Q-poll 7-22-2009
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Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D. Director, Quinnipiac University Poll (203) FOR RELEASE: JULY 22, 2009
CONNECTICUT GOV. RELL’S HIGH APPROVAL IS LOWEST EVER, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; VOTERS SLAM LEGISLATURE IN BUDGET STALEMATE Plagued by a sagging economy and a state budget stalemate, Connecticut Gov. Jodi Rell’s approval rating has dropped to 65 – 30 percent, her lowest overall score ever but still much higher than governors in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania and Ohio with similar problems, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Connecticut voters disapprove 45 – 39 percent of the way the State Legislature is doing its job, down from a 45 – 38 percent approval in a May 9 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWINuh-pe-ack) University. Voters approve 50 – 42 percent of the way Gov. Rell is handling the state budget and disapprove 56 – 29 percent of the way Democrats in the State Legislature are handling the budget. A total of 88 percent of Connecticut voters say the failure to adopt a state budget by the July 1 deadline is a “very serious” or “somewhat serious” problem. Democrats in the legislature are mostly to blame, 29 percent say, while 16 percent blame Rell; 14 percent blame Republicans and 26 percent blame everyone equally. “Gov. Jodi Rell’s honeymoon with Connecticut voters just won’t end, despite a recession and a budget stalemate,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. “She has defied political gravity for five years by almost always topping 70 percent in job approval, and enjoying high marks not only among Republicans and Independents but Democrats as well. The love affair with Democrats is wearing thin, but she’s still in very good shape. “While the economy and budget battle are taking a small toll on Gov. Rell’s popularity, she is doing much better than governors in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, all with negative approval scores in recent Quinnipiac University polls.” -more
Quinnipiac University Poll/July 22, 2009 – page 2 “If Rell is down a step or two, the Democrats are tumbling down the stairs,” Dr. Schwartz added. “Approval of the Democratically controlled State Legislature is below 40 percent and more blame the Democrats than Rell for the late budget.” By a 60 – 30 percent margin, Connecticut voters would rather cut services than raise taxes to balance the state budget. But voters support 71 – 27 percent raising the state income tax for individuals making at least $265,000 per year and couples making at least $500,000. The measure wins 90 – 9 percent support from Democrats and 71 – 26 percent support from independent voters, while Republicans oppose it 57 – 40 percent. Voters reject 55 – 42 percent that argument that raising taxes will force wealthier residents to move out of Connecticut. Voters also support 51 – 45 percent raising taxes on corporations and 72 – 26 percent raising the cigarette tax an additional 75 cents a pack. Even Republicans support the cigarette tax 64 – 34 percent. Governor Rell’s Prospects A total of 58 percent of Connecticut voters, including 40 percent of Democrats, say they “definitely” or “probably” will vote for Rell for reelection in 2010. Rell has done an “excellent” job as Governor, 12 percent say, while 45 percent say she has done a “good” job; 33 percent say “fair” job and 9 percent say she has done a “poor” job. Connecticut voters like Jodi Rell: 54 percent like her as a person and like most of her policies, while 30 percent like her as a person even as they don’t like most of her policies. Looking at Rell’s qualities, voters say: • • •
84 – 11 percent that she is honest and trustworthy; 76 – 21 percent that she has strong leadership qualities; 53 – 37 percent that she shares their views on issues about which they care. “With scores like these, Jodi Rell is a formidable candidate if she decides to run for a
second full term in 2010,” Schwartz said. From July 16 – 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,499 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data and RSS feed – http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
2
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
65% 30 5
81% 14 5
49% 45 6
70% 25 5
67% 31 2
62% 30 8
MdlSex Toll,Wndm Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld NewHvn NewLon Approve Disapprove DK/NA
78% 20 2
56% 37 7
68% 27 6
63% 31 7
59% 35 6
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor? (*low also 65% 7/1/08)
