Overview of Business, Technology, and Value
December 2000
This report is solely for the use of discussion only. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, or reproduced for distribution outside the client organization without prior written approval from HeyAnita Korea. This material was used by HeyAnita during an oral presentation; it is not a complete record of the discussion.
CONTENTS
1. Overview of HeyAnita: vision, goal, approach, and value 2. Details of HeyAnita: structure, technology, business model, and advantages 3. Progress to date 4. Projected revenues 5. Appendix
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1. Overview of HeyAnita HeyAnita is a global startup built on the belief that voice is the most natural method of interfacing with the vast amounts of information available today. HEYANITA’S VISION
Available Information
Current Method of Access
HeyAnita’s Vision…
WAP-enabled wireless handsets
Internet
PC
Intranet
…to provide users with easy, real-time access to valuable information by leveraging ANY telephone
Specialized Hand-held terminals
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HeyAnita is striving to leverage the potential of this concept in order to generate a successful and sustainable business.
HEYANITA’S GOAL, APPROACH, AND VALUE
Goal
Approach
Value (main drivers)*
Phase 1: Direct User
To transfer the value of the internet and intranet to the ordinary telephone by providing voice-driven access to valuable content
Create a solid voice portal in order to build end-user and corporate confidence in the technology AND secure immediate revenues Phase 2: Corporate Clients Leverage success and reputation from voice portal to draw corporate clients for “solutions” business
Revenues
Phase 2: • Private label • V-ASP Phase 1: • Rev sharing with KT Time
* Detailed forecast included in Appendix E
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HeyAnita was founded by Microsoft veterans in the hopes of leveraging the wireless revolution. These founders teamed with Softbank’s money and global reach to create an international presence.
WHO IS HEYANITA? JV: EU JV: South America JV: India US Founders
Investor
JV: China JV: Japan
• Softbank
• 4 Microsoft veterans
• Currently invested in
• Headquartered in Los
Angeles • Experts in creating
operating systems and related technologies • Experts at building
applications and implementing for Fortune 500 clients
+
HeyAnita’s US and Korea entities; committed to invest in ANY international entity created by HeyAnita • Decision to invest in
HeyAnita over Tellme based on perceived technical superiority
JV: Korea • Incorporated: March 22, 2000 • Investors: • HeyAnita US • Softbank Korea • Thrunet • Naray • TG Ventures
30% 30% 20% 10% 10%
• PIC: 7.8 billion won • Management Team: • JS Lee (CEO) • James Kim (COO) • Peter Chang (CTO) • Bernard Moon (EVP) • Sue-Lynn Koo (EVP) • Jae Choi (EVP)
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Our belief in HeyAnita’s value is supported by the robustness of our technology.
SUMMARY OF TECHNOLOGY AND SERVICE
Telephone Interface (Dialogic/Intel)
Utterance Recognition (Speechworks)
Server (HeyAnita)
HeyAnita User
Natural Language Interpretation (HeyAnita)
Ad Repository (HeyAnita)
Call Forwarding (HeyAnita & KT)
CP Interface (HeyAnita)
Internet or Intranet
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The value of HeyAnita’s business is driven by (1) our ability to create and share value with Korea Telecom and (2) our ability to leverage expertise in delivering voice solutions to corporate clients.
SOURCE OF VALUE Phase 2: Corporate Clients
Phase 1: Direct User Revenue Sharing with KT
• Development • Hosting • V-commerce
HeyAnita User
HeyAnita is building multiple revenue streams
ASP clients
Data Center Call Transfer •Sponsorship •Advertising •V-commerce Users’ friends, family, colleagues Private Label Clients “Powered by HeyAnita” • Development • Maintenance • License 7
HeyAnita can capture and protect this business value through its technical advantages and its strategic alliances.
SUMMARY OF ADVANTAGES
Utterance Recognition
Telephone Interface
1. Open system architecture + high robustness in O/S + high ability to provide best-of-breed solutions
HeyAnita User
Server Natural Language Interpretation
2. Proprietary technology + low licensing fees + low dependence on 3rd party (ie. fast time-to-market)
Ad Repository
4. Detailed profiling of users + high ability to track caller and call patterns
CP Interface
3. Easy interface with CP’s & Clients + no reformatting by CP’s/Clients + no hard coding for HeyAnita
Call Forwarding
Internet or Intranet 8
In order to execute on this plan, HeyAnita’s management has been driving for and has achieved key outputs during the past 9 months.
