“NEW REGIONALISM” IN ASIA: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF EMERGING REGIONAL AND BILATERAL TRADING AGREEMENTS INVOLVING ASEAN, CHINA AND INDIA Rahul Sen
WHAT’S “NEW REGIONALISM”?
Resemblance of ongoing phenomenon of proliferation of bilateral and regional trading agreements in the Asia-Pacific, especially in the aftermath of the regional financial crisis.
INTRODUCTION
Rapid proliferation of wave of “new regionalism” among Asian economies over the past decade
More diverse in scope and coverage than traditional Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)
Phenomenal proliferation of bilateralism due to: Slow
pace of progress of multilateral trades negotiations in WTO Bilateral trade serves key diplomatic and security ends
INTRODUCTION
Agreements aimed at ‘deeper integration’ among trading partners – termed as Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs)
“Stumbling block” vs “building block”
Applying models of modern trade theory and similar modelling techniques to understand the phenomenon and its implications is challenging
OBJECTIVE OF PAPER
Provides a comparative analysis of the ongoing bilateral and regional initiatives involving ASEAN, China and India
Attempts to analyse the similarities and differences among ASEAN, China and India with respect to the negotiating framework, coverage of issues and depth of its commitments
KEY FINDINGS
Concerns from new regionalism Discriminatory Potential
against non-members
trade diversion
Inefficient
utilisation of scarce resources that could be devoted towards multilateral negotiations in WTO
Applicability
and consistency in negotiating framework of overlapping member countries
KEY FINDINGS
Perceived benefits from new regionalism Act
as catalyst in enhancing the pace of multilateral trade liberalisation
Facilitate
government to initiate domestic economic reforms
Member
countries are committed to maintaining peace and stability amongst themselves
KEY FINDINGS
Trade in Goods Exclusion
of few products from tariff reductions is insignificant
Non-tariff
barriers are progressively reduced and can only impose those permitted under the WTO
Rules
of Origins (RoOs) differ across different FTAs that could increase compliance costs for adhering to these RoOs
Application
of RTA safeguard measures as part of FTA
KEY FINDINGS
Trade in Goods Adhering
to WTO principles on trade remedies for most RTAs
Timelines
for negotiations and implementation vary significantly across BTAs
Trade Facilitation Facilitation
of trade flows through closer customs cooperation and mutual recognition of standards and conformity assessment
KEY FINDINGS
Trade in Services Allow
foreign service providers to supply service to it’s RTAs partner
Enhance
cooperation in services to improve efficiency and competitiveness
Diversify
the supply and distribution of supply
Mutual
recognition of qualification, certification and licensing requirements
E.g.
Singapore’s enforced RTAs with US and Australia
KEY FINDINGS
Mutual recognition of qualification & licensing requirements
e.g. S’pore’s enforced RTA with USA has provisions for recognising degrees from certain US Law Schools that would allow their graduates to practise in S’pore
Temporary Movement of Natural Person Stay
in partner countries extended
Government Procurement Private
business in one country to sell goods and services to governments to their RTAs partners
KEY FINDINGS
Investments
BTA objective is to create a liberal, facilitative, transparent & competitive investment regime
BTA investment negotiations focuses on: 1. Issues of market access 2. Treatment of foreign investments 3. Repatriation of profits 4. Expropriation & compensation 5. Investor protection 6. Harmonisation of business laws
KEY FINDINGS
Intellectual Property Protection Relevant
for countries with a huge emphasis on innovation and R&D in InfoComm Technology Should respect copyright rules & patent protection to maintain a competitive advantage E.g.
S’pore – USSFTA prevents piracy of copyrighted works over the Internet, criminalizing unauthorized reception & distribution of satellite signals & allowing all inventions to be patented
KEY FINDINGS
Competition Policy Prohibits
anti-competitive business practices to provide a level playing field for foreign investors Exchange of info reagrding any prevailing anticompetitive practices Periodic review of progress of competition policies are conducted E.g.. S’pore – USSFTA states that Govt Linked Companies (GLC) will be commerically run & the S’pore govt will not interfere with commercial decisions of GLCs (such as SingTel, SIA).
KEY FINDINGS
Dispute Resolution Mechanism Provision
for quick and efficient resolution of trade disputes in all agreements
Private
sector allowed a limited role to invoke dispute under investor-state dispute settlement in Singapore’s BTAs and TAFTA
Enforcement
is crucial for businesses to minimize risks from using such mechanism for bilateral dispute resolution
KEY FINDINGS
Broader Areas of Economic Cooperation Strengthening
bilateral economic cooperation in a diverse range of areas
Commitment
towards developing longer-term cooperative relationship, enhancing trust and confidence in each other
Significant
for long-term strategic and socio-economic relations among member countries
Basis
for deeper economic integration
KEY FINDINGS
Convergence or Divergence? Exhibit
wide differences in scope and coverage of trade liberalisation
Minimal
degree of commonality is observed in some of the broad issues covered in the RTAs/BTAs
Unlikely
for ASEAN to undertake common negotiating positions
Member
countries undertake important domestic and external sector reforms, but unlikely to be welfare enhancing in their own end unless concomitant unilateral liberalisation is also pursued
CONCLUSION
Increasing recognition among Asian policy-makers that greater economic coordination and cooperation is essential to manager globalisation challenges and to enhance its role in world affairs
Multilateralism is indispensable to a well-ordered, open and rational international trading system, and cannot be ignored at the expense of bilateralism to pursue global free trade
Pursual of unilateral liberalisation would be essential for developing countries to gainfully benefit from trade liberalisation at the bilateral and multilateral level