India & World-macro Economic Indicators And Key Ratios-vrk100-23102009
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- Words: 758
- Pages: 3
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi
[email protected]
MUMBAI October 23rd, 2009 As students of financial markets, every day we’re confronted with a host of possibilities and wild scenarios like an Alfred Hitchcock movie pumping up the adrenalin. Even though the capacity of our brain is rather limited (but, there’re no such limits for human spirit!), day in and day out, we’re forced to assimilate an overload of information, opinions or biases. With increased globalization, we’re impacted, on a minute-by-minute basis, by the movements in prices/indices of commodities, stocks and currencies; flows of liquidity across a wide swathe of countries/continents/oceans; economic data; and actions/inactions of central banks and governments of several important countries. All the markets are now truly and fully integrated!
In this background, it’s vital for us to watch, on a regular basis, several indices, actions and various policy rates. Below is an indicative list of some indices and rates for the benefit of all students of financial markets – be it a bond trader, an equity dealer, a currency speculator or an investor. Such data is to be blended with your rich experience and judgment; then you're surely going to be a winner in the markets; depending on your risk appetite and ability to absorb paper losses for a considerable period of time. The previous report on the above subject is dated October 9th, 2009 and is accessible for reading and downloading on the following websites.
THE BEST OF MY STUFF ON
Reads
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 1. Income Tax Slabs 2009-10 for Salaried Class
1 712
2. Direct Taxes Code Bill 2009 3. Public Provident Fund PPF ac-Little Known Facts 4. Interest Rate Futures-NSE launches IRFs
827
5. Nifty Bees-Exchange Traded Fund
447
6. Good and Services Tax-GST-an introduction
421
FOR AUTHOR'S ARTICLES, just click:
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 OR http://groups.google.co.in/group/random-thoughts-oninvestments/files?hl=en&&sort=date
794 561
TWO-WEEK MAJOR MOVEMENTS IN RATES AND INDICES This tells you the movement between Oct. 9, 2009 and Oct. 23, 2009 1. Crude oil jumped by more than 12 per cent, which is negative for India's fiscal deficit 2. India's inflation based on WPI is up by more than 50 basis points 3. Bond yields in India and US have slightly gone up indicating hardening interest rates 4. Dollar gains against Yen; while weakening against GBP and Euro 5. Dow is not able to hold 10,000; while Nifty50 could not hold 5,000 as volatility reduced
INDIA'S MACRO INDICATORS RESERVE RATIOS Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) POLICY RATES LAF - Repo Rate* LAF - Reverse Repo Rate* Bank Rate
RATE %
Effective Date
5.00 24.00
17-Jan-09 8-Nov-08
4.75 3.25 6.00
21-Apr-09 21-Apr-09 30-Apr-03
3.50
As On 1-Mar-03
* LAF - RBI's Liquidity Adjustment Facility OTHERS
Savings Bank Interest Rate % G-Sec 10-year yield % (Benchmark 6.90% Maturity Jul. 17th, 2019) US Dollar-Rupee exchange rate Call Money Rate % (Range) CBLO % (Collaterised Borrowing & Lending Mechanism) BSE - SENSEX Level NSE - S&P CNX NIFTY Level India VIX (from NSE) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (Rs lakh crore) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Billion) Inflation Rate (based on WPI) % Credit-Deposit Ratio % India's Real GDP Growth % FY 2008-09 India's Real GDP Growth % Apr-Jun.09 Qtr CENTRAL BANKS-KEY INTEREST RATES US Fed Funds Rate (US Federal Reserve) UK Bank Rate (Bank of England) Eurozone Refinancing Rate (European Central Bank)
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BKC, MUMBAI.
7.45 46.50
16 811 4 997 24.49 13.20 284.84 1.21 69.45 6.70 6.10
23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 16-Oct-09 16-Oct-09 10-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 31-Aug-09 31-Aug-09
RATE % 0 to 0.25 0.50 1.00
Effective Date 16-Dec-08 5-Mar-09 13-May-09
2.00 to 3.30 0.70 to 3.05
Oct. 23rd, 2009.
Page 2 of 3
WORLD INDICES, ETC. Dow (DJIA30) S&P 500 FTSE 100 NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG (now, 42 stocks) Light, Sweet, Crude Oil - NYMEX (USD/barrel) GOLD - NYMEX (USD/ounce) CBOE VIX Volatility Index US Dollar Index US Treasury 2-year yield % US Treasury 10-year yield %
LEVEL 9 972 1 080 5 243 10 283 22 590 80.50 1 056 22.27 75.46 1.01 3.48
As on 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09
EXCHANGE RATES GBP-USD EURO-USD USD-YEN USD-Chinese Yuan
1.6396 1.5031 91.8840 6.8285
As On 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09
NOTES 1. US Fed Funds Rate is the lowest since 1954 2. BOE's Bank Rate is its lowest since the bank founded in 1694 3. ECB's Refinancing Rate is its lowest in its 10-year history Data Source: RBI, US FED, BOE, ECB, etc.
FINALLY, WISHING YOU ALL SUCCESS IN YOUR EXAMS!
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BKC, MUMBAI.
Oct. 23rd, 2009.