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
May 27 2009
Apr 02 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 13 Jul 22 2005 2009
65 30 5
73 20 7
72 22 6
75 19 6
75 19 6
83 3 14
65 30 5
14. Would you say that Jodi Rell has done an excellent, good, fair, or poor job as Governor?
Excellent Good Fair Poor DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
12% 45 33 9 1
23% 51 20 3 2
5% 39 41 14 1
12% 48 32 8 -
12% 46 32 10 1
12% 45 33 9 1
15. Regardless of your overall opinion of Jodi Rell, what do you think is the best thing she has done as Governor?
Handling of budget/ Budget cuts/ Taxes Overall good decision maker/Fair/Open minded Honest/Restored trust/ Turned state around after Rowland mess Education Support of Death Penalty Money for mass transit/ Highways Other Nothing Don't know/Can't say/
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
JRappQ13 Approve
23%
39%
14%
22%
30%
17%
31%
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
11 3 1
9 1 2
10 5 1
13 2 1
13 1 1
10 4 1
13 3 1
1 14 4
1 8 1
2 15 6
1 14 2
14 3
2 13 4
1 11 -
3
Not sure
40
35
44
40
33
46
35
16. Regardless of your overall opinion of Jodi Rell, what do you think is the worst thing she has done as Governor?
Handling of budget/ Budget cuts/Taxes Handling of Health care Handling of Education State workers/Furloughs Support of Gay marriage/ Civil unions Handling of Transportation issues Support of Death penalty Other specify Nothing Don't know/Can't say/ Not sure
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
JRappQ13 DisApp
23% 5 3 3
19% 3 2 2
26% 6 3 3
24% 5 2 2
22% 5 2 3
24% 5 3 2
34% 7 5 4
2
4
2
1
2
2
3
1 1 15 5
1 1 10 6
1 1 19 3
1 1 15 5
1 1 18 5
1 1 13 5
1 1 28 -
43
51
37
44
40
45
17
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
39% 45 16
25% 61 14
54% 31 15
36% 47 17
37% 51 12
41% 40 19
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
May 9 2007
Feb 15 2007
Jun 3 2004
Nov 21 2003
Oct 9 2003
Jul 31 2003
39 45 16
45 38 17
47 34 18
48 33 19
38 45 18
35 49 16
29 57 14
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as State Attorney General?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
79% 13 8
70% 22 8
87% 7 6
79% 12 9
78% 16 6
80% 10 10
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as State Attorney General?
Approve Disapprove
Jul 22 2009
May 27 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
Jul 27 2005
APPROVE....... High Low Mar 10 Nov 23 2009 2004
79 13
78 9
81 10
79 12
73 14
81 10
71 15
4
DK/NA 8 13 9 9 13 9 13 23. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
3% 45 35 17 1
3% 42 33 22 1
4% 52 32 12 -
1% 42 38 18 1
2% 43 36 19 1
3% 47 34 15 1
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Very Satisfied Smwht Satisfied Smwht Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
May 27 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
Dec 17 2008
VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Oct 21 Mar 13 1998 2003
3 45 35 17 1
3 53 29 13 2
3 39 36 21 1
4 37 38 21 1
2 41 35 20 1
21 62 14 3 -
4 32 34 29 1
24. How likely are you to vote to re-elect Jodi Rell for Governor in 2010 - do you think you will definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, probably not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?
Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
15% 43 19 16 8
34% 47 8 5 5
5% 35 28 23 8
13% 48 16 14 9
14% 43 18 17 7
15% 43 19 14 9
TREND: How likely are you to vote to re-elect Jodi Rell for Governor in 2010 - do you think you will definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, probably not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?
Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Dec 17 2008
Jul 1 2008
15 43 19 16 8
14 40 18 13 14
13 40 20 13 13
5
25. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Jodi Rell - A) I like Jodi Rell as a person and I also like most of her policies, B) I like Jodi Rell as a person but I don't like most of her policies, C) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person but I do like most of her policies OR D) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person and I also don't like most of her policies? Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
A) Like person and policies 54% B) Like person not policies 30 C) Like policies not person 2 D) Not policies not person 8 DK/NA 6
72% 16 2 3 7
40% 41 2 12 6
57% 28 3 6 7
54% 30 3 8 5
54% 29 1 7 8
TREND: Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Jodi Rell - A) I like Jodi Rell as a person and I also like most of her policies, B) I like Jodi Rell as a person but I don't like most of her policies, C) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person but I DO like most of her policies, D) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person and I also don't like most of her policies. Jul 22 2009 A) Like person and policies 54 B) Like person not policies 30 C) Like policies not person 2 D) Not policies not person 8 DK/NA 6
Jul 1 2008
May 9 2007
53 28 2 7 10
62 23 2 5 8
6
26. What do you think is the most important problem facing Connecticut today? Tot Economy Total Economy general Unemployment/Jobs Cost of living Business leaving/ Outsourcing Economy other
45% 10 30 2
Budget Total Budget general Budget cuts/Cuts in services Budget deficits Gov too big/Gov spending Lack of/Late budget Budget priorities
21% 8
Taxes Total Taxes general Property tax Income Tax Taxes other
12% 8 2 1 1
2 1
2 6 2 1 2
Healthcare costs/Ins/HMO's
5%
Education Total Education general Funding education Education other
3% 1 1 1
Crime/Violence general Housing General Transportation general Politicians General
1 1 1 1
Other DK/NA
3 4
TREND: What do you think is the most important problem facing Connecticut today? (additional trend points available on request)
Budget/Spending Total Crime Total Economy Total Education Total Energy costs Total Healthcare Total Housing Total Immigration Politicians/Campaigns Tot Taxes Total Transportation/DMV Total Other DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Dec 17 2008
May 9 2007
Jun 8 2006
May 2 2006
Feb 16 2006
21% 1 45 3 5 1 1 12 1 3 4
6% 1 59 5 1 3 1 2 14 2 2 3
1 1 22 8 5 8 2 1 29 4 2 6
2% 8 19 9 7 3 2 1 21 6 4 7
1% 3 22 7 15 3 2 2 20 8 4 5
2% 4 27 10 1 4 3 22 7 4 7
7
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling taxes?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
47% 43 10
62% 29 9
33% 55 11
51% 39 11
50% 43 7
44% 43 13
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling - taxes?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Apr 6 2005
47 43 10
40 37 23
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the job situation in Connecticut?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
42% 43 15
59% 26 15
35% 52 13
41% 43 16
44% 43 13
41% 42 17
29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the state budget?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
50% 42 8
67% 26 7
35% 56 9
55% 37 8
53% 40 7
48% 43 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling - the state budget? (*Governor Rell)
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Feb 10 2009
Apr 6 2005
Feb 18 2005*
50 42 8
66 22 13
54 20 26
51 29 20
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in the state legislature are handling the state budget?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
29% 56 14
9% 84 6
49% 34 17
24% 61 15
27% 62 11
31% 52 17
8
31. Would you say that Jodi Rell is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
84% 11 5
91% 6 4
80% 13 6
86% 11 4
85% 13 2
82% 10 7
TREND: Would you say that Jodi Rell is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Jan 12 2006
Jul 27 2005
Jan 13 2005
84 11 5
83 7 11
87 5 8
82 3 14
32. Would you say that Jodi Rell has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
76% 21 3
82% 15 3
69% 27 4
80% 17 3
74% 24 3
79% 18 4
TREND: Would you say that Jodi Rell has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Jul 27 2005
Jan 13 2005
76 21 3
82 11 7
79 7 14
33. Would you say that Jodi Rell shares your views on issues that you care about or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
53% 37 10
73% 20 7
39% 54 8
55% 31 14
54% 36 10
52% 37 10
TREND: Would you say that Jodi Rell shares your views on issues that you care about or not? Jul 22 Jul 27 Jan 13 2009 2005 2005 Yes No DK/NA
53 37 10
64 21 15
60 15 25
45. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the economy?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
54% 35 11
67% 24 9
43% 45 12
56% 32 12
56% 34 11
53% 35 12
9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the economy?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
54 35 11
68 24 8
67 23 10
46. Do you think Governor Rell's policies have helped Connecticut's economy, hurt Connecticut's economy, or haven't made a difference?
