Indonesia Project Using Solar Energy to Vitalize the Indonesian Economy August 15, 2006 Preliminary
PT Sugico Mök Energy Indonesia United States of America Switzerland
PT Sugico Graha Indonesia Mök Companies United States of America Switzerland
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Purpose & Scope To demonstrate how the nation of Indonesia may use advanced solar energy and coal technology to meet its immediate needs for clean reliable power and grow to dominate the world’s economy in the future.
• Indonesia Energy Needs • Impact of Mök Solar Technology • PT Sugico Mök Energy Project – Solar Electricity – Coal to Liquids – Methane to Methanol
• Indonesian long-term growth strategy Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Who is William Mook? Is a very smart, visionary, rocket scientist who has successfully developed important technologies and businesses and grown to advise those in government and industry on a variety of technology and strategic policies. • • • • • • • • • • •
Attended undergrad school in aerospace engineering Used Navier-Stokes to predict pollution transport Invented the first lab automation products Created a successful lab automation company Invented the first computer based cash register Invented the first credit card scanner in gas pump Created a successful retail automation company & sold it. Since 1996 worked on perfecting advanced energy systems & attended graduate school Asked to speak to Clinton White House about Space Policy & Energy Policy Advised US Governors and Senators on Energy Policy Asked to speak to Bush Administration about Energy Policy in December 2004 & after.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Who is William Mook? Has a young daughter who is Swiss, and lives with her mother in Switzerland. I live and work in the US.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Who is William Mook? I have worked continuously since 1996 to develop improved energy systems. Primarily in solar energy, but in other areas as well.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Why Indonesia? Asked by PT Sugico Graha to develop an integrated Strategy For Indonesia, which later developed into a Joint Venture Arrangement between Sugico & Mök.
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Indonesia Energy Needs Indonesia is important to world energy markets because of its OPEC membership and substantial, but declining, oil production. Indonesia also is the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporter. - Source US DOE EIA
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Indonesia Energy Needs OIL Indonesia currently holds proven oil reserves of 4.7 billion barrels, down 13% since 1994. Much of Indonesia's proven oil reserve base is located onshore. The decline is due mainly to the natural fall off of aging oil fields - Source US DOE EIA
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Indonesia Energy Needs NATURAL GAS Indonesia has proven natural gas reserves of 92.5 trillion cubic feet (Tcf). Most of the country's natural gas reserves are located near the Arun field in Aceh, around the Badak field in East Kalimantan, in smaller fields offshore Java, the Kangean Block offshore East Java, a number of blocks in Irian Jaya, and the Natuna D-Alpha field, the largest in Southeast - Source US DOE EIA Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Indonesia Energy Needs COAL Indonesia has 50 billion short tons of recoverable coal reserves, of which 58.6% is lignite, 26.6% is sub-bituminous, 14.4% is bituminous, and 0.4% anthracite. Sumatra contains roughly twothirds of Indonesia's total coal reserves - Source US DOE EIA
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Indonesia Energy Needs ELECTRICITY Indonesia has installed electrical generating capacity estimated at 21.4 gigawatts, with 87.0% coming from thermal (oil, gas, and coal) sources, 10.5% from hydropower, and 2.5% from geothermal. - Source US DOE EIA
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Indonesia Energy Needs SUMMARY Industrial production growth rate: 4.8% (2005 est.) Electricity - production: 120.2 billion kWh (2004) Electricity - consumption: 105.4 billion kWh (2004) Oil - production: 1.061 million bbl/day (2005 est.) Oil - consumption: 1.084 million bbl/day (2005 est.) Oil - proved reserves: 4.6 billion bbl (2005 est.) Natural gas - production: 83.4 billion cu m (2005 est.) Natural gas – consumption: 22.5 billion cu m (2005 est.) Natural gas - exports: 7.5 billion cu m (2005 est.) Natural gas - proved reserves: 2.557 trillion cu m (2005)
