Projections Qc Finales
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Projection finales avec sondages Crop et LégerMarketing Grande région de Montréal plq08 pq08 Argenteuil 51.08 28.30 Beauharnois 37.18 44.39 Berthier 29.93 37.68 Bertrand 37.47 40.10 Blainville 31.75 36.35 Borduas 34.61 42.27 Brome-Missisquoi 53.45 22.49 Chambly 36.95 31.46 Chateauteauguay 50.91 30.00 Chomedey 69.74 17.24 Deux-Montagnes 36.87 35.98 Fabre 48.22 29.28 Groulx 40.20 31.52 Huntingdon 45.06 25.09 Iberville 37.54 29.76 Joliette 32.89 38.04 La Pinière 64.54 19.82 La Prairie 42.06 33.88 Labelle 35.47 48.97 Laporte 54.62 27.58 L'Assomption 32.19 36.84 Laval-des-Rapides 47.75 32.65 Marguerite-D'Youville 40.20 33.80 Marie-Victorin 34.30 43.15 Masson 26.50 38.94 Mille-îles 52.38 29.65 Mirabel 28.56 37.00 Prévost 32.11 40.43 Richelieu 37.23 41.36 Rousseau 27.82 45.13 Saint-Hyacinthe 38.82 34.98 Saint-Jean 37.77 31.92 Shefford 40.75 25.94 Soulanges 49.60 28.95 Taillon 35.80 38.47 Terrebonne 28.57 39.35 Vachon 37.57 37.84 Vaudreuil 58.01 25.80 Verchères 26.57 44.57 Vimont 49.39 29.53 Montréal Acadie Anjou Bourassa-Sauv‚
71.54 52.06 61.33
17.83 29.28 24.43
adq08 8.83 8.52 21.43 9.47 21.03 10.75 10.71 18.11 9.12 2.71 15.62 11.16 16.63 22.35 21.42 16.26 3.72 13.35 4.31 2.99 18.38 7.07 16.25 7.80 23.02 6.72 23.62 18.49 10.70 16.94 14.91 21.41 21.53 10.35 10.98 20.45 13.38 4.29 16.50 10.24
qs08 3.07 2.70 3.68 4.20 2.71 3.80 3.76 4.15 3.20 2.84 2.98 2.91 3.16 3.02 3.10 5.51 3.27 2.73 3.77 4.80 3.96 4.31 5.64 6.11 3.30 3.70 2.60 4.80 3.45 3.07 3.64 4.53 4.22 2.27 5.70 3.57 3.10 2.76 3.92 2.91
6.55 15.23 12.62
5.06 4.85 4.60
vert08 majorité 5.54 22.79 4.16 7.21 3.59 7.76 5.65 2.64 4.46 4.61 5.41 7.66 6.29 30.96 5.74 5.49 3.60 20.91 4.48 52.50 5.09 0.89 5.13 18.95 4.97 8.68 0.62 19.98 4.41 7.78 3.87 5.15 5.65 44.73 4.61 8.17 4.69 13.51 7.13 27.05 5.06 4.65 5.18 15.11 0.62 6.40 5.66 8.85 4.47 12.44 4.48 22.73 4.40 8.43 0.62 8.32 4.09 4.13 3.60 17.31 4.22 3.84 0.62 5.85 3.78 14.80 5.57 20.65 5.87 2.66 4.42 10.78 4.78 0.27 6.15 32.20 5.04 18.00 4.69 19.86
6.34 5.58 4.08
53.71 22.78 36.90
Bourget Crémazie D'Arcy-McGee Gouin Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Jacques-Cartier Jeanne-Mance-Viger LaFontaine Laurier-Dorion Marguerite-Bourgeoys Marquette Mercier Mont-Royal Nelligan Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Outremont Pointe-aux-Trembles Robert-Baldwin Rosemont Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques Saint-Henri-Sainte-Anne Saint-Laurent Verdun Viau Westmount-Saint-Louis
32.68 45.91 96.81 28.12 23.02 82.55 80.06 74.03 50.76 68.76 58.99 29.48 82.79 75.45 73.14 58.19 27.92 86.91 37.28 33.52 49.23 79.98 52.04 62.99 79.66
44.11 38.41 3.70 39.93 56.75 4.76 12.99 15.32 38.91 17.27 22.13 35.68 10.56 9.62 11.47 25.26 50.76 5.91 41.29 44.08 31.77 12.62 31.44 23.22 9.09