Helped Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
28% 18 46 7
37% 13 44 6
20% 25 48 7
29% 15 47 8
29% 18 45 7
27% 19 47 7
47. Looking forward, do you think Governor Rell's policies will help Connecticut's economy, will hurt Connecticut's economy, or won't make a difference?
Will Help Will Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
40% 19 33 8
57% 14 23 6
30% 28 33 9
42% 15 35 7
42% 19 32 7
39% 20 33 8
48. Do you think Governor Rell's policies have helped your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or haven't made a difference?
Helped Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
7% 18 73 2
12% 13 73 2
3% 22 73 2
8% 16 73 3
8% 19 70 3
6% 17 75 2
49. Looking forward, do you think Governor Rell's policies will help your personal financial situation, will hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?
Will Help Will Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
20% 21 52 7
30% 12 51 6
16% 25 53 6
20% 20 52 8
23% 19 52 6
18% 22 53 7
10
64. Connecticut has not had a budget since July first, the start of the fiscal year. Do you think that the state's failure to pass a budget is a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem or not a problem at all? Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Very serious 52% Smwht serious 36 Not too serious 8 Not a problem at all 2 DK/NA 2
53% 33 11 2 2
50% 39 9 1 1
54% 35 7 1 2
52% 32 11 4 2
52% 39 6 1 1
TREND: Connecticut has not had a budget since July first, the start of the fiscal year. Do you think that the state's failure to pass a budget is a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?
Very serious Smwht serious Not very serious Not serious at all DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Jul 31 2003
52 36 8 2 2
58 34 5 2 2
65. Who do you think is most to blame for the state's failure to pass a budget – Governor Rell, the Republicans in the state legislature, or the Democrats in the state legislature?
Governor Rell Republicans in leg Democrats in leg BLAME ALL(VOL) DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
16% 14 29 26 14
4% 1 68 21 7
25% 31 9 18 16
14% 8 28 34 15
16% 11 36 26 10
17% 17 23 27 17
66. To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
Raising taxes Cutting services DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
30% 60 10
8% 82 10
51% 41 9
26% 64 10
25% 68 7
35% 54 12
TREND: To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
Raising taxes Cutting services DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Feb 10 2009
Mar 13 2003
30 60 10
23 67 10
38 46 16
11
67. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose raising the income tax for individuals earning more than $265,000 annually and for couples earning more than $500,000 annually?
Support Oppose DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
71% 27 2
40% 57 3
90% 9 1
71% 26 3
65% 33 2
75% 22 3
68. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose raising taxes on corporations? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support Oppose DK/NA
51% 45 4
26% 70 4
70% 26 5
50% 46 4
43% 55 2
58% 36 6
69. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose raising taxes on cigarettes an additional 75 cents a pack?
Support Oppose DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
72% 26 2
64% 34 3
84% 15 1
68% 29 3
65% 33 2
78% 20 2
70. Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
48% 45 7
31% 64 5
65% 28 7
44% 49 7
47% 48 5
48% 43 8
TREND: Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Mar 10 2009
48 45 7
32 63 5
71. Some people say that raising the state income tax rate on wealthier residents will lead them to move out of Connecticut. Do you agree or disagree?
