THE DAILY BRIEF 2385 Executive Center Drive, Suite 400 • Boca Raton, Florida 33431 Phone: (561) 922-5266 • Fax: (561) 623-6235 www.prismtradingschool.com
Tuesday
12.01.2009
CURRENT MARKET SENTIMENT
It is back to business on The Street! The indices marched to 10346(Dow) and 1096(S&P) as Dubai’s effect waned. The Street has refocused its attention internally with a positive yearly close. Having taken the weekly
pivot, the indices are poised to make a go at 10500 for the third time. With a positive ISM Mfg Index expected, and short covering, the target within reach between the next two days.
PRISM CALL
The futures are pointing to a positive opening as the market brushed off the Dubai contagion effect. There has been limited selling pressure hence buying on dips is the best strategy. Be aware Market sentiment is positive despite questionable economic fundamentals.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
INDU & SPUZ TECHNICALS
TIME
INDICATOR
RANGE
EXPECTATION
PRIOR
10:00 am 10:00 am 10:00 am 10:00 am 10:00 am
ISM Manufacturing Pending Home Sales MoM ISM Prices Paid Construction Spending MoM Pending Home Sales YoY Total Vehicle Sales
53.5 to 56.2 -5.0% to 6.5% 60.0 to 67.0 -2.8% to 0.5% --
54.8
55.7
-1.0%
6.1%
65.0
65.0
-0.5%
0.8%
Domestic Vehicle Sales
10.10M to 11.10M 7.60M to 8.60M
ACTUAL
INDICES INDU (DOW) SPUZ (S&P)
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
10233 10262
10324
10387
10425
1082
1093
1102
1104
1086
19.8% 10.50M
10.45M
7.80M
7.94M
Page |1 RISK DISCLAIMER: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading equities. Trading is not for every investor and only risk capital should be used. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Prism Trading School, LLC (“Prism”) and all individuals affiliated with Prism assume no responsibilities for your trading and investment results. The indicators, strategies, articles and all other features are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Any person who chooses to use this information as a basis for their trading assumes all the liability and risk for themselves and hereby and absolutely agrees to indemnify and hold harmless Prism, its principals, agents and employees. All of the material contained herein is believed to be correct, however, Prism will not be held responsible for accidental oversights, typos or incorrect information from sources that generate fundamental and technical information. Prism does not warrant the completeness or accuracy of such information, and does not warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of Prism materials is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness of the information. You must assess the risk of any trade and make your own independent decisions regarding any securities mentioned herein. Prism affiliates may have a position or effect transactions in the securities described herein (or options thereon) and/or otherwise employ trading strategies that may be consistent or inconsistent with the provided strategies.
FOREIGN MARKETS
NEWS
MASI Masimo receives FDA clearance for Masimo Rainbow SET Acoustic Monitoring (26.36 )
%
MARKET
PRICE
FTSE
5278.92
88.24
1.7
DAX
5731.64
105.69
1.88
HANG SENG
22113.15
291.65
1.34
NIKKEI
9572.2
226.65
2.43
CHINA
3235.363
40.062
1.25
WEAK
IBM
AA
CAT
KFT
JPM
MCD
COMMODITY
OIL
GOLD
AXP
Cutting jobless will take time, White House's Summers says Reuters.com
COMMODITY PRICES
DOW STOCKS TO WATCH STRONG
ENDP Endo Pharm tgt upped to $24 at Wedbush ahead of expected favorable Aveed outcome before tomorrow's PDUFA date (22.03 )
PRICE
77.95
0.67
1192.7
PGN Progress Energy staff recommendation viewed negatively – KeyBanc CP Canadian Pacific makes voluntary prepayment to Canadian defined benefit pension plan (48.46 )
10.40
UTX
UK manufacturing activity slips back – BBC UPGRADES & DOWNGRADES
ADBE Adobe Systems initiated with a Hold at JMP Securities; tgt $46 (35.08 )
STOCKS UPGRADED COMPANY
BROKERAGE FIRM
RATINGS CHANGE
Limited (LTD)
Soleil
Sell » Hold
$15.50
BostonPrivate Fin (BPFH)
Sun Trust Rbsn Humphrey
Neutral » Buy
$6.50
Cabot (CBT)
KeyBanc Capital Mkts
Hold » Buy
$29
Kinross Gold (KGC)
JP Morgan
Neutral » Overweight
$24
BB&T Corp (BBT)
Citigroup
Hold » Buy
Fifth Third (FITB)
Citigroup
Hold » Buy
ABT Abbott Labs removed from Conviction Buy list at Goldman; keeps Buy rating- Reuters (54.49 )
