ISLM Analysis of the Open Economy (ISLMBP Analysis)
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Fixed exchange rates: The BP curve
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP r1
SURPLUS DEFICIT
O
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
SURPLUS
BP
DEFICIT
O
Y1
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP
r1
a
O
Y1
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r Assume that national income rises
BP
r1
a
O
Y1
Y1
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r Assume that national income rises
BP
r1
a
b
O
Y1
Y1
Deficit if rate of interest remains at r1
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP c
r2 r1
a
O
Y1
Rate of interest must rise to r2 to restore balance of payments
Y1
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Full equilibrium in the goods, money and foreign exchange markets
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM
BP r1
a
IS O
Y1 Full equilibrium in the goods, money and foreign exchange markets
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Effect of an expansionary fiscal policy under fixed exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1 b
r2
r1
BP a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1 b
r2
r1
BP Balance of payments surplus causes money supply to expand
a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1 b
r2 r3 r1
LM2
BP c Restoration of full equilibrium
a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
Y3
An expansionary fiscal policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP LM1
r1
a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP LM1 b
r2 r1
a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP LM1 b
r2 r1
a
Balance of payments deficit causes money supply to contract
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
BP
LM1
c
r3
b
r2 r1
LM2
Restoration of full equilibrium
a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y3
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Effect of an expansionary monetary policy under fixed exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1
BP r1
a
IS O
Y1
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1
LM2
BP r1
a b
r2
IS O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1
LM2
BP r1
a b
r2
Balance of payments deficit causes money supply to contract again
IS O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates r
LM1
LM2
BP r1
a b
r2
Full equilibrium is restored back at point a
IS O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Floating exchange rates: The BP curve
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r SURPLUS
Appreciation BP
O
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
BP
Depreciation DEFICIT
O
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Effect of an expansionary fiscal policy under floating exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM b
r2 r1
BP
a
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM b
r2 r1
BP
a
IS1
IS2
Balance of payments surplus causes the exchange rate to appreciate O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM b
r2 r1
BP The appreciation causes the IS curve to shift to the left
a
IS1
O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy
IS2
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM
r2
c
r3 r1
BP2 BP1
b
Full equilibrium is restored at point c
a
IS2 IS3 IS1 O
Y1
Y3 Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
BP1
LM r2 r1
a
b
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
BP1
LM r2 r1
a
b
Balance of payments deficit causes exchange rate to depreciate
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
BP1
LM r2 r1
a
b
Depreciation causes the IS curve to shift to the right
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
r3 r2 r1
BP1
a
b
c
BP2 LM Full equilibrium is achieved at point c
IS3 IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2
Y3
An expansionary fiscal policy: BP curve steeper than LM curve
Y
ISLMBP analysis: fixed exchange rates
Effect of an expansionary monetary policy under floating exchange rates
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM1 LM2 BP1
r1
a
r2
b
IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM1 LM2 BP1
r1
a
r2
b
The balance of payments deficit causes the BP line to shift downward
IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM1 LM2 BP1
r1
a
r2
b
The depreciation causes the IS curve to shift to the right
IS1 O
Y1
Y2
An expansionary monetary policy
Y
ISLMBP analysis: floating exchange rates r
LM1 LM2 BP1
r1 r3
a
r2
BP2
c b
Full equilibrium is restored at point c
IS2 IS1 O
Y1
Y2 Y3
An expansionary monetary policy
Y