15.23 8.23 0.00 3.83 7.85 4.56 7.11 10.32 1.67 11.10 12.82 0.55 0.43 10.21 0.00 1.01 18.82 3.03 11.13 2.88 9.73 3.59 9.88 8.79 0.00
5.50 7.90 2.68 28.89 11.44 2.67 3.25 3.28 9.64 3.64 4.26 32.38 4.78 2.71 6.10 10.78 3.84 2.88 11.04 16.11 8.07 4.13 6.19 6.28 5.38
9.63 6.99 8.13 7.17 8.63 12.78 3.79 4.14 6.82 6.31 8.87 10.04 9.00 9.07 17.67 12.51 5.65 8.65 6.64 11.29 8.52 7.10 7.74 6.00 13.51
11.42 7.50 93.11 11.05 33.73 77.80 67.07 58.71 11.85 51.49 36.86 3.30 72.24 65.24 61.66 32.93 22.84 81.00 4.00 10.56 17.46 67.35 20.60 39.77 70.58
Mauricie Arthabaska Champlain Drummond Laviolette Maskinongé Nicolet-Yamaska Richmond Saint-Maurice Trois-Rivières
40.10 30.73 33.43 51.20 38.53 35.22 52.68 34.72 38.18
24.13 33.62 35.87 29.95 29.69 31.28 23.10 36.31 30.75
24.04 26.98 21.04 9.94 22.21 23.56 13.07 20.46 19.53
4.14 3.97 5.29 2.88 2.86 5.40 3.85 4.16 4.37
3.21 0.23 0.23 2.35 2.44 0.23 3.43 0.23 3.06
15.97 2.89 2.44 21.25 8.85 3.94 29.59 1.59 7.42
Estrie Johnson Mégantic-Compton Orford Saint-François Sherbrooke
34.03 45.12 45.43 50.23 48.99
37.20 30.36 29.80 30.99 34.56
22.75 18.85 16.82 10.57 4.61
3.29 3.09 4.53 4.30 7.44
4.81 4.78 5.73 6.53 7.37
3.16 14.75 15.63 19.24 14.44
Grande région de Québec Beauce-Nord Beauce-Sud
36.38 40.30
9.64 12.44
44.77 38.83
1.69 3.03
2.21 0.40
8.39 1.47
Bellechasse Charlesbourg Charlevoix Chauveau Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Frontenac Jean-Lesage Jean-Talon La Peltrie Lévis Lotbinière Louis-Hébert Montmagny-L'Islet Montmorency Portneuf Taschereau Vanier
44.66 37.30 37.04 32.09 27.14 51.70 39.66 52.77 37.05 35.18 31.61 45.06 48.68 32.55 42.39 31.01 34.08
15.53 27.50 41.13 19.16 20.86 23.22 25.85 33.26 19.36 28.54 18.75 27.88 17.39 22.90 19.08 40.63 21.59
30.49 25.33 12.75 37.57 40.90 16.71 22.23 0.53 33.04 26.29 41.20 14.73 25.32 33.92 27.89 9.59 33.55
2.29 2.67 2.74 2.58 2.62 2.07 4.24 5.19 2.42 2.60 2.99 3.83 1.85 2.48 2.26 9.20 2.70
2.46 2.97 2.81 3.74 3.47 2.46 3.95 5.30 3.48 3.13 0.40 4.80 2.42 3.49 3.97 6.31 3.41
14.17 9.79 4.08 5.48 13.76 28.48 13.82 19.51 4.02 6.64 9.59 17.17 23.36 1.37 14.49 9.62 0.53
Nord du Québec Abitibi-Est Abitibi-Ouest Chicoutimi Dubuc Jonquière Lac-Saint-Jean Roberval Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue Ungava
39.87 28.60 42.53 31.33 40.99 34.05 39.87 38.01 37.86
37.99 49.26 40.38 37.85 39.80 47.19 42.26 33.13 41.90
18.75 20.00 13.27 26.85 16.00 17.17 16.17 22.49 17.13
5.95 4.71 4.22 3.76 3.62 2.69 4.39 8.74 5.78
0.17 0.17 2.60 2.53 2.45 1.74 0.17 0.17 0.17
1.88 20.66 2.15 6.53 1.20 13.14 2.39 4.87 4.04
Est du Québec Bonaventure Duplessis Gaspé Kamouraska-Témiscouata les-de-la-Madeleine Matane Matapédia René-Lévesque Rimouski Rivière-du-Loup
59.41 33.10 43.35 45.63 38.70 43.87 30.03 20.63 27.01 33.66