Page 3 of 3
[email protected]
MUMBAI October 23rd, 2009 As students of financial markets, every day we’re confronted with a host of possibilities and wild scenarios like an Alfred Hitchcock movie pumping up the adrenalin. Even though the capacity of our brain is rather limited (but, there’re no such limits for human spirit!), day in and day out, we’re forced to assimilate an overload of information, opinions or biases. With increased globalization, we’re impacted, on a minute-by-minute basis, by the movements in prices/indices of commodities, stocks and currencies; flows of liquidity across a wide swathe of countries/continents/oceans; economic data; and actions/inactions of central banks and governments of several important countries. All the markets are now truly and fully integrated!
In this background, it’s vital for us to watch, on a regular basis, several indices, actions and various policy rates. Below is an indicative list of some indices and rates for the benefit of all students of financial markets – be it a bond trader, an equity dealer, a currency speculator or an investor. Such data is to be blended with your rich experience and judgment; then you're surely going to be a winner in the markets; depending on your risk appetite and ability to absorb paper losses for a considerable period of time. The previous report on the above subject is dated October 9th, 2009 and is accessible for reading and downloading on the following websites.
THE BEST OF MY STUFF ON
Reads
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 1. Income Tax Slabs 2009-10 for Salaried Class
1 712
2. Direct Taxes Code Bill 2009 3. Public Provident Fund PPF ac-Little Known Facts 4. Interest Rate Futures-NSE launches IRFs
827
5. Nifty Bees-Exchange Traded Fund
447
6. Good and Services Tax-GST-an introduction
421
FOR AUTHOR'S ARTICLES, just click:
http://www.pdfcoke.com/vrk100 OR http://groups.google.co.in/group/random-thoughts-oninvestments/files?hl=en&&sort=date
794 561
TWO-WEEK MAJOR MOVEMENTS IN RATES AND INDICES This tells you the movement between Oct. 9, 2009 and Oct. 23, 2009 1. Crude oil jumped by more than 12 per cent, which is negative for India's fiscal deficit 2. India's inflation based on WPI is up by more than 50 basis points 3. Bond yields in India and US have slightly gone up indicating hardening interest rates 4. Dollar gains against Yen; while weakening against GBP and Euro 5. Dow is not able to hold 10,000; while Nifty50 could not hold 5,000 as volatility reduced
INDIA'S MACRO INDICATORS RESERVE RATIOS Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) POLICY RATES LAF - Repo Rate* LAF - Reverse Repo Rate* Bank Rate
RATE %
Effective Date
5.00 24.00
17-Jan-09 8-Nov-08
4.75 3.25 6.00
21-Apr-09 21-Apr-09 30-Apr-03
3.50
As On 1-Mar-03
* LAF - RBI's Liquidity Adjustment Facility OTHERS
Savings Bank Interest Rate % G-Sec 10-year yield % (Benchmark 6.90% Maturity Jul. 17th, 2019) US Dollar-Rupee exchange rate Call Money Rate % (Range) CBLO % (Collaterised Borrowing & Lending Mechanism) BSE - SENSEX Level NSE - S&P CNX NIFTY Level India VIX (from NSE) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (Rs lakh crore) India's Foreign Exchange Reserves (USD Billion) Inflation Rate (based on WPI) % Credit-Deposit Ratio % India's Real GDP Growth % FY 2008-09 India's Real GDP Growth % Apr-Jun.09 Qtr CENTRAL BANKS-KEY INTEREST RATES US Fed Funds Rate (US Federal Reserve) UK Bank Rate (Bank of England) Eurozone Refinancing Rate (European Central Bank)
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BKC, MUMBAI.
7.45 46.50
16 811 4 997 24.49 13.20 284.84 1.21 69.45 6.70 6.10
23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 16-Oct-09 16-Oct-09 10-Oct-09 9-Oct-09 31-Aug-09 31-Aug-09
RATE % 0 to 0.25 0.50 1.00
Effective Date 16-Dec-08 5-Mar-09 13-May-09
2.00 to 3.30 0.70 to 3.05
Oct. 23rd, 2009.
Page 2 of 3
WORLD INDICES, ETC. Dow (DJIA30) S&P 500 FTSE 100 NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG (now, 42 stocks) Light, Sweet, Crude Oil - NYMEX (USD/barrel) GOLD - NYMEX (USD/ounce) CBOE VIX Volatility Index US Dollar Index US Treasury 2-year yield % US Treasury 10-year yield %
LEVEL 9 972 1 080 5 243 10 283 22 590 80.50 1 056 22.27 75.46 1.01 3.48
As on 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09
EXCHANGE RATES GBP-USD EURO-USD USD-YEN USD-Chinese Yuan
1.6396 1.5031 91.8840 6.8285
As On 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09 23-Oct-09
NOTES 1. US Fed Funds Rate is the lowest since 1954 2. BOE's Bank Rate is its lowest since the bank founded in 1694 3. ECB's Refinancing Rate is its lowest in its 10-year history Data Source: RBI, US FED, BOE, ECB, etc.
FINALLY, WISHING YOU ALL SUCCESS IN YOUR EXAMS!
Rama Krishna Vadlamudi, BKC, MUMBAI.
Oct. 23rd, 2009.
Page 3 of 3
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