Sports Stat Uk - April
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6 British leagues… Unique Ratings System… In-depth analysis… 5 year profits… 50+ betting markets…
Issue 47
THIS IS WHERE IT COUNTS.. The run-in to the end of the season starts here – this is where teams have to produce their best to win those titles, play-off spots, places in Europe – or to avoid the dreaded relegation – let the Sports Stats rock-solid season long ratings be your guide…. In this month’s British Sports Stat… the trends that can win you money right to the end of the final whistle… Tottenham – but not as we knew them…Harry Redknapp has tightened up the once free-and-easy Spurs defence… just 2 goals conceded in their last 6 home games… look to profit. West Ham – the ‘corners’ backer’s friend…a massive 80 percent of home games have paid out on ‘Over 11 Corners’ bets West Brom – 21 goals in their last 6 home games – ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ bets must be considered Plymouth – have scored just two goals in their last 6 away games, and conceded 13 – the opposition to Keep A Clean Sheet or Win To Nil bets make appeal. Millwall – Have been picking up red and yellow cards hand-over-fist recently, especially away from home ‘high’ cards are on the bet list when they travel.. AND DOZENS MORE TOP TRENDS TO PROFIT FROM – ALL INSIDE YOUR 16-PAGE ‘BRITISH SECTOR’ SPORTS STATISTICIAN
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Contents ______ Premiership Page 2 - 8 __________________ Championship Page 9 & 10 __________________ League 1 Page 11 __________________ League 2 Page 13 __________________ Conference Page 14 __________________ SPL Page 15 & 16 Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of all editorial material, but disclaim all liability for any errors or omissions found in this publication.
Want our bets via Twitter? Simply email us @ [email protected] And we’ll send you our Twitter “How to Guide” Important – This is a member’s only service
Premier League: Attacking Stats – Home – Period 7 Shots On Ratings
Shots Off Ratings
F
A
F
Accuracy Ratings
A
Shots per Goal Ratings
F
F
A
Possess Ratings
F
A
Arsenal
6.7
1.3
12.0
5.7
35.71%
14.00
N/A
55.67
44.33
Aston Villa
4.0
5.3
8.7
9.3
31.58%
12.67
8.80
51.00
49.00
Blackburn
2.0
3.3
13.7
7.7
12.77%
47.00
11.00
52.33
47.67
Bolton
4.3
6.3
7.3
14.3
37.14%
8.75
15.50
43.00
57.00
Chelsea
4.7
2.0
17.0
10.0
21.54%
21.67
36.00
59.67
40.33
Everton
7.0
3.3
11.3
10.3
38.18%
6.88
41.00
59.33
40.67
Fulham
5.8
6.3
13.8
9.8
29.49%
15.60
21.33
55.50
44.50
Hull
2.0
3.0
9.3
8.0
17.65%
11.33
6.60
47.00
53.00
Liverpool
6.8
2.5
17.8
5.5
27.55%
9.80
32.00
59.50
40.50
Man City
6.3
3.3
13.7
5.3
31.67%
15.00
N/A
58.33
41.67
Man Utd
4.3
2.7
13.0
7.3
25.00%
8.67
6.00
60.67
39.33
Middlesbrough
4.3
3.3
6.7
13.3
39.39%
11.00
50.00
44.67
55.33
Newcastle
3.0
6.0
8.0
10.5
27.27%
14.67
11.00
45.75
54.25
Portsmouth
4.5
5.0
9.8
8.0
31.58%
9.50
10.40
43.50
56.50
Stoke
2.7
3.3
7.0
10.0
27.59%
5.80
20.00
35.67
64.33
Sunderland
3.3
3.7
8.3
6.7
28.57%
8.75
10.33
53.67
46.33
Tottenham
5.0
4.0
9.0
8.7
35.71%
8.40
N/A
48.67
51.33
West Brom
3.0
6.3
8.0
11.3
27.27%
8.25
7.57
54.00
46.00
West Ham
3.3
1.7
8.7
13.0
27.78%
36.00
44.00
48.00
52.00
Wigan
4.3
4.3
11.7
6.0
27.08%
48.00
31.00
48.33
51.67
Attacking Stats – Home highlights Blackburn: Their shooting accuracy rating this month is the worst in the Premiership – and it is costing them dearly. Blackburn spurned numerous chances against the Hammers recently and dropped 2 points as a result. Must improve quickly or face the threat of relegation.
End-to-End Match of the Month There were 33 shots in the Pompey – Chelsea match.
Wigan: Were highlighted last month as a team to support at home in ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets, and they delivered two wins out of two. Steve Bruce’s side continue to struggle to put the ball in the net – it’s taking them a huge 48 shots to score – and we should continue to bet ‘Under 2.5 Goals.’ Low Shooting Match of the Month Strugglers Hull and Newcastle produced just 5 ‘on target’ shots in 90 minutes.
Man Utd: Are under the microscope after their calamitous 4-1 home loss to Liverpool – but any team that enjoys around 60 percent possession and can score a goal in 8.67 shots is not dead and buried by any means – look for United to resume normal home service.
Hull: Are just not creating enough chances or getting enough shots on target – their ‘on target’ rating this month of 2.0 is a league worst – no wonder they haven’t won any of their last 5 ‘homes.’ Look to support their visitors, or when their visitors are poor scorers – bet ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ in the match.
The Sports Stat blog … www.dailywrap.co.uk 2
Premier League: Attacking Stats – Away – Period 7 Shots On Ratings
Shots Off Ratings
F
F
A
Accuracy Ratings
A
Shots per Goal Ratings
F
F
A
Possess Ratings
F
A
Arsenal
6.0
4.3
8.0
9.0
42.86%
7.00
20.00
51.33
48.67
Aston Villa
3.3
4.3
8.3
13.3
28.57%
17.50
7.57
44.67
55.33
Blackburn
4.3
4.8
8.0
10.0
34.69%
9.80
7.38
42.75
57.25
Bolton
5.3
3.7
10.0
11.7
34.78%
46.00
7.67
46.00
54.00
Chelsea
5.8
5.0
11.0
11.5
34.33%
33.50
22.00
57.00
43.00
Everton
3.7
1.7
7.0
9.0
34.38%
32.00
16.00
52.00
48.00
Fulham
3.5
4.5
9.3
11.3
27.45%
17.00
15.75
50.50
49.50
Hull
1.3
4.7
10.3
16.0
11.43%
35.00
62.00
40.67
59.33
Liverpool
4.7
4.0
11.3
6.7
29.17%
6.86
6.40
58.00
42.00
Man City
2.8
4.8
7.5
14.0
26.83%
41.00
15.00
50.00
50.00
Man Utd
5.3
5.0
12.7
11.3
29.63%
18.00
16.33
55.33
44.67
Middlesbrough
3.0
5.0
9.7
10.3
23.68%
N/A!
7.67
51.33
48.67
Newcastle
4.0
3.7
12.3
7.0
24.49%
12.25
8.00
54.00
46.00
Portsmouth
3.0
4.5
7.0
10.0
30.00%
6.67
9.67
57.50
42.50
Stoke
1.7
5.3
8.3
9.3
16.67%
10.00
6.29
37.00
63.00
Sunderland
3.0
6.8
5.0
14.0
37.50%
32.00
20.75
39.00
61.00
Tottenham
5.0
2.7
7.3
10.0
40.54%
7.40
12.67
52.67
47.33
West Brom
4.0
4.0
10.3
11.0
27.91%
N/A
11.25
45.67
54.33
West Ham
4.7
4.0
7.3
12.0
38.89%
12.00
16.00
53.00
47.00
Wigan
4.0
4.3
10.0
6.7
28.57%
14.00
11.00
42.00
58.00
Attacking Stats – Away highlights Everton: Still struggling with injuries to their striking staff are taking over 30 shots to score a goal ‘away.’ But their resolute defence is doing a decent job, and the result is just 7 total goals in Everton’s last 6 road games, with 3 of those coming in one match against Pompey. Look out for ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ Hull: Their away shooting stats look sickly to say the least – lowest ‘on target’ rating in the Premiership, worst ‘shooting accuracy’ in the Premiership, and poor possession figures too. Hull have only scored twice in their last 6 ‘road’ games, so look for opponents to ‘Keep A Clean Sheet’ or to ‘Win To Nil.’ Middlesboro: Have not scored a goal in their last 6 away games – yet they allow opponents to score a goal for every 7.67 shots they take. Look to oppose in the ‘match result’ market – and look to back opponents To Keep A Clean Sheet
Middlesboro Boro’s woes on the road perfectly illustrated by their game against Stoke. Boro enjoyed 65% possession and still didn’t score. Bolton Had 11 shots ‘on target’ against WBA, joint highest total of the month (with Chelsea and Newcastle.)
Liverpool: We said last month that ‘Liverpool would be very hard to beat away from Anfield,’ and they didn’t let us down, beating Man U 4-1 at Old Trafford. The ‘Pool have been strong on the road all year, and they continue to hold fine possession, ‘shots on’ and ‘shots per goal’ ratings title.
What Sports Stat subscribers will receive in 2009/10? Turn to page 12 for full details… 3
Premier League: Goals & Saves Stats – Home – Period 7 Offside Ratings
2008/9 Goals
Goal Ratings
Save Ratings
Saves to Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
T
F
A
F
A
Arsenal
1.7
1.3
22
11
1.33
0.00
1.33
1.3
5.7
4.3
N/A
Aston Villa
1.7
1.7
21
17
1.00
1.67
2.67
3.7
3.0
3.0
2.2
Blackburn
2.3
4.0
16
22
0.33
1.00
1.33
2.3
1.7
5.0
2.3
Bolton
1.3
3.7
15
18
1.33
1.33
2.67
5.0
3.0
2.3
3.8
Chelsea
4.0
1.7
24
8
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.7
3.7
3.7
5.0
Everton
1.7
1.3
23
17
2.67
0.33
3.00
3.0
4.3
1.6
9.0
Fulham
2.3
3.0
24
12
1.25
0.75
2.00
5.3
4.5
3.6
7.0
Hull
6.0
3.7
16
30
1.00
1.67
2.67
1.3
1.0
1.0
0.8
Liverpool
1.3
1.5
27
9
2.50
0.25
2.75
2.5
4.3
1.7
10.0
Man City
2.3
2.0
31
12
1.33
0.00
1.33
3.3
5.0
3.8
N/A
Man Utd
3.7
1.7
31
9
2.00
1.67
3.67
1.0
2.3
1.2
0.6
Middlesbrough
3.7
2.3
13
16
1.00
0.33
1.33
3.0
3.7
3.7
9.0
Newcastle
1.8
2.5
21
25
0.75
1.50
2.25
4.5
2.3
3.0
3.0
Portsmouth
1.5
1.5
20
23
1.50
1.25
2.75
3.8
3.0
2.0
3.0
Stoke
2.0
0.7
18
13
1.67
0.67
2.33
3.0
1.0
0.6
4.5
Sunderland
3.3
2.7
17
18
1.33
1.00
2.33
2.7
2.0
1.5
2.7
Tottenham
2.7
3.7
16
9
1.67
0.00
1.67
4.0
3.3
2.0
N/A
West Brom
5.0
2.3
20
28
1.33
2.33
3.67
4.0
2.0
1.5
1.7
West Ham
3.7
0.3
19
17
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.3
3.0
9.0
4.0
Wigan
0.7
2.7
14
12
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.7
4.0
12.0
5.0
Goals & Saves – Home highlights Everton: Have scored 14 goals in their last half-dozen home matches, and that’s as good a record as anyone in the league – only Liverpool have scored as many (and they hit 5 in one game past a listless Villa.) The Everton defence have conceded only twice, so the Blues are a side to follow at Goodison. Arsenal: Conceded a goal to Liverpool on December 20th – and then went six games at the Emirates without letting in another. Look to back the Gunners to Win To Nil or to Keep A Clean Sheet Top Scorers Anelka 15 Gerrard 13 Ronaldo 13 Crouch 11 Robinho 11
West Brom: There have been plenty of goals here recently – 21 in the last 6 games – and West Brom at home should be considered for ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ bets.
The Goal Providers Players who have made most ‘assists’ Van Persie 10 Berbatov 9 Malbranque 8 Ashley Young 8 Adebayor 7 Agbonlahor 7 Arteta 7
Tottenham: The Spurs defence has conceded only 2 goals in their last 6 ‘homes.’ Look for opportunities to back Tottenham’s opponent in the ‘No Goal Scorer’ market or alternatively, take a closer look at a suitable package of Correct Scores
Turn to Page 12 for news of another new product “Sports Stat Premier” – Launch Date: July 2009 4
Premier League: Goals & Saves Stats – Away – Period 7 Offside Ratings
2008/9 Goals
Goal Ratings
Save Ratings
Saves to Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
T
F
A
F
A
Arsenal
1.3
2.7
26
16
2.00
0.67
2.67
3.7
4.0
2.0
5.5
Aston Villa
2.0
1.0
22
19
0.67
2.33
3.00
2.0
2.7
4.0
0.9
Blackburn
3.8
2.5
17
27
1.25
2.00
3.25
3.0
3.0
2.4
1.5
Bolton
1.0
3.7
17
26
0.33
2.00
2.33
2.0
5.0
15.0
1.0
Chelsea
2.0
0.5
25
9
0.50
0.75
1.25
4.3
5.3
10.5
5.7
Everton
3.0
1.3
17
14
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.0
3.3
10.0
1.5
Fulham
1.3
2.3
6
14
0.75
1.00
1.75
3.5
1.0
1.3
3.5
Hull
1.3
2.0
19
22
0.33
0.33
0.67
4.3
1.0
3.0
13.0
Liverpool
2.0
3.7
27
13
2.33
1.67
4.00
2.7
2.3
1.0
1.6
Man City
1.0
3.5
15
25
0.25
1.25
1.50
3.5
2.8
11.0
2.8
Man Utd
3.0
2.0
18
9
1.00
1.00
2.00
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.7
2.3
8
26
0.00
2.00
2.00
3.0
3.0
N/A
1.5
Newcastle
3.7
5.7
15
24
1.33
1.33
2.67
2.3
2.7
2.0
1.8
Portsmouth
0.5
2.0
12
23
1.50
1.50
3.00
3.0
2.0
1.3
2.0
Stoke
2.0
1.0
12
34
1.00
2.33
3.33
3.0
0.7
0.7
1.3
Sunderland
1.0
2.3
12
21
0.25
1.00
1.25
5.8
2.8
11.0
5.8
Tottenham
2.3
4.3
20
25
1.67
1.00
2.67
1.7
3.3
2.0
1.7
West Brom
0.3
4.0
6
27
0.00
1.33
1.33
2.7
4.0
N/A
2.0
West Ham
5.7
2.0
16
18
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.0
3.7
3.7
3.0
Wigan
3.3
3.0
16
16
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.3
3.0
3.0
3.3
Goals & Saves – Away highlights Sunderland: Have had big problems scoring on the road – but their defence has generally done a decent job of keeping them in the match. Just 10 goals in total in the Black Cats last 6 games makes ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets of interest. Chelsea: Have not been scoring many goals away from home recently – just 4 in their last 7 road matches. Look to support their opponents on the Asian Handicap, and when playing low-scoring hosts, consider ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets. Worst ‘Away’ Sides with the worst Away Goal Diff
Stoke –23 West Brom –21 Middlesboro –18 Portsmouth -11 Blackburn -10
Liverpool: There have been goals galore in Liverpool away games in the past month – and the Reds road matches are currently rated to produce the highest number of Total Goals in the league.
