The Polls
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52.5 50 47.5 45 42.5 40 37.5 35 32.5 30 27.5 25 22.5 20 17.5 15 12.5 10
MORI Con
BPIX Con
MORI Lab
BPIX Lab
MORI LD
BPIX LD
YOUGOV Con YOUGOV Lab YOUGOV LD Populus Con Populus Lab Populus LD ICM Con ICM Lab ICM LD ComRes Con J
D
J
J
J
D
M
u
e
u
a
u
e
a
n
c
l-
n
l-
c
y-
ComRes Lab -
-
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
7
0
6
0
5
ComRes LD 8
7
7
5
8
7
7
5
Average 47.5 45 42.5 40 37.5 35 32.5 30 27.5 25 22.5 20 17.5 15 12.5 O ct
u
-
n
r-
v
p
Average LD
a
o
e
n
p
a y
a
e
n
p
a y
a
e
Average Lab
J
M
N
S
M
J
S
M
J
S
M a y
Average Con
0
-
0
S
t
0
-
-
0
-
-
0
8
0
8
e
S
7
0
0
6
0
0
5
O
J
M
N
S
M
J
S
M
J
S
M
o
a
u
ct
e
a
e
a e a y
p
n
a y
p
n
a y
p
v
r-
n
-
Average LD Average Lab Average Con
0 -
0 S t 0 0 0
8 0
8 e S 7 0 0 6 0 0 5
8
t e
7 6
6 5
2 t 1
MORI Con
YOUGOV
Lab
LD
Con
Lab
Populus LD
Con
Lab
ICM LD
Con
ComRes
Lab
LD
Con
Lab 39
Con
30
37
26
31
38
23
32
38
21
32
39
21
Jun-05
29
42
21
33
38
20
32
38
21
31
38
23
Jul-05
28
41
25
31
40
21
28
40
22
31
39
23
Aug-05
31
39
24
33
40
20
28
40
22
31
38
22
Sep-05
29
39
25
32
40
20
35
37
20
31
40
21
Oct-05
34
40
21
32
40
19
30
40
21
33
36
22
33
Nov-05
32
42
19
35
37
20
32
40
19
33
38
19
35
Dec-05
40
30
21
37
36
18
35
38
19
37
35
21
37
Jan-06
40
38
17
39
40
13
36
39
16
39
35
20
38
Feb-06
35
38
20
38
36
18
37
36
18
37
34
21
Mar-06
34
39
19
36
36
18
35
35
20
33
37
21
39
Apr-06
30
30
25
35
32
18
34
36
21
34
32
24
35
May-06
41
31
18
38
32
16
38
30
20
38
34
20
Jun-06
41
34
18
39
32
17
37
34
18
37
32
21
Jul-06
36
32
24
38
33
18
36
34
19
39
35
17
38
31
18
40
31
22
Aug-06
31
LD
May-05
23
41
Sep-06
35
36
19
40
32
17
36
32
20
36
32
22
Oct-06
35
37
18
39
32
16
36
35
18
39
29
22
38
32
14
Nov-06
35
33
20
37
32
16
36
33
20
39
30
20
34
36
17
Dec-06
37
36
18
37
32
15
34
33
19
40
32
18
36
37
13
Jan-07
39
35
19
38
31
18
39
32
18
37
31
23
34
29
21
37
32
17
36
33
19
40
31
19
Feb-07
40
Mar-07
41
33
17
39
31
16
38
30
18
40
29
21
40
29
17
Apr-07
38
31
20
39
31
16
37
29
20
37
30
21
36
27
22
May-07
37
35
19
39
33
15
37
33
17
37
32
21
35
31
19
Jun-07
36
39
15
37
35
14
35
39
18
37
32
18
Jul-07
35
41
15
32
41
16
33
39
15
35
37
17
34
37
16
Aug-07
36
41
16
35
38
15
36
37
16
34
39
18
36
36
15
Sept Set 1
34
42
14
34
39
15
36
37
18
32
40
20
34
37
15
34
Sept Set 2
31
44
15
33
39
16
31
41
17
33
39
19
Oct-07
41
33
16
41
40 41 38 41 38
27 30 30 30 31
18 16 17 17 17
40 43 44 45 46
26 26 30 24 25
20 19 16 16 16
41
38
11
41
38
11
38
40
12
43
36
14
Nov Set 1
40
35
13
41
35
13
36
37
16
43
35
15
Nov Set 2 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr Set 1 Apr Set 2 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08
41 42 42 37 40
32 35 32 38 35
17 14 15 16 18
40 47 45 47 48
31 23 28 27 24
17 18 16 15 17
43 45 43 41 43 44 44 49 47 47 48