30.12 46.18 42.18 19.43 62.69 40.21 45.07 53.60 41.77 10.33
5.49 15.04 10.21 29.98 0.00 13.18 19.57 21.58 22.79 51.78
6.62 4.11 5.78 3.15 0.91 2.81 3.73 2.83 7.22 0.91
0.20 3.06 0.20 2.39 2.03 1.46 2.87 2.59 2.35 2.78
29.30 13.08 1.17 15.65 24.00 3.66 15.04 32.02 14.77 18.12
Outaouais Chapleau Gatineau Hull Papineau Pontiac
60.34 60.39 57.72 53.98 74.56
22.32 24.29 24.34 27.45 12.63
13.55 9.99 5.68 14.83 4.20
3.20 3.83 9.10 3.84 3.73
6.96 8.09 10.04 6.26 11.67
38.02 36.10 33.38 26.53 61.93
Luttes serrées % luttes serrées gagnées
12 44.4%
15 62.5%
1 25.0%
0 0
0 0
71.54 52.06 61.33
17.83 29.28 24.43
adq08 8.83 8.52 21.43 9.47 21.03 10.75 10.71 18.11 9.12 2.71 15.62 11.16 16.63 22.35 21.42 16.26 3.72 13.35 4.31 2.99 18.38 7.07 16.25 7.80 23.02 6.72 23.62 18.49 10.70 16.94 14.91 21.41 21.53 10.35 10.98 20.45 13.38 4.29 16.50 10.24
qs08 3.07 2.70 3.68 4.20 2.71 3.80 3.76 4.15 3.20 2.84 2.98 2.91 3.16 3.02 3.10 5.51 3.27 2.73 3.77 4.80 3.96 4.31 5.64 6.11 3.30 3.70 2.60 4.80 3.45 3.07 3.64 4.53 4.22 2.27 5.70 3.57 3.10 2.76 3.92 2.91
6.55 15.23 12.62
5.06 4.85 4.60
vert08 majorité 5.54 22.79 4.16 7.21 3.59 7.76 5.65 2.64 4.46 4.61 5.41 7.66 6.29 30.96 5.74 5.49 3.60 20.91 4.48 52.50 5.09 0.89 5.13 18.95 4.97 8.68 0.62 19.98 4.41 7.78 3.87 5.15 5.65 44.73 4.61 8.17 4.69 13.51 7.13 27.05 5.06 4.65 5.18 15.11 0.62 6.40 5.66 8.85 4.47 12.44 4.48 22.73 4.40 8.43 0.62 8.32 4.09 4.13 3.60 17.31 4.22 3.84 0.62 5.85 3.78 14.80 5.57 20.65 5.87 2.66 4.42 10.78 4.78 0.27 6.15 32.20 5.04 18.00 4.69 19.86
6.34 5.58 4.08
53.71 22.78 36.90
Bourget Crémazie D'Arcy-McGee Gouin Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Jacques-Cartier Jeanne-Mance-Viger LaFontaine Laurier-Dorion Marguerite-Bourgeoys Marquette Mercier Mont-Royal Nelligan Notre-Dame-de-Grâce Outremont Pointe-aux-Trembles Robert-Baldwin Rosemont Sainte-Marie-Saint-Jacques Saint-Henri-Sainte-Anne Saint-Laurent Verdun Viau Westmount-Saint-Louis
32.68 45.91 96.81 28.12 23.02 82.55 80.06 74.03 50.76 68.76 58.99 29.48 82.79 75.45 73.14 58.19 27.92 86.91 37.28 33.52 49.23 79.98 52.04 62.99 79.66
44.11 38.41 3.70 39.93 56.75 4.76 12.99 15.32 38.91 17.27 22.13 35.68 10.56 9.62 11.47 25.26 50.76 5.91 41.29 44.08 31.77 12.62 31.44 23.22 9.09
15.23 8.23 0.00 3.83 7.85 4.56 7.11 10.32 1.67 11.10 12.82 0.55 0.43 10.21 0.00 1.01 18.82 3.03 11.13 2.88 9.73 3.59 9.88 8.79 0.00
5.50 7.90 2.68 28.89 11.44 2.67 3.25 3.28 9.64 3.64 4.26 32.38 4.78 2.71 6.10 10.78 3.84 2.88 11.04 16.11 8.07 4.13 6.19 6.28 5.38
9.63 6.99 8.13 7.17 8.63 12.78 3.79 4.14 6.82 6.31 8.87 10.04 9.00 9.07 17.67 12.51 5.65 8.65 6.64 11.29 8.52 7.10 7.74 6.00 13.51
11.42 7.50 93.11 11.05 33.73 77.80 67.07 58.71 11.85 51.49 36.86 3.30 72.24 65.24 61.66 32.93 22.84 81.00 4.00 10.56 17.46 67.35 20.60 39.77 70.58
