PRESENTED BY: ABIHA SYED AMNA ZAHID
Fixed
income or Interest rate options Four basic option strategies
Buying a call option on a bond Writing a call option on a bond Buying a put option on a bond Writing a put option on a bond
What
is call option? What is premium? Two important things about bond call options when interest rates rise when interest rates fall
This
is the second strategy There are two important things to notice when interest rates rise and bond prices
fall when interest rates fall and bond prices
rise
What
is put option? Two important things to notice here are:
when interest rates rise when interest rates fall
This
is the fourth strategy In this case again there are two important considerations: when interest rates rise and bond prices
fall when interest rates fall and bond prices
rise
Two
reasons: Economic reasons for not wring options Regulatory reasons
In
calculating the fair value of an option two models can be used Binomial model Black-Scholes Model
“The
value of the put option increases with the increase in the underlying variance of asses returns”
MATHEMETICAL
MODEL
ZERO
COUPON BOND HELD TILL MATURITY FACE VALUE $100 N = 2 YEARS PV = $ 80.45 R2 : P2 = 100/(1+R2)^2
Fearing
unexpected deposits withdrawal, the FI manager may be forced to liquidate and sell this two year bond before maturity Manager may have to sell the bond at the end of the first year R2 = 11.5% R2 = 10
0
R2 = 13.82% or 12.18%
1
2
P1 = 100/ 1+r1
@ 13.82% = $87.86 @ 12.18% = $89.41 EXPECTED RATE = 0.5(0.1382) + 0.5(0.1218) =13% EXPECTED PRICE = $88.5 VALUE OF PUT OPTION Max: (88.5 – 87.86, 0) = 0.64 Max: (88.5 – 89.14, 0) = 0 Worth: 0.5(0.64) + 0.5(0) = $ 0.32 P = $ 0.29 or 29 cents
Interest
rate increases to 14.82% instead of 13.82%
Max: P=
88.5 – 87.09, 0 = 1.41
64 cents
The
preferred method of hedging that they use is an option on an interest rate futures contract.
FIs
hedges by buying put options on futures
If
the interest rate rises and bond prices fall, the exercise price higher than the cost of bond
Profit
on future options may be made to offset the loss on the market value of bonds held directly in the FIs portfolio.
If
interest rates fall while bond prices increase
The
buyer of the future option will exercise the put, and losses on the futures put option are limited to the put premium.
Using Put Option by analyzing Macro hedging. Determine the optimal number of put options to buy to insulate the FI against moving rates. Use a put option position that generates profits to offset loss in net worth due to a rate shock. Change in P = (Np * change in p) (1) Change in P is total change in value of put position in T bonds Np is number of put options on T bond contracts to be purchased Change in p is change in dollar value for each face value T bond Change in p = dp/dB *dB/dR * Change in R/ 1+R (2) For put options, delta has a negative sign since value of put options fall when bond prices rise. dB/dR shows change in market value of bond, if interest
dB/B = - MD *dR
(3) It shows percentage change in bonds price for small change in rates is proportional to bonds Modified duration. Rearranging it: dB/dR = - MD * B (4) Rewrite eq 2 as: Change in p = [(-d) * (-MD) * B * change in R/1+R] (5) Where change in R/1+R is discounted shock to interest rates The change in Total Value of Put Option(change in P) is: Change in P = Np * [d * MD * B * change in R/1+R] (6) To hedge net worth exposure, we require profits to offset
FI bought one month T bill which is a sterling asset. FI liabilities are in dollars so it hedges the FX risk that pound sterling will depreciate over the coming years. Pound value less than the current exchange rate , LOSS to bank on its British T-bill investment when measured in dollar terms. E.g if pound depreciated from $1.64/1£ to $1.50/1£ , then assets would be worth 150 million instead of 164 million. To offset this exposure; banks buy 1-month put options on sterling at exercise price of $1.60/1£ , due to this when exchange rate falls to $1.50/1£ , the bank receives 160 million instead of 150 million. Number of put contracts to buy: Value of T-bill sterling asset/size of each contract
Options have a potential use in hedging Credit risk of an FI. In good economic states, loan portfolio would have low credit risk and small loan losses. In bad economic states, loan portfolio would suffer increased credit risk and losses. If there is strong correlation between movement in stock market index and economic states; selling index futures produces negative outcomes in very good economic states. So index options may offer better credit risk hedging choice. The put options reduces credit losses on loan portfolio and even produces net profit in bad economic states. If constructed correctly the hedged put option can produce a positive return in good economic states as well.