32 32 33 32 27 28 26 23 25 25 26
14 14 14 16 16 17 17 17 18 16 16
40 37 40 37 39 40 40 45 43 43
32 33 31 34 33 30 29 25 27 27
16 19 17 19 17 19 19 20 18 18
41 39 40 37 42 43 39 41 42 45 44
30 34 33 32 29 32 29 27 26 29 29
19 18 18 21 21 18 20 22 21 19 19
49 47
Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08
52 45 43 41
24 30 32 36
12 14 15 11
46 45 41 41
27 31 36 35
16 15 14 15
45 41 39
30 35 35
15 16 17
41 42 45
32 30 30
18 17 18
44 40 43 37
25 31 32 36
17 16 12 14
43 46 45
BPIX
Average
Lab
LD
Con
Lab
LD
31.20
38.20
22.80
31.25
39.00
21.25
29.50
40.00
22.75
30.75
39.25
22.00
31.75
39.00
21.50
41
18
32.40
39.40
20.20
37
20
33.40
38.80
19.40
38
17
37.20
35.40
19.20
38
16
38.40
38.00
16.40
36.75
36.00
19.25
37
16
35.40
36.80
18.80
32
19
33.60
32.40
21.40
38.75
31.75
18.50
38.50
33.00
18.50
38.00
33.00
18.60
39.00
31.00
20.00
37.40
32.40
18.40
37.40
33.00
17.60
36.20
32.80
18.60
36.80
34.00
16.60
37.40
31.60
19.80
37.67
32.00
18.33
39.60
30.40
17.80
37.40
29.60
19.80
37.00
32.80
18.20
36.25
36.25
16.25
33.80
39.00
15.80
35.40
38.20
16.00
34.00
39.33
15.67
32.00
40.75
16.75
40.83
37.00
12.50
40.00
35.50
14.25
41.25 41.40 40.00 39.20 40.00 42.00 40.60 44.00 45.33 45.67 45.80
30.25 32.60 32.20 32.60 31.20 31.00 28.40 25.60 26.67 26.00 26.20
17.00 15.60 16.60 17.40 18.20 17.33 18.60 19.00 17.50 16.67 17.20
31 30
41 37
26 24
15 14
12 11
14 16
31 30 31
17 13 13
45.20 43.83 43.00 39.50
27.80 30.33 32.67 35.50
16.00 15.00 14.67 14.25
MORI Con
BPIX Con
MORI Lab
BPIX Lab
MORI LD
BPIX LD
YOUGOV Con YOUGOV Lab YOUGOV LD Populus Con Populus Lab Populus LD ICM Con ICM Lab ICM LD ComRes Con J
D
J
J
J
D
M
u
e
u
a
u
e
a
n
c
l-
n
l-
c
y-
ComRes Lab -
-
0
-
0
-
0
0
0
7
0
6
0
5
ComRes LD 8
7
7
5
8
7
7
5
Average 47.5 45 42.5 40 37.5 35 32.5 30 27.5 25 22.5 20 17.5 15 12.5 O ct
u
-
n
r-
v
p
Average LD
a
o
e
n
p
a y
a
e
n
p
a y
a
e
Average Lab
J
M
N
S
M
J
S
M
J
S
M a y
Average Con
0
-
0
S
t
0
-
-
0
-
-
0
8
0
8
e
S
7
0
0
6
0
0
5
O
J
M
N
S
M
J
S
M
J
S
M
o
a
u
ct
e
a
e
a e a y
p
n
a y
p
n
a y
p
v
r-
n
-
Average LD Average Lab Average Con
0 -
0 S t 0 0 0
8 0
8 e S 7 0 0 6 0 0 5
8
t e
7 6
6 5
2 t 1
MORI Con
YOUGOV
Lab
LD
Con
Lab
Populus LD
Con
Lab
ICM LD
Con
ComRes
Lab
LD
Con
Lab 39
Con
30
37
26
31
38
23
32
38
21
32
39
21
Jun-05
29
42
21
33
38
20
32
38
21
31
38
23
Jul-05
28
41
25
31
40
21
28
40
22
31
39
23
Aug-05
31
39
24
33
40
20
28
40
22
31
38
22
Sep-05
29
39
25
32
40
20
35
37
20
31
40
21
Oct-05
34
40
21
32
40
19
30
40
21
33
36
22
33
Nov-05
32
42
19
35
37
20
32
40
19
33
38
19
35
Dec-05
40
30
21
37
36
18
35
38
19
37
35
21
37
Jan-06
40
38
17
39
40
13
36
39
16
39
35
20
38
Feb-06
35
38
20
38
36
18
37
36
18
37
34
21
Mar-06
34
39
19
36
36
18
35
35
20
33
37
21
39
Apr-06
30
30
25
35
32
18
34
36
21
34
32
24
35
May-06
41
31
18
38
32
16
38
30
20
38
34
20
Jun-06
41
34