Mauricie Arthabaska Champlain Drummond Laviolette Maskinongé Nicolet-Yamaska Richmond Saint-Maurice Trois-Rivières
40.10 30.73 33.43 51.20 38.53 35.22 52.68 34.72 38.18
24.13 33.62 35.87 29.95 29.69 31.28 23.10 36.31 30.75
24.04 26.98 21.04 9.94 22.21 23.56 13.07 20.46 19.53
4.14 3.97 5.29 2.88 2.86 5.40 3.85 4.16 4.37
3.21 0.23 0.23 2.35 2.44 0.23 3.43 0.23 3.06
15.97 2.89 2.44 21.25 8.85 3.94 29.59 1.59 7.42
Estrie Johnson Mégantic-Compton Orford Saint-François Sherbrooke
34.03 45.12 45.43 50.23 48.99
37.20 30.36 29.80 30.99 34.56
22.75 18.85 16.82 10.57 4.61
3.29 3.09 4.53 4.30 7.44
4.81 4.78 5.73 6.53 7.37
3.16 14.75 15.63 19.24 14.44
Grande région de Québec Beauce-Nord Beauce-Sud
36.38 40.30
9.64 12.44
44.77 38.83
1.69 3.03
2.21 0.40
8.39 1.47
Bellechasse Charlesbourg Charlevoix Chauveau Chutes-de-la-Chaudière Frontenac Jean-Lesage Jean-Talon La Peltrie Lévis Lotbinière Louis-Hébert Montmagny-L'Islet Montmorency Portneuf Taschereau Vanier
44.66 37.30 37.04 32.09 27.14 51.70 39.66 52.77 37.05 35.18 31.61 45.06 48.68 32.55 42.39 31.01 34.08
15.53 27.50 41.13 19.16 20.86 23.22 25.85 33.26 19.36 28.54 18.75 27.88 17.39 22.90 19.08 40.63 21.59
30.49 25.33 12.75 37.57 40.90 16.71 22.23 0.53 33.04 26.29 41.20 14.73 25.32 33.92 27.89 9.59 33.55
2.29 2.67 2.74 2.58 2.62 2.07 4.24 5.19 2.42 2.60 2.99 3.83 1.85 2.48 2.26 9.20 2.70
2.46 2.97 2.81 3.74 3.47 2.46 3.95 5.30 3.48 3.13 0.40 4.80 2.42 3.49 3.97 6.31 3.41
14.17 9.79 4.08 5.48 13.76 28.48 13.82 19.51 4.02 6.64 9.59 17.17 23.36 1.37 14.49 9.62 0.53
Nord du Québec Abitibi-Est Abitibi-Ouest Chicoutimi Dubuc Jonquière Lac-Saint-Jean Roberval Rouyn-Noranda-Témiscamingue Ungava
39.87 28.60 42.53 31.33 40.99 34.05 39.87 38.01 37.86
37.99 49.26 40.38 37.85 39.80 47.19 42.26 33.13 41.90
18.75 20.00 13.27 26.85 16.00 17.17 16.17 22.49 17.13
5.95 4.71 4.22 3.76 3.62 2.69 4.39 8.74 5.78
0.17 0.17 2.60 2.53 2.45 1.74 0.17 0.17 0.17
1.88 20.66 2.15 6.53 1.20 13.14 2.39 4.87 4.04
Est du Québec Bonaventure Duplessis Gaspé Kamouraska-Témiscouata les-de-la-Madeleine Matane Matapédia René-Lévesque Rimouski Rivière-du-Loup
59.41 33.10 43.35 45.63 38.70 43.87 30.03 20.63 27.01 33.66
30.12 46.18 42.18 19.43 62.69 40.21 45.07 53.60 41.77 10.33
5.49 15.04 10.21 29.98 0.00 13.18 19.57 21.58 22.79 51.78
6.62 4.11 5.78 3.15 0.91 2.81 3.73 2.83 7.22 0.91
0.20 3.06 0.20 2.39 2.03 1.46 2.87 2.59 2.35 2.78
29.30 13.08 1.17 15.65 24.00 3.66 15.04 32.02 14.77 18.12
Outaouais Chapleau Gatineau Hull Papineau Pontiac
60.34 60.39 57.72 53.98 74.56
22.32 24.29 24.34 27.45 12.63
13.55 9.99 5.68 14.83 4.20
3.20 3.83 9.10 3.84 3.73
6.96 8.09 10.04 6.26 11.67
38.02 36.10 33.38 26.53 61.93
Luttes serrées % luttes serrées gagnées
12 44.4%
15 62.5%
1 25.0%
0 0
0 0
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