alpha-0.1 alpha-0.2 alpha-0.3 semana demanda real pronostico desviacion absoluta pronostico desviacion absoluta pronostico 7 85 85 0 85 0 85 8 102 85 17 85 17 85 9 110 86.7 23.3 88.4 21.6 90.1 10 90 89.03 0.97 92.72 2.72 96.07 11 105 89.127 15.873 92.176 12.824 94.249 12 45 90.7143 45.7143 94.7408 49.7408 97.4743 13 45 86.14287 41.14287 84.79264 39.79264 81.73201 14 120 82.028583 37.971417 76.834112 43.165888 70.712407 15 80 85.8257247 5.8257247 85.4672896 5.4672896 85.4986849 16 95 85.2431522 9.75684777 84.3738317 10.62616832 83.8490794 17 100 86.218837 13.781162993 86.4990653 13.500934656 87.1943556
140 120 100 80
demanda real alpha-0.1 alpha-0.2 alpha-0.3
60 40 20 0 7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
alpha-0.3 desviacion absoluta 0 17 19.9 6.07 10.751 52.4743 36.73201 49.287593 5.4986849 11.15092057 12.805644399