Indian Infrastructure Power Sector
Zalak Dave Sagar Desai Saurabh Gupta Kavan Raval
Major Challenges Facing the Power Sector Industry •
Growing Demand
•
Modernization of infrastructure
•
Rising Costs and Prices
•
Climate Change
•
Customer Expectations
What is required to respond to these challenges? •
Investments in the “Smart Grid”
•
Focus on energy efficiency
•
Cleaner generation technology
•
New business and regulatory models
Investment in “Smart Grid” electricity infrastructure will be needed…. Efficient Building Systems
Utility Communications Internet Consumer Portal and Building EMS
Dynamic Systems Control
Distribution Operations
Advanced Metering
10 % Renewables
17 %
65 % PV
Control Interface
Plug-In Hybrids Data Management
Distributed Generation and Storage
Smart End-Use Devices
…. and the infrastructure needed to support deployment of energy efficiency.
Electricity Demand and Supply in India
India is facing energy shortages of 11% of demand and even higher peak shortages of 14%
Demand-supply gap is more acute in Western region (where 70% of the Project’s power will be supplied) with energy deficit at 16% and peak deficit at 21%
Capacity additions of 160,000 MW required in the next 10 years to satisfy India’s power needs New capacity will need to come from a combination of coal, hydro, gas, nuclear and wind projects
India’s Installed Capacity (132,329 MW)
3%
6% 55%
Coal & Lignite Gas
26%
Hydro Nuclear
10%
Other Renewables
Power Sector
Installed generation capacity
Total generation
CAGR
Per capita consumption
T&D network
Energy power deficit
Peak power deficit 12%
112 GW
531 billion units
5.8% 355 kWh
5.7 million circuit kms 9%
Growth Potential
Investment of US$ 90 billion in T&D infrastructure
Addition of 100,000 MW by 2012
Generation Capacity Composition Total Generation Capacity Nuclear Power 3% Hydro power & wind power 28% Installed capacity targeted to double by 2012
Thermal 69%
Domestic Players Public Sector DVC NEEPCO National Hydro Power (NHPC) Nuclear Power (NPC) National Thermal Power(NTPC) BBMB Power Grid (PGCIL) Private Sector Reliance Energy RPG Group Tata Power Torrent
Generation
Transmission
Distribution
Foreign Investments Foreign Major
CLP
Investment
Capacity (MW)
Gujarat PEC
655
PSEG & Marubeni Corporation Marubeni Corporation
PNP Power Generation Company BPL Power Projects
330
CMS Energy
GVK Industries
Doosan Heavy Industries and Construction
NTPC
Ltd 520
235
660
Generation Opportunities By 2012 demand for electricity to double Investment requirement of US$ 200 billion by 2012 100,000MW Additional generation capacity required
21% private sector capacity addition
Private Power Policy
36 projects commissioned in
7000 MW
private sector 3000 MW
Another 6 projects underway
55 projects under various
stages of development
27,800 MW
Transmission & Distribution Opportunities Transmission
US$ 16 bn investment required by 2012* US$ 5 bn private investments through ITPCs and JVs Imminent private sector participation in AP & Karnataka
Distribution
Opportunities in power distribution companies
Indian achievement Sixth in world electricity generation and third in Asia - Pacific (2002)
Share in world electricity generation increased from 2.4% (1994) to 3.6% (2002)
Current technology will not get us to where we need to be…
Where today’s technology will take us
Where more advanced versions of current technologies will take us Path we need to be on to stabilize atmospheric CO2 at 450 to 550 ppm
Renewable Energy
Hydel Wind Power BioMass Projects
Public Private Interface
Public Sector
Tata Mundra Project, India
Development Impact
Access to electricity is essential for reduction in poverty and improved health, education and economic development
Project will increase India’s generation capacity by 3%; likely to impact about 16 million domestic consumers in the country and, hence, in line with our “inclusive” growth strategy for infrastructure
Creation of 5,000 construction jobs and 700 jobs during operations
Project will sell competitively-priced power at US 5.65 cents per kWh and provide affordable energy to consumers
First private sector project in India using supercritical technology; most energy-efficient plant in India (40.5%) compared to existing assets (about 27%) & therefore lower GHG emissions
Project’s tax transfers of about US$790 million
Growth in port and power transmission capacity will further create infrastructure and employment for the country
Conclusion
There is a general consensus among all political parties for reform Bulk of the infrastructure is still controlled by Governments Private sector has done reasonably well in areas where they are operating viz., Telecom, Healthcare, Education, Tourism, Transport and Airlines Ultimately consumer benefits - Government gets its revenue due to increase in volumes PPP(public private partnership) model is one of the solutions where one can create a win-win situation