On The Road The teams with the best goal difference stats away from home.
Chelsea 16 Liverpool 14 Arsenal 10 Man Utd 9 Aston Villa 3
West Brom: Often create goal-scoring chances for themselves – but seldom take them – they’ve hit just 3 goals in their last 6 away games.
Wigan: Have problems putting the ball in the net – another good striker an essential for next year – but their defence is well organised and effective and there have been just 8 goals in Wigan’s last 6 away matches. Look to bet ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ away from home.
Do you have a query on the Sports Stat ratings? E-mail us at… [email protected] 5
Premier League: Bookings & Fouls – Period 7 Home
Away
Bookings Ratings F A T
Foul Ratings F A
Bookings Ratings F A T
Foul Ratings F A
6.7
20.0
26.7
7.7
14.3
Arsenal
15.0
16.7
31.7
13.7
Aston Villa
10.0
23.3
33.3
10.0
11.7
Aston Villa
25.0
13.3
38.3
11.3
10.0
Blackburn
16.7
3.3
20.0
12.3
11.3
Blackburn
28.8
18.8
47.5
17.0
11.5
Arsenal
15.3
6.7
16.7
23.3
15.0
11.0
Bolton
10.0
16.7
26.7
15.0
12.3
Chelsea
13.3
20.0
33.3
12.0
15.0
Chelsea
26.3
17.5
43.8
13.0
14.3
Everton
6.7
10.0
16.7
8.3
17.0
Everton
21.7
18.3
40.0
13.7
15.3
Fulham
15.0
27.5
42.5
12.8
11.5
Fulham
7.5
5.0
12.5
12.3
8.3
Hull
31.7
28.3
60.0
16.7
15.3
Hull
20.0
16.7
36.7
16.3
13.7
Liverpool
17.5
35.0
52.5
14.0
12.5
Liverpool
10.0
25.0
35.0
12.7
10.7
Bolton
Man City
13.3
35.0
48.3
11.3
12.3
Man City
22.5
10.0
32.5
13.5
12.3
Man Utd
25.0
20.0
45.0
9.7
17.3
Man Utd
36.7
16.7
53.3
10.7
13.7
Middlesbrough
21.7
23.3
45.0
8.3
11.7
Middlesbrough
10.0
13.3
23.3
11.3
12.0
Newcastle
16.3
31.3
47.5
13.0
15.3
Newcastle
26.7
23.3
50.0
12.7
14.7
Portsmouth
10.0
10.0
20.0
13.0
12.0
Portsmouth
30.0
17.5
47.5
11.0
10.0
Stoke
23.3
16.7
40.0
14.7
13.0
Stoke
18.3
10.0
28.3
11.7
7.0
Sunderland
16.7
21.7
38.3
11.3
9.7
Sunderland
36.3
20.0
56.3
13.8
12.0
Tottenham
10.0
21.7
31.7
12.3
10.7
Tottenham
20.0
20.0
40.0
9.7
15.3
West Brom
26.7
10.0
36.7
13.0
12.7
West Brom
10.0
6.7
16.7
13.7
10.7
West Ham
13.3
13.3
26.7
15.0
14.7
West Ham
31.7
21.7
53.3
12.0
14.3
Wigan
21.7
38.3
60.0
12.0
12.0
Wigan
23.3
16.7
40.0
13.7
10.7
Bookings & Fouls – highlights Most Booked Players Lee Cattermole 10 yellows 2 reds Kevin Nolan 10 yellows 1 red Marouane Fellaini 12 yellows Kieran Richardson 10 yellows
Man Utd: Aren’t often on the wrong end of drubbings from Fulham and Liverpool, and the Red Devils didn’t handle it too well – picking up a stack of red and yellow cards. But United are likely to re-group, and return to their usual low-card status - both home and away. Sunderland: The relegation-threatened Black Cats are fighting desperately hard to avoid the drop – but they are becoming a reckless, especially away from home. Sunderland have picked up 21 yellows and a red in their last 6 road games – the highest card total in the Premiership. Liverpool: Continue to have a good season for results away from home – which may be a big influence on their low card ratings ‘on the road.’ Look to bet low cards ‘away’, especially when Liverpool meet other well-behaved sides – and when Liverpool’s leading card earner Arbeloa is on the bench.
Fulham: Have been a very solid ‘low card’ team on the road all year – they are easily the least-booked ‘away’ side in the Premiership, and the trend continues. Look to bet low cards in Fulham road games, or against an aggressive opponent – look to bet the opponent ‘To Receive The First Card.’
Your Sports Statistician now comes in 2 parts… Sports Stat UK and Sports Stat Euro (more news of part 3 on Pg 12) 6
Premier League Fouls per Point Fouls per Pt Home
Premier League Referee Table 2008/9
Fouls Per Pt Away
F
A
1.15
0.72
1.00
0.50
0.74
3.40
2.25
Total Games
Tot Pts
Average Pts
Average Fouls
Fouls per Pt 0.71
F
A
Arsenal
0.91
0.92
H. Webb
27
1055
39.07
27.78
Aston Villa
0.45
0.75
C. Foy
20
715
35.75
23.90
0.67
Blackburn
0.59
0.61
A. Marriner
20
770
38.50
23.85
0.62
0.66
Bolton
1.50
0.74
P. Walton
18
520
28.89
22.89
0.79
0.90
0.75
Chelsea
0.50
0.81
M. Atkinson
20
745
37.25
25.30
0.68
1.25
1.70
Everton
0.63
0.84
A. Wiley
21
610
29.05
25.24
0.87
0.85
0.42
Fulham
1.63
1.65
S. Bennett
21
750
35.71
24.10
0.67
0.53
0.54
Hull
0.82
0.82
M. Riley
17
830
48.82
33.24
0.68
0.80
0.36
Liverpool
1.27
0.43
M. Dean
24
1140
47.50
26.96
0.57
0.85
0.35
Man City
0.60
1.23
P. Dowd
22
770
35.00
26.59
0.76
0.39
0.87
Man Utd
0.29
0.82
R. Styles
19
770
40.53
20.53
0.51
0.38
0.50
Middlesbrough
1.13
0.90
M. Halsey
19
320
16.84
20.26
1.20
0.80
0.49
Newcastle
0.48
0.63
S. Attwell
5
190
38.00
21.60
0.57
1.30
1.20
Portsmouth
0.37
0.57
M. Jones
8
320
40.00
26.38
0.66
0.63
0.78
Stoke
0.64
0.70
K. Stroud
5
140
28.00
27.80
0.99
0.68
0.45
Sunderland
0.38
0.60
L. Probert
9
250
27.78
25.33
0.91
1.23
0.49
Tottenham
0.48
0.77
S. Tanner
11
495
45.00
27.64
0.61
0.49
1.27
West Brom
1.37
1.60
L. Mason
13
550
42.31
27.31
0.65
1.13
1.10
West Ham
0.38
0.66
0.55
0.31
Wigan
0.59
0.64
Referee highlights M. Riley and M. Dean: If all football teams were as consistent as these two maestros of the red and yellow cards, the bookies would be running for cover. These two staunch high dealers have been at the top of the ‘most cards dished out’ table from the start, and show no signs of mellowing. Fine ingredients for any ‘high’ cards bets. The Red Mist Teams Most Red Cards so far M. Halsey: Continues to be one of the Top Red-Dealing Refs lowest dealing refs that the Premiership has Man United 5 ever seen. His average of 16 points per M. Dean 6 Stoke 5 game is a massive 11 points lower than the M. Atkinson 5 Man City 4 next lowest card dealer. Halsey is a solid R. Styles 5 Wigan 4 gold low dealer. H. Webb 5 Tottenham 4 P. Dowd 4 Newcastle 4 Blackburn: Could be feeling hard-done-by A. Marriner 4 by the refs just now. Check their home M. Riley 4 ratings and you’ll see that opponents have to commit a huge 3.40 fouls S. Tanner 3 before picking up a bookings point against Big Sam’s men – that’s remarkably lenient. Liverpool: Who were rampant in March on the match results front, seem to have been enjoying a fair bit of protection from the refs too. Opponents only have to commit 0.36 of a foul to pick up a bookings point at Anfield, and 0.43 when Liverpool are on the road. Useful info for anyone contemplating a bookings points superiority bet.
Home of The Sports Stat blog … www.dailywrap.co.uk 7
Premier League: Corner stats – Period 7 Home Total Corners
Corner Ratings
Away Total Corners
Under / Over %
Corner Ratings
Under / Over %
F
A
F
A
T
U'11
11
O'11
F
A
F
A
T
U'11
11
128
49
8.7
4.3
13.0
27%
27%
47%
Arsenal
91
67
4.0
5.7
9.7
60%
0%
O'11 40%
108
83
7.0
7.7
14.7
27%
0%
73%
Aston Villa
90
110
8.0
4.7
12.7
27%
13%
60%
76
78
4.3
6.0
10.3
67%
13%
20%
Blackburn
89
89
5.8
6.5
12.3
47%
7%
47%
84
96
3.0
9.3
12.3
53%
7%
40%
Bolton
66
120
5.0
7.3
12.3
33%
7%
60%
111
50
10.0
4.3
14.3
40%
20%
40%
Chelsea
93
93
6.8
8.0
14.8
27%
7%
67%
91
74
5.0
6.3
11.3
40%
20%
40%
Everton
69
79
4.7
3.0
7.7
53%
13%
33%
98
73
9.3
5.5
14.8
47%
0%
53%
Fulham
66
96
5.3
7.5
12.8
33%
20%
47% 60%
88
86
6.7
6.7
13.3
53%
7%
40%
Hull
60
136
4.0
10.3
14.3
40%
0%
136
52
7.3
3.3
10.5
53%
0%
47%
Liverpool
76
60
5.3
4.7
10.0
60%
20%
20%
88
88
9.0
5.3
14.3
33%
13%
53%
Man City
72
80
3.8
5.8
9.5
60%
7%
33%
112
40
8.3
3.7
12.0
50%
7%
43%
Man Utd
105
63
8.3
3.7
12.0
47%
20%
33%
84
88
6.3
4.7
11.0
47%
7%
47%
Middlesbrough
55
118
5.0
7.7
12.7
33%
13%
53%
69
94
3.8
5.8
9.5
47%
7%
47%
Newcastle
57
77
5.7
2.3
8.0
67%
13%
20%
101
76
5.8
4.0
9.8
40%
7%
53%
Portsmouth
54
102
3.5
7.0
10.5
36%
14%
50%
71
74
4.3
4.7
9.0
67%
7%
27%
Stoke
67
92
6.0
4.3
10.3
53%
7%
40%
62
66
4.3
2.0
6.3
67%
13%
20%
Sunderland
66
105
4.0
6.5
10.5
47%
13%
40%
98
77
6.0
6.7
12.7
40%
7%
53%
Tottenham
80
97
6.3
8.0
14.3
40%
7%
53%
91
78
4.7
4.0
8.7
40%
7%
53%
West Brom
86
105
4.7
6.0
10.7
27%
0%
73%
94
93
4.0
7.3
11.3
20%
7%
73%
West Ham
62
106
5.0
6.3
11.3
53%
7%
40%
92
67
5.7
4.3
10.0
47%
13%
40%
Wigan
78
87
3.7
7.7
11.3
47%
13%
40%
Corner Stats – Highlights West Ham: Continue to be a star corners performer at home – a massive 80 percent of games at Upton Park returning ‘11 corners or Over’ payouts. A strong trend, and one to stay with. Blackburn and Sunderland: Have to be mentioned again this month – these ‘corners twins’ have identical ‘home’ figures, with a huge 80 percent of all matches at Ewood Park and The Stadium of Light producing ’11 Corners and Under’ results. These strong trends look likely to be profitable right to the end of the season. Corner Curiosities Man U failed to force a corner in the first half in their away game at Fulham
West Brom: Own the strongest ‘away’ corners trend in the league – 73 percent of all Baggies ‘away’ games have delivered payouts to ‘Over 11 Corners’ backers. Naturally, we should continue to cash in.
Corners game of the month The award this month goes to the Fulham - Hull game, which saw 18 flag kicks in all, Fulham 13, Hull 5
Newcastle: We’ll have to see if new boss Alan Shearer makes a difference – but so far this season 80 percent of the Magpies away games have produced ’11 corners and Under’ results, one of the most reliable corner trends in the Premiership.
Do you have a query on the Sports Stat ratings? E-mail us at… [email protected] 8
The Championship – Home – Period 7 Shot Ratings F A T Barnsley Birmingham
Corner Ratings F A T
Card Ratings F A T
Goal
Ratings F A T
8.6
6.2
14.8
5.8
5.2
11.0
10.0
12.0
22.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
12.2
9.2
21.4
6.8
4.0
10.8
6.0
22.0
28.0
1.2
0.4
1.6 2.4
Blackpool
12.6
9.2
21.8
5.0
4.8
9.8
25.0
16.0
41.0
1.0
1.4
Bristol City
14.0
14.4
28.4
6.4
4.2
10.6
14.0
24.0
38.0
1.4
0.4
1.8
Burnley
11.8
9.0
20.8
6.4
6.6
13.0
2.0
14.0
16.0
2.6
1.4
4.0
Cardiff
10.2
7.8
18.0
4.0
4.0
8.0
20.0
29.0
49.0
1.6
1.0
2.6
Charlton
13.3
9.5
22.8
7.0
4.0
11.0
12.5
15.0
27.5
1.3
1.3
2.5
Coventry
10.5
12.8
23.3
4.3
5.8
10.0
20.0
15.0
35.0
1.3
0.8
2.0 1.0
8.3
5.3
13.5
6.3
5.8
12.0
18.8
26.3
45.0
0.5
0.5
11.5
12.8
24.3
4.3
4.3
8.5
10.0
10.0
20.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
9.3
10.0
19.3
3.8
5.0
8.8
5.0
13.3
18.3
1.0
0.7
1.7
Ipswich
15.6
10.6
26.2
6.6
4.4
11.0
12.0
14.0
26.0
0.8
1.2
2.0
Norwich
14.0
12.0
26.0
7.0
5.2
12.2
22.0
6.0
28.0
1.2
1.0
2.2
Crystal Palace Derby Doncaster
Notts Forest
8.6
7.2
15.8
4.2
5.4
9.6
28.0
8.0
36.0
1.2
1.6
2.8
Plymouth
8.5
10.2
18.7
3.5
7.2
10.7
3.3
10.0
13.3
1.3
2.2
3.5
12.0
11.8
23.8
7.2
6.0
13.2
14.0
18.0
32.0
1.6
1.0
2.6
QPR
9.0
7.8
16.8
5.0
5.0
10.0
6.0
12.0
18.0
0.8
1.0
1.8
Reading
9.0
7.2
16.2
7.0
3.2
10.2
10.0
18.0
28.0
0.4
1.2
1.6
14.0
8.5
22.5
6.0
3.5
9.5
10.0
27.5
37.5
2.3
1.8
4.0
Preston
Sheffield Utd
9.4
7.8
17.2
5.0
5.4
10.4
12.0
24.0
36.0
0.6
0.8
1.4
Southampton
10.0
6.6
16.6
4.8
6.6
11.4
14.0
11.0
25.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
Swansea
12.6
6.2
18.8
6.4
3.2
9.6
16.0
45.0
61.0
1.8
1.0
2.8
Watford
8.5
7.0
15.5
4.0
3.3
7.3
12.5
17.5
30.0
2.0
0.8
2.8
Wolves
9.8
7.0
16.8
8.6
2.8
11.4
10.0
10.0
20.0
1.4
1.4
2.8
Sheff Wed
Attacking Stats – Home highlights Burnley: Have been hammering in the goals – 15 in their last 6 home games – and conceding them too – 8 goals allowed in the same period. The result is a current Total Goals rating of 4.0, look to bet ‘Over 2.5 Total Goals’ Reading: For the seventh period in a row the Royals are still rated high in the corners department. Once again we should look out for are those affairs where the visitors can be expected to keep Reading at bay for a significant period. Match Watch April 10th @ home to Sheffield Utd Birmingham: Don’t score many at home, but they concede even fewer – and that’s a great recipe for ‘Under 2.5 Total Goals’ bet.