Agree Disagree DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
42% 55 4
67% 31 3
21% 73 6
45% 52 3
45% 52 3
39% 57 4
12
CONNECTICUT GOV. RELL’S HIGH APPROVAL IS LOWEST EVER, QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS; VOTERS SLAM LEGISLATURE IN BUDGET STALEMATE Plagued by a sagging economy and a state budget stalemate, Connecticut Gov. Jodi Rell’s approval rating has dropped to 65 – 30 percent, her lowest overall score ever but still much higher than governors in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania and Ohio with similar problems, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Connecticut voters disapprove 45 – 39 percent of the way the State Legislature is doing its job, down from a 45 – 38 percent approval in a May 9 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWINuh-pe-ack) University. Voters approve 50 – 42 percent of the way Gov. Rell is handling the state budget and disapprove 56 – 29 percent of the way Democrats in the State Legislature are handling the budget. A total of 88 percent of Connecticut voters say the failure to adopt a state budget by the July 1 deadline is a “very serious” or “somewhat serious” problem. Democrats in the legislature are mostly to blame, 29 percent say, while 16 percent blame Rell; 14 percent blame Republicans and 26 percent blame everyone equally. “Gov. Jodi Rell’s honeymoon with Connecticut voters just won’t end, despite a recession and a budget stalemate,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD. “She has defied political gravity for five years by almost always topping 70 percent in job approval, and enjoying high marks not only among Republicans and Independents but Democrats as well. The love affair with Democrats is wearing thin, but she’s still in very good shape. “While the economy and budget battle are taking a small toll on Gov. Rell’s popularity, she is doing much better than governors in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania, all with negative approval scores in recent Quinnipiac University polls.” -more
Quinnipiac University Poll/July 22, 2009 – page 2 “If Rell is down a step or two, the Democrats are tumbling down the stairs,” Dr. Schwartz added. “Approval of the Democratically controlled State Legislature is below 40 percent and more blame the Democrats than Rell for the late budget.” By a 60 – 30 percent margin, Connecticut voters would rather cut services than raise taxes to balance the state budget. But voters support 71 – 27 percent raising the state income tax for individuals making at least $265,000 per year and couples making at least $500,000. The measure wins 90 – 9 percent support from Democrats and 71 – 26 percent support from independent voters, while Republicans oppose it 57 – 40 percent. Voters reject 55 – 42 percent that argument that raising taxes will force wealthier residents to move out of Connecticut. Voters also support 51 – 45 percent raising taxes on corporations and 72 – 26 percent raising the cigarette tax an additional 75 cents a pack. Even Republicans support the cigarette tax 64 – 34 percent. Governor Rell’s Prospects A total of 58 percent of Connecticut voters, including 40 percent of Democrats, say they “definitely” or “probably” will vote for Rell for reelection in 2010. Rell has done an “excellent” job as Governor, 12 percent say, while 45 percent say she has done a “good” job; 33 percent say “fair” job and 9 percent say she has done a “poor” job. Connecticut voters like Jodi Rell: 54 percent like her as a person and like most of her policies, while 30 percent like her as a person even as they don’t like most of her policies. Looking at Rell’s qualities, voters say: • • •
84 – 11 percent that she is honest and trustworthy; 76 – 21 percent that she has strong leadership qualities; 53 – 37 percent that she shares their views on issues about which they care. “With scores like these, Jodi Rell is a formidable candidate if she decides to run for a
second full term in 2010,” Schwartz said. From July 16 – 20, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,499 Connecticut registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and the nation as a public service and for research. For more data and RSS feed – http://www.quinnipiac.edu/polling.xml, or call (203) 582-5201.
2
13. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
65% 30 5
81% 14 5
49% 45 6
70% 25 5
67% 31 2
62% 30 8
MdlSex Toll,Wndm Farfld Hrtfrd Lchfld NewHvn NewLon Approve Disapprove DK/NA
78% 20 2
56% 37 7
68% 27 6
63% 31 7
59% 35 6
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling her job as Governor? (*low also 65% 7/1/08)
