Nrl 2009 Telstra Premiership

NRL 2009 Telstra Premiership Form

Teams

Latest Match

P

Preliminary Finals W

L

Last Met

D

Win TAB Value ASAP % Odds Odds Margin

Ratings Trend 13-03-09

Preliminary Finals - 9:30pm Friday September 11, Etihad St - Sky Sport 2 LWLLWW Storm LLWWWW Eagles

W 30-0 v Warriors

24

14

9

1

16 - 20

60%

$1.85

$1.80

W 38-4 v Titans

24

14

10

0

23/8/09

60%

$1.90

$2.35

W by 5

Preliminary Finals -8:30pm Saturday September 12, Skilled Park - Sky Sport 2 LWWWWL Gold Coast

L 4-38 v Eagles

24

16

8

0

34 - 18

64%

$2.40

$1.95

LWWWWW Broncos

W 22-10 v Raiders

24

14

10

0

24/7/09

58%

$1.52

$2.10

W by 2

Preliminary Finals - 10:30pm Saturday September 12, ANZ St - Sky Sport 2 WWWWWL Bulldogs LLWWLW Knights

L 12-34 v Tigers

24

18

6

0

14 - 22

75%

$1.55

$2.10

W 35-0 v Panthers

24

13

11

0

31/5/09

54%

$2.35

$1.95

W by 2

Preliminary Finals - 6:00pm Sunday September 13, WIN Jubilee Oval - Sky Sport 2 WWLLLW Dragons WWWWWL Eels

W 37-0 v Eels

24

17

7

0

37 - 0

71%

$1.45

$1.60

L 0-37 v Dragons

24

12

11

1

5/9/09

50%

$2.60

$2.85

W by 13

Match Day Form

06-09-09 Both struck issues through the year. Manly more so. Both won 2 of their first 7. The season meetings are 1-1 and both ended it winning 15. Last year’s GF went 40-0 for the Eagles. This time, in spite of the Eagles massive trouncing of the Titans last week, you’d favour Storm. That match at Brookvale was never going to suit the Titans who were back footed from the off. You’d be careful not to read to much into it. That said, most big names are back and firing; Orford, Williams, Kite, Stewart. Similarly, Storm’s 30-0 lock out on the Warriors doesn’t mean much except that it was in Auckland and it was apparent they went out to keep things ticking over. Storm have the shorter turnaround, but more plan and stick to a keep it simple approach. Inglis looks back to peak and Slater is ready to make mincemeat of any flaws. Its Storm marginally. The Broncos turned their 0-56 v Raiders around last week. That previous match was their low ebb and from there they managed 5 straight to get here after going 1-7 mid-season. Thaiday, Hodges and Lockyer all look to be peaking but the ratings suggest they remain off their season best. That they’ve drawn the neighbours here helps. No matter what intensity the Titans took to Brookvale last week the 4-38 beating is hardly the platform for this. Still they re-grouped late in the match and that they had to trip to Sydney with nothing on the line means you might not be overly worried by it. They copped a serious injury to O’Dwyer but we know they lift at Skilled Park. They’re 12-1 at home. With Prince directing they’ve got the runners to hurt the Broncos early. Its close. You couldn’t have guessed it at season start but the injury to Kimmorley is the most significant of any through the season. He’s played outstanding yet modest ball to fit with the team ethic which has fuelled the Bulldog’s season. It may prove too much to cover. Although ranked about 4th or 5th throughout by the ‘ASAP Ratings’, they’re higher on the table, in fact second for weeks on end now. They were blasted off the park by the Tigers, starved of ball and unable to restrain Marshall and co, with the ‘minor champs’ tag to play for. Its not all bad. The Tigers would have given the finals a run had they made it. They’re in the top 5 by the ‘ratings’. The Knights resurgence under Stone continues. They shut the Panthers out of the last spot. De Gois was lost to injury but Gidley is in his best form since State of Origin, along with Mullen and MacDougall. They can sneak it. That they were able to stop the Eels momentum dead last week must favour the Dragons here. They came back from a couple of flat efforts including a slapping at the hands of Souths to break the flying team of the comp. They won the minor premiership in the process scoring 6 tries to nil based on a return to that incredible defence structure built way back by Bennett. Prior, the Eels were 7 straight. Little plan was apparent last week. They’ll need one here to deliver some space and ignite Hayne who

was shut down. The Dragons have been the top of the ‘ASAP Ratings’ since about round 4. You’d think they’d learn plenty from last week. They’ve also suffered lately by teams targeting Soward but he’ll be running the cutter here. Its difficult to see the Eels turning last week’s result on the same ground. Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage for today’s game. Meter Key: The RANKINGS - RATINGS - ODDS Ratingspoints Performance form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Ratings Last Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP TAB Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009. Rank Week Teams P W L D Streak For Agst Score Win Pts Pts Rank Ratings Odds

1 2

1 3

3 4 5

Dragons 24 17 7 Storm 24 14 9

0 1

W1 W2

548 505

329 348

23 21

71% 58%

0 0

38 33

1 4

24.5 22.3

$3.50 $5.50

2 5 4

Eels 24 12 11 1 Wst Tigers 24 12 12 0 Bulldogs 24 18 6 0

L1 W1 L1

476 558 575

473 483 428

20 23 24

50% 50% 75%

0 0 0

29 28 38

8 9 2

21 20.9 20.5

$11.00 n/a $6.00

6 7 8

7 9 6

Eagles 24 14 10 0 Knights 24 13 11 0 Gold Coast 24 16 8 0

W4 W1 W1

549 508 514

459 491 467

23 21 21

58% 54% 67%

0 0 0

32 30 36

5 7 3

20 17.9 17.4

$5.75 $25.00 $11.00

9 10

8 10

Broncos 24 14 10 0 Cowboys 24 11 13 0

W5 W1

511 558

566 468

21 23

58% 46%

0 0

32 26

6 12

17.3 17

$6.50 n/a

11 12

11 12

Raiders 23 9 14 0 Souths 24 11 12 1

W1 W2

469 566

486 549

20 24

39% 46%

0 0

22 27

13 10

17 15.4

n/a n/a

13 14 15

13 14 15

Panthers 24 11 12 1 NZ Warriors 24 7 15 2 Sharks 24 5 19 0

L2 L2 L10

509 377 359

589 565 568

21 16 15

46% 29% 21%

0 0 0

27 20 14

11 14 15

11.4 10.2 9.8

n/a n/a n/a

16

16

L5

382

681

16

21%

0

14

16

7.8

n/a

Roosters 24 5

19 0