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
1 ton Coal
PT Sugico Mök Energy
Coal Washing
• Water Clean up Waste Hydrogen 100 lbs Electricity 2.5 MWh 110 lbs Electrolysis Ash Asphalt Mix Asphalt 400 lbs
Fuel Gas Return Line
Coal Drying
100 lbs
Bergius Reactor
Coal Grinding
Fractional Distillation
Water 990 lbs
Hydrotreat Fuel Hydrocrack
Vapor
Fuel 273 gal Tar 200 lbs
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy Solar Panels
TECHNOLOGY UNLIKE ANY OTHER
Water
HIGH VOLTAGE DC LINES Hydrogen
Interconnect
Peak Power
NaS Batteries LOAD LEVELING
Intertie
Interconnect BUY
Load
SELL
Mains
Electrolyzer
HIGH VOLTAGE AC LINES Conventional Generators
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY CONCENTRATING SOLAR PANELS
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Impact of Mök Technology SOLAR ENERGY Another Natural Resource is Sunlight falling on Indonesia. Costeffectively collecting solar energy on just 200,000 ha radically transforms Indonesia’s energy picture.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Impact of Mök Technology RESOURCES Convert 1 ton of low-grade coal to 6.2 tons high quality liquid fuels PT Sugico Mok Energy has 900 million tons committed to an early stage project which is equivalent to 5,580 million barrels of liquid fuels more than doubling Indonesia’s current reserves. Conversion of South Sumatra’s 22,000 million tons of coal to oil, is equivalent to 136,400 million barrels of liquid fuels! Increasing reserves 29x Conversion of ALL of Indonesia’s coal, 50,000 million tons of coal to oil, is equivalent to 310,000 million barrels of liquid fuels! Increasing reserves 66x.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Impact of Mök Technology FAQS It costs more for Mök to process a ton of coal than SASOL, but due to high yields (6.2 bbl/ton vs 2.5 bbl/ton) the cost per BARREL is less! Mök has higher yields because Mök does not BURN the coal. The process is energized by sunlight, not coal. Mök process does not produce CO2. Divide market cap of Exxon by its proven reserves and obtain $28 per barrel in the ground. Mök’s cost of $18 per barrel, give a net benefit of $62 per ton in the ground. SASOL’s $35 per barrel give a NEGATIVE net value to coal in the ground. Solar panels can operate on played out surface mines. Such mines are not any dirtier than any other area since mining activity is stopped. Clean panels are important to efficient operation, but this cost factor is small compared to other factors, even in Sumatra. Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Impact of Mök Technology FAQS $0.07 per peak watt is 1/100th the cost of conventional solar panels. Mök achieves this low-cost by reducing silicon the active ingredient in solar panels by a factor of 626, while maintaining incredibly low costs in balance of systems.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Phase I Plant Item Liquid fuel
Cost
Units 21,025Bbls/day
Coal
3,447Ton/day
Facility Cost
$693.00Millions
Labor
1,162People
Sales/year
$537.56Millions
Labor/year
$6.94Millions
Coal/year
$56.65Millions
Maintenance
$23.13Millions
Capital Cost
$48.88Millions
Margin Value
$401.96Millions $4,419.00Millions Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Sugico Mok Project COAL TO LIQUIDS
Initial Investment $693 million 30%
2011
2015
2019
Phase I Plant
Phase II Plant (full scale)
Indonesia (export mkt)
Total Value $4,419 milion
Total Value $170,000 milion
Total Value $600,000 milion
30% Value $1,325 million
30% Value $51,000 million
30% Value $200,000 million
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy PHASE I INPUTS 7,950,000 solar panels Variable Load Electrolyzer Hydrogen Management System Coal to Liquids Conversion On 2,550 ha land Using 3,225 tons coal per day OUTPUTS 20,000 b/d of liquid fuels @ $60.00/bbl = $1,200,000/day 820,000 kWh/day electricity @$0.04/kWh = $33,000/day COST: VALUE:
$693 million (15% of value)
$4,419 million Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy PHASE II 125,000 tons of coal per day 775,000 barrels of liquid fuel per day 165 billion peak watts 285 million panels 91,000 hectares COST: $27 billion (bankable, against proven asset) VALUE: $170 billion @$60/bbl Provides 75% of the nation’s current consumption! Provides ability to earn $17 billion in revenue