Watsco (WSO)
Piper Jaffray
Underweight » Neutral
$50 » $51
TGT Credit Suisse previews mall anchors/mass merchant November sales; favors TGT, COST, and FDO
PRICE
TARGET
STOCKS DOWNGRADED COMPANY
BROKERAGE FIRM
RATINGS CHANGE
NuVasive (NUVA)
Brean Murray
Buy » Hold
NuVasive (NUVA)
JMP Securities
Mkt Outperform » Mkt Perform
Netflix (NFLX)
Merriman
Buy » Neutral
PRICE
Page |2 www.prismtradingschool.com
TARGET
LLY Eli Lilly removed from Conviction Sell list at Goldman; keeps Sell rating- Reuters (36.73 )
'Cyber Monday' sales appear strong – WSJ
EARNINGS OVTI OmniVision beats by $0.11, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS in-line, revs below consensus (13.96 +0.55) U.S. Chain store sales declined 0.12% in Nov 28 week vs 0.0% in prior week, according to ICSC/Goldman Sachs UTI Universal Technical Institute beats by $0.13, beats on revs (18.89 ) LDR Landauer, Inc. reports EPS in-line, beats on revs (56.88 ) WLP WellPoint issues updated guidance following the completion of NextRx sale to ESRX (54.03 ) Co issues inline guidance for FY09 (Dec), sees EPS of $5.86-5.92, excluding $3.54 net in non-recurring items, vs. $5.88 First Call consensus; previous guidance was for EPS of $5.06-5.12. COF Capital One: U.S. Treasury says starts secondary public offering of about 12.7 mln warrants to buy common stock of Capital One Financial - Reuters (38.36 )
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Symbol
S7
S6
S5
S4
S3
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
R6
R7
1087.55
1088.84
1093.04
1097.24
1098.54
1099.83
1104.03
1108.23
1110.82
1115.02
Sectors SPX
1071.06 1075.26 1077.85 1082.05 1086.25
INDU
10122.06 10160.66 10184.51 10223.11 10261.71 10273.63 10285.51 10324.16 10362.81 10374.68 10386.61 10425.21 10463.81 10487.66 10526.26
NDX
1723.08 1730.72 1735.43 1743.07 1750.71
1753.07
XBD
108.44 41.02 3809.02 658.92 182.36 484.80 758.83 389.71 301.70 385.17
111.78 112.04 112.90 113.75 114.01 114.27 115.13 115.98 116.50 117.36 43.27 43.45 44.02 44.59 44.77 44.95 45.52 46.09 46.45 47.02 3900.42 3907.57 3930.88 3954.19 3961.35 3968.53 3991.81 4015.09 4029.46 4052.74 677.26 678.70 683.38 688.05 689.49 690.93 695.61 700.28 703.16 707.84 188.17 188.62 190.10 191.58 192.04 192.49 193.97 195.45 196.36 197.84 497.68 498.69 501.98 505.26 506.27 507.29 510.57 513.85 515.88 519.16 775.01 776.28 780.41 784.53 785.80 787.07 791.20 795.32 797.86 801.99 395.71 396.18 397.71 399.24 399.71 400.18 401.71 403.23 404.18 405.71 305.14 305.40 306.28 307.16 307.43 307.70 308.57 309.44 309.99 310.86 397.61 398.58 401.75 404.92 405.90 406.88 410.04 413.21 415.17 418.33
BKX TRAN OIX OSX XNG CYC UTY DRG RLX
109.29 41.59 3832.30 663.59 183.84 488.08 762.95 391.23 302.57 388.34
109.81 41.95 3846.67 666.47 184.75 490.11 765.49 392.18 303.12 390.30
110.67 42.52 3869.95 671.15 186.23 493.39 769.62 393.71 303.99 393.46
111.52 43.09 3893.23 675.82 187.71 496.67 773.74 395.23 304.86 396.63
1755.41
1763.06
1770.71
1773.06
1775.41
1783.05
1790.69
1795.40
1803.04
Tradeables SPY DIA QQQQ QLD IWM OIH XLE FAZ FAS SRS SDS USO SKF
107.36 107.81 108.09 108.54 108.99 101.28 101.68 101.92 102.31 102.71 42.41 42.60 42.73 42.92 43.11 50.99 51.45 51.74 52.21 52.68 54.95 55.48 55.81 56.34 56.87 112.66 113.65 114.26 115.25 116.24 54.90 55.27 55.50 55.87 56.24 17.05 17.62 17.96 18.53 19.10 64.28 66.14 67.29 69.15 71.01 7.23 7.56 7.76 8.09 8.42 35.20 35.49 35.67 35.96 36.25 36.07 36.61 36.95 37.50 38.04 22.31 22.78 23.07 23.55 24.02
109.13 102.83 43.18 52.83 57.04 116.55 56.35 19.27 71.59 8.52 36.34 38.21 24.17
109.27 102.95 43.23 52.97 57.20 116.85 56.47 19.44 72.16 8.62 36.43 38.38 24.31
109.72 103.34 43.43 53.44 57.73 117.84 56.84 20.01 74.02 8.95 36.72 38.93 24.79
110.17 103.74 43.63 53.91 58.27 118.83 57.21 20.58 75.88 9.28 37.01 39.47 25.26
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110.31 103.86 43.69 54.06 58.43 119.14 57.32 20.75 76.46 9.38 37.10 39.64 25.41
110.45 103.98 43.75 54.20 58.59 119.44 57.44 20.92 77.03 9.48 37.19 39.81 25.55
110.90 104.37 43.94 54.67 59.12 120.43 57.81 21.49 78.89 9.81 37.48 40.36 26.03
111.35 104.77 44.13 55.14 59.65 121.42 58.18 22.06 80.75 10.14 37.77 40.90 26.50
111.63 105.01 44.26 55.43 59.98 122.03 58.41 22.40 81.90 10.34 37.95 41.24 26.79
112.08 105.40 44.45 55.90 60.51 123.02 58.78 22.97 83.76 10.67 38.24 41.79 27.27