Exponential Growth with Raw Material Security…
Exponential Growth Presentation to Analysts & Investors with Raw Material Security… Presentation to Analysts Investors Q3& FY08. Q3 FY08
1
Agenda
•
Steel Scenario
•
JSW Today & Beyond…
•
Performance Highlights
•
Quarterly Developments
•
Way forward… 2
Steel Scenario
3
Global Economy - Outlook 2008 Slowdown Slowdown in in mature mature markets markets led led by by turmoil turmoil in in the the financial financial Markets Markets •• Moderation Moderation in in growth growth in in emerging emerging markets markets faced faced with with challenge challenge of of trade trade off off between between growth growth and and inflation inflation
Other Challenges: •• Soaring Soaring Oil Oil Prices Prices // Freight Freight Cost Cost •• Shortage Shortage of of Mineral Mineral resources resources •• Credit Credit and and Liquidity Liquidity crunch crunch Resilient Resilient emerging emerging economies economies cushion cushion the the US US Slowdown-Global Slowdown-Global GDP GDP Growth Growth
3.7% 4
Global Steel Scenario.. •• Crude Crude Steel Steel production production in in first first 11 11 months months was was higher higher by by 5.7% 5.7% y-o-y y-o-y
•• Strong Strong Demand Demand emanating emanating from from Emerging Emerging economies economies (( 25% 25% in in Russia Russia & & above above 10% 10% in in India, India, China China and and Brazil) Brazil)
•• Surging Surging Input Input Costs Costs
•• Fall Fall in in Exports Exports from from China China
Steel prices set to record ‘New High’
Source:WSD & SBB
5
Chinese crackdown on Exports Price Realization = Export price - VAT + Rebate / - Export Tax
Items
Ferrous & NonFerrous Ores & Minerals
Dec – 03
15%
Jan – 04
13%
Jan – 05
0%
Apr – 06
-5%
Sep – 06
-5%
Nov – 06
-5/-10%
Apr – 07
Jun – 07
Jan08
-5/-10%
-10/-15%
-10/15%
-10%
-15%
-25%
Reduction in Export Quota for All Ores & Refractory Minerals every year Coke
15%
13%
0
-5%
-5%
-10%
Reduction in Export Quota for Coke every year Semi Finished a) Steel Product (Pig iron, Slabs & Billets)
15%
13%
0%
-10%
-10%
-10%
-10%
-15%
-25%
Introduction of Licensing for Quantitative Restriction b) Non Ferrous Product ( Copper & Aluminum product)
15%
13%
-5%
-10%
-10%
-15%
-15%
-15%
-15%
Finished Steel Product Hr Coil, Wire & Rod, Bar & Rebar
15%
13%
13%
11%
8%
8%
0
-5/-10%
-15%
6
Growing India • GDP growth
9% (2008)
Finished steel Production at 38.05 Mnt, 6.6%
Finished steel consumption at 39.1 Mnt 11.3%
‘Net Importer’ of Steel. Expected Import of 5 Mnt of Steel in current Financial Year 66.69% yoy • Steel Production & Consumption In April – Dec 2007:
Robust Robust Investment Investment pipeline pipeline drives drives Steel Steel Demand Demand -2008 -2008 7
8
JSW Ranked 9th in top 30 “World-Class” Steelmakers
Low Cost Operation with 100% Captive Raw material
Severstal Posco Bao Steel
Arcelor Mittal
Efficient & Low Conversion Cost
Nucor
7.95 7.82
7.77
NLMK
7.64
Tata/Corus 7.57 SDI JSW Steel EZZ CSN
7.29 Source: WSD
Global Size & Efficient Operation
7.50 7.36
7.33 7.29
7.55
Potential for JSW to improve due to: ¾Scaling up Capacities. ¾Increasing Raw Material Security 9
Leading Integrated Steel Producer …
Achieve Global Size of Operation
Building Resilience by targeting 100% Raw Material Security
10
Exponential Growth… Existing
Under Implementation CAGR 30 %
CAGR 25%
35
Under Development
CAGR 23% -11%
31
30
Million tonnes
25
20 17
20 11
15 7.8
10 5
0.8
1.6
2.5
3.8
0 1999
2001
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2013
2015-20
Measure of “Performance Vs Promise”- Projects Running Ahead of Schedule 11
Leadership Position in Domestic Steel Industry… Year 2015
Year 2012 JSW Steel
Year 2020
JSW Steel 16%
20%
80%
JSW Steel
84%
India’s estimated Crude Steel Capacity at 85 mn
India’s estimated Crude Steel Capacity at 125 mn
16%
84%
India’s estimated Crude Steel Capacity at 192 mn
Poised to become Leading Player in the Indian Steel Diaspora… Source: Ministry of steel
12
31mtpa by 2015-20
Jharkhand, 10 Mt Tarapur
80 & 120kms Vasind
FY-2009
FY-2010
FY-2011
FY-2012
FY-2013
FY-2020
Karnataka
7 Mt
10 Mt
10 Mt
10 Mt
10 Mt
10 Mt
Tamilnadu
1 Mt
1 Mt
1 Mt
1 Mt
1 Mt
1 Mt
West Bengal
-
-
-
6 Mt
6 Mt
10 Mt
Jharkhand
-
-
-
-
3 Mt
10 Mt
Total
8 Mt
11 Mt
11 Mt
17 Mt
20 Mt
31 Mt
West Bengal, 10 Mt UK 0.2 Million Ton Service Center catering to Auto Sector
Karnataka, 10 Mt USA 1.2 Million Ton Plate Mill & 0.5 Million Ton Pipe Plant
Tamilnadu, 1 Mt
Catapults “JSW Steel” to Consolidate its Position. 13
Growth Dynamics… Stupendous growth rates are achieved on the back of …… Strong project execution capabilities Experienced Project team. No EPC Contracts, Managing 525 nos. of packages. Executing two projects of 3 MTPA each simultaneously at single location.