PROGRESS TO DATE Description
• Secured unprecedented revenue-sharing and
Backbone
• Korea Telecom
strategic partnership with dominant telco
• Secured top-tier content for all service areas
• • • • • • • •
• Completed commercial launch of 6 services
• Speechworks • HeyAnita US
Content
Services
Partners
• Second set of 5-8 services currently under
MBC/iMBC Maeil Economic Daily & MBN Rotis Ticketlink, MaxMovie, Cineseoul CityNet, Cookand, Unitel Weathernews KSE Korean Air
development
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HeyAnita Korea plans to follow up with 10 additional service on its second phase launch, and plans to introduce continuous stream of new services every one to two months.
PROGRESS TO DATE: SERVICE LAUNCH PLAN First Phase
Second Phase
December 5th, 2000
February 5th, 2001
News
Taxi reservation
Traffic information
Airline schedule & ticketing
Movie information
World Clock
Restaurant guides
Directory service
Weather information
Horoscope
Stock quotes
Fan Clubs
My Service
Music-on-demand
Launch Date
Services
Quiz Email & Voicemail Voice chatting service
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HeyAnita forecasts the creation and protection of multiple revenue streams. Usage revenues from direct users serve as the main driver until end of 2002. Beginning in 2003, corporate client users serve as the major revenue stream.
OVERVIEW OF PROJECTED P&L
Expenses
Million won
80000
72,712
70000
8,726
V-commerce
60000
8,400
Sponsorship
6,841
Advertising
28,008
Corp Client User
17,756
20,736
Direct User
2004
50,604 50000
3,129 5,880
40000
4,706
30000
25,076
20000
2,370 2,545
19,132
8,182
6,185
10000 0
Total Expenses
3,036 3,142
11,444
0.01 2000
2001
2002
2003
2,770
10,802
19,812
27,112
34,301
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APPENDIX
A.
Basic foundation
B.
Comparison of possible business approaches
C.
Differences in Direct User Models models
D.
Current state of competition
E.
HeyAnita’s financial projections
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A. Basic foundation HeyAnita’s business is built on a belief that wireless access to the internet (as well as similar valueadded information sources) will be a widespread reality. BASE CONCEPT
Worldwide Wireless Internet Users
484 million
Key Drivers of Use
• Widespread penetration of
terminals • Affordable rates for wireless
connections • Availability and usefulness of
content • Ease and comfort of user interface • Speed of access
6 million 2000
2005
Current trends support all drivers
Source: Ovum Research
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The bet that HeyAnita has placed is on the medium for this wireless internet access.
X = Advantage
BET ON MEDIUM Current Thinking
al n ss r ce in tio nt le e m tra se rf a te r r i s n e U te T ene W ate Co In P R
ss ce d c A pee S
“[Customers] try this WAP, and it is so hard! You go down, down, down all these menus, and you wait, wait, wait…pretty soon you give up…” (Head of Internet Operations, SEB Bank) WAP
“Share prices of major European [players] have taken sharp hits recently, despite booming sales, because of concerns about WAP” (Nomura Securities) “We need better hardware and a new generation of mobile transmission to make it work” (Apps Mgr, Ericsson) • Speech recognition technology is a boon with
successful IPO’s of Nuance, Speechworks, and L&H • Major players are moving to voice interface (eg. Oracle,
Voice
Motorola, Lucent, Palm) • Speech portal business alone is forecasted to reach
X
X
X
X
X
$12 billion by 2005 • Regarding the telephone as the wireless internet
appliance of choice: It is already in the market and no one has made one that is easier to use or cheaper to buy (summary of WSJ article) Source: Kelsey Group, Washington Post, Industry Standard, Wall Street Journal
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B. Business Approach and Model HeyAnita’s approach to this new voiceinterface market is designed to (1) build user acceptance of the new medium via our voice portal, (2) secure solid revenues from the portal operations, and (3) leverage assets from the portal business to transition to serve corporate clients. BUSINESS APPROACH
Approach
Explanation
HeyAnita
Most Competitors
Direct Users Corporate Clients
Corporate Client s Direct Users
•
Immediately generate large-scale revenues via sharing agreement with Korea Telecom
•
Build wide-spread acceptance of voice enabled technology to seed Corporate Client market
•
Create strong brand with decision makers of corporate clients and direct end users (ie. portal)
•
Selectively build corporate client base via relationships with initial content providers
•
Fully leverage experience built during launch direct user services and shift resources to corporate client users
•
•
Leverage HeyAnita US’s corporate client success stories and expertise in order to service Korean clients Possess option to shift server assets to corporate client business; thereby capture hardware margins as well as services
VS
•
Generate attractive margins (>50%) on revenues for development services (where services typically comprise 25% of total voice enabling project; remainder of value will flow to technology provider such as L&H or Voiceware)
•
Tap into a limited pool of clients willing and able to install CTI systems (estimates for total market is less than 500 such clients*)
•
Build market acceptance for voice solutions “oneclient-at-a-time”
•
Enter direct user market when sector has matured
•
Hope that corporate client experience can easily and quickly scale to serve large direct user market
•
Likely to make large capital investments for direct user services when market is already crowded with competitors
*Current CTI install base is about 250 sites with a projected growth rate of 10-20% per annum for 3-5 years Source: industry interviews
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C. Differences in Direct User models Despite the fact that a few competitors are pursuing direct users, HeyAnita’s model is far superior in value.
