10150-1583, and distributed free to subscribers of the Bloomberg Professional service. POSTMASTER: Send address changes to Circulation, BLOOMBERG MARKETS Magazine, P.O. Box 1583, New York, NY 10150-1583. Periodicals postage paid in New York and at additional mailing offices.
1