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
May 27 2009
Apr 02 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
APPROVE....... High Low Jan 13 Jul 22 2005 2009
65 30 5
73 20 7
72 22 6
75 19 6
75 19 6
83 3 14
65 30 5
14. Would you say that Jodi Rell has done an excellent, good, fair, or poor job as Governor?
Excellent Good Fair Poor DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
12% 45 33 9 1
23% 51 20 3 2
5% 39 41 14 1
12% 48 32 8 -
12% 46 32 10 1
12% 45 33 9 1
15. Regardless of your overall opinion of Jodi Rell, what do you think is the best thing she has done as Governor?
Handling of budget/ Budget cuts/ Taxes Overall good decision maker/Fair/Open minded Honest/Restored trust/ Turned state around after Rowland mess Education Support of Death Penalty Money for mass transit/ Highways Other Nothing Don't know/Can't say/
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
JRappQ13 Approve
23%
39%
14%
22%
30%
17%
31%
4
3
3
4
4
4
5
11 3 1
9 1 2
10 5 1
13 2 1
13 1 1
10 4 1
13 3 1
1 14 4
1 8 1
2 15 6
1 14 2
14 3
2 13 4
1 11 -
3
Not sure
40
35
44
40
33
46
35
16. Regardless of your overall opinion of Jodi Rell, what do you think is the worst thing she has done as Governor?
Handling of budget/ Budget cuts/Taxes Handling of Health care Handling of Education State workers/Furloughs Support of Gay marriage/ Civil unions Handling of Transportation issues Support of Death penalty Other specify Nothing Don't know/Can't say/ Not sure
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
JRappQ13 DisApp
23% 5 3 3
19% 3 2 2
26% 6 3 3
24% 5 2 2
22% 5 2 3
24% 5 3 2
34% 7 5 4
2
4
2
1
2
2
3
1 1 15 5
1 1 10 6
1 1 19 3
1 1 15 5
1 1 18 5
1 1 13 5
1 1 28 -
43
51
37
44
40
45
17
17. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
39% 45 16
25% 61 14
54% 31 15
36% 47 17
37% 51 12
41% 40 19
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the state legislature is handling its job?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
May 9 2007
Feb 15 2007
Jun 3 2004
Nov 21 2003
Oct 9 2003
Jul 31 2003
39 45 16
45 38 17
47 34 18
48 33 19
38 45 18
35 49 16
29 57 14
20. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as State Attorney General?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
79% 13 8
70% 22 8
87% 7 6
79% 12 9
78% 16 6
80% 10 10
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Richard Blumenthal is handling his job as State Attorney General?
Approve Disapprove
Jul 22 2009
May 27 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
Jul 27 2005
APPROVE....... High Low Mar 10 Nov 23 2009 2004
79 13
78 9
81 10
79 12
73 14
81 10
71 15
4
DK/NA 8 13 9 9 13 9 13 23. In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Are you very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Very satisfied Smwht satisfied Smwht dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
3% 45 35 17 1
3% 42 33 22 1
4% 52 32 12 -
1% 42 38 18 1
2% 43 36 19 1
3% 47 34 15 1
TREND: In general, how satisfied are you with the way things are going in Connecticut today? Very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat dissatisfied, or very dissatisfied?
Very Satisfied Smwht Satisfied Smwht Dissatisfied Very Dissatisfied DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
May 27 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
Dec 17 2008
VERY+SMWHT SAT High Low Oct 21 Mar 13 1998 2003
3 45 35 17 1
3 53 29 13 2
3 39 36 21 1
4 37 38 21 1
2 41 35 20 1
21 62 14 3 -
4 32 34 29 1
24. How likely are you to vote to re-elect Jodi Rell for Governor in 2010 - do you think you will definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, probably not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?
Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
15% 43 19 16 8
34% 47 8 5 5
5% 35 28 23 8
13% 48 16 14 9
14% 43 18 17 7
15% 43 19 14 9
TREND: How likely are you to vote to re-elect Jodi Rell for Governor in 2010 - do you think you will definitely vote for her, probably vote for her, probably not vote for her, or definitely not vote for her?
