Institutional Insights Q2 2009
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Institutional Insights Q2 2009
INSTITUTIONAL INSIGHTS, Q2 2009
TheMarkets.com reports the findings of a survey of institutional investors conducted from May 26 to June 5, 2009. Key Findings 1.
Nearly 40% of institutional investors think the market bottom is behind us
2.
Around 80% of investors expect the S&P 500 will • return to 1200 by the end of 2011 and • to 1500 by the end of 2013
3.
Key sectors of focus for institutional investors over the next 12 months will be: energy, financials, healthcare and basic materials
Participants 127 institutional investors in 24 countries
About TheMarkets.com TheMarkets.com provides research and estimates from hundreds of brokers to thousands of institutional investors worldwide. Our users include three quarters of the 50 largest US asset managers, two thirds of the top 100 European asset managers, and three quarters of the world’s 100 biggest hedge funds.
QUESTIONS?
For additional information, please contact Jasmine Swann at [email protected] or +1 (212) 812-4631
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
©
2 0 0 9 .
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
Institutional Insights Q2 2009
Nearly 40% of institutional investors think that the market has already rebounded, hitting its bottom earlier this year. Of those who think the bottom is yet to come, 53% think the market will have bottomed by the end of the year; 91% expect the bottom within the next 12 months. MARCH 2009
EXPECTED MARKET BOTTOM
JUNE 2009
45%
Percentage of Respondents
1
40%
41%
35%
37% 33%
30%
27%
25%
24%
20% 15%
17%
10%
10%
5%
3%
3%
2%
0% H1 2009 (March) / Already bottomed in H1 (June)
H2 2009
H1 2010
H2 2010
2011
2%
1%
2012
0%
0%
AFTER 2012
Timeframe of Expected Bottom
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
©
2 0 0 9 .
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
Institutional Insights Q2 2009
2
Over 80% of investors expect that the S&P will return to 1200 by the end of 2011, suggesting a swing in optimism from March, when just over 50% reported the same expectation. In a parallel swing, nearly 80% of investors now expect the S&P 500 to return to 1500 by the end of 2013, with nearly a quarter expecting it to return to 1500 by the end of 2011.
Percentage of Respondents
45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
JUNE 2009
40%
38% 31%
30%
19% 1%
14%
3%
2009
2010
2011
2012
12% 3%
2013
7% 2%
AFTER 2013
45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
©
2 0 0 9 .
JUNE 2009
41% 28% 23%
0% 0%
2009
4%
1%
2010
Year of Expected Return
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
MARCH 2009
S&P: EXPECTED RETURN TO 1500 Percentage of Respondents
MARCH 2009
S&P: EXPECTED RETURN TO 1200
23%
27% 24%
8%
2011
2012
2013
Year of Expected Return
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
21%
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
AFTER 2013
Institutional Insights Q2 2009
Key sectors of investor focus over the next 12 months will be energy, financials, healthcare and basic materials. In comparison to investor views in March, energy has overtaken financials as the primary area of focus, and the consumer sector has dropped out of the top four sectors, with basic materials moving up into the top four. MARCH 2009
INVESTORS' EXPECTATION OF SECTOR FOCUS, NEXT 12 MONTHS
JUNE 2009
45%
Energy
53% 60%
Financials
42% 42%
Healthcare
36% 17%
Basic materials
Sector
3
32% 20% 22%
Information technology 13%
Industrials
22% 33%
Consumer
17% 10% 9%
Telecommunication
6% 8%
Transportation 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Percentage of Respondents
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
©
2 0 0 9 .
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
INSTITUTIONAL INSIGHTS, Q2 2009
TheMarkets.com reports the findings of a survey of institutional investors conducted from May 26 to June 5, 2009. Key Findings 1.
Nearly 40% of institutional investors think the market bottom is behind us
2.
Around 80% of investors expect the S&P 500 will • return to 1200 by the end of 2011 and • to 1500 by the end of 2013
3.
Key sectors of focus for institutional investors over the next 12 months will be: energy, financials, healthcare and basic materials
Participants 127 institutional investors in 24 countries
About TheMarkets.com TheMarkets.com provides research and estimates from hundreds of brokers to thousands of institutional investors worldwide. Our users include three quarters of the 50 largest US asset managers, two thirds of the top 100 European asset managers, and three quarters of the world’s 100 biggest hedge funds.
QUESTIONS?
For additional information, please contact Jasmine Swann at [email protected] or +1 (212) 812-4631
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
©
2 0 0 9 .
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
Institutional Insights Q2 2009
Nearly 40% of institutional investors think that the market has already rebounded, hitting its bottom earlier this year. Of those who think the bottom is yet to come, 53% think the market will have bottomed by the end of the year; 91% expect the bottom within the next 12 months. MARCH 2009
EXPECTED MARKET BOTTOM
JUNE 2009
45%
Percentage of Respondents
1
40%
41%
35%
37% 33%
30%
27%
25%
24%
20% 15%
17%
10%
10%
5%
3%
3%
2%
0% H1 2009 (March) / Already bottomed in H1 (June)
H2 2009
H1 2010
H2 2010
2011
2%
1%
2012
0%
0%
AFTER 2012
Timeframe of Expected Bottom
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
©
2 0 0 9 .
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
Institutional Insights Q2 2009
2
Over 80% of investors expect that the S&P will return to 1200 by the end of 2011, suggesting a swing in optimism from March, when just over 50% reported the same expectation. In a parallel swing, nearly 80% of investors now expect the S&P 500 to return to 1500 by the end of 2013, with nearly a quarter expecting it to return to 1500 by the end of 2011.
Percentage of Respondents
45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
JUNE 2009
40%
38% 31%
30%
19% 1%
14%
3%
2009
2010
2011
2012
12% 3%
2013
7% 2%
AFTER 2013
45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0%
©
2 0 0 9 .
JUNE 2009
41% 28% 23%
0% 0%
2009
4%
1%
2010
Year of Expected Return
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
MARCH 2009
S&P: EXPECTED RETURN TO 1500 Percentage of Respondents
MARCH 2009
S&P: EXPECTED RETURN TO 1200
23%
27% 24%
8%
2011
2012
2013
Year of Expected Return
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
21%
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
AFTER 2013
Institutional Insights Q2 2009
Key sectors of investor focus over the next 12 months will be energy, financials, healthcare and basic materials. In comparison to investor views in March, energy has overtaken financials as the primary area of focus, and the consumer sector has dropped out of the top four sectors, with basic materials moving up into the top four. MARCH 2009
INVESTORS' EXPECTATION OF SECTOR FOCUS, NEXT 12 MONTHS
JUNE 2009
45%
Energy
53% 60%
Financials
42% 42%
Healthcare
36% 17%
Basic materials
Sector
3
32% 20% 22%
Information technology 13%
Industrials
22% 33%
Consumer
17% 10% 9%
Telecommunication
6% 8%
Transportation 0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Percentage of Respondents
T H E M A R K E T S . C O M
©
2 0 0 9 .
D O
N O T
R E P R O D U C E
O R
D I S T R I B U T E
W I T H O U T
P E R M I S S I O N
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