Championship Fair Play League Cardiff Derby Preston Bristol C Doncaster Watford Sheff Wed Plymouth
Combined Home & Away Bookings Points ‘For’. 10pts per Yellow, 25 pts per Red
Preston: have the highest home corner ratings in the league – currently standing at 13.2 per game. Look to bet ’11 Corners and Over’
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 9
445 470 515 550 550 575 580 615
The Championship – Away – Period 7 Shot Ratings F A T
Corner Ratings F A T
Card Ratings F A T
Goal
Ratings F A T
10.0
12.3
22.3
3.3
6.3
9.7
28.3
10.0
38.3
0.7
1.0
Birmingham
9.8
10.4
20.2
4.2
5.6
9.8
16.0
19.0
35.0
0.8
0.8
1.6
Blackpool
7.4
13.4
20.8
3.2
9.4
12.6
22.0
8.0
30.0
1.0
1.4
2.4
Barnsley
1.7
12.0
11.7
23.7
4.5
7.2
11.7
15.0
9.2
24.2
1.0
1.2
2.2
Burnley
9.8
9.8
19.6
5.4
4.0
9.4
14.0
10.0
24.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
Cardiff
9.5
13.3
22.8
6.5
4.5
11.0
5.0
15.0
20.0
0.8
1.5
2.3
Charlton
8.6
7.8
16.4
2.0
4.8
6.8
18.0
12.0
30.0
1.0
1.4
2.4
Coventry
11.3
15.8
27.0
4.0
7.3
11.3
15.0
10.0
25.0
1.0
1.5
2.5
7.3
9.3
16.7
6.0
5.0
11.0
20.0
6.7
26.7
1.5
2.2
3.7
Bristol City
Crystal Palace
10.6
10.0
20.6
5.0
4.0
9.0
6.0
6.0
12.0
2.0
1.6
3.6
Doncaster
8.8
12.6
21.4
4.6
5.0
9.6
21.0
21.0
42.0
1.2
2.0
3.2
Ipswich
9.4
8.2
17.6
6.6
6.6
13.2
22.0
14.0
36.0
1.2
1.4
2.6
Norwich
2.4
Derby
10.0
11.2
21.2
3.6
6.8
10.4
16.0
8.0
24.0
1.0
1.4
Notts Forest
7.6
11.8
19.4
3.6
6.4
10.0
16.0
12.0
28.0
0.6
2.2
2.8
Plymouth
7.2
15.4
22.6
3.4
8.8
12.2
26.0
23.0
49.0
0.4
1.0
1.4
Preston
5.6
9.8
15.4
4.0
7.8
11.8
8.0
10.0
18.0
0.6
1.4
2.0
QPR
9.4
6.6
16.0
5.8
3.4
9.2
10.0
16.0
26.0
0.6
1.2
1.8
Reading
8.0
8.5
16.5
8.8
3.8
12.5
26.3
5.0
31.3
1.3
0.8
2.0
Sheffield Utd
8.8
10.4
19.2
5.0
4.4
9.4
19.0
30.0
49.0
1.8
0.8
2.6
Sheff Wed Southampton
9.8
12.4
22.2
6.0
6.6
12.6
16.0
8.0
24.0
1.8
1.4
3.2
12.8
11.0
23.8
6.5
6.0
12.5
27.5
15.0
42.5
1.0
1.0
2.0
Swansea
7.6
10.6
18.2
4.0
2.6
6.6
16.0
18.0
34.0
0.6
1.2
1.8
Watford
8.2
14.4
22.6
4.4
5.2
9.6
14.0
10.0
24.0
1.4
1.2
2.6
Wolves
7.8
7.4
15.2
5.8
3.4
9.2
22.0
12.0
34.0
0.8
0.6
1.4
Attacking Stats – Away highlights Sheffield United: Are the only side in the Championship to have a positive goal difference figure over their last 6 ‘away’ games (scored 9, conceded 4.) With a playoff place at stake look to the Blades to keep op the pressure, look to support in the 90-minute or Asian Handicap markets. Notts Forest: Have scored only 3 times in their last 6 away games – and conceded on 13 occasions. Look to oppose on the road, look to back opponents To Keep A Clean Sheet or to Win To Nil Southampton: Have been clocking up plenty of yellow cards away from home recently – look to bet ‘high’ cards when meeting similarly abrasive opponents.
Championship Top Scorer S. Ebanks-Blake (24) K. Doyle (18) J. Scotland (17) R. McCormack (16) T. Smith (15) C. Iwelumo (14)
Wolves Reading Swansea Cardiff Watford Wolves
R. Hulse (13)
Reading
M. Tudgay (13) K. Phillips (13) J. Beattie (12) P. Gallagher (12)
Burnley Birm Sheff Utd QPR
Plymouth – Have scored just 2 goals in their last half-dozen away games – look to back ‘Under 2.5 Total Goals’ and to back their opponents To Keep A Clean Sheet
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 10
League 1 – Period 7 Shots Ratings
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
Shots Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
9.3
6.9
5.9
5.4
13.6
27.1
1.3
2.0
Brighton
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
8.0
12.5
4.5
6.5
31.3
17.5
0.5
1.8
9.3
8.8
4.8
3.8
8.3
12.5
1.3
1.0
Bristol Rovers
9.7
9.2
3.7
5.3
1.7
5.0
2.3
0.3
11.9
9.4
7.9
4.6
8.6
5.7
1.0
1.6
Carlisle
8.8
9.2
6.2
5.2
20.0
14.0
1.0
1.2
8.0
8.8
6.0
5.8
12.5
10.0
1.2
1.3
Cheltenham
6.0
14.2
3.2
8.5
12.5
10.0
0.8
2.0
9.7
4.7
5.8
5.0
15.0
15.0
0.8
1.0
Colchester
7.7
8.7
5.0
5.7
20.0
10.0
0.8
1.3
10.3
10.9
5.6
5.9
13.6
22.1
1.6
1.3
Crewe
10.7
12.3
6.0
6.0
15.0
16.7
1.5
0.7 1.7
8.7
7.8
6.5
3.7
16.7
18.3
1.5
1.8
Hartlepool
8.1
11.7
4.6
6.1
27.1
14.3
1.0
10.3
13.5
5.5
5.8
18.3
11.7
0.7
1.2
Hereford
6.6
16.6
4.0
8.8
5.0
13.0
1.2
2.2
10.0
6.6
8.4
4.0
14.0
30.0
1.4
1.4
Huddersfield
11.3
10.8
5.5
6.2
13.3
3.3
1.2
1.5
11.7
6.8
5.5
4.8
23.3
25.0
2.3
0.3
Leeds Utd
11.2
7.0
5.0
4.6
22.0
21.0
1.2
1.6
12.6
7.6
8.4
1.8
12.0
17.0
1.4
0.6
Leicester
11.3
9.3
4.7
5.6
20.7
7.1
1.4
1.3
11.0
12.0
4.0
5.6
14.0
26.0
1.4
1.2
Leyton Orient
7.0
9.4
4.2
7.2
10.0
10.0
1.2
0.6 1.0
9.7
6.7
6.3
4.0
11.7
20.0
0.7
1.2
Millwall
7.5
9.6
3.5
6.6
34.4
13.8
1.6
14.5
8.3
6.2
3.2
13.3
20.0
2.3
1.5
MK Dons
7.2
7.4
7.0
5.2
27.0
6.0
0.6
0.8
11.0
10.8
4.5
6.3
10.0
15.0
2.0
1.8
Northampton
9.3
11.0
3.9
6.3
20.7
10.0
0.6
1.0
9.8
9.2
6.0
5.6
15.0
16.0
0.6
1.4
Oldham Ath
8.3
6.8
2.5
5.3
25.8
11.7
1.5
2.2
12.5
10.3
7.3
4.5
15.8
20.0
1.3
1.0
Peterboro
11.2
8.8
5.0
5.3
13.3
6.7
2.0
1.0
14.7
9.0
6.7
4.7
5.0
14.2
1.8
0.7
Scunthorpe
9.6
9.2
5.8
6.0
30.0
17.0
1.2
2.4
13.4
7.7
5.3
3.3
10.0
28.6
1.7
0.7
Southend
8.4
10.0
4.6
5.8
22.0
20.0
1.4
1.0
10.7
10.8
7.3
5.3
5.0
25.8
1.0
1.0
Stockport
7.7
13.2
3.8
7.2
5.0
15.0
0.7
1.8
8.5
6.2
6.3
4.7
6.7
29.2
2.2
1.0
Swindon Town
9.1
11.4
4.4
6.1
17.1
21.4
1.1
1.6
8.2
8.0
6.3
4.0
7.5
15.0
1.3
0.5
Tranmere R
7.9
9.3
6.0
5.4
14.3
9.3
0.9
0.9
7.6
9.9
4.1
4.1
1.4
10.0
1.4
1.6
Walsall
7.8
13.0
4.3
6.5
14.2
8.3
1.2
1.0
7.4
6.8
4.8
5.0
16.0
12.0
1.0
0.6
Yeovil Town
6.3
10.2
4.2
4.2
22.5
6.7
0.5
2.8
League 1 – Home & Away highlights Leeds: Have been invincible at home recently, they have won all of their last 6 home games and recorded a smashing ‘scored 14, conceded 2’ goals tally in that period. Right in the middle of a fight for play-off action we can expect Leeds to keep their foot firmly on the pedal. Look to support at home. League 1 Shooters Peterborough Leeds Leicester Scunthorpe Oldham Huddersfield Northampton Southend MK Dons
537 534 521 518 503 440 433 432 426
shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots
Combined Shots ‘For’ 2008/9 Home and Away
Carlisle: Are sitting just above the relegation zone, and their home form is a huge worry – just 3 points earned from the last 18 up for grabs on home turf is abysmal. This is a side to bear in mind in the relegation market. Bristol Rovers: Have been firing in goals away from home, 14 in the last half-dozen road games, and have conceded only 2 in that sequence. Look to support on the road. Millwall: Continue earn yellow and red cards hand over fist – particularly ‘away.’ Look to bet high cards whenever given the opportunity.
League 1 Bad Boys Millwall Yeovil Brighton MK Dons Huddersfield Oldham Colchester Southend Leeds
Combined Bookings Points 2008/9 Home and Away
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 11
1020pts 860pts 850pts 815pts 755pts 750pts 745pts 725pts 685pts
Coming Soon… Exclusive Premiership Team Ratings! We’re crunching the numbers – the shots, the corners, the possession, the goals – and everything else that we know about teams’ performances – and putting them all together to make a brand new and exclusive Sports Statistician Team Rating figure. With this figure you will be able to weigh up any match in seconds, just compare the Team Ratings and the bookies prices - and you’ll know not only if there is a bet – but just how strong that bet is. Sports Stat Team Ratings are going to make Premiership punting simple and accurate.
Just HOW much better are Man United away from home than their hosts, say Aston Villa, – and do the bookies offer a price on either of them (or on the draw) worth taking? The Sports Stat Team Ratings will tell you at a glance.
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A much-expanded Premiership service featuring far more stats and comments – sections devoted to player performances – sections aimed at winning from specific bookmaker bets, and spread bets too – and of course – the Sports Stat Team Ratings
We don’t have our precise costs on all this yet – but here is a promise – the new much improved yearlong service will be appreciably LESS than you have paid for the Sports Statistician in the past…
League 2 – Period 7 Shots Ratings
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
Shots Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
11.1
9.3
7.3
5.6
10.0
8.6
0.9
0.6
Accrington St'
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
7.8
10.8
6.0
6.7
15.0
13.3
0.7
1.2
6.6
6.6
4.6
3.8
20.0
18.0
1.2
1.0
Aldershot
8.4
9.9
6.0
6.0
7.1
10.0
1.1
2.6
12.7
7.0
8.3
5.0
11.7
20.8
2.5
1.5
Barnet
9.6
7.6
7.0
5.6
8.0
6.0
0.6
1.4
11.0
9.2
5.5
4.8
11.7
22.5
1.3
0.3
Bournemouth
10.2
8.5
4.3
4.7
13.3
5.0
1.0
0.7
14.0
9.0
7.4
4.2
6.0
21.0
1.4
0.2
Bradford City
9.6
8.3
6.4
6.4
15.7
12.9
0.7
2.1
9.0
6.7
6.1
3.9
5.7
13.6
1.6
0.7
Brentford
7.8
10.6
5.2
5.0
4.0
14.0
0.8
0.8
8.8
7.7
4.5
3.7
7.5
19.2
1.5
1.0
Bury
10.6
8.2
5.0
4.8
19.0
17.0
0.8
0.8
8.5
8.3
5.8
6.8
15.0
11.7
0.7
1.7
Chester City
8.0
9.8
4.3
5.2
19.2
5.8
0.5
2.2
12.3
9.8
6.3
7.8
6.7
11.7
1.7
0.7
Chesterfield
8.0
11.8
2.8
6.5
26.7
8.3
1.0
1.3
10.3
7.5
9.8
4.2
5.0
13.3
0.7
1.5
Dag & Red
9.2
10.8
8.4
4.6
12.0
8.0
1.2
1.0
10.0
8.8
4.2
4.6
19.0
24.0
1.2
0.8
Darlington
10.0
9.0
3.6
6.9
20.7
8.6
0.4
1.0
9.2
6.8
6.5
5.7
10.8
17.5
2.0
0.8
Exeter
7.5
10.8
3.7
7.2
6.7
15.0
1.3
1.3
8.3
8.5
4.2
4.8
10.0
15.0
1.8
1.5
Gillingham
6.8
10.8
4.3
6.2
20.0
10.0
0.7
1.0
11.9
10.6
5.4
4.7
16.4
18.6
2.0
1.3
Grimsby
7.5
11.8
5.8
5.7
25.0
15.0
1.0
1.8 1.8
7.5
9.2
4.5
6.3
14.2
13.3
0.7
0.7
Lincoln City
8.6
11.8
5.0
6.4
22.0
12.0
1.6
11.5
7.3
7.5
3.2
13.3
28.3
1.5
1.3
Luton
11.0
7.8
5.5
4.8
16.7
10.0
1.5
1.0
8.3
14.2
4.0
6.2
13.3
11.7
0.7
1.3
Macclesfield
6.6
11.3
2.1
7.6
21.4
5.7
0.6
1.9
10.1
11.6
4.4
6.1
4.3
11.4
1.3
0.7
Morecambe
7.6
10.4
3.8
8.8
18.0
17.0
1.6
0.6
9.0
9.0
6.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
1.2
1.0
Notts County
8.2
9.2
3.7
4.2
15.0
6.7
0.8
1.3
7.5
9.0
3.8
7.8
10.0
22.5
1.0
1.5
Port Vale
7.1
14.4
3.0
8.1
14.3
13.6
0.6
1.0
12.7
8.5
9.8
4.0
13.3
18.3
1.7
1.2
Rochdale
10.9
8.6
8.9
3.9
17.9
16.4
1.1
1.1
8.8
7.3
5.2
5.2
10.0
12.5
1.2
0.5
Rotherham Utd
8.4
10.8
3.4
7.4
12.0
12.0
2.4
0.8
12.7
7.2
6.0
2.7
11.7
17.5
1.5
0.7
Shrewsbury
11.8
7.3
6.0
4.2
20.8
11.7
0.7
1.7
8.2
8.8
3.7
4.3
8.3
13.3
0.8
0.7
Wycombe
7.2
10.8
5.2
5.8
17.0
6.0
0.8
1.0
League 2 – Home & Away highlights Barnet: Plenty of goalmouth action at both ends when Barnet are at home – there were 24 goals in their last 6 home games, split 15-9 in favour of the home side. Look to bet ‘high’ goals and ‘early’ goals whenever the opportunity arises. League 2 Shooters Rochdale Bradford Dag & Red Shrewsbury Chesterfield Bournemouth Luton Aldershot Bury
485 470 464 440 444 423 405 393 392
shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots
Dag & Red: The Daggers have an amazing pair of ‘corners won’ ratings this month and comfortably lead the STD Corners won table with a whopping 302 corners for the season. A standing dish for ‘Over 11 Corners’ backers Bradford: Are in the battle for a play-off place, but their away form has been dire recently – just 1 point from the last 18, only 3 goals scored and 15 conceded. Look to oppose on the road.
