NRL 2009 Telstra Premiership Form
Teams
Latest Match
P
Round Twenty Six W
L
D
Last Met
Win TAB Value ASAP % Odds Odds Margin
Ratings Trend 13-03-09
Round 26 - 9:35pm Friday September 4, WIN St - Sky Sport 2 WWWLLL Dragons WWWWWW Eels
L 6-41 v Souths
23
16
7
0
22 - 8
70%
$1.70
$1.90
W 48-6 v Panthers
23
12
10
1
10/4/09
52%
$2.05
$2.05
W by 4
Round 26 - 9:35pm Friday September 4, SCG - Sky Sport 3 (replay 11.30pm Sky Sport 2) WWWWLL Wests Tigers LWWWWW Bulldogs
L 24-36 v Titans
23 11 12
0
20 - 22
48% $2.60
$1.90
W 40-20 v Warriors
23 18
0
1/5/09
78% $1.45
$2.05
5
W by 2
Round 26 - 7:30pm Saturday September 5, Mt Smart St - Sky Sport 2 LDLLWL NZ Warriors WLWLLW Storm
L 20-40 v Bulldogs
23
7
W 38-4 v Roosters
23 13
14
2
14 - 14
30%
$3.00
$3.05
9
1
26/4/09
57%
$1.35
$1.50 W by 13
Round 26 - 9:30pm Saturday September 5, Brookvale Oval - Sky Sport 2 WLLWWW Eagles WLWWWW Gold Coast
W 18-16 v Sharks
23 13
10
0
17 - 18
57%
$1.30
$1.90
W 36-24 v Tigers
23 16
7
0
24/5/09
70%
$3.30
$2.05
W by 3
Round 26 - 9:30pm Saturday September 5, Toyota St -Sky Sport 3 (replay 11.30pm Sky Sport 2) LLLLLL Sharks WLWLLW Souths
L 16-18 v Eagles
23
5
18
0
26 - 32
22%
$1.88
$2.65
W 41-6 v Dragons
23
10
12
1
25/4/09
43%
$1.88
$1.70
W by 4
Round 26 - 3:30pm Sunday September 6, SFS - Sky Sport 3 LWLLLL Roosters
L 4-38 v Storm
23
5
18
0
22 - 24
22%
$1.95
$1.50
LWLLLL Cowboys
L 10-16 v Broncos
23
10
13
0
20/6/09
43%
$1.80
$3.05
W by 14
Round 26 - 5:00pm Sunday September 6, Energy Australia St - Sky Sport 2 LLLWWL Knights
L 14-30 v Raiders
23
12
11
0
30 - 18
52%
$1.47
$1.70
WDLLWL Panthers
L 6-48 v Eels
23
11
11
1
11/7/08
48%
$2.55
$2.65
W by 6
Round 26 - 9:00pm Sunday September 6, Suncorp St - Sky Sport 2 LLWWWW Broncos LLWLWW Raiders
W 16-10 v Cowboys
23
13
10
0
0 - 56
57%
$1.22
$1.70
W 30-14 v Knights
22
9
13
0
1/8/09
41%
$4.00
$2.65
W by 7
Match Day Form
31-08-09 Real aggression was put on the Dragons by Souths as applied by the Raiders earlier. They couldn’t withstand it. Their field position fell apart and bumbling errors sent them to 0-3 the last 3. By contrast the Eels and Hayne are the momentum of the comp, controlling territory and bringing inventive. The ratings say the Dragons, its hard to see. The re-shuffled Dogs coasted over the Warriors in El Mazri’s home finale but at the huge cost of Kimmorley possibly for a few weeks. Its hard to imagine them without him. The Tigers missed the 8, the Titans away being too big an ask after their terrific run. You wouldn’t be surprised to see them throw it everywhere now. If it comes off they’ll win it. With Inglis back, Storm outclassed the Roosters 7 tries to 1. You wouldn’t guage them on that but they’d win if they bring their main men to Auckland. The Warriors will try to give their tolerant followers a final win. Its unlikely. They failed v the makeshift Dogs. That their main play, a bomb to the corner, resulted in a 70m runaway, sums it up. Manly put up an indifferent showing v the Sharks down to 12. They snatched a win late but left doubts. The consistent Titans will be hard to overcome. They’re refined at countering from errors and their defence was play off material v Wests. Still, they’re safely in the 4, don’t need this, and won’t be that interested in tripping to Brookvale. The Sharks showed heart and had the best of the game v Manly. Notwithstanding Stuart’s post match ‘Ricky-mode’ they were unlucky. They remain 0 from the last 9 and need this to be sure of avoiding the spoon. It wont be easy. With Sandow very active Souths hammered the Dragons by a physical defence and plenty of width. The chooks are the only one with anything to play for in this, they might pass the spoon. They’re 13-2 the last 15 and in general too young, too small, lacking pattern and pace. If they’re not short on hope, the Cowboys might not front. If they do they’ll probably fling it around at the SFS for one last hurrah. This decides the final top 8 spot. The Knights brought errors and infringements to Canberra illustrating how difficult it is to win down there when the Raiders are on. They’ll miss Zeb Taia and Sydney may advantage the Panthers. Still, its unlikely the latter can turn it. They didn’t respect their meagre possession v the Eels, and need to shore up out back. The Broncos ended the Cowboys top 8 claims and secured their own in a high quality match. They’re back close to their April form and might be contenders after all. It’s hard to see the Raiders bringing last week’s form v the Dragons to Suncorp. Still, Furner’s style and their aggressive speed, width and youth scream next year.
Source: The All Sports and Prices Index (ASAP Index) produced by Cogito Limited. ASAP Ratings: The form guide is founded on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. After each game teams record a computerised rating. This rating is based on the scoring mechanism of the sport. Factors which go towards the rating include points differential and home/away percentages. The Graph: The graph tracks the trend of the ratings between the displayed dates and predicts the future margin before the addition of home advantage points for today’s game. Meter Key: The RANKINGS - RATINGS - ODDS Ratings Performance form column indicates the last 6 matches. The home team is listed first. The ‘Value odds’ column indicates the odds required to gain value according to the ‘ASAP Ratings’. The ‘ASAP Ratings Last Pts Pts Ave % Bon Comp Comp ASAP TAB Margin’ forecasts the likely winning margin based on the ‘ASAP Ratings’. All Sports And Prices Index © Copyright 2009.