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Indonesian Long Term Growth IMPACT ON INDONESIAN ECONOMY BY 2015
Adds $25 billion per year to Indonesian ‘bottom line’ Eliminates energy shortages and lowers energy costs Increases jobs and productivity Increases rate of capital formation Under the right political conditions: Provides for CONTINUOUS 9% PER YEAR GROWTH after 2015 YEAR
INCOME
YEAR
INCOME
2006
1.00
2025
3.64
2015
1.53
2030
5.60
2020
2.37
2035
8.62*
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Indonesian Plan Large solar power arrays tie to the rest of the nation with HVDC power lines. Renewable hydrogen converts Indonesian coal and Natuna gas to liquid fuels for export to China and Japan
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire Island nations have always been Imperial nations due to the confluence of economic, cultural, and strategic factors. Island nations are those nations that have long borders relative to their areas Nations that have large native resources export. Nations that have small native resources import Merideth & Lebard The Coming War with Japan Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire
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Logic of Empire
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Logic of Empire
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY UNLIKE ANY OTHER
• REDUCED PHOTOCELL COST - Dramatically reduces the cost of solar panels by reducing the total area of photocells • REDUCED PANEL COST - Uses arrays of low-cost water-filled lenses to concentrate sunlight while simultaneously cooling photocells. • ADVANCED DESIGN - Uses advanced optics to provide a stationary high performance concentrator.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY CONCENTRATING SOLAR PANELS
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY CONCENTRATING SOLAR PANELS
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY CONCENTRATING SOLAR PANELS
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY CONCENTRATING SOLAR PANELS
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY CONCENTRATING SOLAR PANELS
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY UNLIKE ANY OTHER
• REDUCED BATTERY COSTS - Dramatically reduces the cost of batteries by choosing materials that are 1/10th the cost of lead acid. • IMPROVED BATTERY LIFE - Uses sodium/sulfur combination having 11x MJ/kg of lead acid.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy TECHNOLOGY UNLIKE ANY OTHER Sodium Sulfur Batteries Developed by Ford in 1965 Used for load leveling by Utilities Used by Mök to store excess solar power Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
PT Sugico Mök Energy Solar Panels
TECHNOLOGY UNLIKE ANY OTHER
Water
HIGH VOLTAGE DC LINES Hydrogen
Interconnect
Peak Power
NaS Batteries LOAD LEVELING
Intertie
Interconnect BUY
Load
SELL
Mains
Electrolyzer
HIGH VOLTAGE AC LINES Conventional Generators
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
1 ton Coal
PT Sugico Mök Energy
Coal Washing
• Water Clean up Waste Hydrogen 100 lbs Electricity 2.5 MWh 110 lbs Electrolysis Ash Asphalt Mix Asphalt 400 lbs
Fuel Gas Return Line
Coal Drying
100 lbs
Bergius Reactor
Coal Grinding
Fractional Distillation
Water 990 lbs
Hydrotreat Fuel Hydrocrack
Vapor
Fuel 273 gal Tar 200 lbs
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Indonesian Power Needs SHIFTING CONSUMPTION •
Maglev based Personal Rapid Transit
•
Much like an automobile, but rented like a taxi – without a need of driver.
•
Far less expensive than autos, reduces fossil fuel use, eliminates pollution, reduces accidents improves quality of life.
•
Maglev Tracks provide long-distance conduit for solar power energy transmission.
•
Compatible with existing roadways and railways
•
Automated operation accessible to all, yet private ownership is possible for those who can afford it.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved
Indonesian Plan Large solar power arrays power the nation. HVDC/Transport lines tie the nation together. Hydrogen & Hydrocarbon allow Indonesia to gain quick economic dominance. Abundant labor, and modern communications allow expansion of economic influence.
Copyright (c) 2006 PT Sugico Mok Energy All Rights Reserved