Combined Shots ‘For’ 2008/9 Home and Away
Wycombe: Continue to be a great side for ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets. Just 17 goals in their last 10 games (home and away.) A very solid trend that looks like running to season’s end.
League 2 Bad Boys Chesterfield Darlington Chester Macclesfield Port Vale Shrewsbury Luton Bournemouth Lincoln
Combined Bookings Points 2008/9 Home and Away
The Sports Stat blog … www.dailywrap.co.uk 13
840pts 840pts 825pts 725pts 710pts 685pts 680pts 615pts 600pts
Conference – Period 7 Shots Ratings
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
9.6
10.4
5.3
6.9
23.6
20.0
1.6
1.4
Shots Ratings Altrincham
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
7.5
10.8
3.8
4.0
17.5
7.5
0.8
2.3
12.4
8.4
3.8
3.8
13.0
19.0
0.8
0.6
Barrow
8.6
12.6
2.4
7.4
34.0
4.0
0.8
2.0
10.4
8.8
5.2
5.8
17.0
14.0
2.2
0.8
Burton Albion
7.4
6.8
3.8
5.4
17.0
10.0
1.6
1.0
12.0
7.0
8.3
3.3
5.0
46.3
2.3
0.8
Cambridge Utd
10.1
7.7
6.1
5.1
11.4
22.1
1.7
0.4
15.2
10.6
6.8
4.8
12.0
18.0
2.0
1.2
Crawley Town
7.6
7.8
5.2
6.4
28.0
12.0
1.2
1.4
7.8
8.2
4.2
5.6
8.0
12.0
0.8
1.2
Eastbourne
6.0
9.8
3.0
5.0
7.5
11.3
1.0
1.8
8.3
5.7
6.3
3.0
6.7
13.3
1.0
0.3
Ebbsfleet Utd
8.0
7.5
7.0
4.5
5.0
0.0
0.5
1.5
14.7
7.0
8.8
4.3
3.3
29.2
2.3
1.3
Forest Green
6.6
9.8
5.8
4.8
23.0
36.0
2.0
2.0
11.0
10.6
5.2
5.6
25.0
12.0
1.0
1.0
Grays Athletic
8.5
10.8
4.1
5.0
19.4
7.5
0.9
2.3
10.1
8.1
6.7
4.3
10.0
12.9
2.0
0.7
Histon
9.8
11.0
8.4
4.8
4.0
13.0
1.8
0.8
11.6
10.0
5.9
4.9
11.3
14.4
1.3
0.8
Kettering
8.7
9.7
5.0
6.8
16.7
8.3
0.7
0.2
8.0
7.4
4.4
6.2
7.0
10.0
1.8
1.0
Kidderminster
8.5
5.0
5.8
4.0
10.0
22.5
0.5
0.0
4.5
6.3
4.3
6.8
22.5
7.5
0.0
2.0
Lewes
6.3
16.7
3.0
9.3
27.1
10.0
0.6
2.4
11.4
11.0
8.0
5.6
32.0
21.0
1.2
0.2
Mansfield
10.4
13.4
3.6
5.6
8.0
8.0
0.6
1.6 1.8
9.2
9.3
6.2
4.7
15.0
28.3
1.3
1.5
Northwich
7.8
10.2
6.0
5.2
31.0
17.0
0.6
13.0
8.4
6.8
4.2
21.0
37.0
2.0
0.8
Oxford Utd
6.6
13.0
6.6
7.8
28.0
19.0
2.4
1.2
15.0
8.4
7.6
3.2
14.0
6.0
1.2
1.4
Rushden & Diam'
11.7
9.9
7.1
6.0
20.7
8.6
1.9
1.3
6.5
6.2
4.7
4.5
5.0
14.2
0.8
0.8
Salisbury City
9.2
7.8
6.5
5.3
11.7
24.2
1.8
0.5
8.3
4.3
4.7
6.0
6.7
25.0
1.0
0.7
Stevenage
11.2
10.4
4.4
7.8
31.0
20.0
1.6
0.2
14.0
6.5
8.0
4.8
8.3
19.2
2.0
1.5
Torquay
11.3
12.7
4.7
7.7
17.5
17.5
1.7
1.0 2.5
5.7
11.8
3.7
6.8
17.5
19.2
0.0
4.3
Weymouth
6.8
18.8
5.5
5.8
17.5
10.0
1.0
10.2
10.2
5.4
4.0
8.0
18.0
0.4
0.6
Woking
4.5
8.3
2.0
3.8
28.8
2.5
0.0
1.5
8.6
4.6
5.2
5.0
22.0
20.0
1.0
1.4
Wrexham
9.7
7.6
5.6
4.0
20.0
16.4
0.9
1.0
11.8
10.8
4.0
3.5
17.5
27.5
0.5
0.5
York City
6.8
12.3
2.5
6.5
10.0
16.3
0.3
1.0
Conference – Home & Away highlights Forest Green: Whether home or away Forest Green score plenty and concede plenty too – 69 total goals at home and 58 away from home so far means that this side are a great hunting ground for ‘Over’ goals bets. Conference Shooters Rushden 491 Crawley 474 Torquay 427 Stevenage 415 Burton 406 Cambridge U 405 Oxford 405 Forest G 403
shots
Lewes: Continue to go backwards. Their inability to put the ball in the net makes bets on opponents to Keep A Clean Sheet, Win To Nil, and to Score First all of lively interest.
shots shots shots shots shots shots shots
Crawley: Have scored 41 goals in their first 20 home games – only league leaders Burton have scored more. With a play-off spot still a possibility expect Crawley to continue their free-scoring style. Look to support at home and to bet ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ when playing a suitable opponent.
Combined Shots ‘For’ 2008/9 Home and Away
Woking: have only scored 12 goals on the road in 19 games, and they are a great ingredient for ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets when playing away.
Conference Bad Boys Northwich Lewes Rushden Cambridge Woking Salisbury Wrexham Barrow
Combined Bookings Points 2008/9 Home and Away
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 14
950pts 835pts 825pts 785pts 775pts 775pts 765pts 750pts
SPL – Home – Period 7 Shots Ratings
On Target
Corner Ratings
Goal Ratings
Offside Ratings
Bookings Ratings
Possession Ratings
Save Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
Aberdeen
8.7
4.0
3.3
1.3
5.7
3.7
1.0
0.7
2.0
1.3
23.3
23.3
52.0
48.0
3.7
2.7
Celtic
11.5
4.0
3.5
1.5
7.5
3.5
3.5
0.0
1.5
1.0
20.0
47.5
62.5
37.5
2.0
6.0
Dundee Utd
10.7
9.0
4.7
4.0
7.3
3.3
1.0
1.3
2.0
4.0
20.0
25.0
54.3
45.7
3.3
7.0
Falkirk
4.7
9.0
1.7
2.7
6.7
4.0
1.7
1.0
1.3
1.7
13.3
15.0
52.3
47.7
5.7
3.3
Hamilton
7.3
12.7
2.7
5.0
4.7
7.7
0.0
0.7
2.3
3.0
21.7
23.3
49.3
50.7
3.3
3.0
Hearts
10.3
7.3
3.7
3.0
5.3
5.0
1.7
1.0
0.7
2.0
16.7
20.0
52.7
47.3
5.0
3.7
Hibernian
10.0
10.3
4.7
2.7
5.7
4.3
0.3
0.0
3.0
1.7
25.0
20.0
45.0
55.0
3.7
5.3
Inverness CT
8.3
6.5
3.3
2.5
4.0
4.3
1.3
0.8
2.0
3.0
7.5
20.0
50.0
50.0
2.3
3.0
Kilmarnock
7.0
13.0
3.0
6.7
7.0
5.3
0.7
1.0
2.7
2.7
26.7
16.7
50.7
49.3
5.7
4.3
Motherwell
6.3
10.7
2.0
5.7
2.3
5.0
1.3
0.7
2.3
3.3
16.7
23.3
46.3
53.7
5.7
0.3
Rangers
10.7
4.7
6.0
1.3
10.7
1.3
1.7
1.3
2.7
1.3
18.3
20.0
56.3
43.7
2.7
7.3
St Mirren
11.0
10.0
5.0
3.0
3.0
4.5
1.5
1.5
0.5
2.0
5.0
30.0
52.5
47.5
4.5
5.5
SPL – Home highlights Rangers: Another great set of home ratings for rangers – they continue to register a series of significant highs and – along with Celtic – are a different class to their SPL peers. The Gers still trail Celtic by 3 points and with the goal difference in the balance, we’re in for an interesting finish 2008/9 SPL Shooters League Rangers Celtic Hibernian Inverness Hearts Aberdeen Dundee Utd Motherwell St Mirren
416 363 304 266 265 260 258 245 236
Dundee Utd: Once again Dundee United boasts a high ‘corners for’ rating with only Rangers and Celtic doing better. The message is the same – continue to look out for potential ‘buys’ of the Corners Total or take a position in the Corner Handicap market Celtic: The Bhoys still top the SPL table – but only just. Period 7 was poor one for them with just 10 points secured from a possible 18 but there’s no doubting the class at home. No negatives to talk of here this month
Combined Home & Away Shots (On & Off Target)
2008/9 SPL Fair Play League Motherwell Celtic St Mirren Aberdeen Inverness Rangers Dundee Utd Hibernian Hearts
465 440 520 530 545 570 575 580 635
Combined Home & Away Bookings
Points ‘For’. 10pts per Yellow, 25 pts Motherwell – Yet another set of poor corner per Red ratings – a quite amazing trend this – and not surprisingly the message stays the same. Either bet low against a poor road corner winner or oppose them on the Corner H’cap if you get the chance
St Mirren – The Mirren have been a well behaved side for a while now and not once this season have they gone into a match with a negative Bookings Rating (IE being rated higher in the ‘for’ column than the ‘against’ column). Against a volatile traveller we should be looking for a suitable way to profit from this
“Under NEW Management” – Flick back to page 12 for an exciting line up for 2009/10 15
SPL – Away – Period 7 Shots Ratings
On Target
Corner Ratings
Goal Ratings
Offside Ratings
Bookings Ratings
Possession Ratings
Save Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
Aberdeen
10.3
11.3
2.7
5.3
5.0
4.7
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
15.0
13.3
52.0
48.0
7.3
4.0
Celtic
12.5
8.5
6.0
4.0
4.8
4.3
1.3
1.0
4.0
2.3
15.0
17.5
55.5
44.5
3.5
4.0
Dundee Utd
7.7
11.0
3.7
3.0
5.7
7.3
1.3
1.3
1.0
1.0
23.3
23.3
49.7
50.3
1.3
6.7
Falkirk
9.5
9.5
3.0
3.5
3.0
4.0
1.0
1.0
2.0
4.0
25.0
20.0
50.5
49.5
2.5
4.0
Hamilton
7.7
4.7
1.7
2.3
5.3
3.7
0.7
1.0
2.0
2.3
16.7
16.7
49.3
50.7
2.7
3.3
Hearts
6.0
10.3
2.3
4.3
2.0
7.3
1.0
1.0
3.3
1.0
28.3
25.0
44.7
55.3
5.7
3.0
Hibernian
8.0
7.7
3.3
2.3
2.7
6.0
0.7
1.0
4.7
2.0
26.7
13.3
47.0
53.0
2.7
3.0
Inverness CT
7.0
6.3
1.7
3.7
2.7
9.0
0.7
1.7
0.7
3.3
30.0
15.0
45.7
54.3
7.0
4.7
Kilmarnock
6.0
7.3
3.0
3.7
2.0
6.0
0.7
1.7
2.7
2.0
20.0
10.0
44.3
55.7
3.7
3.3
Motherwell
8.0
9.3
3.7
4.0
7.0
5.7
1.0
1.0
2.0
3.3
13.3
13.3
53.0
47.0
5.0
4.0
Rangers
13.5
5.0
7.0
2.5
9.0
3.5
0.5
0.0
2.5
0.5
35.0
25.0
49.0
51.0
1.5
4.5
St Mirren
6.0
12.7
2.0
3.7
4.0
7.3
0.3
2.7
1.7
1.7
31.7
25.0
38.3
61.7
6.0
3.0
SPL – Away highlights Falkirk – ICT are doing their best to thwart our 13/2 ‘Finish Bottom’ picks, but Falkirk have failed to take advantage with only 10 points from the 27 on offer since the New Year. Falkirk remain bottom, but this has all the makings of a squeaker that could very well go down to the last game of the 2009/10 season. Top SPL Shot Restrictor Rangers Celtic Inverness Hearts Aberdeen Kilmarnock Dundee Utd Motherwell Falkirk Hamilton Hibernian
181 202 239 241 282 282 283 284 290 323 329
Combined Shots Against 2008/9 Home and Away
St Mirren – St Mirren continue to perform terribly on the road with terminal looking lows every department again. With only 3 points between them and the bottom spot, they’ll need to keep their eye on the ball General – There isn’t a team in the SPL that would be pleased with their P7 performance. There are a few half decent efforts, but on the whole it’s a grey pile rubbish that’s difficult to analyse effectively. The Old Firm – Neither Rangers nor Celtic excelled on the road during P7 – there are some positives to drawn upon, but non that make the short prices on offer about them value.
