Aviation Heritage Street Car Project
Presentation Overview 1. 2.
Street Cars Yesterday & Today Aviation Heritage Street Car Project Capital Operating
3. Economic Impact! 4. If we build it, will they ride?
Streetcars in the U.S. By 1890s rapidly replaced animal and cable car operations. Gave farmers, villagers, and other access to opportunities offered by urban centers. Service began to fade after WWI
Ohio and streetcars By 1916 Ohio had 2,798 miles of interurban lines Most of any state Comprised 20% of national network 66 Ohio interurban companies Some Ohio service until 1958
Dayton’s streetcar history From 1870 through 1940 Dayton’s chief public transportation. 8 interurban companies serviced Dayton Area. Second largest interurban center in the country
Do other cities use streetcars today?
Charlotte, NC Dallas, TX Denver, CO Ft. Collins, CO Galveston, TX Issaquah, WA Kenosha, WI Little Rock, AR Lowell, MA
Memphis, TN New Orleans, LA Portland, OR San Francisco, CA San Jose, CA Seattle, WA Tampa, FL Tucson, AR Yakima, WA
Under Construction
Philadelphia, PA San Pedro, CA Tacoma, WA
Cities Actively Studying or Planning
Birmingham, AL Chicago, IL Cincinnati, OH Colorado Springs, CO Columbus, OH Corpus Christi, TX Dubuque, IA Madison, WI Miami, FL
Omaha, NB Richmond, VI Sacramento, CA St. Joseph, MO San Antonia, TX Santa Cruz, CA Savannah, GA Sioux City IA
Streetcars run with traffic
Streetcar Stop in Memphis
Kenosha Condo & Museum Development
Aviation Heritage Street Car Project
Why build a street car system? Attract economic development Connect numerous destination locations Connect scattered-site national park Act as a downtown circulator Provide park & ride options Provide unique transportation amenity
Aviation Heritage Street Car System 16 mile street car system 3 different interconnected routes Phased in over a 7 year period $60 million capital cost Annual operating cost of approximately $1.8 million when fully completed
Downtown Loop SOUTH (Phase 1)
Downtown Loop NORTH (Phase 2)
Air Force Museum Route (Phase 3)
Visitor Enhancement:
Air Force Museum DAI Wright-Dunbar Convention Center
1,200,000 per year 300,000 per year 92,400 per year 500,000 per year
Visitor Enhancement:
Oregon District Dragons RiverScape Carillon Park Eastwood Park
1,200,000 per year 600,000 per year 340,000 per year 160,000 per year 1,075,000 per year
Worker/Student Enhancement:
CBD workers Sinclair Community College MV Hospital* UD
27,000 24,000 5,700 11,200
* MV Hospital has 300,000 patients and visitors per year.
Capital Cost Estimate Completed System
Capital & Maint. Facility *
43,013,787
Contingencies
8,037,613
Legal, ROW & Engineering
8,917,633
TOTAL * Maintenance Facility estimated at $1,180,000
59,969,033
Capital Sources Completed System FTA (new start)
29,984,517
ODOT-CMAQ
5,996,903
GDRTA (state transit $)
8,995,355
National Park Service
2,998,452
MVRPC-CMAQ
5,996,903
Federal Earmarks
5,996,903
TOTAL
59,969,033
Operating Cost Analysis and Projections
Operating Revenue Assumptions $1.25 fare (+$.05 every 2 years) 25% of fares are promotional (unpaid) Route 1 - 850 to 1,600 riders PD Route 2 - 1,150 to 1,950 riders PD Route 3 – 650 to 1,450 riders PD
10-Year Ridership Requirements All Phases
Phase 1
1st Year
2nd Year
3rd Year
4th Year
5th Year
850
900
950
1,300
1,350
1,150
1,200
1,250
Phase 2 Phase 3 TOTAL % of GDRTA ADR
650 850
900
2,100
2,500
3,250
2.4%
2.5%
5.9%
7.0%
9.1%