Civil ¾
Total Quantity ~ 15,00,000 m3
¾ ¾
Structural ¾Total Structural ~ 2,75,000 ton
Contracts ¾No. of Major Contracts~
400
Avg. concreting per month~ 80,000 m3 ¾Fabrication per month ~ 15,000 ton
¾Number of contractors ~
60
Indian Standard~ 60,000 m3
¾Number of Expatriate ~ 125
¾Structure Erection/ month ~ 13,000 ton
¾Number of Foreign Co. ~
It is Equivalent to building 26 It is equivalent to building 2 Km long National highway Eiffel Towers per month (2 lane) every month.
20
¾Number of Indian Co. ~ 300
32,000 People working on expansions at Vijaynagar Works 14
Building Resilience by targeting 100% Raw Material Security
15
Building Resilience by targeting 100% Raw Material Security Today •JSW Steel Ltd. Scores over Global Peers being ‘Efficient and Low Conversion Cost Steel Producer’ •Strategic Initiatives towards achieving Raw Material Security.
Tomorrow Target: Self Sufficiency in Raw Material Raw Material
% self Sufficiency
•Iron Ore •Coking Coal •Thermal Coal
75-100% 50-100% 100%
16
Raw Materials Requirement (MTPA)
Year FY
Steel Capacity
Iron Ore
Coking Coal
Soft Coking Coal
Thermal Coal
2008
5
8.0
2.3
2.0
0.5
2010
11
18.0
7.0
3.0
1.5
2012
17
27.0
11.0
3.5
3.5
2013
20
32.0
13.0
4.0
4.5
2020
31
50
20.0
6.0
7.5
Raw Material Per Ton Blast Furnace
Corex
Coking Coal (Kg)
650
150
Soft Coking (Kg)
150
850
Iron Ore (Kg)
1600
1600
17
Iron Ore Self Sufficiency State
Karnataka
Tamil Nadu
Location
Area
VMPL
Potential Output (MTPA)
Allotment Status
1.5
Right to Mine rest with JV Co. ( MML & JSW Group.)
Remarks
Exp. Time Frame
*
------------------Operational-----------------
Hadimmapade
200 ha
2
Allotted to JSW Steel Ltd.
Statutory & Forest Approvals are under progress
6-12 months
Donimalai Mines
553 ha
3
Recommended to JSWSL, VMPL,SWML
Approvals are under progress
12-24 months
Kanjamalai
630 ha
1
Allotted to TIMCO ( JV Co. Of JSW SL & TIDCO)
Statutory & Forest approvals are under process
12-18 months
Kavuthimalai
325 ha
1
Recommended to TIMCO ( JV Co. Of JSW SL & TIDCO)
Approvals are under process
1388
8
Prospecting License to JSW Steel ltd.
Statutory & Forest approvals are under process
15-24 months
20
JV Co. under Discussion
Mine development work is under progress.
12-36 months
MoU for 25 Years Signed
Ongoing
Jharkhand
Ankua
Over Seas
South America/Chile
12-24 months
Acquired concessions on 1200 hectares
Total
36.5 NMDC (LTA)
2.5-8
JSW Steel Ltd.
