India & World-macro Economic Indicators And Key Ratios-vrk100-09102009
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Rama Krishna Vadlamudi
[email protected]
MUMBAI October 9th, 2009 As students of financial markets, every day we’re confronted with a host of possibilities and wild scenarios like an Alfred Hitchcock movie pumping up the adrenalin. Even though the capacity of our brain is rather limited (but, there’re no such limits for human spirit!), day in and day out, we’re forced to assimilate an overload of information, opinions or biases. With increased globalization, we’re impacted, on a minute-by-minute basis by the movements in prices/indices of commodities, stocks and currencies; flows of liquidity across a wide swathe of countries/continents/oceans; economic data; and actions/inactions of central banks and governments of several important countries. All the markets are now truly and fully integrated!
In this background, it’s vital for us to watch, on a regular basis, several indices, actions and various policy rates. Below is an indicative list of some indices and rates for the benefit of all students of financial markets – be it a bond trader, an equity dealer, a currency speculator or an investor. Such data is to be blended with your rich experience and judgment; then you're sure going to be a winner in the markets; depending on your risk appetite and ability to absorb paper losses for a considerable period of time. The previous report on the above subject is dated September 25th, 2009 and is accessible for reading and downloading on the following websites.
THE BEST OF MY STUFF ON
Reads
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 1. Income Tax Slabs 2009-10 for Salaried Class
1 111
2. Direct Taxes Code Bill 2009 3. Public Provident Fund PPF ac-Little Known Facts 4. Interest Rate Futures-NSE launches IRFs
657
5. Nifty Bees-Exchange Traded Fund
327
6. Unichem Laboratories Ltd anlysis
218
583 456
an
FOR AUTHOR'S ARTICLES, just click:
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 http://groups.google.co.in/group/random-thoughts-oninvestments/files?hl=en&&sort=date
OR
TWO-WEEK MAJOR MOVEMENTS IN RATES AND INDICES This tells you the movement between Sep. 25, 2009 and Oct. 9, 2009 1. Rupee appreciated by 158 paise or 3.3% against US dollar 2. India Vix has gone up by 16% indicating higher volatility in Nifty Index 3. Crude oil price has gone up by 8.5% 4. Gold price has surged by 5.75% in dollar terms 5. CBOE Vix has decreased by 10% indicating lesser volatility in S&P 500 Index (US)
INDIA'S MACRO INDICATORS RESERVE RATIOS Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) POLICY RATES LAF - Repo Rate* LAF - Reverse Repo Rate* Bank Rate
RATE %
Effective Date
5.00 24.00
17-Jan-09 8-Nov-08
4.75 3.25 6.00
21-Apr-09 21-Apr-09 30-Apr-03
3.50
As On 1-Mar-03
7.32
9-Oct-09
46.40 2.15 to 3.20 0.49 to 3.00 16 643 4 945 30.25 13.42 280.34 0.70 69.74 6.70 6.10
9-Oct-09
9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 2-Oct-09 2-Oct-09 26-Sep-09 25-Sep-09 31-Aug-09 31-Aug-09
RATE % 0 to 0.25 0.50 1.00
Effective Date 16-Dec-08 5-Mar-09 13-May-09
* LAF - RBI's Liquidity Adjustment Facility OTHERS
Savings Bank Interest Rate % G-Sec 10-year yield % (Benchmark 6.90% Maturity Jul. 17th, 2019) US Dollar-Rupee exchange rate Call Money Rate % (Range) CBLO % (Collaterised Borrowing & Lending Mechanism) BSE - SENSEX Level NSE - S&P CNX NIFTY Level India VIX (from NSE) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (Rs lakh crore) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Billion) Inflation Rate (based on WPI) % Credit-Deposit Ratio % India's Real GDP Growth % FY 2008-09 India's Real GDP Growth % Apr-Jun.09 Qtr CENTRAL BANKS-KEY INTEREST RATES US Fed Funds Rate (US Federal Reserve) UK Bank Rate (Bank of England) Eurozone Refinancing Rate (European Central Bank)
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, MUMBAI.
[email protected].
9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09
Oct. 9th, 2009.
Page 2 of 3
WORLD INDICES, ETC. Dow (DJIA30) S&P 500 FTSE 100 NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG (now, 42 stocks) Light, Sweet, Crude Oil - NYMEX (USD/barrel) GOLD - NYMEX (USD/ounce) CBOE VIX Volatility Index US Dollar Index US Treasury 2-year yield % US Treasury 10-year yield %
LEVEL 9 865 1 071 5 162 10 016 21 499 71.71 1048.00 23.12 76.35 0.97 3.38
As on 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09
EXCHANGE RATES GBP-USD EURO-USD USD-YEN USD-Chinese Yuan
1.5964 1.4745 88.8910 6.8256
As On 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09
NOTES 1. US Fed Funds Rate is the lowest since 1954 2. BOE's Bank Rate is its lowest since the bank founded in 1694 3. ECB's Refinancing Rate is its lowest in its 10-year history Data Source: RBI, US FED, BOE, ECB, etc.
FINALLY, WISHING YOU ALL SUCCESS IN YOUR EXAMS!
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, MUMBAI.
[email protected].