2008/9 SPL Bad Boys League Kilmarnock Falkirk Hamilton Hearts Hibernian Dundee Utd Rangers ICT Aberdeen
840 655 650 635 580 575 570 545 530
Combined Home & Away Bookings Points ‘For’. 10pts per Yellow, 25 pts per Red
Motherwell – Corner winning isn’t Motherwell’s thing and it’s no surprise to see over 70% of their away matches settle with ‘Under 10.5’ corners. Our usual strategy in such cases is to oppose on the Corner Handicap or bet ‘Low – however we need to ensure that we’re not caught out by any dead rubbers. If the opposition fits the bill though and are ‘trying’ then I could only ever look to oppose Motherwell
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Issue 47
THIS IS WHERE IT COUNTS.. The run-in to the end of the season starts here – this is where teams have to produce their best to win those titles, play-off spots, places in Europe – or to avoid the dreaded relegation – let the Sports Stats rock-solid season long ratings be your guide…. In this month’s British Sports Stat… the trends that can win you money right to the end of the final whistle… Tottenham – but not as we knew them…Harry Redknapp has tightened up the once free-and-easy Spurs defence… just 2 goals conceded in their last 6 home games… look to profit. West Ham – the ‘corners’ backer’s friend…a massive 80 percent of home games have paid out on ‘Over 11 Corners’ bets West Brom – 21 goals in their last 6 home games – ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ bets must be considered Plymouth – have scored just two goals in their last 6 away games, and conceded 13 – the opposition to Keep A Clean Sheet or Win To Nil bets make appeal. Millwall – Have been picking up red and yellow cards hand-over-fist recently, especially away from home ‘high’ cards are on the bet list when they travel.. AND DOZENS MORE TOP TRENDS TO PROFIT FROM – ALL INSIDE YOUR 16-PAGE ‘BRITISH SECTOR’ SPORTS STATISTICIAN
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Contents ______ Premiership Page 2 - 8 __________________ Championship Page 9 & 10 __________________ League 1 Page 11 __________________ League 2 Page 13 __________________ Conference Page 14 __________________ SPL Page 15 & 16 Every effort is made to ensure the accuracy of all editorial material, but disclaim all liability for any errors or omissions found in this publication.
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Premier League: Attacking Stats – Home – Period 7 Shots On Ratings
Shots Off Ratings
F
A
F
Accuracy Ratings
A
Shots per Goal Ratings
F
F
A
Possess Ratings
F
A
Arsenal
6.7
1.3
12.0
5.7
35.71%
14.00
N/A
55.67
44.33
Aston Villa
4.0
5.3
8.7
9.3
31.58%
12.67
8.80
51.00
49.00
Blackburn
2.0
3.3
13.7
7.7
12.77%
47.00
11.00
52.33
47.67
Bolton
4.3
6.3
7.3
14.3
37.14%
8.75
15.50
43.00
57.00
Chelsea
4.7
2.0
17.0
10.0
21.54%
21.67
36.00
59.67
40.33
Everton
7.0
3.3
11.3
10.3
38.18%
6.88
41.00
59.33
40.67
Fulham
5.8
6.3
13.8
9.8
29.49%
15.60
21.33
55.50
44.50
Hull
2.0
3.0
9.3
8.0
17.65%
11.33
6.60
47.00
53.00
Liverpool
6.8
2.5
17.8
5.5
27.55%
9.80
32.00
59.50
40.50
Man City
6.3
3.3
13.7
5.3
31.67%
15.00
N/A
58.33
41.67
Man Utd
4.3
2.7
13.0
7.3
25.00%
8.67
6.00
60.67
39.33
Middlesbrough
4.3
3.3
6.7
13.3
39.39%
11.00
50.00
44.67
55.33
Newcastle
3.0
6.0
8.0
10.5
27.27%
14.67
11.00
45.75
54.25
Portsmouth
4.5
5.0
9.8
8.0
31.58%
9.50
10.40
43.50
56.50
Stoke
2.7
3.3
7.0
10.0
27.59%
5.80
20.00
35.67
64.33
Sunderland
3.3
3.7
8.3
6.7
28.57%
8.75
10.33
53.67
46.33
Tottenham
5.0
4.0
9.0
8.7
35.71%
8.40
N/A
48.67
51.33
West Brom
3.0
6.3
8.0
11.3
27.27%
8.25
7.57
54.00
46.00
West Ham
3.3
1.7
8.7
13.0
27.78%
36.00
44.00
48.00
52.00
Wigan
4.3
4.3
11.7
6.0
27.08%
48.00
31.00
48.33
51.67
Attacking Stats – Home highlights Blackburn: Their shooting accuracy rating this month is the worst in the Premiership – and it is costing them dearly. Blackburn spurned numerous chances against the Hammers recently and dropped 2 points as a result. Must improve quickly or face the threat of relegation.
End-to-End Match of the Month There were 33 shots in the Pompey – Chelsea match.
Wigan: Were highlighted last month as a team to support at home in ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets, and they delivered two wins out of two. Steve Bruce’s side continue to struggle to put the ball in the net – it’s taking them a huge 48 shots to score – and we should continue to bet ‘Under 2.5 Goals.’ Low Shooting Match of the Month Strugglers Hull and Newcastle produced just 5 ‘on target’ shots in 90 minutes.
Man Utd: Are under the microscope after their calamitous 4-1 home loss to Liverpool – but any team that enjoys around 60 percent possession and can score a goal in 8.67 shots is not dead and buried by any means – look for United to resume normal home service.
Hull: Are just not creating enough chances or getting enough shots on target – their ‘on target’ rating this month of 2.0 is a league worst – no wonder they haven’t won any of their last 5 ‘homes.’ Look to support their visitors, or when their visitors are poor scorers – bet ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ in the match.
The Sports Stat blog … www.dailywrap.co.uk 2
Premier League: Attacking Stats – Away – Period 7 Shots On Ratings
Shots Off Ratings
F
F
A
Accuracy Ratings
A
Shots per Goal Ratings
F
F
A
Possess Ratings
F
A
Arsenal
6.0
4.3
8.0
9.0
42.86%
7.00
20.00
51.33
48.67
Aston Villa
3.3
4.3
8.3
13.3
28.57%
17.50
7.57
44.67
55.33
Blackburn
4.3
4.8
8.0
10.0
34.69%
9.80
7.38
42.75
57.25
Bolton
5.3
3.7
10.0
11.7
34.78%
46.00
7.67
46.00
54.00
Chelsea
5.8
5.0
11.0
11.5
34.33%
33.50
22.00
57.00
43.00
Everton
3.7
1.7
7.0
9.0
34.38%
32.00
16.00
52.00
48.00
Fulham
3.5
4.5
9.3
11.3
27.45%
17.00
15.75
50.50
49.50
Hull
1.3
4.7
10.3
16.0
11.43%
35.00
62.00
40.67
59.33
Liverpool
4.7
4.0
11.3
6.7
29.17%
6.86
6.40
58.00
42.00
Man City
2.8
4.8
7.5
14.0
26.83%
41.00
15.00
50.00
50.00
Man Utd
5.3
5.0
12.7
11.3
29.63%
18.00
16.33
55.33
44.67
Middlesbrough
3.0
5.0
9.7
10.3
23.68%
N/A!
7.67
51.33
48.67
Newcastle
4.0
3.7
12.3
7.0
24.49%
12.25
8.00
54.00
46.00
Portsmouth
3.0
4.5
7.0
10.0
30.00%
6.67
9.67
57.50
42.50
Stoke
1.7
5.3
8.3
9.3
16.67%
10.00
6.29
37.00
63.00
Sunderland
3.0
6.8
5.0
14.0
37.50%
32.00
20.75
39.00
61.00
Tottenham
5.0
2.7
7.3
10.0
40.54%
7.40
12.67
52.67
47.33
West Brom
4.0
4.0
10.3
11.0
27.91%
N/A
11.25
45.67
54.33
West Ham
4.7
4.0
7.3
12.0
38.89%
12.00
16.00
53.00
47.00
Wigan
4.0
4.3
10.0
6.7
28.57%
14.00
11.00
42.00
58.00
Attacking Stats – Away highlights Everton: Still struggling with injuries to their striking staff are taking over 30 shots to score a goal ‘away.’ But their resolute defence is doing a decent job, and the result is just 7 total goals in Everton’s last 6 road games, with 3 of those coming in one match against Pompey. Look out for ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ Hull: Their away shooting stats look sickly to say the least – lowest ‘on target’ rating in the Premiership, worst ‘shooting accuracy’ in the Premiership, and poor possession figures too. Hull have only scored twice in their last 6 ‘road’ games, so look for opponents to ‘Keep A Clean Sheet’ or to ‘Win To Nil.’ Middlesboro: Have not scored a goal in their last 6 away games – yet they allow opponents to score a goal for every 7.67 shots they take. Look to oppose in the ‘match result’ market – and look to back opponents To Keep A Clean Sheet
Middlesboro Boro’s woes on the road perfectly illustrated by their game against Stoke. Boro enjoyed 65% possession and still didn’t score. Bolton Had 11 shots ‘on target’ against WBA, joint highest total of the month (with Chelsea and Newcastle.)
Liverpool: We said last month that ‘Liverpool would be very hard to beat away from Anfield,’ and they didn’t let us down, beating Man U 4-1 at Old Trafford. The ‘Pool have been strong on the road all year, and they continue to hold fine possession, ‘shots on’ and ‘shots per goal’ ratings title.
What Sports Stat subscribers will receive in 2009/10? Turn to page 12 for full details… 3
Premier League: Goals & Saves Stats – Home – Period 7 Offside Ratings
2008/9 Goals
Goal Ratings
Save Ratings
Saves to Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
T
F
A
F
A
Arsenal
1.7
1.3
22
11
1.33
0.00
1.33
1.3
5.7
4.3
N/A
Aston Villa
1.7
1.7
21
17
1.00
1.67
2.67
3.7
3.0
3.0
2.2
Blackburn
2.3
4.0
16
22
0.33
1.00
1.33
2.3
1.7
5.0
2.3
Bolton
1.3
3.7
15
18
1.33
1.33
2.67
5.0
3.0
2.3
3.8
Chelsea
4.0
1.7
24
8
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.7
3.7
3.7
5.0
Everton
1.7
1.3
23
17
2.67
0.33
3.00
3.0
4.3
1.6
9.0
Fulham
2.3
3.0
24
12
1.25
0.75
2.00
5.3
4.5
3.6
7.0
Hull
6.0
3.7
16
30
1.00
1.67
2.67
1.3
1.0
1.0
0.8
Liverpool
1.3
1.5
27
9
2.50
0.25
2.75
2.5
4.3
1.7
10.0
Man City
2.3
2.0
31
12
1.33
0.00
1.33
3.3
5.0
3.8
N/A
Man Utd
3.7
1.7
31
9
2.00
1.67
3.67
1.0
2.3
1.2
0.6
Middlesbrough
3.7
2.3
13
16
1.00
0.33
1.33
3.0
3.7
3.7
9.0
Newcastle
1.8
2.5
21
25
0.75
1.50
2.25
4.5
2.3
3.0
3.0
Portsmouth
1.5
1.5
20
23
1.50
1.25
2.75
3.8
3.0
2.0
3.0
Stoke
2.0
0.7
18
13
1.67
0.67
2.33
3.0
1.0
0.6
4.5
Sunderland
3.3
2.7
17
18
1.33
1.00
2.33
2.7
2.0
1.5
2.7
Tottenham
2.7
3.7
16
9
1.67
0.00
1.67
4.0
3.3
2.0
N/A
West Brom
5.0
2.3
20
28
1.33
2.33
3.67
4.0
2.0
1.5
1.7
West Ham
3.7
0.3
19
17
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.3
3.0
9.0
4.0
Wigan
0.7
2.7
14
12
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.7
4.0
12.0
5.0
Goals & Saves – Home highlights Everton: Have scored 14 goals in their last half-dozen home matches, and that’s as good a record as anyone in the league – only Liverpool have scored as many (and they hit 5 in one game past a listless Villa.) The Everton defence have conceded only twice, so the Blues are a side to follow at Goodison. Arsenal: Conceded a goal to Liverpool on December 20th – and then went six games at the Emirates without letting in another. Look to back the Gunners to Win To Nil or to Keep A Clean Sheet Top Scorers Anelka 15 Gerrard 13 Ronaldo 13 Crouch 11 Robinho 11
West Brom: There have been plenty of goals here recently – 21 in the last 6 games – and West Brom at home should be considered for ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ bets.
The Goal Providers Players who have made most ‘assists’ Van Persie 10 Berbatov 9 Malbranque 8 Ashley Young 8 Adebayor 7 Agbonlahor 7 Arteta 7
Tottenham: The Spurs defence has conceded only 2 goals in their last 6 ‘homes.’ Look for opportunities to back Tottenham’s opponent in the ‘No Goal Scorer’ market or alternatively, take a closer look at a suitable package of Correct Scores
Turn to Page 12 for news of another new product “Sports Stat Premier” – Launch Date: July 2009 4
Premier League: Goals & Saves Stats – Away – Period 7 Offside Ratings
2008/9 Goals
Goal Ratings
Save Ratings
Saves to Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
T
F
A
F
A
Arsenal
1.3
2.7
26
16
2.00
0.67
2.67
3.7
4.0
2.0
5.5
Aston Villa
2.0
1.0
22
19
0.67
2.33
3.00
2.0
2.7
4.0
0.9
Blackburn
3.8
2.5
17
27
1.25
2.00
3.25
3.0
3.0
2.4
1.5
Bolton
1.0
3.7
17
26
0.33
2.00
2.33
2.0
5.0
15.0
1.0
Chelsea
2.0
0.5
25
9
0.50
0.75
1.25
4.3
5.3
10.5
5.7
Everton
3.0
1.3
17
14
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.0
3.3
10.0
1.5
Fulham
1.3
2.3
6
14
0.75
1.00
1.75
3.5
1.0
1.3
3.5
Hull
1.3
2.0
19
22
0.33
0.33
0.67
4.3
1.0
3.0
13.0
Liverpool
2.0
3.7
27
13
2.33
1.67
4.00
2.7
2.3
1.0
1.6
Man City
1.0
3.5
15
25
0.25
1.25
1.50
3.5
2.8
11.0
2.8
Man Utd
3.0
2.0
18
9
1.00
1.00
2.00
4.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
Middlesbrough
3.7
2.3
8
26
0.00
2.00
2.00
3.0
3.0
N/A
1.5
Newcastle
3.7
5.7
15
24
1.33
1.33
2.67
2.3
2.7
2.0
1.8
Portsmouth
0.5
2.0
12
23
1.50
1.50
3.00
3.0
2.0
1.3
2.0
Stoke
2.0
1.0
12
34
1.00
2.33
3.33
3.0
0.7
0.7
1.3
Sunderland
1.0
2.3
12
21
0.25
1.00
1.25
5.8
2.8
11.0
5.8
Tottenham
2.3
4.3
20
25
1.67
1.00
2.67
1.7
3.3
2.0
1.7
West Brom
0.3
4.0
6
27
0.00
1.33
1.33
2.7
4.0
N/A
2.0
West Ham
5.7
2.0
16
18
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.0
3.7
3.7
3.0
Wigan
3.3
3.0
16
16
1.00
1.00
2.00
3.3
3.0
3.0
3.3
Goals & Saves – Away highlights Sunderland: Have had big problems scoring on the road – but their defence has generally done a decent job of keeping them in the match. Just 10 goals in total in the Black Cats last 6 games makes ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets of interest. Chelsea: Have not been scoring many goals away from home recently – just 4 in their last 7 road matches. Look to support their opponents on the Asian Handicap, and when playing low-scoring hosts, consider ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets. Worst ‘Away’ Sides with the worst Away Goal Diff
Stoke –23 West Brom –21 Middlesboro –18 Portsmouth -11 Blackburn -10
Liverpool: There have been goals galore in Liverpool away games in the past month – and the Reds road matches are currently rated to produce the highest number of Total Goals in the league.