Achieve 75% self sufficiency with 37 MTPA & Target to be 100% * Any delay in receipt of approvals as assessed can change the time frame
18
Coal Self Sufficiency( Steel Making) (MTPA) State/Country
Location/ Coal Block
Jharkhand
Rohne
West Bengal
Kulti/ Sitarampur/
Mozambique*
Tete Province
Total Markets
LTA
Coking Coal
3
NonCoking Coal
Allotment
Mineable Resources
Commissioning Schedule
-
Allotted to JVCo. (JSW SL 69%, Bhushan Steel 24%, Jai Balaji 7%)
250
FY11
Allotted to WBMDTC LTA with JSW at Cost + basis.
150
FY’12
Secured by JSW Steel ltd.
188
FY’09
5
2
2.5
10
2.5
10
3.2
588
50% self Sufficient in Coking Coal and Targeting 100% in near future by scouting for additional Mines. * Two more Coal concessions secured and its technical due diligence under progress.
19
Coal Self Sufficiency (Power Generation) State
Power requirement
Proposed Power Plant Capacity
Gas Based
Coal Based
Coal Requirement
Jharkhand
900
900 MW
200 MW
700 MW
2 MT
West Bengal
800
1800 MW
200 MW
1600 MW
4 MT
Vijaynagar & Siscol
890
890 MW
260 MW
630 MW
1.5 MT
Coal Sourcing State
Location/Coa l Block
Thermal Coal
Allotment
Commissioning Schedule
Jharkhand
Rohne
2 MT
Allotted to JVCo. (JSW SL 69%, Bhushan Steel 24%, Jai Balaji 7%)
FY 11
West Bengal
Icchapur/
3 MT
Allotted to WBMDTC LTA with JSW at Cost + basis. Allotted to JSW SL (50%) & Himachal EMTA (50%)
FY 12
1.5MT
Secured by JSW Steel
FY 09
Gourandih Vijaynagar/Salem
Mozambique
100% Self Sufficient in Thermal Coal
20
JSW Steel Ltd.
Performance Bn
Highlights…
21
Key Highlights of the Quarter … Q3’08 V/S Q3’07
Particulars
Growth %
Volume : Crude Steel Production
15%
: Saleable Steel
13%
Net Sales
12%
Blended : Sales Realisation
4%
: Cost of Production EBIDTA Margin
15% 29.8%
EBIDTA
Rs. 773 Cr
Net Profit
Rs. 328 Cr
22
Production – Q3 FY08 15% 0.9 0.8
0.841
6% 0.730 0.686 0.648
Mn Tonnes
0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4
-6% 0.3
59%
0.2 0.1
0.201 0.190
37%
0.060
0.022 0.016
0.038
0 Crude Steel
HR Coil
HR Plates
Q3 FY07
GP/GC
PPGI
Q3 FY08
Highest Ever Quarterly Production 23
Sales – Q3 FY08 4% 0.43 0.41
0.45 0.40
Mn Tonnes
0.35 0.30
- 6%
0.25 0.20 0.15
0.18 0.17
215%
0.10 0.05
75%
0.07
52%
0.06
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.00 Slabs
HR Coil
HR Plates
Q3 FY07
GP/GC
PPGI
Q3 FY08
Blended Sales 0.775 Million Tonnes : Up by 13% 24
Raw material Price Movements Iron Ore
Imported Coke 16000
2500
14527
14000
2032
57%
2000
10000
9241
Rs. / t
Rs. / t
12000
8000 6000 4000
1500
75%
1162
1000 500
2000 0
0
Q3 FY07
Q3 FY08
Impact on Cost : Rs. 1,312 / t CS : Rs. 110 Cr - ve
China FOB USD 171/t to 376/t up by 120%
Q3 FY07
Q3 FY08
Impact on Cost : Rs. 1,488 / t CS : Rs. 125 Cr - ve
CIF China USD 75/t to 184/t up by 145%
Input costs surge impacting margins 25
Operating Parameters Fuel - Corex