DIFFERENCES IN DIRECT USER BUSINESSES HeyAnita Telco Partner
Dacom-L&H-Chollian (now defunct)* Dacom
Korea Telecom •
Owns the so-called “last mile” of infrastructure to which is critical to reach end users
•
Relies on KT for use of the incumbent’s “last mile” to end users
•
Owns and operates core of Korea’s telecommunications backbone
•
Owns and operates a small network of trunk lines
•
Able and willing to provide full, integrated, and reliable billing services
•
Billing services plagued with inability to collect on ~30% of gross revenues User must pay extra for the service
VS Revenue Sharing
45
48 + α
30
Voceweb does not receive call revenues
40
(per 3 minutes of land-line call)
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User Pays To KT
KT Keeps
HeyAnita Collects From KT
8+α User Pays To Dacom
KT collects from Dacom
Dacom keeps
0 VoceWeb collects from Dacom
* L&H’s recently exposed financial troubles have halted all efforts with Dacom and Chollian. Chollian (a leading ISP and portal) is currently seeking bids for voice-enabling solutions.
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D. Current state of competition Competitors have chosen varying approaches to the business. Although source of initial concerns, the actionstodate of these players have given HeyAnita reprieve from concern.
COMPETITION Vocian (portal)
Description
Comments
• Launched no-fee portal services without
• • • •
revenue sharing agreement • Quickly “burning” initial $1 million in
funding; seeking additional $10 million to continue operations
Using R2 lines (60 ports) Linked to Voiceware technology Is seeking funds with poorly defined focus Informally contacted HeyAnita about potential merger
Dacom-L&H-Chollian (portal services for fee)
• Defunct due to demise of L&H
• DACOM has requested a proposals from HeyAnita
SK Corp-L&H-Voceweb (PC based portal)
• Defunct due to demise of L&H
• SK is currently seeking competitive
Voceweb (corporate focus)
• Posturing to enter corporate client space
• Activities are currently at a standstill due to
Samsung Spinoffs (PC based UI solutions)
• Zenaway being reabsorbed due to glitch
as solutions provider
proposals for voice solutions
reliance on now troubled L&H.
• Closing down shortly.
in technology • 2nd spinoff likely
Nettus (portal)
• After 6 months of analysis, decided to drop
portal and pursue for solutions business
• Focusing on solutions rather than direct user
services
* L&H, Speechworks, Voiceware, SL2 are technology providers with whom HeyAnita has had reseller/solutions provider discussions. ** Off-shore voice-portals such as TellMe and BeVocal are focused on the US and do not have multi-language capabilities or international plans
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F. Financial projections With the help of these partners, HeyAnita is poised to generate its forecasted revenues and stay within the bounds of our forecasted expenses. SUMMARY OF P&L Korean Won (KRW) Usage Revenue Sharing Ad Revenue Sponsorship Revenue V-Commerce Revenue sharing Corporate Business Revenue Revenues
10,535 0 0 0 0 10,535
2001 3,141,674,212 0 0 7,818,844 3,035,907,032 6,185,400,087
2002 11,443,816,911 2,545,140,212 2,370,000,000 535,578,107 8,181,770,852 25,076,306,081
2003 17,756,317,661 4,706,192,124 5,880,000,000 3,128,898,215 19,132,490,788 50,603,898,788
2004 20,736,245,180 6,841,485,504 8,400,000,000 8,726,287,607 28,007,545,269 72,711,563,559
Leasing Payments 0 Data Center 57,406,296 Personnel 1,301,342,011 G&A 334,150,204 Marketing 987,140,860 Research & Content 90,500,000 Operating contingency 0 Operating contingency as % of monthly expense Operating Expenses 2,770,539,371
2,358,206,833 681,200,000 3,411,892,000 248,020,800 2,040,000,000 262,000,000 1,800,263,927 20% 10,801,583,560
9,038,702,165 2,120,800,000 3,686,323,135 233,020,800 2,472,000,000 460,000,000 1,801,084,610 10% 19,811,930,710
15,122,599,758 3,004,800,000 3,796,912,829 233,020,800 3,204,000,000 460,000,000 1,291,066,669 5% 27,112,400,056
21,429,049,965 3,495,200,000 3,910,820,214 233,020,800 3,936,000,000 460,000,000 1,122,484,027 2.5% 34,300,693,253
Gross Margin
(2,770,528,836)
(6,416,447,399)
3,463,290,762
Depreciation
328,702,517
1,572,355,317
(3,099,231,353)
(6,188,538,790)
EBIT INTEREST Taxes Net Income
2000
1,913,622,617
22,200,432,062 2,475,789,812
37,288,386,279 2,531,345,367
3,350,752,754
21,015,708,920
35,879,524,939
60,000,000
240,000,000
240,000,000
240,000,000
240,000,000
0
0
0
4,231,863,472
9,979,066,983
3,110,752,754
16,543,845,448
25,660,457,956
(3,159,231,353)
(6,428,538,790)
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Gut check calculations reveal that HeyAnita’s calculations fall wellwithin the range of acceptability on many fronts.
