Narsee Monjee Institute of Management Studies
Macroeconomics Group Activity
Dipankar De Mumbai, October 2007
Macroeconomics: Project
A Group project on a given macro economic topic – Project topic for each of 5-member Group (including names of Group members) to be conveyed before the 2nd Session through email by the Class Representative – Project outline to be submitted by the end of 4th Session. Students to discuss about the coverage in the project with the faculty – Word limit: not exceeding 3,000 (font 11, 1.5 line spacing) – Final Report submission at the end of Second Last Session (9th session) – Each Group would have to make a PowerPoint Presentation on the Topic based on the Project Report submitted
Project Topics 1.
Japanese Economy: A Macroeconomic Study
2.
Strength of India’s Macroeconomic Fundamentals for Economic Superpower
3.
Fiscal Deficit & Fiscal Management in India
4.
Inflation targeting in India
5.
Liquidity management in the Indian Financial System
6.
Foreign Exchange Management Policy in India
Macroeconomics: Assignments
A Group will make a PowerPoint presentation on one particular assignment at the beginning of each lecture for 15 minutes only.
Every Group should be prepared with the assignment before the starting of the lecture (hard copy & soft copy)
The presentations would start from the 2nd Session onwards.
Assignment Details…
Group 1: – Plot India’s GDP at market prices, GDP at factor cost at current prices, GDP at factor cost at constant prices for the period 1970-71 to 2005-06 – Plot the GDP growth rates for the same period – Calculate Compound Annual Rate of Growth % (CARG) – Plot India’s GNP at factor cost at current & constant prices for the period 1970-71 to 2005-06 – Sub-divide the period into 3 periods & carry out the same exercise as above • 1970-71 to 1984-85; 1985-86 to 1994-95; 1995-96 to 2006-07 – Comment on the overall growth story of India during each of the subphases in detail – Comment on the volatility of the growth rates
Assignment Details…
Group 2: – Plot India’s overall GDP, GDP agriculture, GDP industry, & GDP services at factor cost at current & constant prices for the period 1996-97 to 2006-07 on a quarterly basis – Plot the all relevant growth rates of the data series for the same period – Calculate Compound Annual Rate of Growth % (CARG) – Sub-divide the period into 2 periods & carry out the same exercise as above • 1996-97 to 2000-01 & 2001-02 to 2006-07 – Comment on the share of GDP components over the period – Comment on the average growth rate & the volatility of the growth rates – Comment on the sectoral contribution in the overall GDP growth, and the rationale behind such observance
Assignment Details…
Group 3: – Plot India’s domestic savings for the period 1980-81 to 2005-06 – Plot various components of domestic saving – Plot savings to GDP ratio for the same period – Plot GDCF for the period 1980-81 to 2005-06 – Plot GDCF to GDP ratio for the above period – Comment on the savings & investment ratio in India – See the trend in Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE) – Also see the trend in its various components – Comment on its growth during 1991-92 to 2005-06
Assignment Details…
Group 4:
Show the weighting diagram of major components of IIP in the overall IIP Index
Also show the major classification process under IIP series Annual – Plot IIP General, IIP manufacturing since 1985-86 – Plot IIP capital goods, IIP consumer goods (durables + non-durables) – Plot IIP infrastructure, IIP electricity, IIP cement, steel
Quarterly since 2001-02 – Plot all the above, – Comment on the movement; emphasize on the last 3 years
Assignment Details…
Group 5: – Calculate Inflation based on WPI for the period 1970-71 to 2006-07. – Also calculate the same for the fuel group in the overall WPI – Calculate Inflation based on CPI(IW) for the period 1970-71 to 2006-07 – Calculate quarterly inflation based on WPI for the period 2000-01 to 2007-08 – Plot CPI & WPI on the same graph to comment on their movement during 1991-92 to 2007-08 – See whether there is any relation between inflation rate (WPI) & money supply, interest rate & GDP growth rate
Assignment Details…
Group 6: – Plot Bank rate(%) & SBI Advance Rate(%) for 1980-81 to 2006-07 – Comment on the movement of the same during the period – Plot India’s prime lending rate (PLR) since inception – Plot the growth in money supply (M3), during the same period – Plot Bank’s credit to the commercial sector during the same period – Plot 365 days & 91 days -Treasury Bill rates for the period 1980-81 to 2006-07 – Plot 5-yr yield since 2002-03 (quarterly) & comment
Assignment Details…
Group 1: – Plot Fiscal deficit in India as a % of GDP since 1980-81 (centre only) – Plot Fiscal deficit in India as a % of GDP since 1980-81 (centre + states) – Plot Fiscal deficit in India as a % of GDP & inflation rate during the same period – Plot Fiscal deficit in India as a % of GDP & GDP growth rate during the same period – Comment on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) & its components in India since 1991 – Comment on Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) & its components in India since 1991
Assignment Details…
Group 2: – Comment on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) & its components in India since 1991 – Comment on Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) & its components in India since 1991 – Other investment details
Assignment Details…
Group 3: – Plot India’s Exports & Imports ($ billion) for the period 1980-81 to 2006-07 – Comment on the growth rate of the same in a graph during the period – Calculate Trade Balance (X-M) – Do you see any great difference during the post reforms period (1991-2007)
– Plot India’s current account balance as a % of GDP during the period 197071 to 2006-07 – Plot India’s foreign exchange reserves since 1970-2007 – List your observations on the above two
Assignment Details…
Group 4: – Plot average Rs/ Us $ exchange rate during the period 1970-71 to 2006-07 – Calculate appreciation / depreciation during the same – Divide the entire period taking 5-yr for each & calculate the average appreciation / depreciation & comment on the same – Calculate the volatility during the entire period & the sub-periods – Plot current account as % of GDP & Rs/ $ exchange rate for the entire period – Do you find any kind of relationship
Assignment Details…
Group 5: – Plot average Us $/ Euro exchange rate during the period 1999 to 2007 – Calculate appreciation / depreciation during the same & comment on the same – Take quarterly average rate & calculate the volatility during 2002-2007 – Plot average US Fed rates (quarterly) since 1991 & the US CPI inflation (%) – Plot current account deficit as % of GDP of US & US $ / Euro exchange rate for the entire period – Do you find any kind of relationship.