Power Consumption 700
616
3.5%
600
1200
594
1030
5% 974
1000
Rs. / t
400 300
800 600 400
200
200
100
0
0 Q3 FY07
Q3 FY07
Q3 FY08
Impact on Cost : Rs. 57 / t CS : Rs. 4.8 Cr Fluxes + ve Consumption
70
37.5%
113.1
100
75
66
60
M3 per / t LS
121.7
109 / t CS 7.5 Cr
LD Gas Recovery M3/t of LS
7.0% 125
Q3 FY08
Impact on Cost : Rs. : Rs. + ve
Fluxes Consumption in Blast Furnace
Kg / t
Rs. / t
500
50
48
40 30 20
50
Q3 FY07
Q3 FY07
Q3 FY08
Q3 FY08
Impact on Cost : Rs. 4 / t CS : Rs. 0.3 Cr + ve
Impact on Cost : Rs. 18 / t CS : Rs. 1.5 Cr + ve
26
Financial Highlights
Ò Debt
Ò The
repayment of Rs. 285 crores
Weighted Avg.rate of Interest at 7.73 %
Ò Adjusted
Debt Equity ratio at 0.74
Ò Adjusted
Long Term Debt to EBITDA at 1.61
27
Financials (Rs. In Crores) Particulars
Q3 2007
Q3 2008
Growth %
Gross sales
2502.32
2828.78
13%
Net Sales
2291.00
2563.08
12%
EBITDA
803.28
773.39
(4%)
Interest
110.67
95.25
(14%)
Depreciation & Amortisation
156.45
216.19
38%
Profit Before tax
536.16
461.95
( 14%)
PAT
362.15
328.18
(9%)
28
Operational Performance - USA
Plate Mill FY 07 5/11/07 to (July-June) 31/12/07
(Net tons) Pipe Mill FY 07 5/11/07 to (July-June) 31/12/07
Production
501327
81992
213411
43370
Capacity Utilisation Yield
51.53% 81.08%
53.96% 81.12%
38.80% 99.0%
50.49% 98.2%
Sales
201963
40248
243207
50155
Highest ever pipe production in Dec.’07 29
Operational Performance – USA cont..
a) Turnover b) EBIDTA c) Other income EBIDTA + Other income d) Interest Operating Co. Holding Co. Cash Profit e) Depreciation Profit Before Tax f) Tax Profit After Tax
FY 07 (July-June) (USD Mio) (Rs. In Crs.) 510.070 2,078.54 73.450 299.31 14.40% 1.225 4.99 74.675 304.30 4.640 18.91
70.035 4.564 65.471 19.063 46.408
285.39 18.60 266.79 77.68 189.11
5/11/07 to 31/12/07 (USD Mio) (Rs. In Crs.) 110.628 436.43 16.373 64.59 14.76% 16.373 64.59 9.490 37.44 6.870 27.10 2.620 10.34 6.883 27.15 5.352 21.11 1.531 6.04 0.628 2.48 0.903 3.56
30
Consolidated Results– Q3 FY08 Rs. Crs.
JSW Steel Ltd. (Standalone)
JSW Steel Ltd. (Consolidated)
Net Increase/Decrease
Net Sales
2563.08
2841.90
278.82
Cost
1824.80
2084.38
259.58
EBITDA
773.39
793.70
20.31
Interest
95.25
141.63
46.38
Depreciation & Amortisation
216.19
237.92
21.73
Profit Before tax
461.95
414.15
(47.80)
PAT
328.18
270.06
(58.12)
Net Worth
6742.42
7041.12
278.70
Adjusted Debt
4984.64
8954.96
3970.32
0.74
1.27
Particulars
Adj. Debt :Equity Ratio (times)
Lower Profit due to Unrealised contribution on inventory Rs. 42.48 crs 31
Financials – Key Ratios
Key Ratios
UOM
Q3 2008
Q3 2007
FY 2007
ROCE
%
16.94
26.97
23.77
ROE
%
20.14
32.88
28.32
Book Value per share
Rs.
395
322
312
Market price per share
Rs.
1318
387
493
EPS (Diluted)
Rs.
18.61
22.37
78.88
P/E
Times
13.59
5.33
6.26
EV/EBITDA
times
8.88
3.89
4.24
31st Dec.’07 31st Dec.’06
32
Quarterly updates...