Definitely Probably Probably not Definitely not DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Dec 17 2008
Jul 1 2008
15 43 19 16 8
14 40 18 13 14
13 40 20 13 13
5
25. Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Jodi Rell - A) I like Jodi Rell as a person and I also like most of her policies, B) I like Jodi Rell as a person but I don't like most of her policies, C) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person but I do like most of her policies OR D) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person and I also don't like most of her policies? Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
A) Like person and policies 54% B) Like person not policies 30 C) Like policies not person 2 D) Not policies not person 8 DK/NA 6
72% 16 2 3 7
40% 41 2 12 6
57% 28 3 6 7
54% 30 3 8 5
54% 29 1 7 8
TREND: Which one of the following statements comes closest to the way you feel about Jodi Rell - A) I like Jodi Rell as a person and I also like most of her policies, B) I like Jodi Rell as a person but I don't like most of her policies, C) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person but I DO like most of her policies, D) I don't like Jodi Rell as a person and I also don't like most of her policies. Jul 22 2009 A) Like person and policies 54 B) Like person not policies 30 C) Like policies not person 2 D) Not policies not person 8 DK/NA 6
Jul 1 2008
May 9 2007
53 28 2 7 10
62 23 2 5 8
6
26. What do you think is the most important problem facing Connecticut today? Tot Economy Total Economy general Unemployment/Jobs Cost of living Business leaving/ Outsourcing Economy other
45% 10 30 2
Budget Total Budget general Budget cuts/Cuts in services Budget deficits Gov too big/Gov spending Lack of/Late budget Budget priorities
21% 8
Taxes Total Taxes general Property tax Income Tax Taxes other
12% 8 2 1 1
2 1
2 6 2 1 2
Healthcare costs/Ins/HMO's
5%
Education Total Education general Funding education Education other
3% 1 1 1
Crime/Violence general Housing General Transportation general Politicians General
1 1 1 1
Other DK/NA
3 4
TREND: What do you think is the most important problem facing Connecticut today? (additional trend points available on request)
Budget/Spending Total Crime Total Economy Total Education Total Energy costs Total Healthcare Total Housing Total Immigration Politicians/Campaigns Tot Taxes Total Transportation/DMV Total Other DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Dec 17 2008
May 9 2007
Jun 8 2006
May 2 2006
Feb 16 2006
21% 1 45 3 5 1 1 12 1 3 4
6% 1 59 5 1 3 1 2 14 2 2 3
1 1 22 8 5 8 2 1 29 4 2 6
2% 8 19 9 7 3 2 1 21 6 4 7
1% 3 22 7 15 3 2 2 20 8 4 5
2% 4 27 10 1 4 3 22 7 4 7
7
27. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling taxes?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
47% 43 10
62% 29 9
33% 55 11
51% 39 11
50% 43 7
44% 43 13
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling - taxes?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Apr 6 2005
47 43 10
40 37 23
28. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the job situation in Connecticut?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
42% 43 15
59% 26 15
35% 52 13
41% 43 16
44% 43 13
41% 42 17
29. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the state budget?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
50% 42 8
67% 26 7
35% 56 9
55% 37 8
53% 40 7
48% 43 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling - the state budget? (*Governor Rell)
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Feb 10 2009
Apr 6 2005
Feb 18 2005*
50 42 8
66 22 13
54 20 26
51 29 20
30. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in the state legislature are handling the state budget?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
29% 56 14
9% 84 6
49% 34 17
24% 61 15
27% 62 11
31% 52 17
8
31. Would you say that Jodi Rell is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
84% 11 5
91% 6 4
80% 13 6
86% 11 4
85% 13 2
82% 10 7
TREND: Would you say that Jodi Rell is honest and trustworthy or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Jan 12 2006
Jul 27 2005
Jan 13 2005
84 11 5
83 7 11
87 5 8
82 3 14
32. Would you say that Jodi Rell has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
76% 21 3
82% 15 3
69% 27 4
80% 17 3
74% 24 3
79% 18 4
TREND: Would you say that Jodi Rell has strong leadership qualities or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Jul 27 2005
Jan 13 2005
76 21 3
82 11 7
79 7 14
33. Would you say that Jodi Rell shares your views on issues that you care about or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
53% 37 10
73% 20 7
39% 54 8
55% 31 14
54% 36 10
52% 37 10
TREND: Would you say that Jodi Rell shares your views on issues that you care about or not? Jul 22 Jul 27 Jan 13 2009 2005 2005 Yes No DK/NA
53 37 10
64 21 15
60 15 25
45. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the economy?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
54% 35 11
67% 24 9
43% 45 12
56% 32 12
56% 34 11
53% 35 12
9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jodi Rell is handling the economy?
