Howrah
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Howrah Assembly election 2006 Left Front TMC* Bally Howrah ( North) Howrah (Central) Howrah ( South ) Shibpur Sankrail Pnachla
TOTAL
Cong
Loksabha Election 2004
BJP*
Left Front TMC*
Cong
54103 52244 35470 40292 92479 66256 64123
23511 15378 22540 15069 78476 61450 32262
9684 19371 17008 12247 18567 10341 31418
1200 6050 6400 2400 4700 5045 6470
82408 83740 29836 44177 92668 60017 58400
14370 11479 19286 18249 61815 39491 39891
11203 16450 22001 22355 30313 28698 16602
404967
248686
118636
32265
451246
204581
147622
Mean Percentage of votes for each Party ( till 2006 ) Left Front TMC* Cong BJP*
51.33% 26.95% 15.27% 3.63%
Prediction for 2009 ( Assembly-constituency w
Applying Suitable Formula Total Votes*
Left Front
TMC
Cong
BJP
Bally Howrah ( North) Howrah (Central) Howrah ( South ) Shibpur Sankrail Pnachla
107630 114331 90742 92268 205552 155484 140085
62603 62038 36069 44962 90199 62730 63097
28749 22092 25235 20887 82349 67026 42256
12293 21083 21460 21784 26563 19444 26182
1412 7119 6708 2635 4839 4284 6750
TOTAL
906092
421698
288594
148809
33747
Margin : 1,33,103 62,101 Votes Votes
Probable Percentage of votes for each Party ( 2009 ) Left Front TMC* Cong BJP*
46.54% 31.85% 16.42% 3.72%
It is almost certain that TMC+Cong could manage to win these sea
Red Area :P TMC alone is capable of winning those Very Marginal , Anything can happen
( Difference is less than
It is marginal for TMC-Cong alliance
1.10.2008
*
Approximate Value
Status :
You can't afford to leave Congress out of the equation…
In 2004 Swadesh Chakraborty [ CPI(M) ] won by 2,46
Assembly election 2001
ha Election 2004 BJP*
Left Front TMC*
Cong
875 3900 6200 2225 4560 4980 6400
92876 103410 27834 55159 92703 59622 59986
21979 13884 27717 29407 81631 47784 32170
10444 17911 19505 17301 24290 19520 25643
1000 6334 6974 2500 4999 5295 6788
29140
491590
254572
134614
33890
Party ( till 2006 )
embly-constituency wise Analysis)
ty ( 2009 )
BJP*
After De-limitation
Swing (%)
-4.79% 4.90% 1.15% 0.09%
d manage to win these seats , otherwise these are for the LF
( Difference is less than 1% of total number of votes)
s out of the equation… especially in in Howrah Howrah
(M) ] won by 2,46,937 Votes
TOTAL
Cong
Loksabha Election 2004
BJP*
Left Front TMC*
Cong
54103 52244 35470 40292 92479 66256 64123
23511 15378 22540 15069 78476 61450 32262
9684 19371 17008 12247 18567 10341 31418
1200 6050 6400 2400 4700 5045 6470
82408 83740 29836 44177 92668 60017 58400
14370 11479 19286 18249 61815 39491 39891
11203 16450 22001 22355 30313 28698 16602
404967
248686
118636
32265
451246
204581
147622
Mean Percentage of votes for each Party ( till 2006 ) Left Front TMC* Cong BJP*
51.33% 26.95% 15.27% 3.63%
Prediction for 2009 ( Assembly-constituency w
Applying Suitable Formula Total Votes*
Left Front
TMC
Cong
BJP
Bally Howrah ( North) Howrah (Central) Howrah ( South ) Shibpur Sankrail Pnachla
107630 114331 90742 92268 205552 155484 140085
62603 62038 36069 44962 90199 62730 63097
28749 22092 25235 20887 82349 67026 42256
12293 21083 21460 21784 26563 19444 26182
1412 7119 6708 2635 4839 4284 6750
TOTAL
906092
421698
288594
148809
33747
Margin : 1,33,103 62,101 Votes Votes
Probable Percentage of votes for each Party ( 2009 ) Left Front TMC* Cong BJP*
46.54% 31.85% 16.42% 3.72%
It is almost certain that TMC+Cong could manage to win these sea
Red Area :P TMC alone is capable of winning those Very Marginal , Anything can happen
( Difference is less than
It is marginal for TMC-Cong alliance
1.10.2008
*
Approximate Value
Status :
You can't afford to leave Congress out of the equation…
In 2004 Swadesh Chakraborty [ CPI(M) ] won by 2,46
Assembly election 2001
ha Election 2004 BJP*
Left Front TMC*
Cong
875 3900 6200 2225 4560 4980 6400
92876 103410 27834 55159 92703 59622 59986
21979 13884 27717 29407 81631 47784 32170
10444 17911 19505 17301 24290 19520 25643
1000 6334 6974 2500 4999 5295 6788
29140
491590
254572
134614
33890
Party ( till 2006 )
embly-constituency wise Analysis)
ty ( 2009 )
BJP*
After De-limitation
Swing (%)
-4.79% 4.90% 1.15% 0.09%
d manage to win these seats , otherwise these are for the LF
( Difference is less than 1% of total number of votes)
s out of the equation… especially in in Howrah Howrah
(M) ] won by 2,46,937 Votes