18
39
32
17
37
34
18
37
32
21
Jul-06
36
32
24
38
33
18
36
34
19
39
35
17
38
31
18
40
31
22
Aug-06
31
LD
May-05
23
41
Sep-06
35
36
19
40
32
17
36
32
20
36
32
22
Oct-06
35
37
18
39
32
16
36
35
18
39
29
22
38
32
14
Nov-06
35
33
20
37
32
16
36
33
20
39
30
20
34
36
17
Dec-06
37
36
18
37
32
15
34
33
19
40
32
18
36
37
13
Jan-07
39
35
19
38
31
18
39
32
18
37
31
23
34
29
21
37
32
17
36
33
19
40
31
19
Feb-07
40
Mar-07
41
33
17
39
31
16
38
30
18
40
29
21
40
29
17
Apr-07
38
31
20
39
31
16
37
29
20
37
30
21
36
27
22
May-07
37
35
19
39
33
15
37
33
17
37
32
21
35
31
19
Jun-07
36
39
15
37
35
14
35
39
18
37
32
18
Jul-07
35
41
15
32
41
16
33
39
15
35
37
17
34
37
16
Aug-07
36
41
16
35
38
15
36
37
16
34
39
18
36
36
15
Sept Set 1
34
42
14
34
39
15
36
37
18
32
40
20
34
37
15
34
Sept Set 2
31
44
15
33
39
16
31
41
17
33
39
19
Oct-07
41
33
16
41
40 41 38 41 38
27 30 30 30 31
18 16 17 17 17
40 43 44 45 46
26 26 30 24 25
20 19 16 16 16
41
38
11
41
38
11
38
40
12
43
36
14
Nov Set 1
40
35
13
41
35
13
36
37
16
43
35
15
Nov Set 2 Dec-07 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr Set 1 Apr Set 2 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08
41 42 42 37 40
32 35 32 38 35
17 14 15 16 18
40 47 45 47 48
31 23 28 27 24
17 18 16 15 17
43 45 43 41 43 44 44 49 47 47 48
32 32 33 32 27 28 26 23 25 25 26
14 14 14 16 16 17 17 17 18 16 16
40 37 40 37 39 40 40 45 43 43
32 33 31 34 33 30 29 25 27 27
16 19 17 19 17 19 19 20 18 18
41 39 40 37 42 43 39 41 42 45 44
30 34 33 32 29 32 29 27 26 29 29
19 18 18 21 21 18 20 22 21 19 19
49 47
Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08
52 45 43 41
24 30 32 36
12 14 15 11
46 45 41 41
27 31 36 35
16 15 14 15
45 41 39
30 35 35
15 16 17
41 42 45
32 30 30
18 17 18
44 40 43 37
25 31 32 36
17 16 12 14
43 46 45
BPIX
Average
Lab
LD
Con
Lab
LD
31.20
38.20
22.80
31.25
39.00
21.25
29.50
40.00
22.75
30.75
39.25
22.00
31.75
39.00
21.50
41
18
32.40
39.40
20.20
37
20
33.40
38.80
19.40
38
17
37.20
35.40
19.20
38
16
38.40
38.00
16.40
36.75
36.00
19.25
37
16
35.40
36.80
18.80
32
19
33.60
32.40
21.40
38.75
31.75
18.50
38.50
33.00
18.50
38.00
33.00
18.60
39.00
31.00
20.00
37.40
32.40
18.40
37.40
33.00
17.60
36.20
32.80
18.60
36.80
34.00
16.60
37.40
31.60
19.80
37.67
32.00
18.33
39.60
30.40
17.80
37.40
29.60
19.80
37.00
32.80
18.20
36.25
36.25
16.25
33.80
39.00
15.80
35.40
38.20
16.00
34.00
39.33
15.67
32.00
40.75
16.75
40.83
37.00
12.50
40.00
35.50
14.25
41.25 41.40 40.00 39.20 40.00 42.00 40.60 44.00 45.33 45.67 45.80
30.25 32.60 32.20 32.60 31.20 31.00 28.40 25.60 26.67 26.00 26.20
17.00 15.60 16.60 17.40 18.20 17.33 18.60 19.00 17.50 16.67 17.20
31 30
41 37
26 24
15 14
12 11
14 16
31 30 31
17 13 13
45.20 43.83 43.00 39.50
27.80 30.33 32.67 35.50
16.00 15.00 14.67 14.25
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