Approve Disapprove DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Mar 10 2009
Feb 10 2009
54 35 11
68 24 8
67 23 10
46. Do you think Governor Rell's policies have helped Connecticut's economy, hurt Connecticut's economy, or haven't made a difference?
Helped Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
28% 18 46 7
37% 13 44 6
20% 25 48 7
29% 15 47 8
29% 18 45 7
27% 19 47 7
47. Looking forward, do you think Governor Rell's policies will help Connecticut's economy, will hurt Connecticut's economy, or won't make a difference?
Will Help Will Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
40% 19 33 8
57% 14 23 6
30% 28 33 9
42% 15 35 7
42% 19 32 7
39% 20 33 8
48. Do you think Governor Rell's policies have helped your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or haven't made a difference?
Helped Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
7% 18 73 2
12% 13 73 2
3% 22 73 2
8% 16 73 3
8% 19 70 3
6% 17 75 2
49. Looking forward, do you think Governor Rell's policies will help your personal financial situation, will hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?
Will Help Will Hurt No difference DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
20% 21 52 7
30% 12 51 6
16% 25 53 6
20% 20 52 8
23% 19 52 6
18% 22 53 7
10
64. Connecticut has not had a budget since July first, the start of the fiscal year. Do you think that the state's failure to pass a budget is a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem or not a problem at all? Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Very serious 52% Smwht serious 36 Not too serious 8 Not a problem at all 2 DK/NA 2
53% 33 11 2 2
50% 39 9 1 1
54% 35 7 1 2
52% 32 11 4 2
52% 39 6 1 1
TREND: Connecticut has not had a budget since July first, the start of the fiscal year. Do you think that the state's failure to pass a budget is a very serious problem, a somewhat serious problem, a not too serious problem, or not a problem at all?
Very serious Smwht serious Not very serious Not serious at all DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Jul 31 2003
52 36 8 2 2
58 34 5 2 2
65. Who do you think is most to blame for the state's failure to pass a budget – Governor Rell, the Republicans in the state legislature, or the Democrats in the state legislature?
Governor Rell Republicans in leg Democrats in leg BLAME ALL(VOL) DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
16% 14 29 26 14
4% 1 68 21 7
25% 31 9 18 16
14% 8 28 34 15
16% 11 36 26 10
17% 17 23 27 17
66. To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
Raising taxes Cutting services DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
30% 60 10
8% 82 10
51% 41 9
26% 64 10
25% 68 7
35% 54 12
TREND: To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?
Raising taxes Cutting services DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Feb 10 2009
Mar 13 2003
30 60 10
23 67 10
38 46 16
11
67. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose raising the income tax for individuals earning more than $265,000 annually and for couples earning more than $500,000 annually?
Support Oppose DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
71% 27 2
40% 57 3
90% 9 1
71% 26 3
65% 33 2
75% 22 3
68. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose raising taxes on corporations? Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Support Oppose DK/NA
51% 45 4
26% 70 4
70% 26 5
50% 46 4
43% 55 2
58% 36 6
69. To help balance the state budget, would you support or oppose raising taxes on cigarettes an additional 75 cents a pack?
Support Oppose DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
72% 26 2
64% 34 3
84% 15 1
68% 29 3
65% 33 2
78% 20 2
70. Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
48% 45 7
31% 64 5
65% 28 7
44% 49 7
47% 48 5
48% 43 8
TREND: Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?
Yes No DK/NA
Jul 22 2009
Mar 10 2009
48 45 7
32 63 5
71. Some people say that raising the state income tax rate on wealthier residents will lead them to move out of Connecticut. Do you agree or disagree?
Agree Disagree DK/NA
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
42% 55 4
67% 31 3
21% 73 6
45% 52 3
45% 52 3
39% 57 4
12
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