Pakista At Cross Road

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Pakistan at cross road Friday September 19, 2008 (1252 PST) [email protected]

The changing world order always demands every member state of world to change its foreign and domestic policy orientations finding innovatively the ways to secure its indigenous national interests. The world has been intermixed by globalization and the events are proclaimed by themselves. Powerful countries invested their interests by innovating long way forward, following the realpolitikal theory of Realism. With the change of millennium, international environment of relations and retaliations changed. Importantly, everyone could distinguish between `war on terror` conundrum and fight for `energy security`.

It was not later than September 2007 when in the library of my university I found a book, interesting giving very brief and to some extent abstract information on relations between Afghanistan and Pakistan. The history might not need to redress here when there was only vote against Pakistan`s UN membership and withdrawal of that vote was driven by proposal of dialogue by Pakistan on status of Tribal Areas and districts of Frontier and Balochistan province which were inherently the issue between India, Pakistan and Britain.

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The author of the book deliberately pronounces that strategically Pakistan stood more important than Afghanistan on the covet policy documents of US. Is it true today, No! This was true almost 50 years before. As Pakistan was only non-communist state in between regional powers: China; USSR; and to some extent India. The conflict failure between China and USSR and dissolution of later in December 1991 lead US to change its policy regarding Afghanistan and Pakistan. The establishment of SCO reuniting CIS states, Russia and China and predicting the regional economic and security integration which could encircle India and can extend to Middle East by the gateway of Iran, US found vey less options for its future outreach invested national interests based on energy security in the region. The regional political situation left Pakistan and India in a vacuum of cooperation due to Indian theology of superiority in the region and China Pakistan strategic confluence of common interests. US preserved the grounds of Afghanistan for its reach to regional invested outreach interests including to curb the oil and gas monopoly of Russia over the CIS region; to reduce options for Iran to disturb the balance of power in Middle East and to scrutinize the Chinese covet military and diplomatic prowess and more importantly to vanish the odds for Russia to be economically interdependent on these states after its dismissal from Eastern Europe. Russian exit is marked by last kick of anti ABM system in Poland and Czech Republic. Frankly speaking Pakistan did not well oversee the changing dynamics of regional situation and continue to struggle for the struggle of Taliban in Afghanistan in vain but what was alternative to that?

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