On The Road The teams with the best goal difference stats away from home.
Chelsea 16 Liverpool 14 Arsenal 10 Man Utd 9 Aston Villa 3
West Brom: Often create goal-scoring chances for themselves – but seldom take them – they’ve hit just 3 goals in their last 6 away games.
Wigan: Have problems putting the ball in the net – another good striker an essential for next year – but their defence is well organised and effective and there have been just 8 goals in Wigan’s last 6 away matches. Look to bet ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ away from home.
Do you have a query on the Sports Stat ratings? E-mail us at… [email protected] 5
Premier League: Bookings & Fouls – Period 7 Home
Away
Bookings Ratings F A T
Foul Ratings F A
Bookings Ratings F A T
Foul Ratings F A
6.7
20.0
26.7
7.7
14.3
Arsenal
15.0
16.7
31.7
13.7
Aston Villa
10.0
23.3
33.3
10.0
11.7
Aston Villa
25.0
13.3
38.3
11.3
10.0
Blackburn
16.7
3.3
20.0
12.3
11.3
Blackburn
28.8
18.8
47.5
17.0
11.5
Arsenal
15.3
6.7
16.7
23.3
15.0
11.0
Bolton
10.0
16.7
26.7
15.0
12.3
Chelsea
13.3
20.0
33.3
12.0
15.0
Chelsea
26.3
17.5
43.8
13.0
14.3
Everton
6.7
10.0
16.7
8.3
17.0
Everton
21.7
18.3
40.0
13.7
15.3
Fulham
15.0
27.5
42.5
12.8
11.5
Fulham
7.5
5.0
12.5
12.3
8.3
Hull
31.7
28.3
60.0
16.7
15.3
Hull
20.0
16.7
36.7
16.3
13.7
Liverpool
17.5
35.0
52.5
14.0
12.5
Liverpool
10.0
25.0
35.0
12.7
10.7
Bolton
Man City
13.3
35.0
48.3
11.3
12.3
Man City
22.5
10.0
32.5
13.5
12.3
Man Utd
25.0
20.0
45.0
9.7
17.3
Man Utd
36.7
16.7
53.3
10.7
13.7
Middlesbrough
21.7
23.3
45.0
8.3
11.7
Middlesbrough
10.0
13.3
23.3
11.3
12.0
Newcastle
16.3
31.3
47.5
13.0
15.3
Newcastle
26.7
23.3
50.0
12.7
14.7
Portsmouth
10.0
10.0
20.0
13.0
12.0
Portsmouth
30.0
17.5
47.5
11.0
10.0
Stoke
23.3
16.7
40.0
14.7
13.0
Stoke
18.3
10.0
28.3
11.7
7.0
Sunderland
16.7
21.7
38.3
11.3
9.7
Sunderland
36.3
20.0
56.3
13.8
12.0
Tottenham
10.0
21.7
31.7
12.3
10.7
Tottenham
20.0
20.0
40.0
9.7
15.3
West Brom
26.7
10.0
36.7
13.0
12.7
West Brom
10.0
6.7
16.7
13.7
10.7
West Ham
13.3
13.3
26.7
15.0
14.7
West Ham
31.7
21.7
53.3
12.0
14.3
Wigan
21.7
38.3
60.0
12.0
12.0
Wigan
23.3
16.7
40.0
13.7
10.7
Bookings & Fouls – highlights Most Booked Players Lee Cattermole 10 yellows 2 reds Kevin Nolan 10 yellows 1 red Marouane Fellaini 12 yellows Kieran Richardson 10 yellows
Man Utd: Aren’t often on the wrong end of drubbings from Fulham and Liverpool, and the Red Devils didn’t handle it too well – picking up a stack of red and yellow cards. But United are likely to re-group, and return to their usual low-card status - both home and away. Sunderland: The relegation-threatened Black Cats are fighting desperately hard to avoid the drop – but they are becoming a reckless, especially away from home. Sunderland have picked up 21 yellows and a red in their last 6 road games – the highest card total in the Premiership. Liverpool: Continue to have a good season for results away from home – which may be a big influence on their low card ratings ‘on the road.’ Look to bet low cards ‘away’, especially when Liverpool meet other well-behaved sides – and when Liverpool’s leading card earner Arbeloa is on the bench.
Fulham: Have been a very solid ‘low card’ team on the road all year – they are easily the least-booked ‘away’ side in the Premiership, and the trend continues. Look to bet low cards in Fulham road games, or against an aggressive opponent – look to bet the opponent ‘To Receive The First Card.’
Your Sports Statistician now comes in 2 parts… Sports Stat UK and Sports Stat Euro (more news of part 3 on Pg 12) 6
Premier League Fouls per Point Fouls per Pt Home
Premier League Referee Table 2008/9
Fouls Per Pt Away
F
A
1.15
0.72
1.00
0.50
0.74
3.40
2.25
Total Games
Tot Pts
Average Pts
Average Fouls
Fouls per Pt 0.71
F
A
Arsenal
0.91
0.92
H. Webb
27
1055
39.07
27.78
Aston Villa
0.45
0.75
C. Foy
20
715
35.75
23.90
0.67
Blackburn
0.59
0.61
A. Marriner
20
770
38.50
23.85
0.62
0.66
Bolton
1.50
0.74
P. Walton
18
520
28.89
22.89
0.79
0.90
0.75
Chelsea
0.50
0.81
M. Atkinson
20
745
37.25
25.30
0.68
1.25
1.70
Everton
0.63
0.84
A. Wiley
21
610
29.05
25.24
0.87
0.85
0.42
Fulham
1.63
1.65
S. Bennett
21
750
35.71
24.10
0.67
0.53
0.54
Hull
0.82
0.82
M. Riley
17
830
48.82
33.24
0.68
0.80
0.36
Liverpool
1.27
0.43
M. Dean
24
1140
47.50
26.96
0.57
0.85
0.35
Man City
0.60
1.23
P. Dowd
22
770
35.00
26.59
0.76
0.39
0.87
Man Utd
0.29
0.82
R. Styles
19
770
40.53
20.53
0.51
0.38
0.50
Middlesbrough
1.13
0.90
M. Halsey
19
320
16.84
20.26
1.20
0.80
0.49
Newcastle
0.48
0.63
S. Attwell
5
190
38.00
21.60
0.57
1.30
1.20
Portsmouth
0.37
0.57
M. Jones
8
320
40.00
26.38
0.66
0.63
0.78
Stoke
0.64
0.70
K. Stroud
5
140
28.00
27.80
0.99
0.68
0.45
Sunderland
0.38
0.60
L. Probert
9
250
27.78
25.33
0.91
1.23
0.49
Tottenham
0.48
0.77
S. Tanner
11
495
45.00
27.64
0.61
0.49
1.27
West Brom
1.37
1.60
L. Mason
13
550
42.31
27.31
0.65
1.13
1.10
West Ham
0.38
0.66
0.55
0.31
Wigan
0.59
0.64
Referee highlights M. Riley and M. Dean: If all football teams were as consistent as these two maestros of the red and yellow cards, the bookies would be running for cover. These two staunch high dealers have been at the top of the ‘most cards dished out’ table from the start, and show no signs of mellowing. Fine ingredients for any ‘high’ cards bets. The Red Mist Teams Most Red Cards so far M. Halsey: Continues to be one of the Top Red-Dealing Refs lowest dealing refs that the Premiership has Man United 5 ever seen. His average of 16 points per M. Dean 6 Stoke 5 game is a massive 11 points lower than the M. Atkinson 5 Man City 4 next lowest card dealer. Halsey is a solid R. Styles 5 Wigan 4 gold low dealer. H. Webb 5 Tottenham 4 P. Dowd 4 Newcastle 4 Blackburn: Could be feeling hard-done-by A. Marriner 4 by the refs just now. Check their home M. Riley 4 ratings and you’ll see that opponents have to commit a huge 3.40 fouls S. Tanner 3 before picking up a bookings point against Big Sam’s men – that’s remarkably lenient. Liverpool: Who were rampant in March on the match results front, seem to have been enjoying a fair bit of protection from the refs too. Opponents only have to commit 0.36 of a foul to pick up a bookings point at Anfield, and 0.43 when Liverpool are on the road. Useful info for anyone contemplating a bookings points superiority bet.
Home of The Sports Stat blog … www.dailywrap.co.uk 7
Premier League: Corner stats – Period 7 Home Total Corners
Corner Ratings
Away Total Corners
Under / Over %
Corner Ratings
Under / Over %
F
A
F
A
T
U'11
11
O'11
F
A
F
A
T
U'11
11
128
49
8.7
4.3
13.0
27%
27%
47%
Arsenal
91
67
4.0
5.7
9.7
60%
0%
O'11 40%
108
83
7.0
7.7
14.7
27%
0%
73%
Aston Villa
90
110
8.0
4.7
12.7
27%
13%
60%
76
78
4.3
6.0
10.3
67%
13%
20%
Blackburn
89
89
5.8
6.5
12.3
47%
7%
47%
84
96
3.0
9.3
12.3
53%
7%
40%
Bolton
66
120
5.0
7.3
12.3
33%
7%
60%
111
50
10.0
4.3
14.3
40%
20%
40%
Chelsea
93
93
6.8
8.0
14.8
27%
7%
67%
91
74
5.0
6.3
11.3
40%
20%
40%
Everton
69
79
4.7
3.0
7.7
53%
13%
33%
98
73
9.3
5.5
14.8
47%
0%
53%
Fulham
66
96
5.3
7.5
12.8
33%
20%
47% 60%
88
86
6.7
6.7
13.3
53%
7%
40%
Hull
60
136
4.0
10.3
14.3
40%
0%
136
52
7.3
3.3
10.5
53%
0%
47%
Liverpool
76
60
5.3
4.7
10.0
60%
20%
20%
88
88
9.0
5.3
14.3
33%
13%
53%
Man City
72
80
3.8
5.8
9.5
60%
7%
33%
112
40
8.3
3.7
12.0
50%
7%
43%
Man Utd
105
63
8.3
3.7
12.0
47%
20%
33%
84
88
6.3
4.7
11.0
47%
7%
47%
Middlesbrough
55
118
5.0
7.7
12.7
33%
13%
53%
69
94
3.8
5.8
9.5
47%
7%
47%
Newcastle
57
77
5.7
2.3
8.0
67%
13%
20%
101
76
5.8
4.0
9.8
40%
7%
53%
Portsmouth
54
102
3.5
7.0
10.5
36%
14%
50%
71
74
4.3
4.7
9.0
67%
7%
27%
Stoke
67
92
6.0
4.3
10.3
53%
7%
40%
62
66
4.3
2.0
6.3
67%
13%
20%
Sunderland
66
105
4.0
6.5
10.5
47%
13%
40%
98
77
6.0
6.7
12.7
40%
7%
53%
Tottenham
80
97
6.3
8.0
14.3
40%
7%
53%
91
78
4.7
4.0
8.7
40%
7%
53%
West Brom
86
105
4.7
6.0
10.7
27%
0%
73%
94
93
4.0
7.3
11.3
20%
7%
73%
West Ham
62
106
5.0
6.3
11.3
53%
7%
40%
92
67
5.7
4.3
10.0
47%
13%
40%
Wigan
78
87
3.7
7.7
11.3
47%
13%
40%
Corner Stats – Highlights West Ham: Continue to be a star corners performer at home – a massive 80 percent of games at Upton Park returning ‘11 corners or Over’ payouts. A strong trend, and one to stay with. Blackburn and Sunderland: Have to be mentioned again this month – these ‘corners twins’ have identical ‘home’ figures, with a huge 80 percent of all matches at Ewood Park and The Stadium of Light producing ’11 Corners and Under’ results. These strong trends look likely to be profitable right to the end of the season. Corner Curiosities Man U failed to force a corner in the first half in their away game at Fulham
West Brom: Own the strongest ‘away’ corners trend in the league – 73 percent of all Baggies ‘away’ games have delivered payouts to ‘Over 11 Corners’ backers. Naturally, we should continue to cash in.
Corners game of the month The award this month goes to the Fulham - Hull game, which saw 18 flag kicks in all, Fulham 13, Hull 5
Newcastle: We’ll have to see if new boss Alan Shearer makes a difference – but so far this season 80 percent of the Magpies away games have produced ’11 corners and Under’ results, one of the most reliable corner trends in the Premiership.
Do you have a query on the Sports Stat ratings? E-mail us at… [email protected] 8
The Championship – Home – Period 7 Shot Ratings F A T Barnsley Birmingham
Corner Ratings F A T
Card Ratings F A T
Goal
Ratings F A T
8.6
6.2
14.8
5.8
5.2
11.0
10.0
12.0
22.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
12.2
9.2
21.4
6.8
4.0
10.8
6.0
22.0
28.0
1.2
0.4
1.6 2.4
Blackpool
12.6
9.2
21.8
5.0
4.8
9.8
25.0
16.0
41.0
1.0
1.4
Bristol City
14.0
14.4
28.4
6.4
4.2
10.6
14.0
24.0
38.0
1.4
0.4
1.8
Burnley
11.8
9.0
20.8
6.4
6.6
13.0
2.0
14.0
16.0
2.6
1.4
4.0
Cardiff
10.2
7.8
18.0
4.0
4.0
8.0
20.0
29.0
49.0
1.6
1.0
2.6
Charlton
13.3
9.5
22.8
7.0
4.0
11.0
12.5
15.0
27.5
1.3
1.3
2.5
Coventry
10.5
12.8
23.3
4.3
5.8
10.0
20.0
15.0
35.0
1.3
0.8
2.0 1.0
8.3
5.3
13.5
6.3
5.8
12.0
18.8
26.3
45.0
0.5
0.5
11.5
12.8
24.3
4.3
4.3
8.5
10.0
10.0
20.0
2.0
1.0
3.0
9.3
10.0
19.3
3.8
5.0
8.8
5.0
13.3
18.3
1.0
0.7
1.7
Ipswich
15.6
10.6
26.2
6.6
4.4
11.0
12.0
14.0
26.0
0.8
1.2
2.0
Norwich
14.0
12.0
26.0
7.0
5.2
12.2
22.0
6.0
28.0
1.2
1.0
2.2
Crystal Palace Derby Doncaster
Notts Forest
8.6
7.2
15.8
4.2
5.4
9.6
28.0
8.0
36.0
1.2
1.6
2.8
Plymouth
8.5
10.2
18.7
3.5
7.2
10.7
3.3
10.0
13.3
1.3
2.2
3.5
12.0
11.8
23.8
7.2
6.0
13.2
14.0
18.0
32.0
1.6
1.0
2.6
QPR
9.0
7.8
16.8
5.0
5.0
10.0
6.0
12.0
18.0
0.8
1.0
1.8
Reading
9.0
7.2
16.2
7.0
3.2
10.2
10.0
18.0
28.0
0.4
1.2
1.6
14.0
8.5
22.5
6.0
3.5
9.5
10.0
27.5
37.5
2.3
1.8
4.0
Preston
Sheffield Utd
9.4
7.8
17.2
5.0
5.4
10.4
12.0
24.0
36.0
0.6
0.8
1.4
Southampton
10.0
6.6
16.6
4.8
6.6
11.4
14.0
11.0
25.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
Swansea
12.6
6.2
18.8
6.4
3.2
9.6
16.0
45.0
61.0
1.8
1.0
2.8
Watford
8.5
7.0
15.5
4.0
3.3
7.3
12.5
17.5
30.0
2.0
0.8
2.8
Wolves
9.8
7.0
16.8
8.6
2.8
11.4
10.0
10.0
20.0
1.4
1.4
2.8
Sheff Wed
Attacking Stats – Home highlights Burnley: Have been hammering in the goals – 15 in their last 6 home games – and conceding them too – 8 goals allowed in the same period. The result is a current Total Goals rating of 4.0, look to bet ‘Over 2.5 Total Goals’ Reading: For the seventh period in a row the Royals are still rated high in the corners department. Once again we should look out for are those affairs where the visitors can be expected to keep Reading at bay for a significant period. Match Watch April 10th @ home to Sheffield Utd Birmingham: Don’t score many at home, but they concede even fewer – and that’s a great recipe for ‘Under 2.5 Total Goals’ bet.
