Karl Rove's Final 2008 Presidential Election Map
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McCain/Obama By State
(McCain % Margin, 14-Day Avg. of Public Polls As Of 11/3/08) WA-11 (-16%)
MT-3 (+3%) OR-7 (-16%)
NV-5 (-6%) CA-55 (-24%)
ID-4 (+39%)
UT-5 (+35%)
AZ-10 (+4%)
AK-3 (+15%)
WY-3 (+22%)
ND-3 (+1%)
VT-3 (-22%) MN-10 (-13%)
SD-3 (+8%)
NE-5 (+19%) CO-9 (-7%)
NM-5 (-11%)
KS-6 (+13%)
OK-7 (+24%)
TX-34 (+13%)
WI-10 (-11%)
MI-17 (-14%)
IA-7 (-13%)
Obama Toss-Up (+/-3%)
NY-31 (-27%) PA-21 (-10%)
OH-20 IL-21 IN-11 (-5%) (-24%) (+1%) WV-5 VA-13 (+8%) MO-11 KY-8 (-7%) (0%) (+14%) NC-15 TN-11 (0%) (+14%) AR-6 SC-8 (+12%) (+10%) GA-15 MS-6 AL-9 (+4%) (+24%) (+10%)
LA-9 (+15%)
HI-4 (-41%)
McCain
NH-4 (-12%)
FL-27 (-2%)
Electoral College 338 Obama (+86 from 2004) 200 McCain (-86 from 2004)
ME-4 (-17%) MA-12 (-24%)
RI-4 (-19%) CT-7 (-25%) NJ-15 (-18%) DE-3 (-17%) MD-10 (-10%) DC-3
Electoral College Polling Trend, Obama vs. McCain September 1 – November 3, 2008
Obama
McCain
Toss-Up 338 313
273
317
313 306
277
311
311
306
259
260 226
227 216 226 216
194
200
174
189 138
112
163
163
171
171
163
157
157 160
75
70 67
157
107 95
116
85
84
200
211
215
102
98
61
64
54 51 0
9/1
9/9
9/17
9/25
10/3
10/11
10/19
10/27
11/4
(McCain % Margin, 14-Day Avg. of Public Polls As Of 11/3/08) WA-11 (-16%)
MT-3 (+3%) OR-7 (-16%)
NV-5 (-6%) CA-55 (-24%)
ID-4 (+39%)
UT-5 (+35%)
AZ-10 (+4%)
AK-3 (+15%)
WY-3 (+22%)
ND-3 (+1%)
VT-3 (-22%) MN-10 (-13%)
SD-3 (+8%)
NE-5 (+19%) CO-9 (-7%)
NM-5 (-11%)
KS-6 (+13%)
OK-7 (+24%)
TX-34 (+13%)
WI-10 (-11%)
MI-17 (-14%)
IA-7 (-13%)
Obama Toss-Up (+/-3%)
NY-31 (-27%) PA-21 (-10%)
OH-20 IL-21 IN-11 (-5%) (-24%) (+1%) WV-5 VA-13 (+8%) MO-11 KY-8 (-7%) (0%) (+14%) NC-15 TN-11 (0%) (+14%) AR-6 SC-8 (+12%) (+10%) GA-15 MS-6 AL-9 (+4%) (+24%) (+10%)
LA-9 (+15%)
HI-4 (-41%)
McCain
NH-4 (-12%)
FL-27 (-2%)
Electoral College 338 Obama (+86 from 2004) 200 McCain (-86 from 2004)
ME-4 (-17%) MA-12 (-24%)
RI-4 (-19%) CT-7 (-25%) NJ-15 (-18%) DE-3 (-17%) MD-10 (-10%) DC-3
Electoral College Polling Trend, Obama vs. McCain September 1 – November 3, 2008
Obama
McCain
Toss-Up 338 313
273
317
313 306
277
311
311
306
259
260 226
227 216 226 216
194
200
174
189 138
112
163
163
171
171
163
157
157 160
75
70 67
157
107 95
116
85
84
200
211
215
102
98
61
64
54 51 0
9/1
9/9
9/17
9/25
10/3
10/11
10/19
10/27
11/4
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