Oct. 9th, 2009.
Page 3 of 3
[email protected]
MUMBAI October 9th, 2009 As students of financial markets, every day we’re confronted with a host of possibilities and wild scenarios like an Alfred Hitchcock movie pumping up the adrenalin. Even though the capacity of our brain is rather limited (but, there’re no such limits for human spirit!), day in and day out, we’re forced to assimilate an overload of information, opinions or biases. With increased globalization, we’re impacted, on a minute-by-minute basis by the movements in prices/indices of commodities, stocks and currencies; flows of liquidity across a wide swathe of countries/continents/oceans; economic data; and actions/inactions of central banks and governments of several important countries. All the markets are now truly and fully integrated!
In this background, it’s vital for us to watch, on a regular basis, several indices, actions and various policy rates. Below is an indicative list of some indices and rates for the benefit of all students of financial markets – be it a bond trader, an equity dealer, a currency speculator or an investor. Such data is to be blended with your rich experience and judgment; then you're sure going to be a winner in the markets; depending on your risk appetite and ability to absorb paper losses for a considerable period of time. The previous report on the above subject is dated September 25th, 2009 and is accessible for reading and downloading on the following websites.
THE BEST OF MY STUFF ON
Reads
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 1. Income Tax Slabs 2009-10 for Salaried Class
1 111
2. Direct Taxes Code Bill 2009 3. Public Provident Fund PPF ac-Little Known Facts 4. Interest Rate Futures-NSE launches IRFs
657
5. Nifty Bees-Exchange Traded Fund
327
6. Unichem Laboratories Ltd anlysis
218
583 456
an
FOR AUTHOR'S ARTICLES, just click:
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 http://groups.google.co.in/group/random-thoughts-oninvestments/files?hl=en&&sort=date
OR
TWO-WEEK MAJOR MOVEMENTS IN RATES AND INDICES This tells you the movement between Sep. 25, 2009 and Oct. 9, 2009 1. Rupee appreciated by 158 paise or 3.3% against US dollar 2. India Vix has gone up by 16% indicating higher volatility in Nifty Index 3. Crude oil price has gone up by 8.5% 4. Gold price has surged by 5.75% in dollar terms 5. CBOE Vix has decreased by 10% indicating lesser volatility in S&P 500 Index (US)
INDIA'S MACRO INDICATORS RESERVE RATIOS Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) POLICY RATES LAF - Repo Rate* LAF - Reverse Repo Rate* Bank Rate
RATE %
Effective Date
5.00 24.00
17-Jan-09 8-Nov-08
4.75 3.25 6.00
21-Apr-09 21-Apr-09 30-Apr-03
3.50
As On 1-Mar-03
7.32
9-Oct-09
46.40 2.15 to 3.20 0.49 to 3.00 16 643 4 945 30.25 13.42 280.34 0.70 69.74 6.70 6.10
9-Oct-09
9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 2-Oct-09 2-Oct-09 26-Sep-09 25-Sep-09 31-Aug-09 31-Aug-09
RATE % 0 to 0.25 0.50 1.00
Effective Date 16-Dec-08 5-Mar-09 13-May-09
* LAF - RBI's Liquidity Adjustment Facility OTHERS
Savings Bank Interest Rate % G-Sec 10-year yield % (Benchmark 6.90% Maturity Jul. 17th, 2019) US Dollar-Rupee exchange rate Call Money Rate % (Range) CBLO % (Collaterised Borrowing & Lending Mechanism) BSE - SENSEX Level NSE - S&P CNX NIFTY Level India VIX (from NSE) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (Rs lakh crore) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Billion) Inflation Rate (based on WPI) % Credit-Deposit Ratio % India's Real GDP Growth % FY 2008-09 India's Real GDP Growth % Apr-Jun.09 Qtr CENTRAL BANKS-KEY INTEREST RATES US Fed Funds Rate (US Federal Reserve) UK Bank Rate (Bank of England) Eurozone Refinancing Rate (European Central Bank)
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, MUMBAI.
[email protected].
9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09
Oct. 9th, 2009.
Page 2 of 3
WORLD INDICES, ETC. Dow (DJIA30) S&P 500 FTSE 100 NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG (now, 42 stocks) Light, Sweet, Crude Oil - NYMEX (USD/barrel) GOLD - NYMEX (USD/ounce) CBOE VIX Volatility Index US Dollar Index US Treasury 2-year yield % US Treasury 10-year yield %
LEVEL 9 865 1 071 5 162 10 016 21 499 71.71 1048.00 23.12 76.35 0.97 3.38
As on 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09
EXCHANGE RATES GBP-USD EURO-USD USD-YEN USD-Chinese Yuan
1.5964 1.4745 88.8910 6.8256
As On 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 9-Oct-09
NOTES 1. US Fed Funds Rate is the lowest since 1954 2. BOE's Bank Rate is its lowest since the bank founded in 1694 3. ECB's Refinancing Rate is its lowest in its 10-year history Data Source: RBI, US FED, BOE, ECB, etc.
FINALLY, WISHING YOU ALL SUCCESS IN YOUR EXAMS!
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, MUMBAI.
[email protected].
Oct. 9th, 2009.
Page 3 of 3
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