Championship Fair Play League Cardiff Derby Preston Bristol C Doncaster Watford Sheff Wed Plymouth
Combined Home & Away Bookings Points ‘For’. 10pts per Yellow, 25 pts per Red
Preston: have the highest home corner ratings in the league – currently standing at 13.2 per game. Look to bet ’11 Corners and Over’
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 9
445 470 515 550 550 575 580 615
The Championship – Away – Period 7 Shot Ratings F A T
Corner Ratings F A T
Card Ratings F A T
Goal
Ratings F A T
10.0
12.3
22.3
3.3
6.3
9.7
28.3
10.0
38.3
0.7
1.0
Birmingham
9.8
10.4
20.2
4.2
5.6
9.8
16.0
19.0
35.0
0.8
0.8
1.6
Blackpool
7.4
13.4
20.8
3.2
9.4
12.6
22.0
8.0
30.0
1.0
1.4
2.4
Barnsley
1.7
12.0
11.7
23.7
4.5
7.2
11.7
15.0
9.2
24.2
1.0
1.2
2.2
Burnley
9.8
9.8
19.6
5.4
4.0
9.4
14.0
10.0
24.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
Cardiff
9.5
13.3
22.8
6.5
4.5
11.0
5.0
15.0
20.0
0.8
1.5
2.3
Charlton
8.6
7.8
16.4
2.0
4.8
6.8
18.0
12.0
30.0
1.0
1.4
2.4
Coventry
11.3
15.8
27.0
4.0
7.3
11.3
15.0
10.0
25.0
1.0
1.5
2.5
7.3
9.3
16.7
6.0
5.0
11.0
20.0
6.7
26.7
1.5
2.2
3.7
Bristol City
Crystal Palace
10.6
10.0
20.6
5.0
4.0
9.0
6.0
6.0
12.0
2.0
1.6
3.6
Doncaster
8.8
12.6
21.4
4.6
5.0
9.6
21.0
21.0
42.0
1.2
2.0
3.2
Ipswich
9.4
8.2
17.6
6.6
6.6
13.2
22.0
14.0
36.0
1.2
1.4
2.6
Norwich
2.4
Derby
10.0
11.2
21.2
3.6
6.8
10.4
16.0
8.0
24.0
1.0
1.4
Notts Forest
7.6
11.8
19.4
3.6
6.4
10.0
16.0
12.0
28.0
0.6
2.2
2.8
Plymouth
7.2
15.4
22.6
3.4
8.8
12.2
26.0
23.0
49.0
0.4
1.0
1.4
Preston
5.6
9.8
15.4
4.0
7.8
11.8
8.0
10.0
18.0
0.6
1.4
2.0
QPR
9.4
6.6
16.0
5.8
3.4
9.2
10.0
16.0
26.0
0.6
1.2
1.8
Reading
8.0
8.5
16.5
8.8
3.8
12.5
26.3
5.0
31.3
1.3
0.8
2.0
Sheffield Utd
8.8
10.4
19.2
5.0
4.4
9.4
19.0
30.0
49.0
1.8
0.8
2.6
Sheff Wed Southampton
9.8
12.4
22.2
6.0
6.6
12.6
16.0
8.0
24.0
1.8
1.4
3.2
12.8
11.0
23.8
6.5
6.0
12.5
27.5
15.0
42.5
1.0
1.0
2.0
Swansea
7.6
10.6
18.2
4.0
2.6
6.6
16.0
18.0
34.0
0.6
1.2
1.8
Watford
8.2
14.4
22.6
4.4
5.2
9.6
14.0
10.0
24.0
1.4
1.2
2.6
Wolves
7.8
7.4
15.2
5.8
3.4
9.2
22.0
12.0
34.0
0.8
0.6
1.4
Attacking Stats – Away highlights Sheffield United: Are the only side in the Championship to have a positive goal difference figure over their last 6 ‘away’ games (scored 9, conceded 4.) With a playoff place at stake look to the Blades to keep op the pressure, look to support in the 90-minute or Asian Handicap markets. Notts Forest: Have scored only 3 times in their last 6 away games – and conceded on 13 occasions. Look to oppose on the road, look to back opponents To Keep A Clean Sheet or to Win To Nil Southampton: Have been clocking up plenty of yellow cards away from home recently – look to bet ‘high’ cards when meeting similarly abrasive opponents.
Championship Top Scorer S. Ebanks-Blake (24) K. Doyle (18) J. Scotland (17) R. McCormack (16) T. Smith (15) C. Iwelumo (14)
Wolves Reading Swansea Cardiff Watford Wolves
R. Hulse (13)
Reading
M. Tudgay (13) K. Phillips (13) J. Beattie (12) P. Gallagher (12)
Burnley Birm Sheff Utd QPR
Plymouth – Have scored just 2 goals in their last half-dozen away games – look to back ‘Under 2.5 Total Goals’ and to back their opponents To Keep A Clean Sheet
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 10
League 1 – Period 7 Shots Ratings
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
Shots Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
9.3
6.9
5.9
5.4
13.6
27.1
1.3
2.0
Brighton
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
8.0
12.5
4.5
6.5
31.3
17.5
0.5
1.8
9.3
8.8
4.8
3.8
8.3
12.5
1.3
1.0
Bristol Rovers
9.7
9.2
3.7
5.3
1.7
5.0
2.3
0.3
11.9
9.4
7.9
4.6
8.6
5.7
1.0
1.6
Carlisle
8.8
9.2
6.2
5.2
20.0
14.0
1.0
1.2
8.0
8.8
6.0
5.8
12.5
10.0
1.2
1.3
Cheltenham
6.0
14.2
3.2
8.5
12.5
10.0
0.8
2.0
9.7
4.7
5.8
5.0
15.0
15.0
0.8
1.0
Colchester
7.7
8.7
5.0
5.7
20.0
10.0
0.8
1.3
10.3
10.9
5.6
5.9
13.6
22.1
1.6
1.3
Crewe
10.7
12.3
6.0
6.0
15.0
16.7
1.5
0.7 1.7
8.7
7.8
6.5
3.7
16.7
18.3
1.5
1.8
Hartlepool
8.1
11.7
4.6
6.1
27.1
14.3
1.0
10.3
13.5
5.5
5.8
18.3
11.7
0.7
1.2
Hereford
6.6
16.6
4.0
8.8
5.0
13.0
1.2
2.2
10.0
6.6
8.4
4.0
14.0
30.0
1.4
1.4
Huddersfield
11.3
10.8
5.5
6.2
13.3
3.3
1.2
1.5
11.7
6.8
5.5
4.8
23.3
25.0
2.3
0.3
Leeds Utd
11.2
7.0
5.0
4.6
22.0
21.0
1.2
1.6
12.6
7.6
8.4
1.8
12.0
17.0
1.4
0.6
Leicester
11.3
9.3
4.7
5.6
20.7
7.1
1.4
1.3
11.0
12.0
4.0
5.6
14.0
26.0
1.4
1.2
Leyton Orient
7.0
9.4
4.2
7.2
10.0
10.0
1.2
0.6 1.0
9.7
6.7
6.3
4.0
11.7
20.0
0.7
1.2
Millwall
7.5
9.6
3.5
6.6
34.4
13.8
1.6
14.5
8.3
6.2
3.2
13.3
20.0
2.3
1.5
MK Dons
7.2
7.4
7.0
5.2
27.0
6.0
0.6
0.8
11.0
10.8
4.5
6.3
10.0
15.0
2.0
1.8
Northampton
9.3
11.0
3.9
6.3
20.7
10.0
0.6
1.0
9.8
9.2
6.0
5.6
15.0
16.0
0.6
1.4
Oldham Ath
8.3
6.8
2.5
5.3
25.8
11.7
1.5
2.2
12.5
10.3
7.3
4.5
15.8
20.0
1.3
1.0
Peterboro
11.2
8.8
5.0
5.3
13.3
6.7
2.0
1.0
14.7
9.0
6.7
4.7
5.0
14.2
1.8
0.7
Scunthorpe
9.6
9.2
5.8
6.0
30.0
17.0
1.2
2.4
13.4
7.7
5.3
3.3
10.0
28.6
1.7
0.7
Southend
8.4
10.0
4.6
5.8
22.0
20.0
1.4
1.0
10.7
10.8
7.3
5.3
5.0
25.8
1.0
1.0
Stockport
7.7
13.2
3.8
7.2
5.0
15.0
0.7
1.8
8.5
6.2
6.3
4.7
6.7
29.2
2.2
1.0
Swindon Town
9.1
11.4
4.4
6.1
17.1
21.4
1.1
1.6
8.2
8.0
6.3
4.0
7.5
15.0
1.3
0.5
Tranmere R
7.9
9.3
6.0
5.4
14.3
9.3
0.9
0.9
7.6
9.9
4.1
4.1
1.4
10.0
1.4
1.6
Walsall
7.8
13.0
4.3
6.5
14.2
8.3
1.2
1.0
7.4
6.8
4.8
5.0
16.0
12.0
1.0
0.6
Yeovil Town
6.3
10.2
4.2
4.2
22.5
6.7
0.5
2.8
League 1 – Home & Away highlights Leeds: Have been invincible at home recently, they have won all of their last 6 home games and recorded a smashing ‘scored 14, conceded 2’ goals tally in that period. Right in the middle of a fight for play-off action we can expect Leeds to keep their foot firmly on the pedal. Look to support at home. League 1 Shooters Peterborough Leeds Leicester Scunthorpe Oldham Huddersfield Northampton Southend MK Dons
537 534 521 518 503 440 433 432 426
shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots
Combined Shots ‘For’ 2008/9 Home and Away
Carlisle: Are sitting just above the relegation zone, and their home form is a huge worry – just 3 points earned from the last 18 up for grabs on home turf is abysmal. This is a side to bear in mind in the relegation market. Bristol Rovers: Have been firing in goals away from home, 14 in the last half-dozen road games, and have conceded only 2 in that sequence. Look to support on the road. Millwall: Continue earn yellow and red cards hand over fist – particularly ‘away.’ Look to bet high cards whenever given the opportunity.
League 1 Bad Boys Millwall Yeovil Brighton MK Dons Huddersfield Oldham Colchester Southend Leeds
Combined Bookings Points 2008/9 Home and Away
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 11
1020pts 860pts 850pts 815pts 755pts 750pts 745pts 725pts 685pts
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League 2 – Period 7 Shots Ratings
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
Shots Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
11.1
9.3
7.3
5.6
10.0
8.6
0.9
0.6
Accrington St'
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
7.8
10.8
6.0
6.7
15.0
13.3
0.7
1.2
6.6
6.6
4.6
3.8
20.0
18.0
1.2
1.0
Aldershot
8.4
9.9
6.0
6.0
7.1
10.0
1.1
2.6
12.7
7.0
8.3
5.0
11.7
20.8
2.5
1.5
Barnet
9.6
7.6
7.0
5.6
8.0
6.0
0.6
1.4
11.0
9.2
5.5
4.8
11.7
22.5
1.3
0.3
Bournemouth
10.2
8.5
4.3
4.7
13.3
5.0
1.0
0.7
14.0
9.0
7.4
4.2
6.0
21.0
1.4
0.2
Bradford City
9.6
8.3
6.4
6.4
15.7
12.9
0.7
2.1
9.0
6.7
6.1
3.9
5.7
13.6
1.6
0.7
Brentford
7.8
10.6
5.2
5.0
4.0
14.0
0.8
0.8
8.8
7.7
4.5
3.7
7.5
19.2
1.5
1.0
Bury
10.6
8.2
5.0
4.8
19.0
17.0
0.8
0.8
8.5
8.3
5.8
6.8
15.0
11.7
0.7
1.7
Chester City
8.0
9.8
4.3
5.2
19.2
5.8
0.5
2.2
12.3
9.8
6.3
7.8
6.7
11.7
1.7
0.7
Chesterfield
8.0
11.8
2.8
6.5
26.7
8.3
1.0
1.3
10.3
7.5
9.8
4.2
5.0
13.3
0.7
1.5
Dag & Red
9.2
10.8
8.4
4.6
12.0
8.0
1.2
1.0
10.0
8.8
4.2
4.6
19.0
24.0
1.2
0.8
Darlington
10.0
9.0
3.6
6.9
20.7
8.6
0.4
1.0
9.2
6.8
6.5
5.7
10.8
17.5
2.0
0.8
Exeter
7.5
10.8
3.7
7.2
6.7
15.0
1.3
1.3
8.3
8.5
4.2
4.8
10.0
15.0
1.8
1.5
Gillingham
6.8
10.8
4.3
6.2
20.0
10.0
0.7
1.0
11.9
10.6
5.4
4.7
16.4
18.6
2.0
1.3
Grimsby
7.5
11.8
5.8
5.7
25.0
15.0
1.0
1.8 1.8
7.5
9.2
4.5
6.3
14.2
13.3
0.7
0.7
Lincoln City
8.6
11.8
5.0
6.4
22.0
12.0
1.6
11.5
7.3
7.5
3.2
13.3
28.3
1.5
1.3
Luton
11.0
7.8
5.5
4.8
16.7
10.0
1.5
1.0
8.3
14.2
4.0
6.2
13.3
11.7
0.7
1.3
Macclesfield
6.6
11.3
2.1
7.6
21.4
5.7
0.6
1.9
10.1
11.6
4.4
6.1
4.3
11.4
1.3
0.7
Morecambe
7.6
10.4
3.8
8.8
18.0
17.0
1.6
0.6
9.0
9.0
6.0
4.0
8.0
12.0
1.2
1.0
Notts County
8.2
9.2
3.7
4.2
15.0
6.7
0.8
1.3
7.5
9.0
3.8
7.8
10.0
22.5
1.0
1.5
Port Vale
7.1
14.4
3.0
8.1
14.3
13.6
0.6
1.0
12.7
8.5
9.8
4.0
13.3
18.3
1.7
1.2
Rochdale
10.9
8.6
8.9
3.9
17.9
16.4
1.1
1.1
8.8
7.3
5.2
5.2
10.0
12.5
1.2
0.5
Rotherham Utd
8.4
10.8
3.4
7.4
12.0
12.0
2.4
0.8
12.7
7.2
6.0
2.7
11.7
17.5
1.5
0.7
Shrewsbury
11.8
7.3
6.0
4.2
20.8
11.7
0.7
1.7
8.2
8.8
3.7
4.3
8.3
13.3
0.8
0.7
Wycombe
7.2
10.8
5.2
5.8
17.0
6.0
0.8
1.0
League 2 – Home & Away highlights Barnet: Plenty of goalmouth action at both ends when Barnet are at home – there were 24 goals in their last 6 home games, split 15-9 in favour of the home side. Look to bet ‘high’ goals and ‘early’ goals whenever the opportunity arises. League 2 Shooters Rochdale Bradford Dag & Red Shrewsbury Chesterfield Bournemouth Luton Aldershot Bury
485 470 464 440 444 423 405 393 392
shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots shots
Dag & Red: The Daggers have an amazing pair of ‘corners won’ ratings this month and comfortably lead the STD Corners won table with a whopping 302 corners for the season. A standing dish for ‘Over 11 Corners’ backers Bradford: Are in the battle for a play-off place, but their away form has been dire recently – just 1 point from the last 18, only 3 goals scored and 15 conceded. Look to oppose on the road.