GUT CHECKS ON P&L Users, Korean Won
Gut Check Direct user base Average monthly add Annual churn Net new users (EOY basis) Total users (EOY basis) Avg monthly cost to avg direct user Corporate client user base Average monthly add Total users (EOY basis) Avg monthly cost to V-ASP client
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2,220 30% 100 100 967
76,750 30% 830,384 830,484 7,000
100,000 40% 663,030 1,493,514 8,000
100,000 50% 362,535 1,856,048 8,917
100,000 50% 217,545 2,073,593 9,000
0 0 0
7,500 90,000 9,000,000
42,500 600,000 15,375,000
75,833 1,510,000 21,000,000
70,000 2,350,000 21,000,000
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SUMMARY OF CASHFLOW Korean Won
(KRW) Revenues Operating Expenses Depreciation EBIT EBIT Margin Tax Net Income Return on Sales Depreciation CapEx Free Cash Flow
2000 10,535 2,770,539,371 328,702,517 -3,099,231,353 -29418428% 0 (3,099,231,353) -29418428% 328,702,517 9,996,822,181 (12,767,351,017)
2001 6,185,400,087 10,801,583,560 1,572,355,317 -6,188,538,790 -100% 0 (6,188,538,790) -100% 1,572,355,317 1,023,801,900 (5,639,985,372)
2002 25,076,306,081 19,811,930,710 1,913,622,617 3,350,752,754 13% 0 3,350,752,754 13% 1,913,622,617 1,023,801,900 4,240,573,472
2003 50,603,898,788 27,112,400,056 2,475,789,812 21,015,708,920 42% 4,231,863,472 16,783,845,448 33% 2,475,789,812 1,000,000,000 18,259,635,260
2004 72,711,563,559 34,300,693,253 2,531,345,367 35,879,524,939 49% 9,979,066,983 25,900,457,956 36% 2,531,345,367 0 28,431,803,323
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ESTIMATED VALUE* Korean Won
Discounted Cash Flow 25% discount rate
NPV (5 year; g=6% inflation) 76,211,250,947
Sales Multiple (based on total annual sales) 89 Daum Multiple 10 times 5 times
2000 938,573 105,350 52,675
Users Multiple (based on direct users only)** HA users (at EOY) 3,089,330 SKT multiple 1,968,740 KTF multiple 298,261 Daum 200,000 Estimate
2000
* **
NPV (10 year, inflation growth from yr6-10, no g thereafter) 93,573,834,289
2001 551,062,916,876 61,854,000,874 30,927,000,437
2002 2,234,070,905,426 250,763,060,813 125,381,530,407
2003 4,508,347,346,573 506,038,987,881 253,019,493,940
2004 6,477,939,298,932 727,115,635,594 363,557,817,797
2001 100 830,484 308,933,043 2,565,638,228,862 196,874,000 1,635,006,262,140 29,826,087 247,700,757,586 20,000,000 166,096,717,915
2002 1,493,514 4,613,957,189,190 2,940,340,073,167 445,456,681,451 298,702,731,002
2003 1,856,048 5,733,946,270,617 3,654,076,382,933 553,586,557,611 371,209,645,045
2004 2,073,593 6,406,013,811,333 4,082,365,385,369 618,471,636,541 414,718,590,100
All valuations derived from market capitalization of respective organizations as of June 2000. Current values will cause variations in calculated numbers Calculated valuation based on User Multiple accounts for user base of Direct Users only. Users of corporate clients have not been included in current calculations for simplicity.
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