1. Key Developments 2. Project Status 3. West Bengal Update
33
Key Developments •RH Degasser unit commissioned during Nov 2007 to produce better Quality of special grade steel •1 MTPA CRM Complex commissioned and started the marketing of CRCA •One Galvanising line after modification into Galvalume re-commissioned •8 concessions on an area of 1200 hectares acquired for US$ 52 million in CHILE for Iron Ore Exploitation and Exploration •Work on 30 MW Power Plant at Down Stream Facility commenced •Following the approval of shareholders at the Court convened meeting on 28th December 2007 ,the final hearing at Hon’ble High Court of Mumbai for considering the Scheme of Amalgamation of SISCOL with the company is scheduled on 15th February 2008
34
Key Developments(Contd) •Set up additional 300 MW captive Power Plant in lieu of acquisition from JSWEVL • US acquisition completed on 5th November 2007
35
Project status
36
Project Status 6.8 MTPA : Targeted Date of Completion: 31st March 2009 (Running ahead of Schedule)
10 MTPA : Targeted Date of Completion: 2010 (Running ahead of Schedule)
New HSM 2 MTPA (Phase 1) – 5 MTPA (Phase 2) Civil works – 33% completed Structural fabrication and Erection works completed to the extent of 30 % & 15 % respectively
Expected date of completion: 1st October 2009 (Phase 1) & October 2010 (Phase 2) HSM Modernisation (0.7 MTPA): Technical discussions completed & Main Package Finalised Major Orders placed on VAI Siemens & others
Beneficiation Plant (Phase 1 - 10 MTPA): Orders finalised for major equipment Site grading 40% completed
Expected date of completion:( FY 2008) 37
Sinter Plant
ESP OUTLET DUCT-SINTER PLANT
SINTER MACHINE – ALT VIEW
SINTER MACHINE – ALT VIEW
SINTER PLANT-ESP WITH CHIMNEY
38
Coke Oven # 3
BATTERY#B Oven Area
REFRECTORY ERECTION IN BATTERY#D
BATTERY#C Oven Area
SILOS 39
Blast Furnace # 3
BF#3 : CYCLONE
BF#3 : STOCK HOUSE
BF#3 :SHELL
BF#3 : DE-MISTER
40
Basic Oxygen Furnace #2
Chimney
Piping in D Row
Surge tank
Erection In LTSS-1
41
CCP #2 BILLET CASTERS FOR LONG PRODUCTS
BILLET CASTER DISCHARGE ROLLER TABLE
BILLET CASTER MACHINE & ROT
SLAB CASTERS FOR FLAT PRODUCTS
SLAB CASTER VIEW
42
10 MTPA
Site Leveling 43
New HSM
SLAB YARD
UTILITY AREA
SITE VIEW
CIVIL WORKS
44
Beneficiation Plant
TERRACED AREA
CONTRUCTION SWITCH HOUSE
BARREL RECLAIMER CONVEYOR CIVIL WORK
STORAGE YARD 45
West Bengal Project Update • Development Agreement was executed on 11th January 2007 to set up 10 MTPA integrated Steel Plant in phases with Government of West Bengal /WBIDC /WBMSTC
Current status: • The Joint Venture company - JSW Bengal Steel Ltd. has been incorporated • Shareholder’s Agreement has been signed and executed on 22nd Jan 2008 • Acquisition of Land is almost complete • Coal Agreements on long term basis with WBMDTC expected to be executed shortly on cost plus basis • While Iron ore tie up from South American mines is under way by JSW Steel as a hedge, efforts are on to tie up locally from other sources
46
West Bengal Project Update (Contd)… Project Details: Capacity
:6 MTPA
Product
:Slabs
Status (Proposed)
:SEZ Unit
Targeted Market
:1 MTPA to US Plate & Pipe Mill Balance to be sold in International Markets
Cost of the Project
:Rs.15000 crores
Implementation Period
:36 months from 1st July 2008
Means of Finance: Particulars Equity( from JSW steel/WBIDC& WBMDTC/ Public Issue) Debt Total
Cost (Rs in crores) 5000 10000 15000
To Commission the Plant by June 2011
47
Cold Roll Mill ( Commissioned in Q2 2008)
Continuous pickling line
Batch Annealing
Skin pass mill
Roll Shop
Packed Material 48
Way Forward… Sustainable Growth. ..creating VALUE 31 million tons by 2020
Grow Market Share
Improve Vertical Integration
Product Diversification
Strengthen Backward Linkages Expand global presence with value addition closer to markets
Consolidate position in domestic steel industry with focus on enhancing capacities at competitive cost
Focus on Diversified Markets for Premium Steel Products and enhance value
49
Q & A Session…
50
Forward Looking and Cautionary Statement
Certain statements in this report concerning our future growth prospects are forward looking statements, which involve a number of risks, and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in such forward looking statements. The risk and uncertainties relating to these statements include, but are not limited to risks and uncertainties regarding fluctuations in earnings, our ability to manager growth, intense competition within Steel industry including those factors which may affect our cost advantage, wage increases in India, our ability to attract and retain highly skilled professionals, time and cost overruns on fixed-price, fixed-time frame contracts, client concentration, restrictions on immigration, our ability to manage our internal operations, reduced demand for steel, our ability to successfully complete and integrate potential acquisitions, liability for damages on our service contracts, the success of the companies in which the Company has made strategic investments, withdrawal of fiscal governmental incentives, political instability, legal restrictions on raising capital or acquiring companies outside India, unauthorized use of our intellectual property and general economic conditions affecting our industry. The company does not undertake to update any forward looking statements that may be made from time to time by or on behalf of the company.
51