10-Year Ridership Requirements All Phases 6st Year
7th Year
8th Year
9th Year 10th Year
Phase 1
1,400
1,450
1,500
1,550
1,600
Phase 2
1,600
1,650
1,700
1,775
1,825
Phase 3
700
750
1,100
1,150
1,200
TOTAL % of GDRTA ADR
3,700
3,850
4,300
4,475
4,625
10.4%
10.8%
12.1%
12.6%
13.0%
Operating Revenue Assumptions FTA fixed route subsidy MVRPC 3 year start-up subsidy National Park Service subsidy Endowment Income
Operating Endowment Sources Naming rights to line, cars and stops Advertising inside of cars Donations from beneficiaries Donations from users
Operating Costs Assumptions
3% annual + in operating costs Paid full-time street car operators Paid full-time maintenance staff 10% overhead charge for operations
10-Year Revenue Projection All Phases th 4th Year 5 Year
1st Year
2nd Year
3rd Year
Fare Box
286,875
303,750
708,750
843,750
1,096,875
FTA
151,320
151,320
217,360
217,360
451,360
MVRPC
100,000
100,000
200,000
100,000
200,000
Park Srv
20,000
20,000
40,000
40,000
60,000
Endow
17,500
17,500
35,525
36,066
54,648
TOTAL
575,695
592,570
1,201,635
1,237,176
1,862,883
10-Year Revenue Projection All Phases 6st Year
7nd Year 8rd Year
9th Year
10th Year
Fare Box 1,248,750 1,299,375 1,451,250 1,510,313 1,560,938 FTA
451,360
451,360
MVRPC
100,000
100,000
Park Srv
60,000
Endow TOTAL
451,360
451,360
451,360
60,000
60,000
60,000
60,000
55,762
57,435
59,158
60,932
62,760
1,915,872
1,968,170
2,021,768
2,082,605
2,135,058
Economic Development Impact
Short Run Impacts Capital Construction (Montgomery County) Project Phases
Output
Earnings
Jobs
Phase 1
16,667,234
3,842,094
118
Phase 2
26,651,045
6,143,540
188
Phase 3
20,003,093
4,611,069
141
63,321,372
14,596,704
448
Total Impact
Short Run Impacts Operating Expenditures (Montgomery County) Project Phases
Output
Earnings
Jobs
Phase 1
1,120,889
270,235
12
Phase 2
1,254,116
302,355
13
Phase 3
564,932
136,199
6
2,939,938
708,790
31
Total Impact
Annual Fiscal (TAX) Impacts Type of Tax Hotel Property Sales Earnings Total
Tax Rate
Tax Revenue
1.5%
26,061
81.55 mills
137,957
7.5%
160,600
2.25%
15,948 340,566
Long Run ED Impacts Location WrightDunbar
Property
Sales
Earnings 25,110
Total
Retail Jobs
583,628
62
221,265 1,517,163
102
Office Jobs
35,393
523,125
NCR Site
435,273
860,625
Tech Town
256,882
364,500
621,382
408
Riverside
229,560
218,775
448,335
355
Total
957,108 1,383,750
829,650 3,170,508
164
204
967
If we build it, will they ride? Conducted at various locations:
5/3 Field
Dayton Art Institute
Carillon Historical Park
University of Dayton
Sinclair Comm. College
Air Force Museum
Fall 2004 1,000 + respondents
RiverScape
Huffman Field
Wright Cycle Co. Building
How did you arrive? 12% 3% 3% Drove & Parked
4%
Dropped Off Tour RTA Bus Walked/Biked 78%
Use GDRTA bus service? 2% 3% 12%
Never Monthly or Less Weekly More than once a week
83%
Ridden electric-type “historic” rail streetcar?
47% 53%
Yes
No
Preference assuming same service? 14%
Electric Steetcar
Transit Bus
86%
Reason for choosing streetcar? 9%
12% 5% Convenince/Comfort Speed of Travel Nostalgia Other
74%
What fare would you pay? 2%3% 12%
83%
$1-2
$2-3
$3-4
$4-5
How long would you wait? 6%
1% 5%
11% 5 minutes of less Up to 10 minutes Up to 20 minutes
26%
Up to 30 minutes More than 30 minutes
51%
Would adapt to schedule
Where do we go from here? RTA commits to project Community supports project Stakeholder committee is formed Finalize study w/preferred alternative Add project to LRTP Secure capital funding