Combined Shots ‘For’ 2008/9 Home and Away
Wycombe: Continue to be a great side for ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets. Just 17 goals in their last 10 games (home and away.) A very solid trend that looks like running to season’s end.
League 2 Bad Boys Chesterfield Darlington Chester Macclesfield Port Vale Shrewsbury Luton Bournemouth Lincoln
Combined Bookings Points 2008/9 Home and Away
The Sports Stat blog … www.dailywrap.co.uk 13
840pts 840pts 825pts 725pts 710pts 685pts 680pts 615pts 600pts
Conference – Period 7 Shots Ratings
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
9.6
10.4
5.3
6.9
23.6
20.0
1.6
1.4
Shots Ratings Altrincham
Corners Ratings
Cards Ratings
Goals Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
7.5
10.8
3.8
4.0
17.5
7.5
0.8
2.3
12.4
8.4
3.8
3.8
13.0
19.0
0.8
0.6
Barrow
8.6
12.6
2.4
7.4
34.0
4.0
0.8
2.0
10.4
8.8
5.2
5.8
17.0
14.0
2.2
0.8
Burton Albion
7.4
6.8
3.8
5.4
17.0
10.0
1.6
1.0
12.0
7.0
8.3
3.3
5.0
46.3
2.3
0.8
Cambridge Utd
10.1
7.7
6.1
5.1
11.4
22.1
1.7
0.4
15.2
10.6
6.8
4.8
12.0
18.0
2.0
1.2
Crawley Town
7.6
7.8
5.2
6.4
28.0
12.0
1.2
1.4
7.8
8.2
4.2
5.6
8.0
12.0
0.8
1.2
Eastbourne
6.0
9.8
3.0
5.0
7.5
11.3
1.0
1.8
8.3
5.7
6.3
3.0
6.7
13.3
1.0
0.3
Ebbsfleet Utd
8.0
7.5
7.0
4.5
5.0
0.0
0.5
1.5
14.7
7.0
8.8
4.3
3.3
29.2
2.3
1.3
Forest Green
6.6
9.8
5.8
4.8
23.0
36.0
2.0
2.0
11.0
10.6
5.2
5.6
25.0
12.0
1.0
1.0
Grays Athletic
8.5
10.8
4.1
5.0
19.4
7.5
0.9
2.3
10.1
8.1
6.7
4.3
10.0
12.9
2.0
0.7
Histon
9.8
11.0
8.4
4.8
4.0
13.0
1.8
0.8
11.6
10.0
5.9
4.9
11.3
14.4
1.3
0.8
Kettering
8.7
9.7
5.0
6.8
16.7
8.3
0.7
0.2
8.0
7.4
4.4
6.2
7.0
10.0
1.8
1.0
Kidderminster
8.5
5.0
5.8
4.0
10.0
22.5
0.5
0.0
4.5
6.3
4.3
6.8
22.5
7.5
0.0
2.0
Lewes
6.3
16.7
3.0
9.3
27.1
10.0
0.6
2.4
11.4
11.0
8.0
5.6
32.0
21.0
1.2
0.2
Mansfield
10.4
13.4
3.6
5.6
8.0
8.0
0.6
1.6 1.8
9.2
9.3
6.2
4.7
15.0
28.3
1.3
1.5
Northwich
7.8
10.2
6.0
5.2
31.0
17.0
0.6
13.0
8.4
6.8
4.2
21.0
37.0
2.0
0.8
Oxford Utd
6.6
13.0
6.6
7.8
28.0
19.0
2.4
1.2
15.0
8.4
7.6
3.2
14.0
6.0
1.2
1.4
Rushden & Diam'
11.7
9.9
7.1
6.0
20.7
8.6
1.9
1.3
6.5
6.2
4.7
4.5
5.0
14.2
0.8
0.8
Salisbury City
9.2
7.8
6.5
5.3
11.7
24.2
1.8
0.5
8.3
4.3
4.7
6.0
6.7
25.0
1.0
0.7
Stevenage
11.2
10.4
4.4
7.8
31.0
20.0
1.6
0.2
14.0
6.5
8.0
4.8
8.3
19.2
2.0
1.5
Torquay
11.3
12.7
4.7
7.7
17.5
17.5
1.7
1.0 2.5
5.7
11.8
3.7
6.8
17.5
19.2
0.0
4.3
Weymouth
6.8
18.8
5.5
5.8
17.5
10.0
1.0
10.2
10.2
5.4
4.0
8.0
18.0
0.4
0.6
Woking
4.5
8.3
2.0
3.8
28.8
2.5
0.0
1.5
8.6
4.6
5.2
5.0
22.0
20.0
1.0
1.4
Wrexham
9.7
7.6
5.6
4.0
20.0
16.4
0.9
1.0
11.8
10.8
4.0
3.5
17.5
27.5
0.5
0.5
York City
6.8
12.3
2.5
6.5
10.0
16.3
0.3
1.0
Conference – Home & Away highlights Forest Green: Whether home or away Forest Green score plenty and concede plenty too – 69 total goals at home and 58 away from home so far means that this side are a great hunting ground for ‘Over’ goals bets. Conference Shooters Rushden 491 Crawley 474 Torquay 427 Stevenage 415 Burton 406 Cambridge U 405 Oxford 405 Forest G 403
shots
Lewes: Continue to go backwards. Their inability to put the ball in the net makes bets on opponents to Keep A Clean Sheet, Win To Nil, and to Score First all of lively interest.
shots shots shots shots shots shots shots
Crawley: Have scored 41 goals in their first 20 home games – only league leaders Burton have scored more. With a play-off spot still a possibility expect Crawley to continue their free-scoring style. Look to support at home and to bet ‘Over 2.5 Goals’ when playing a suitable opponent.
Combined Shots ‘For’ 2008/9 Home and Away
Woking: have only scored 12 goals on the road in 19 games, and they are a great ingredient for ‘Under 2.5 Goals’ bets when playing away.
Conference Bad Boys Northwich Lewes Rushden Cambridge Woking Salisbury Wrexham Barrow
Combined Bookings Points 2008/9 Home and Away
The Sports Stat blog @ www.dailywrap.co.uk 14
950pts 835pts 825pts 785pts 775pts 775pts 765pts 750pts
SPL – Home – Period 7 Shots Ratings
On Target
Corner Ratings
Goal Ratings
Offside Ratings
Bookings Ratings
Possession Ratings
Save Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
Aberdeen
8.7
4.0
3.3
1.3
5.7
3.7
1.0
0.7
2.0
1.3
23.3
23.3
52.0
48.0
3.7
2.7
Celtic
11.5
4.0
3.5
1.5
7.5
3.5
3.5
0.0
1.5
1.0
20.0
47.5
62.5
37.5
2.0
6.0
Dundee Utd
10.7
9.0
4.7
4.0
7.3
3.3
1.0
1.3
2.0
4.0
20.0
25.0
54.3
45.7
3.3
7.0
Falkirk
4.7
9.0
1.7
2.7
6.7
4.0
1.7
1.0
1.3
1.7
13.3
15.0
52.3
47.7
5.7
3.3
Hamilton
7.3
12.7
2.7
5.0
4.7
7.7
0.0
0.7
2.3
3.0
21.7
23.3
49.3
50.7
3.3
3.0
Hearts
10.3
7.3
3.7
3.0
5.3
5.0
1.7
1.0
0.7
2.0
16.7
20.0
52.7
47.3
5.0
3.7
Hibernian
10.0
10.3
4.7
2.7
5.7
4.3
0.3
0.0
3.0
1.7
25.0
20.0
45.0
55.0
3.7
5.3
Inverness CT
8.3
6.5
3.3
2.5
4.0
4.3
1.3
0.8
2.0
3.0
7.5
20.0
50.0
50.0
2.3
3.0
Kilmarnock
7.0
13.0
3.0
6.7
7.0
5.3
0.7
1.0
2.7
2.7
26.7
16.7
50.7
49.3
5.7
4.3
Motherwell
6.3
10.7
2.0
5.7
2.3
5.0
1.3
0.7
2.3
3.3
16.7
23.3
46.3
53.7
5.7
0.3
Rangers
10.7
4.7
6.0
1.3
10.7
1.3
1.7
1.3
2.7
1.3
18.3
20.0
56.3
43.7
2.7
7.3
St Mirren
11.0
10.0
5.0
3.0
3.0
4.5
1.5
1.5
0.5
2.0
5.0
30.0
52.5
47.5
4.5
5.5
SPL – Home highlights Rangers: Another great set of home ratings for rangers – they continue to register a series of significant highs and – along with Celtic – are a different class to their SPL peers. The Gers still trail Celtic by 3 points and with the goal difference in the balance, we’re in for an interesting finish 2008/9 SPL Shooters League Rangers Celtic Hibernian Inverness Hearts Aberdeen Dundee Utd Motherwell St Mirren
416 363 304 266 265 260 258 245 236
Dundee Utd: Once again Dundee United boasts a high ‘corners for’ rating with only Rangers and Celtic doing better. The message is the same – continue to look out for potential ‘buys’ of the Corners Total or take a position in the Corner Handicap market Celtic: The Bhoys still top the SPL table – but only just. Period 7 was poor one for them with just 10 points secured from a possible 18 but there’s no doubting the class at home. No negatives to talk of here this month
Combined Home & Away Shots (On & Off Target)
2008/9 SPL Fair Play League Motherwell Celtic St Mirren Aberdeen Inverness Rangers Dundee Utd Hibernian Hearts
465 440 520 530 545 570 575 580 635
Combined Home & Away Bookings
Points ‘For’. 10pts per Yellow, 25 pts Motherwell – Yet another set of poor corner per Red ratings – a quite amazing trend this – and not surprisingly the message stays the same. Either bet low against a poor road corner winner or oppose them on the Corner H’cap if you get the chance
St Mirren – The Mirren have been a well behaved side for a while now and not once this season have they gone into a match with a negative Bookings Rating (IE being rated higher in the ‘for’ column than the ‘against’ column). Against a volatile traveller we should be looking for a suitable way to profit from this
“Under NEW Management” – Flick back to page 12 for an exciting line up for 2009/10 15
SPL – Away – Period 7 Shots Ratings
On Target
Corner Ratings
Goal Ratings
Offside Ratings
Bookings Ratings
Possession Ratings
Save Ratings
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
F
A
Aberdeen
10.3
11.3
2.7
5.3
5.0
4.7
0.7
1.0
0.7
0.3
15.0
13.3
52.0
48.0
7.3
4.0
Celtic
12.5
8.5
6.0
4.0
4.8
4.3
1.3
1.0
4.0
2.3
15.0
17.5
55.5
44.5
3.5
4.0
Dundee Utd
7.7
11.0
3.7
3.0
5.7
7.3
1.3
1.3
1.0
1.0
23.3
23.3
49.7
50.3
1.3
6.7
Falkirk
9.5
9.5
3.0
3.5
3.0
4.0
1.0
1.0
2.0
4.0
25.0
20.0
50.5
49.5
2.5
4.0
Hamilton
7.7
4.7
1.7
2.3
5.3
3.7
0.7
1.0
2.0
2.3
16.7
16.7
49.3
50.7
2.7
3.3
Hearts
6.0
10.3
2.3
4.3
2.0
7.3
1.0
1.0
3.3
1.0
28.3
25.0
44.7
55.3
5.7
3.0
Hibernian
8.0
7.7
3.3
2.3
2.7
6.0
0.7
1.0
4.7
2.0
26.7
13.3
47.0
53.0
2.7
3.0
Inverness CT
7.0
6.3
1.7
3.7
2.7
9.0
0.7
1.7
0.7
3.3
30.0
15.0
45.7
54.3
7.0
4.7
Kilmarnock
6.0
7.3
3.0
3.7
2.0
6.0
0.7
1.7
2.7
2.0
20.0
10.0
44.3
55.7
3.7
3.3
Motherwell
8.0
9.3
3.7
4.0
7.0
5.7
1.0
1.0
2.0
3.3
13.3
13.3
53.0
47.0
5.0
4.0
Rangers
13.5
5.0
7.0
2.5
9.0
3.5
0.5
0.0
2.5
0.5
35.0
25.0
49.0
51.0
1.5
4.5
St Mirren
6.0
12.7
2.0
3.7
4.0
7.3
0.3
2.7
1.7
1.7
31.7
25.0
38.3
61.7
6.0
3.0
SPL – Away highlights Falkirk – ICT are doing their best to thwart our 13/2 ‘Finish Bottom’ picks, but Falkirk have failed to take advantage with only 10 points from the 27 on offer since the New Year. Falkirk remain bottom, but this has all the makings of a squeaker that could very well go down to the last game of the 2009/10 season. Top SPL Shot Restrictor Rangers Celtic Inverness Hearts Aberdeen Kilmarnock Dundee Utd Motherwell Falkirk Hamilton Hibernian
181 202 239 241 282 282 283 284 290 323 329
Combined Shots Against 2008/9 Home and Away
St Mirren – St Mirren continue to perform terribly on the road with terminal looking lows every department again. With only 3 points between them and the bottom spot, they’ll need to keep their eye on the ball General – There isn’t a team in the SPL that would be pleased with their P7 performance. There are a few half decent efforts, but on the whole it’s a grey pile rubbish that’s difficult to analyse effectively. The Old Firm – Neither Rangers nor Celtic excelled on the road during P7 – there are some positives to drawn upon, but non that make the short prices on offer about them value.
2008/9 SPL Bad Boys League Kilmarnock Falkirk Hamilton Hearts Hibernian Dundee Utd Rangers ICT Aberdeen
840 655 650 635 580 575 570 545 530
Combined Home & Away Bookings Points ‘For’. 10pts per Yellow, 25 pts per Red
Motherwell – Corner winning isn’t Motherwell’s thing and it’s no surprise to see over 70% of their away matches settle with ‘Under 10.5’ corners. Our usual strategy in such cases is to oppose on the Corner Handicap or bet ‘Low – however we need to ensure that we’re not caught out by any dead rubbers. If the opposition fits the bill though and are ‘trying’ then I could only ever look to oppose Motherwell
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